Vertical Moisture Research Articles

Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event

In August 2022, Pakistan experienced unprecedented monsoon rains, leading to devastating floods and landslides affecting millions. While previous research has mainly focused on the contributions of seasonal and synoptic anomalies, this study elucidates the dominant influences of tropical and extratropical intraseasonal oscillations on both the occurrence and subseasonal prediction of this extreme rainfall event. Our scale-decomposed moisture budget analysis revealed that intense rainfall in Pakistan was triggered and sustained by enhanced vertical moisture transport anomalies, primarily driven by interactions between intraseasonal circulation anomalies and the prevailing background moisture field when tropical and mid-latitude systems coincided over Pakistan. Evaluation of subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction models further highlighted the critical role of tropical intraseasonal modes in causing this extreme rainfall event in Pakistan. Models that accurately predicted northward-propagating intraseasonal convection with a forecast lead time of 8–22 days demonstrated good skill in predicting the extreme event over Pakistan.

Process-Oriented Compound Long-Duration Dry and Hot Events in China: Atmospheric Conditions, Moisture, and Heat Budget Analyses

Abstract Summertime compound dry and hot events pose severe threats to agricultural production and human health, especially those with a long duration. Considering the joint evolution of such hazards in space and time, spatiotemporal compound long-duration dry and hot (SLDDH) events in China during 1961–2022 are identified with a process-oriented method. Here, we investigate the associated large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and the physical processes causing their precipitation and temperature anomalies. In all regions of China, this persistent dry–hot compound extreme is accompanied by anomalous high pressure systems along with enhanced descending motion, increased net surface solar radiation, and decreased water vapor flux convergence. Moisture budget diagnosis shows that precipitation deficits during the SLDDH events are produced primarily by the suppressed vertical moisture advection associated with the dynamical contribution of anomalous subsidence, while the thermodynamic process due to the anomaly in atmospheric moisture content makes a small contribution. Horizontal temperature advection generally plays a negative role in sustaining SLDDH events, while it helps trigger the events in North China. In most regions, adiabatic warming due to abnormal subsidence plays a dominant role in determining the near-surface high temperatures during the long-lasting warm and dry periods, whereas diabatic heating has a cooling or small effect therein. However, in some northern areas such as North China and northern Xinjiang, hot extremes during SLDDH events arise from a combination of diabatic heating and adiabatic warming. This study thus quantifies and reveals the crucial factors leading to the severity of compound dry and hot events.

Propagation and Maintenance of the Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation over the Western North Pacific in Boreal Winter

Abstract This study investigates the propagation and maintenance mechanisms of the dominant intraseasonal oscillation over the western North Pacific in boreal winter, the quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO). The wintertime QBWO over the western North Pacific is characterized by the westward-northwestward movement from the tropical western Pacific to the western North Pacific and resembles the n = 1 equatorial Rossby wave. Its westward migration is primarily driven by the seasonal-mean zonal winds that advect vorticity anomalies in the lower–middle troposphere and moisture anomalies in the lower troposphere. Its northward movement is preconditioned by the vorticity dynamics of the beta effect, the low-level vertical moisture variation, and the local air–sea interaction. The latter involves the atmospheric forcing on the underlying ocean by changing the surface heat flux fluctuations and the sea surface temperature feedback on the low-level atmospheric instability. Its maintenance is primarily through atmospheric external energy sources from diabatic heating, which first generates eddy available potential energy and then converts it to eddy kinetic energy. Significance Statement Atmospheric quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) is an important climate phenomenon over the western North Pacific in boreal winter. It can trigger significant influences both in the tropical and extratropical regions. Given the importance, it is necessary to investigate the propagation and maintenance mechanisms of the QBWO over the western North Pacific in boreal winter. The QBWO usually propagates northwestward from the tropical western Pacific to the western North Pacific. The westward propagation is driven by the seasonal mean zonal winds that advect vorticity anomalies in the lower–middle troposphere and moisture anomalies in the lower troposphere. The northward propagation is caused jointly by several processes, including the atmospheric forcing on the ocean via the surface heat flux fluctuations, the feedback of ocean on the low-level atmospheric instability, the vorticity dynamics of the beta effect, and the vertical variation of low-level moisture. In addition, converting from eddy available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy is essential in maintaining the QBWO’s development. The disclosure of these crucial processes deepens the dynamics of the QBWO over the western North Pacific in boreal winter.

