Western Pacific Subtropical High Research Articles

How Severe Was the 2022 Flash Drought in the Yangtze River Basin?

Flash droughts, characterized by their rapid onset and severe impacts, have critical implications for the ecological environment and water resource security. However, inconsistent definitions of flash droughts have hindered scientific assessments of drought severity, limiting efforts in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this study, we propose a new method for explicitly characterizing flash drought events, with particular emphasis on the process of soil moisture recovery. The temporal and spatial evolution of flash droughts over the Yangtze River Basin was analyzed, and the severity of the extreme flash drought in 2022 was assessed by comparing its characteristics and impacts with those of three typical dry years. Additionally, the driving factors of the 2022 flash drought were evaluated from multiple perspectives. Results indicate that the new identification method for flash droughts is reasonable and reliable. In recent years, the frequency and duration of flash droughts have significantly increased, with the Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake basins being particularly affected. Spring and summer were identified as peak seasons for flash droughts, with the middle reaches most affected in spring, while summer droughts tend to impact the entire basin. Compared to 2006, 2011, and 2013, the flash drought in 2022 affected the largest area, with the highest number of grids experiencing two flash drought events and a development rate exceeding 15%. Moreover, the summer heat in 2022 was more extreme than in the other three years, extending from spring to fall, especially during July–August. Its evolution was driven by the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which suppressed precipitation and elevated temperatures. The divergence of water vapor flux intensified water shortages, while anomalies in latent and sensible heat fluxes increased surface evaporation and heat transfer, further disturbing the regional water cycle. This study provides valuable insights for flash drought monitoring and early warning in the context of a changing climate.

Compound spatial extremes of heatwaves and downstream air pollution events in East Asia

In light of increasing climate hazards globally that pose risk to public health, the compounded effects of two major hazards, heatwaves and air pollution, have become a focal point for environmental and health research. This study explores the intricate relationship between extreme temperature events in North China (NC) and South China (SC) – two prominent areas of aerosol exposure in East Asia – and the associated changes in aerosol optical depth (AOD) across the region. The heatwave events and regional AOD distribution revealed distinct patterns in their respective regions from June to September. Both NC and SC showed reduced AOD during heatwave events, while downstream regions experienced increased AOD levels. From the perspective of heatwaves in NC and SC, we present a more holistic picture of how large-scale modulators contribute to inducing air pollution hazards across East Asia. The analysis revealed a link between blocking high-pressure system and heatwave occurrences in NC, while a dominant Rossby wave train, influenced by the South China Sea, was identified as a major modulator in SC. Additionally, other large-scale circulatory systems, such as the Western Pacific Subtropical High, the East Asian jet stream, and the South Asian High, also play crucial roles in shaping these events. This suggests the potential for predicting downstream AOD events. The study underscores the importance of understanding the interconnectedness of meteorological and air quality phenomena to mitigate the adverse environmental impacts in East Asia.

Statistical Characteristics of Snowfall on the Tibetan Plateau Affected by TCs Over the Bay of Bengal: An Observational Analysis

ABSTRACTIn this study, the characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) that affect snowfall on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and spatiotemporal distribution of snowfall related to BoB TCs are statistically analysed by using multi‐sources data from 1981 to 2020, with partitioning TC‐influenced snowfall by tracking cloud clusters. The results show that 141 TCs formed during the 40‐year period of 1981–2020, of which about 35% (50 TCs) impacted snowfall at 83% of meteorological stations on the TP during their northward or westward movement, and the average distance between the TC centre and the snowfall stations is 1277 km. The proportion of snowfall‐related TC frequency shows a significantly decreasing trend with a predominant cycle of 10a. The TC‐influenced snowfall frequency (SF), precipitation amount (PA) on a snowfall day and snow depth (SD) during 1981–2020 all show a non‐significant weak decreasing trend, while TC‐influenced snowfall is significantly increased in the eastern and southern edges of Xizang, western Sichuan and the southern margin of Qinghai. PA and SD in December account for more than 75% and 55% of the monthly total, respectively. The spatial pattern of PA could be objectively categorised into west‐type (24%) and southeast‐type (76%). The moisture transported by the BoB TC and a southerly jet stream formed between the trough and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), the convergence of cold air and warm–moist airstream over the TP and the change in position of the south Asian high in the upper troposphere are significant factors causing the different spatial distribution. The results can provide reference for TC‐related snowfall, SD prediction and disaster assessment on the TP.

