Climatic Suitability for Robusta Coffee in West Lampung Under Climate Change

Abstract

West Lampung has long been recorded as one of the Indonesian major Robusta coffee producers. Coffee is an annual crop sensitive to climatic conditions. Therefore, climate change have been reported to affect yield and area suitable for coffee production. Assessing climate suitability coffee area in West Lampung is crucial for a sustainability of coffee production system. This study aims to identify changes in coffee crop suitability under climate change. Coffee production data from the local agriculture office and climate data from Wordclim were processed using Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) and ArcGIS to project the impact of climate change on distribution change of coffee suitability. The Result of MaxEnt indicates an important shift in climatic suitability of coffee area in the future. Suitable grown areas decrease. This shift requires an adaptation strategy for sustainable coffee production system in West Lampung.