Atmospheric Rivers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States Associated With Baroclinic Waves

AbstractAtmospheric rivers (ARs) significantly impact the hydrological cycle and associated extremes in western continental regions. Recent studies suggest ARs also influence water resources and extremes in continental interiors. AR detection tools indicate that AR conditions are relatively frequent in areas east of the Rocky Mountains. The origin of these ARs, whether from synoptic‐scale waves or mesoscale processes, is unclear. This study uses meteorological composite maps and transects of AR conditions during the four seasons. The analysis reveals that ARs east of the Rockies are associated with long‐wave, baroclinic Rossby waves. This result demonstrates that eastern North American ARs are dynamically similar to their western coastal counterparts, though mechanisms for vertical moisture flux differ between the two. These findings provide a foundation for understanding future climate change and ARs in this region and offer new methods for evaluating climate model simulations.

Water Vapor Lidar Observation and Data Assimilation for a Moist Low-Level Jet Triggering a Mesoscale Convective System

Abstract We conducted field observations using two water vapor Raman lidars (RLs) in Kyushu, Japan, to clarify the characteristics of a moist low-level jet (MLLJ), which plays a fundamental role in the formation and maintenance of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). The two RLs observed the inside and outside of an MLLJ, providing moisture to an MCS with local heavy precipitation on 9 July 2021. Our observations revealed that the MLLJ contained large amounts of moisture below the convective mixing layer height of 1.6 km. The large amount of moisture in the MLLJ might be intensified by low-level convergences and/or water vapor buoyancy facilitated by strong horizontal wind. We conducted four data assimilation experiments: CNTL that assimilated Japan Meteorological Agency operational observation data and three other experiments that ingested the lidar-derived vertical moisture profiles as well as the operational observation data. The experiments assimilating lidar-derived vertical moisture profiles caused intensification and southwestward extensions of the low-level convergence zone, resulting in local heavy precipitation at lower latitudes in experiments assimilating lidar-derived moisture profiles than in CNTL. All three experiments ingesting vertical moisture profiles generally produced better 9-h precipitation forecasts than CNTL, implying that the assimilation of vertical moisture profiles could be well suited for numerical weather prediction of local heavy precipitation. Moreover, the experiment assimilating both of the two RL sites’ data reproduced better forecast fields than experiments assimilating a single RL site’s data, implying that data assimilation of vertical moisture profiles at multiple RL sites enables us to improve initial conditions compared to a single RL site. Significance Statement Moist low-level jets (MLLJs) are moisture-rich airflows in the low-level atmosphere that play an important role in developing mesoscale convective systems and local heavy rainfall. To better understand the mechanisms affecting the development of local heavy rainfall events and to improve our ability to forecast them, studying the moisture structures in MLLJs is important. We succeeded in observing an MLLJ in western Japan using water vapor Raman lidars (RLs), which obtained vertical moisture profiles, and revealed details of vertical moisture structures in the MLLJ. We also performed data assimilation experiments to examine the impact of assimilating vertical moisture profiles observed by the RLs. The results showed that the assimilation of the moisture data improved the forecasting of local heavy rainfall.

Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Triple-Nested Dynamical Downscaling

Spring consecutive rainfall events (CREs) are key triggers of geological hazards in the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGR), China. However, previous projections of CREs based on the direct outputs of global climate models (GCMs) are subject to considerable uncertainties, largely caused by their coarse resolution. This study applies a triple-nested WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model dynamical downscaling, driven by a GCM, MIROC6 (Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, version 6), to improve the historical simulation and reduce the uncertainties in the future projection of CREs in the TGR. Results indicate that WRF has better performances in reproducing the observed rainfall in terms of the daily probability distribution, monthly evolution and duration of rainfall events, demonstrating the ability of WRF in simulating CREs. Thus, the triple-nested WRF is applied to project the future changes of CREs under the middle-of-the-road and fossil-fueled development scenarios. It is indicated that light and moderate rainfall and the duration of continuous rainfall spells will decrease in the TGR, leading to a decrease in the frequency of CREs. Meanwhile, the duration, rainfall amount, and intensity of CREs is projected to regional increase in the central-west TGR. These results are inconsistent with the raw projection of MIROC6. Observational diagnosis implies that CREs are mainly contributed by the vertical moisture advection. Such a synoptic contribution is captured well by WRF, which is not the case in MIROC6, indicating larger uncertainties in the CREs projected by MIROC6.

Processes behind the decrease in Congo Basin precipitation during the rainy seasons inferred from ERA‐5 reanalysis

AbstractThe ongoing Congo Basin drying is linked to decreasing atmospheric water vapour. To comprehend the processes reducing precipitation, we analysed water and Moist Static Energy components, associated with heating sources using ERA5 reanalysis data over the period 1981–2022. The findings reveal that the precipitation deficit in the Congo Basin during March–April–May and September–October–November is primarily attributed to a decreasing trend in the vertical moisture advection anomaly induced by vertical velocity anomalies. Following this, a horizontal moisture advection anomaly induced by specific humidity anomalies plays a significant role. However, evaporation, horizontal moisture advection anomalies induced by wind anomalies, and vertical moisture advection anomalies induced by specific humidity anomalies do not appear to contribute significantly to the drying trend in the region. The horizontal propagation of MSE advection anomalies exhibits a similar pattern to that of moisture flux advection anomalies, both at different boundaries and within the basin itself. Conversely, the contribution of vertical advection of MSE anomalies remains weak. By integrating moisture and MSE budgets, we interpret the declining precipitation trend as a consequence of uplift driven by horizontal MSE advection. Furthermore, our analysis indicates a decreasing trend in the atmospheric heating source within the basin in association with reduced precipitation. This reduction could signify a decrease in moisture influx into the basin, thereby providing more explanations for the observed drying.

Airborne Measurements of Scale‐Dependent Latent Heat Flux Impacted by Water Vapor and Vertical Velocity Over Heterogeneous Land Surfaces During the CHEESEHEAD19 Campaign

AbstractThe water vapor transport associated with latent heat flux (LE) in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) is critical for the atmospheric hydrological cycle, radiation balance, and cloud formation. The spatiotemporal variability of LE and water vapor mixing ratio (rv) are poorly understood due to the scale‐dependent and nonlinear atmospheric transport responses to land surface heterogeneity. Here, airborne in situ measurements with the wavelet technique are utilized to investigate scale‐dependent relationships among LE, vertical velocity (w) variance (), and rv variance () over a heterogeneous surface during the Chequamegon Heterogeneous Ecosystem Energy‐balance Study Enabled by a High‐density Extensive Array of Detectors 2019 (CHEESEHEAD19) field campaign. Our findings reveal distinct scale distributions of LE, , and at 100 m height, with a majority scale range of 120 m–4 km in LE, 32 m–2 km in , and 200 m–8 km in . The scales are classified into three scale ranges, the turbulent scale (8–200 m), large‐eddy scale (200 m–2 km), and mesoscale (2–8 km) to evaluate scale‐resolved LE contributed by and . The large‐eddy scale in PBL contributes over 70% of the monthly mean total LE with equal parts (50%) of contributions from and . The monthly temporal variations mainly come from the first two major contributing classified scales in LE, , and . These results confirm the dominant role of the large‐eddy scale in the PBL in the vertical moisture transport from the surface to the PBL, while the mesoscale is shown to contribute an additional ∼20%. This analysis complements published scale‐dependent LE variations, which lack detailed scale‐dependent vertical velocity and moisture information.