Relationship between the geopotential height anomalies induced by tropical cyclones and the meridional movement of the western Pacific subtropical high

The present study employs statistical analysis to investigate the relationship between the geopotential height anomalies induced by tropical cyclones (TCs) and the meridional movement of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), as well as the mechanisms through which TCs can induce such geopotential height anomalies. Results show that TCs can cause the WPSH to move northward, and the meridional motion of the WPSH ridgeline is related with the geopotential height anomalies, which is better indicated by the relative geopotential height anomalies. In the process of TCs causing the WPSH to move northward, the TCs cause abnormal horizonal warm (cold) advection and abnormal ascending (descending) motion in the region south (north) of 40°N. Since the influence of the abnormal vertical motion is weaker, the abnormal temperature tendency eventually shows a more consistent phase distribution with the abnormal horizonal temperature advection, which is favorable for the temperature to abnormally increase near 40°N. Such an abnormal increase in temperature causes the geopotential height to abnormally increase under the static equilibrium constraint, which further changes the location of the centroid of the WPSH geopotential height, and hence the location of the WPSH ridgeline changes as well.

Effects of the Western Pacific Subtropical High on the urban heat island characteristics in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China

The middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River are frequently affected by the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) in summer. This leads to phenomena including air subsidence, high temperatures, low rainfall, and weak winds, all of which affect the urban heat island (UHI) effect. Currently, there are few studies on the influence of WPSH on the UHI effect. In this study, we analysed the temporal and spatial distributions of the influence of WPSH on the UHI effect by establishing two scenarios: with and without WPSH. We calculated the UHI intensity and the urban heat island proportion index (UHPI) to analyse the temporal and spatial distributions of the UHI effect. The geographical detector method was then used to analyse the factors influencing UHI. The results indicate the strong heat island effect during the day in provincial capitals and some developed cities. The area of high UHI intensity was larger under the influence of WPSH than in the years without WPSH. WPSH affected UHPI at both day and night, although the effect was more pronounced at night. The factors affecting daytime UHI intensity are mainly POP and NTL, O3 plays a large role in the years with WPSH control. The main factors affecting the UHI intensity at night are AOD, POP and NTL were mainly factors in the years without WPSH control, POP and WPSH were mainly factors in the years with WPSH control. The interactions of the factors are mainly POP and multi-factors during the daytime, and DEM and multi-factors during the nighttime. It was found that the UHI intensity was enhanced under the control of the WPSH, and the influencing factors of the diurnal UHI differed with and without the WPSH control, which ultimately provides realistic suggestions for mitigating the intensity of the UHI in areas affected by the WPSH.

What Controls the Interdecadal Enhancement in Interannual Variability of Summertime Intraseasonal Precipitation Over South China?

AbstractThis study focuses on the interannual variability of summertime intraseasonal precipitation intensity (SIPI) over South China (SC) in the 30–90‐day range. The results demonstrate a significant increase in the interannual variability of SIPI over SC around the mid‐1990s. By comparing atmospheric and oceanic anomalies between two periods, P1 (1984–1993) and P2 (1994–2003), we identify that both the Silk Road pattern (SRP) and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) play a role in influencing this interdecadal increase in SIPI interannual variability. These system anomalies are modulated by sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the North Atlantic (NA) and equatorial East Pacific (EP). During years with positive precipitation anomalies in P2, warming EP SSTA induces anomalous Walker cell and local Hadley cell, weakening the WPSH and enhancing convective activity, and increasing moisture transport over SC. The warming NA SSTA near 45°N triggers a more southerly propagation of SRP, thereby providing additional disturbance energy that enhances summer precipitation over SC. Conversely, during years with negative precipitation anomalies in P2, these processes occur in reverse. The enhanced interannual variability of local convective activity from P1 to P2 leads to a corresponding increase in the interannual variability of the WPSH, which, coupled with an amplified interannual variability of SRP, results in heightened interannual variability of SIPI. Additionally, the composite analysis of 30–90‐day ISO events further substantiates the underlying mechanisms driving the interdecadal amplification of SIPI interannual variability. Diagnostic results reveal that the 30–90‐day horizontal wind induces heightened convergence of background moisture over SC.

