Abstract

Risk assessment methods are widely used in aviation, but have not been demonstrated for visual inspection of aircraft engine components. The complexity in this field arises from the variety of defect types and the different manifestation thereof with each level of disassembly. A new risk framework was designed to include contextual factors. Those factors were identified using Bowtie analysis to be criticality, severity, and detectability. This framework yields a risk metric that describes the extent to which a defect might stay undetected during the inspection task, and result in adverse safety outcomes. A simplification of the framework provides a method for go/no-go decision-making. The results of the study reveal that the defect detectability is highly dependent on specific views of the blade, and the risk can be quantified. Defects that involve material separation or removal such as scratches, tip rub, nicks, tears, cracks, and breaking, are best shown in airfoil views. Defects that involve material deformation and change of shape, such as tip curl, dents on the leading edges, bents, and battered blades, have lower risk if edge views can be provided. This research proposes that many risk assessments may be reduced to three factors: consequence, likelihood, and a cofactor. The latter represents the industrial context, and can comprise multiple sub-factors that are application-specific. A method has been devised, including appropriate scales, for the inclusion of these into the risk assessment.

Highlights

  • Gas turbine aircraft engines are inspected at regular intervals, or after a known incident

  • We briefly review the risk management literature and related question of how risk might be determined in the specific activity of visual inspection

  • The first one is of philosophical nature in that it is proposed that many risk assessments may be reduced to three factors: consequence, likelihood, and a cofactor

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Summary

Introduction

Gas turbine aircraft engines are inspected at regular intervals, or after a known incident (e.g., bird strike). Repair and overhaul (MRO) of engines is crucial for flight safety, it is predominantly performed by human operators who are prone to error. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that maintenance and inspection errors are under the top three causes of aircraft accidents and that in 26% of the cases, a maintenance-caused event started the event chain [1,2]. According to Federal Aviation Authority (FAA) records, maintenance was involved in 27.4% of fatalities and 6.8% of incidents [1]. It was reported that component or structural failures are the primary root-cause for maintenance-related incidents and that it most likely occurs at the engine. The inspection has to be made in a difficult environment with several constraints, such as limited space for the operator, restricted views, restricted lighting, limited pixel resolution, boredom, distraction, and time pressure [3]

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