The Reexamination of the Moisture–Vortex and Baroclinic Instabilities in the South Asian Monsoon

Observational analyses reveal that a dominant mode in the South Asian Monsoon region in boreal summer is a westward-propagating synoptic-scale disturbance with a typical wavelength of 4000 km that is coupled with moistening and precipitation processes. The disturbances exhibit an eastward tilt during their development before reaching their maximum activity center. A 2.5-layer model that extends a classic 2-level quasi-geostrophic model by including a prognostic lower-tropospheric moisture tendency equation and an interactive planetary boundary layer was constructed. The eigenvalue analysis of this model shows that the most unstable mode has a preferred zonal wavelength of 4000 km, a westward phase speed of 6 m s−1, an eastward tilt vertical structure, and a westward shift of maximum moisture/precipitation center relative to the lower-tropospheric vorticity center, all of which agree with the observations. Sensitivity experiments show that the moisture–vortex instability determines, to a large extent, the growth rate, while the baroclinic instability helps set up the preferred zonal scale. Ekman-pumping-induced vertical moisture advection prompts an in-phase component of perturbation moisture relative to the low-level cyclonic center, allowing the generation of available potential energy and perturbation growth, regardless of whether or not a low-level mean westerly is presented. In contrast to a previous study, the growth rate is reversely proportional to the convective adjustment time. The current work sheds light on understanding the moisture–vortex and the baroclinic instability in a monsoonal environment with a pronounced easterly vertical shear.

Contrasts of Large-Scale Moisture and Heat Budgets between Different Sea Areas of the South China Sea and the Adjacent Land

Abstract This study investigates and compares large-scale moisture and heat budgets over the eastern rainy sea area around Dongsha, the western rainless sea area around Xisha, and the northern coastland of the South China Sea. Ten-year (2011–20) surface, balloon-sounding, satellite measurements, and ERA5 reanalysis are merged into the physically consistent data to study annual and vertical variations of the budgets. It shows that the surface and column-integrated heat and moisture budgets have the smallest annual evolution over the coastland. The latent heat as a key heat contributor in summer is mainly offset by total cold advection and partially offset by net radiative cooling. The horizontal moisture advection below 700 hPa presents moistening over the sea whereas drying over the coastland during rainy months, in which the vertical moisture advection presents moistening up to 250 hPa for all three subregions. The horizontal temperature advection is weak throughout the year over the sea but displays strong top warming and bottom cooling in summer and nearly the opposite in winter over the coastland. The diabatic cooling with a peak at ∼700 hPa in winter is largely due to the enhanced radiative cooling and latent cooling. While the diabatic heating with a peak at ∼500 hPa in summer is largely due to the enhanced latent heating. The earliest atmospheric heating and moistening occur in spring over the coastland, inducing the earliest precipitation increase. The enhanced heating and moistening over Xisha have a 1-month lag relative to Dongsha, resulting in lagging precipitation.

Vertical Moisture Transfer Investigation on Lysimeters Taking into Account Substrates Granulometric Heterogeneity

The issues of soil-hydrophysical support of mathematical models of moisture movement, taking into account the heterogeneity of the soil, due to the spatial change in texture, are considered. The processes of vertical movement of moisture on large-sized lysimeters of the Federal Scientific Center of Agroecology of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Volgograd) were studied. The influence of statistical heterogeneity of hydrophysical parameters of lysimeter substrates was studied on models of moisture transfer dynamics and formation of gravity flow developed in the environment of the HYDRUS-1D software package. The change in texture along the vertical profile of the lysimeters and the related variability of the main hydrophysical characteristic (WRC) were taken into account. The granulometric heterogeneity of the substrates was estimated by the scaling method, according to the scale factors of the WRC parameters, assuming a normal probability distribution of the logarithms of the pore space capillary radii between soil particles. The effect of texture on water-holding capacity, boundary and initial conditions, intensity of gravity runoff and cumulative accumulation of moisture was studied.