Differentiated influences of anomalous subtropical high on extreme persistent precipitation and heatwave events in the Yangtze River Valley

AbstractIn the summers of 2020 and 2022, the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) intensified extremely and extended westward. However, in summer 2020, the Yangtze River Valley (YRV) witnessed record‐breaking floods, while in 2022, an unprecedented and prolonged heatwave occurred. Distinctly, these two extreme events were caused by different effects of the WPSH: one is enhancement of the transportation of water vapor and the other is adiabatic heating caused by the descending airflow. In June–July 2020, the stable extension of the WPSH ridge line to South China directed a southwesterly airflow along its northwest flank, leading to sustained precipitation in the YRV. Additionally, the midlatitude circulation pattern featured two troughs and two ridges. Such a circulation configuration, combined with the strong and westward WPSH, enabled the continuous southward intrusion of cold air and northward transport of warm moist air, converging over the YRV, and thus influenced extreme persistent precipitation. In contrast, the WPSH covered the YRV almost entirely during summer 2022. Under this influence, the clear‐sky condition and descending airflow through adiabatic warming directly resulted in the heatwave. In addition, local land–atmosphere feedback was crucial in its development and persistence. The soil moisture deficit induced by high temperatures increased the sensible heat flux between the soil and atmosphere upward, further enhanced the surface air temperature and strengthened the heat dry condition.

Relationship between interannual variability of the north edge of the East Asian summer monsoon and extreme precipitation in North China

The north edge of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is defined by using the isoline with average total column water vapor (TCWV) equal to 25 mm, and the relationship between the north edge of the EASM and summer extreme precipitation in North China (NC) from 1961 to 2020 is discussed. Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) method is used to cluster extreme precipitation in the abnormal years of the north edge in NC, and the circulation characteristics of different types of extreme precipitation are discussed. The results show that the north edge of the EASM is closely related to extreme precipitation in NC. When the north edge is northerly, both the frequency and total amount of extreme precipitation increase significantly in the monsoon marginal zone. Based on different monsoon circulation background, summer extreme precipitation events in NC are divided into four categories, namely, the central type and southern type in the northerly years of north edge, and the central type and eastern type in the southerly years of north edge. The occurrence of different types of extreme precipitation is closely related to the different characteristics of local trough, the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and wave trains in the middle and high latitudes. Specifically, the central type extreme precipitation is affected by the mid-latitude wave train in the northerly years of north edge. As for the central type extreme precipitation in the southerly years of north edge, both high-latitude and mid-latitude wave trains transfer from west to east and converge over NC. However, the wave disturbance energy is relatively weak, leading to the extreme precipitation with weak intensity.

Analysis of Change in Summer Extreme Precipitation in Southwest China and Human Adaptation

This study analyzed the change in and mechanisms of summer extreme precipitation in Southwest China (SWC) during 1979–2021. The trend in summer extreme precipitation showed an evident interdecadal mutation in the late 1990s; it decreased during 1979–1996 (P1) and increased during 1997–2021 (P2). It is observed that the moisture flux in SWC is more abundant in P2 than in P1. The South Asian high (SAH) and western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) contributed to the change in extreme precipitation in SWC. Both the SAH and WPSH weakened in 1979–1996 and enhanced in 1997–2021. The enhanced SAH and WPSH are conducive to forming updrafts in SWC and transporting moisture from the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and South China Sea (SCS) into SWC. Further research found that the causes for the interdecadal variation of the SAH and WPSH are the anomalies of sensible heat flux (SSH) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical western Pacific–Indian Oceans. The SSH is the main energy source of troposphere air and an essential component of the surface heat balance because it can maintain the intensity and influence range of the SAH. The increasing SST stimulated strong upward motion and thus maintained the strength of the WPSH, which also made the WPSH extend westward into mainland China. This study also summarized local human adaptation to climate change. The use of advanced science and technology to improve monitoring and forecasting ability is an important measure for human society to adapt to climate change. At the same time, increasing the participation of individuals and social organizations is also an indispensable way to increase human resilience to climate change.

