This study aims to analyze the natural regeneration characteristics and the key factors of Quercus forests, providing a theoretical foundation for maintaining the ecological stability of Quercus forests in northern China. In June and July 2023, 17 square plots of five Quercus species in Beijing were surveyed, and seedling regeneration and environmental factors (site, stand and soil factors) were measured. Pearson correlation and random forest algorithms were used to identify the relevant and key environmental factors affecting seedling regeneration density (Seedling 1, Seedling 2, Seedling 3). The natural regeneration capabilities of the five Quercus species in the Beijing area vary, with Quercus aliena and Quercus variabilis being stronger, while Quercus mongolica, Quercus acutissima and Quercus dentata are relatively weaker. Correlation analysis showed that Seedling 1 has no significant correlation with environmental factors; Seedling 2 is significantly negatively correlated with Pielou’s evenness (J) and exchangeable calcium (ECa) (p < 0.05); Seedling 3 is significantly positively correlated with species richness (S), Shannon–Wiener index (H), stand volume (M), and litter layer thickness (LT) (p < 0.05), and significantly negatively correlated with Pielou’s evenness (J) (p < 0.01). The random forest algorithm indicated that the regeneration of Seedling 1 is mainly affected by stand factors, while the regeneration of Seedling 2 and Seedling 3 is more influenced by soil and site factors. The Quercus forests in the Beijing region exhibit a rich species composition and demonstrate a certain capacity for natural regeneration. However, seedling growth is more constrained by soil and site factors in the later stages. Therefore, in the management of Quercus forests, environmental factors can be regulated during the seedling growth stage to create more suitable conditions for regeneration.
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