Vertical Moisture Transfer Investigation in Lysimeters Based on Substrate Texture Heterogeneity

Vertical Moisture Transfer Investigation in Lysimeters Based on Substrate Texture Heterogeneity

ФИЗИКО-МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКАЯ МОДЕЛЬ ГИДРОФИЗИЧЕСКИХ ПРОЦЕССОВ ФОРМИРОВАНИЯ СТОКА В ТЕЧЕНИЕ КЛИМАТИЧЕСКОГО ГОДА. МОДЕЛЬ “ГГИ-ГИДРОФИЗИКА”

The paper presents a physically based mathematical model of the key hydrophysical processes of runoff formation at a catchment point over a long-term period. The model describes the freezing and thawing of soil, the formation and melting of the snow cover, the migration of moisture to the freezing front and the infiltration of rain and melt moisture, evaporation from snow, soil cover, vegetation, and water surface. Average daily values of meteorological parameters are used as initial information for mathematical modeling. The relevance of the study is caused by a need to reveal the main links between the processes of vertical heat and moisture exchange in soil and the environmental factors that determine their climate-driven nature. Using observational data from water balance stations, numerical experiments and an analysis of the influence of long-term variability of the key meteorological factors on evaporation from the land and water surface and on vertical moisture flows in soil were carried out.

What Controls the Subseasonal Precipitation Reversal Over the Western Tibetan Plateau in Winter?

AbstractThis study reveals a significant subseasonal reversal of precipitation on the western Tibetan Plateau (WTP) from a deficit in December to an increase in January and February (JF). Changes in vertical moisture advection induced by the dynamic effects contribute mostly to the subseasonal precipitation trend reversal. This process involves the reversal of the subseasonal westerly driven uplift, accompanied by the weakened (enhanced) subtropical westerly jet and anticyclonic (cyclonic) anomalies over the WTP in December (JF). Further analysis shows that the North Atlantic Tripolar‐like (NAT) sea surface temperature (SST) modes could regulate the sunseasonal winter precipitation reversal over the WTP. The spatially inconsistent changes in SST can result in subseasonal reversed turbulent heat flux anomalies over Iceland‐Scandinavia in December and JF. In particular, the suppressed turbulent heat flux over the extratropical Northeast Atlantic in December leads to significant descending motion and upper tropospheric convergence. The advection of absolute vorticity induced by convergent winds associated with the NAT favors the generation of Rossby wave sources over Iceland‐Scandinavia, which then enhances the wave activity fluxes propagation. However, there are no significant changes in wave sources over Iceland‐Scandinavia in JF. The discrepancies in wave propagation intensity over Iceland‐Scandinavia determine the changes in the atmospheric pattern over the WTP, with anomalous anticyclone in December and cyclone in JF, and ultimately lead to the precipitation reversal. Furthermore, our results show that the suppressed transient eddies over the Atlantic storm track in JF may also contribute to the weakened wave propagation over Iceland‐Scandinavia.

Positive Low Cloud Feedback Primarily Caused by Increasing Longwave Radiation From the Sea Surface in Two Versions of a Climate Model

AbstractLow cloud feedback in global warming projections by climate models is characterized by its positive sign, the mechanism of which is not well understood. Here we propose that the positive sign is primarily caused by the increase in upward longwave radiation from the sea surface. We devise numerical experiments that enable separation of the feedback into components coming from physically distinct causes. Results of these experiments with a climate model indicate that increases in upward longwave radiation from the sea surface cause warming and absolute drying in the boundary layer, leading to the positive low cloud feedback. The absolute drying results from decrease in surface evaporation, and also from decrease in inversion strength which enhances vertical mixing of drier free tropospheric air into the boundary layer. This mechanism is different from previously proposed understanding that positive low cloud feedback is caused by increases in surface evaporation or vertical moisture contrast.