Obvious difference of dominant circulation patterns between dry‐type and humid‐type heatwaves in North China

AbstractBased on the observed maximum temperature (Tmax), relative humidity (RH) and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during 1981–2021, basic temporal features and dominant atmospheric circulation patterns of dry‐type and humid‐type heatwaves in North China are investigated and compared. Statistical results indicate the dry heatwaves occur mainly in early summer (from early June to early July), that is, before the rainy season of North China, while the humid heatwaves have a high frequency in mid‐July to mid‐August. During the research period, the increasing trend of dry heatwaves is 0.67 days·decade−1, while the humid heatwaves increase at a greatly higher rate of 1.85 days·decade−1. For the dry heatwave, a high ridge in the subtropical westerlies plays the main role, and the northerly wind in the east of the ridge reduces the air moisture convergence over the region. However, for the humid heatwave, the westward and northward propagations of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) may make the major contribution, and the southerly wind anomalies in the west of the WPSH enlarge the water vapour to the region. The adiabatic heating in subsiding air at all levels and horizontal temperature advection at lower troposphere are stronger for dry heatwaves than for humid heatwaves, which cause a higher Tmax for the former type. These results highlight the diversity of the heatwaves in North China, which suggests that multiple local and large‐scale subseasonal circulations should be considered to improve the subseasonal to seasonal forecast skills for heat extremes.

Holocene extreme flood events in the middle reaches of the Lancang‒Mekong River basin recorded by a high-altitude lake in southwestern China

The Lancang‒Mekong River (LMR) basin is a region particularly susceptible to floods induced by extreme precipitation. However, owing to limited historical flood records, it is difficult to understand the processes and mechanisms of extreme floods in the LMR basin. In the present study, sediments from a high-altitude lake (Lake Baima, 4700 m above sea level) located in the upper-middle reaches of the LMR are used to reconstruct climate and hydrology variability since the last deglaciation based on a range of climate proxies and methods, including loss-on-ignition, grain size, X-ray diffraction, and X-ray fluorescence. Through the investigation of modern and historical floods in the LMR basin, we combine the climate proxies with hydrological frequency curves to reconstruct the paleoflood sequence during the Holocene. Our results suggest that the temperature and precipitation in southwestern China increased during the Holocene compared to the last deglaciation, indicating a response to changes in Northern Hemisphere summer solar insolation. In addition, Holocene sediments of Lake Baima are primarily composed of brown background layers and numerous light yellow/gray event layers. These event layers are further identified as flood events based on sedimentary facies, redness, and main exogenous elements content and their rate of change. The results show that extreme flood events in the LMR basin occurred more frequently during the early and late Holocene, with seven once-in-1000-year floods during the two intervals; while there were low-frequency flood periods during the mid-Holocene. The occurrence of Holocene floods may be related to external forcing, such as the abrupt changes in total solar irradiance (TSI) and volcanic activity, as well as the internal variability of the wider climate system including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño‒Southern Oscillation (ENSO). When the TSI was low, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in the Northern Hemisphere shifted northward, and the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) moved eastward, accompanied with a negative phase of the PDO and La Niña-like phase of the ENSO. The air-sea interactions increased sea surface temperatures, leading to high precipitation and increasing flood risk in the LMR basin.

Increasing WNP tropical cyclone-related extreme precipitation over East Asia during boreal summer associated with PDO shift

Over the past two decades, there has been a significant shift in tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the western North Pacific (WNP) basin during the boreal summer. Our analysis of data spanning from 1979 to 2021 reveals significant shifts in the WNP TC characteristics and rainfall pattern variation. To deepen our understanding of TC-related precipitation dynamics, we expressly address the difference between TC-related core precipitation (TCP) and remote precipitation (TRP). The results show that TRP significantly impacts the East Asian (EA) continent, especially on the Korean Peninsula. Notably, TCP exhibits decadal variability, with a pronounced negative correlation identified between it and the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) following a strong climate shift. This pivotal shift was marked by the PDO first transitioning to its negative phase in 1997, a notable change since 1979, resulting in a marked increase in TC-related extreme rainfall over the EA area. Concurrently, the rising sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the WNP have intensified the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) circulation. The easterly steering flow associated with the WPSH then strengthened, leading to the continental migration of TC trajectories, thereby intensifying TC-related extreme precipitation.

Role of Topographic Forcing in the Maritime Continent Region in Interaction Between the East Asian Summer Monsoon and the Australian Winter Monsoon

AbstractThe topography in the Maritime Continent (MC) has significant impact on climate anomalies in the Asian‐Australian monsoons region. In the present study, the Regional Climate Model Version 4.6 (RegCM4.6) is applied for the simulation of climate over the Asian‐Australian monsoon region during the boreal summer. Results demonstrate that the RegcM4.6 is able to well reproduce precipitation, temperature and low‐level and upper‐level circulation patterns over the Asian‐Australian monsoons region. A sensitivity experiment with zero topographic height in the MC region shows that the intensity of western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and Australian cold high both weaken simultaneously, while the cross‐equatorial flows also decline and the East Asian‐Australian monsoons become weaker. Meanwhile, the anomalous cyclonic circulation with significant convergence prevails in lower levels over the western Pacific, leading to more precipitation and higher temperature. In the MC region, there are more precipitation and high temperature in the north while there are less precipitation and low temperature in the south. Temperature increases over a large area from the Yunnan‐Guizhou Plateau to the Loess Plateau but decreases in the southeastern coast of China and eastern India. These results have important implications for better understanding the topographic impact of the MC region on the interaction between the east Asian‐Australian monsoons.

An Ozone Episode in the Urban Agglomerations along the Yangtze River in Jiangsu Province: Pollution Characteristics and Source Apportionment

A severe ozone episode occurred in cities along the Yangtze River of Jiangsu Province (UAYRJS) from 6 to 8 September 2022, with daily maximum 8-h average ozone concentrations in the range of 65.8–119 ppb, peaking in Nanjing on 7 September. We used the air quality model WRF-CMAQ-ISAM and the Lagrange trajectory model HYSPLIT to quantify the ozone contribution of each region and analyze the causes and regional transmission pathways of ozone pollution in the UAYRJS. Based on simulated emissions, we also estimated the contribution of biogenic volatile organic compounds. We found that weather has a negative impact on pollution, and ozone pollution tracks the movement of the Western Pacific Subtropical High. UAYRJS was affected by oceanic pollution, and there was a mutual influence among the area’s cities. On 6 September, the ozone in UAYRJS was mostly locally generated (50–98%); on 7 September, it was dominated by extra-regional transport (50–80%). Isoprene concentrations in UAYRJS increased by 0.03–0.1 ppb on 6 and 7 September compared with 5 September. Sensitivity testing showed that the hourly ozone concentration increased by 0.1–27.8 ppb (7.6–19.1%) under the influence of biogenic emissions. The results provide a scientific basis for future ozone control measures.

Inter‐Basin Versus Intra‐Basin Sea Surface Temperature Forcing of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High's Westward Extensions

AbstractZonal extensions of the Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) strongly modulate extreme rainfall activity and tropical cyclone (TC) landfall over the Western North Pacific (WNP) region. These zonal extensions are primarily forced on seasonal timescales by inter‐basin zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradients. However, despite the presence of large‐scale zonal SST gradients, the WPSH response to SSTs varies from year to year. In this study, we force the atmosphere‐only NCAR Community Earth System Model version 2 simulations with two real‐world SST patterns, both featuring the large‐scale zonal SST gradient characteristic of decaying El Niño‐developing La Niña summers. For each of these patterns, we performed four experimental sets that tested the relative contributions of the tropical Indian Ocean, Pacific, and Atlantic basin SSTs to simulated westward extensions over the WNP during June–August. Our results indicate that the subtle differences between the two SST anomaly patterns belie two different mechanisms forcing the WPSH's westward extensions. In one SST anomaly pattern, extratropical North Pacific SST forcing suppresses the tropical Pacific zonal SST gradient forcing, resulting in tropical Atlantic and Indian Ocean SSTs being the dominant driver. The second SST anomaly pattern drives a similar westward extension as the first pattern, but the underlying SST gradient driving the WPSH points to intra‐basin forcing mechanisms originating in the Pacific. The results of this study have implications for understanding and predicting the impact of the WPSH's zonal variability on tropical cyclones and extreme rainfall over the WNP.

Analysis of a Rainstorm Process in Nanjing Based on Multi-Source Observational Data and Lagrangian Method

Using multi-source observation data including automatic stations, radar, satellite, new detection equipment, and the Fifth Generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA-5) data, along with the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) platform, an analysis was conducted on a rainstorm process that occurred in Nanjing on 15 June 2020, with the aim of providing reference for future urban flood control planning and heavy rainfall forecasting and early warning. The results showed that this rainstorm process was generated under the background of an eastward-moving northeast cold vortex and a southward retreat of the Western Pacific Subtropical High. Intense precipitation occurred near the region of large top brightness temperature (TBB) gradient values or the center of low TBB values on the northern side of the convective cloud cluster. During the heavy precipitation period, the differential propagation phase shift rate (KDP), differential reflectivity factor (ZDR), and zero-lag correlation coefficient (ρHV) detected by the S-band dual-polarization radar all increased significantly. The vertical structure of the wind field detected by the wind profile radar provided a good indication of changes in precipitation intensity, showing a strong correspondence between the timing of maximum precipitation and the intrusion of upper-level cold air. The abrupt increase in the integrated liquid water content observed by the microwave radiometer can serve as an important indicator of the onset of stronger precipitation. During the Meiyu season in Nanjing, convective precipitation was mainly composed of small to medium raindrops with diameters less than 3 mm, with falling velocities of raindrops mainly clustering between 2 and 6 m·s−1. The rainstorm process featured four water vapor transport channels: the mid-latitude westerly channel, the Indian Ocean channel, the South China Sea channel, and the Pacific Ocean channel. During heavy rainfall, the Pacific Ocean water vapor channel was the main channel at the middle and lower levels, while the South China Sea water vapor channel was the main channel at the upper level, both accounting for a trajectory proportion of 34.2%.

Interannual variation of the westward ridge point of the Western Pacific subtropical high in boreal winter

This study adopts a novel dynamic index of the westward ridge point (WRP) of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) to investigate the interannual variation of the WPSH in boreal winter. The WRP index based on the theory of gradient wind approximation is particularly suitable for boreal winters. The WRP index comprises two dimensions that depict the zonal and meridional movement of the WPSH, respectively. There is a significant positive correlation between the zonal WRP index and the meridional WRP index. When the WPSH gets stronger, the WRP and the WPSH shift equatorward while advancing westward, and vice versa. The zonal and meridional shifts of the WPSH have distinct impact on the climate anomalies in the western North Pacific and East Asia. The northward shift of the WPSH characterizes a cyclonic-anticyclonic pair over western North Pacific, whereas the eastward shift of the WPSH characterizes a cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical western North Pacific. The anomalies of precipitation and surface air temperature vary accordingly. The meridional shift of the WPSH is closely associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies. The WRP index also demonstrates robust predictability in the hindcast data from ENSEMBLES, suggesting its far-reaching potential for climate prediction.

Quantitative impacts of dominant large-scale circulation systems on surface ozone pollution in China

Tropospheric ozone pollution has been worsened over most regions of China, adversely affecting human health and ecosystems. The long-term ozone concentration depends largely upon atmospheric circulations. Here, we conducted meteorological adjustment to quantitatively assess the influences of meteorological factors on the ozone evolution in China's seven city clusters during the warm season (April to October) from 2013 to 2020. Our analysis indicated that northern and eastern regions experienced ozone increases driven by emission changes. Southern regions, particularly the Pearl River Delta (PRD), exhibited ozone rise primarily due to meteorological conditions despite emission changes. In the Sichuan Basin (SCB) and Central Yangtze River Plain (CYP), where ozone levels decreased, meteorological conditions played a significant role in suppressing the ascent of ozone. Empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) analyses suggested that the spatiotemporal trend of meteorology-associated ozone was strongly correlated with the variation of East Asian Trough (EAT), South Asian High (SAH) and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). The top three EOF patterns explained 33.4 %, 21.8 %, and 16.0 % of the total variance in meteorology-associated ozone. Absolute principal component scores-multiple linear regression (APCS-MLR) analyse quantitatively identified that enhanced EAT and SAH with a northward location of WPSH were favourable to surface ozone formation in central and eastern regions, but unfavourable to ozone formation in edge regions such as SCB.

Joint Impacts of the North African and the Western Pacific Subtropical Highs on Summer Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract Focusing on summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), this study mainly investigates the joint impacts of the North African subtropical high (NASH) and the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) by examining circulation and moisture anomalies. Results show that there are several boundary combination types of the two subtropical highs. The anomalous vertical motion with sufficient moisture transport under different boundary types plays a dominant role in TP precipitation anomaly. When the WPSH strengthens westward approaching the TP, it can transport water vapor northward from the northwest Pacific and north Indian Oceans to the south edge of the TP and induce ascending motion over the southeastern TP, contributing to more precipitation there. When the NASH enhances and extends eastward, it can transport water vapor eastward from the North Atlantic Ocean to the southwest eastern TP and give rise to ascending motion there, inducing positive precipitation anomaly over the southwest eastern TP. When the two subtropical highs simultaneously intensify and extend to the TP, water vapor can be transported to the TP widely from the North Atlantic Ocean, the north Indian Ocean, and the northwest Pacific Ocean with the strengthening of the westerly, resulting in the location of the ascending motion and rain belt shifting obviously northward. Further analyses indicate that the prewinter El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and summer North Atlantic air–sea interaction are two indispensable possible modulation factors for the joint impact of the two subtropical highs on TP precipitation. Significance Statement Under the thermal and topographic effects of the Tibetan Plateau (TP), the subtropical high belt breaks over the TP, forming the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) on its east and the North African subtropical high (NASH) on its west. As a permanent anticyclonic circulation over the northwest Pacific, the formation, impact, and prediction of WPSH have been fully revealed. However, few studies have been focused on the NASH. In this study, we examine the joint impacts of the two subtropical highs on TP summer precipitation based on various reanalysis datasets and phase 6 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) historical simulations. The results show distinct precipitation features with several boundary combination types of the two subtropical highs. Besides, controlling water vapor transport and vertical motion is an important way for the two subtropical highs to affect TP precipitation in summer. Further study shows that the effect of the two subtropical highs on TP summer precipitation is generally modulated by the prewinter El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and summer North Atlantic air–sea interaction. The results from CMIP6 support the conclusions drawn from reanalysis. These findings could help deepen our understanding of the joint influencing factors on TP summer precipitation.

Unique impacts of strong and westward-extended western Pacific subtropical high on ozone pollution over eastern China

As a subtropical anticyclonic high-pressure system that typically forms over the northwestern Pacific Ocean in summer, the Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) affects meteorological conditions and ozone pollution in China. The relationship between maximum daily 8-h average ozone (MDA8 O3) concentrations and the extremely strong and westward-extended WPSH occurred in 2022 is investigated using observations, reanalysis data and atmospheric chemistry model simulations. During July–August 2022, a significant positive relationship existed between the intensity of the WPSH and MDA8 O3 over southern China, with a correlation coefficient of +0.44, but the correlation is negative (−0.40) in northern China. During the strong WPSH days, MDA8 O3 increased by 16.5 μg m−3 (16.4% relative to July–August average) over southern China and decreased by 19.0 μg m−3 (14.5%) in northern China compared to the weak WPSH days. The unique dipole pattern in the relationship between ozone levels and the WPSH in 2022 exhibited a contrast to that during 2015–2021. The difference is primarily due to the extremely strong WPSH intensity and its unusual westward expansion in 2022. In this case, an anomalous anticyclone at 500 hPa dominates over southern China, which creates conditions conducive for ozone formation and accumulation. The anticyclone weakened horizontal winds and reduced the dispersion of ozone, alongside a high temperature and low relative humidity, which favored the chemical production of ozone. In contrast, abnormal northerly winds enhanced ozone diffusion in northern China and the low temperature reduced ozone chemical production. This study reveals the mechanism for the significant impact of strong and westward-extended WPSH on ozone concentrations over China, emphasizing the role of the WPSH location in modulating meteorology and ozone levels.