Extreme characteristics and causes of the drought event in the whole Yangtze River Basin in the midsummer of 2022

Due to their huge socio-economic impacts and complex formation causes, extreme and continuous drought events have become the focus and nodus of research in recent years. In the midsummer (July–August) of 2022, a severe drought event occurred in the whole Yangtze River Basin (YRB), China. During that period, the precipitation in the upper, middle and lower reaches of the YRB dropped over 40% less than the 1961–2021 climatic mean, which had never happened previously. Furthermore, the temperature was the highest during 1961–2022. The record-breaking magnitude of less rainfall and high temperature directly led to the continuous development of this extreme drought event. An atmospheric moisture budget analysis revealed that the YRB midsummer rainfall anomaly was dominated by the anomalous powerful vertical moisture advection, which was derived from the strongest descending motion over the whole YRB in the 2022 midsummer during 1981–2022. The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) during the midsummer remained stronger, more westward and lasted longer than the climatic mean. As a result, the whole YRB was controlled by a positive geopotential height centre. Further evidence revealed that the anomalous subtropical zonal flow played a crucial role in inducing the extreme descent over the YRB. Moreover, the anomalous upper-tropospheric easterly flow over the YRB in 2022 is the strongest during 1981–2022, modulating the generation of the unprecedented descent anomaly over the YRB. The likelihood that an integrated connection of severe drought in East Asia and flood in West Asia and northwestern South Asia would increase when the extremely strong easterly anomalies in the upper troposphere emerged and induced descending adiabatic flow on the eastern sides of the Tibetan Plateau. The results of this study can provide scientific insights into the predictability of extreme drought events and provide ways to improve predictions.

A preliminary development of a coupled surface and subsurface flow model for swale system

This study presents the preliminary stage of the development of a conjunctive surface-subsurface model for simulating the flow in a swale. The surface flow is modelled by one-dimensional dynamic wave equation. To improve accuracy, a third-order numerical scheme is used to solve the advection terms in the dynamic wave model. Meanwhile, the subsurface flow is modelled as one-dimensional vertical flow through nondeformable porous media without air compression effect. At preliminary stage, the surface and subsurface model are verified separately. The surface model is verified against the experimental data of surface runoff from a simulated rainfall. The surface model showed promising performance in terms of the reproduction of surface hydrograph. The overall discrepancy between the experimental and numerical model result in the reproduction of the hydrograph discharge is around 14%. For the subsurface flow model, the vertical moisture profile of the soil is verified against Philip’s analytical solution. The moisture profile obtained from the numerical model shows 100% agreement with Philip’s solution.

Boundary‐layer plumes over mountainous terrain in idealized large‐eddy simulations

AbstractCoherent plume structures in the convective boundary layer over non‐flat terrain are investigated using large‐eddy simulation. A conditional sampling method based on the concentration of a decaying passive tracer is implemented in order to identify the boundary‐layer plumes objectively. Conditional sampling allows quantification of the contribution of plume structures to the vertical transport of heat and moisture. A first set of simulations analyzes the flow over an idealized valley, where the terrain elevation only varies along one horizontal coordinate axis. In this case, vertical transport by coherent structures is the dominant contribution to the turbulent components of both heat and moisture flux. It is comparable in magnitude to the advective transport by the mean slope‐wind circulation, although it is more important for heat than for moisture transport. A second set of simulations considers flow over terrain with a complex texture, drawn from an actual digital elevation model. In this case, conditional sampling is carried out by using a simple domain‐decomposition approach. We demonstrate that thermal updrafts are generally more frequent on hill tops than over the surroundings, but they are less persistent on the windward sides when large‐scale winds are present in the free atmosphere. Large‐scale upper level winds tend to reduce the vertical moisture transport by the slope winds.

Regional difference in precipitation seasonality over China from CMIP6 projections

AbstractBased on historical simulations and projections under two scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5) provided by 32 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), we investigate the future precipitation seasonality changes over China by two indices, the dimensionless seasonality index (DSI) and the relative seasonality index (SI), and the associated physical mechanisms by moisture budget diagnosis. The results show that relative to the baseline period 1995–2014, the DSI is enhanced across almost all of China at the end of the 21st century, with stronger magnitudes in southeastern China and the southern Tibetan Plateau and weaker magnitudes in northwestern China, and national‐mean enhancements are 15% (7%–21%) and 23% (15%–29%) for the multimodel median (25th–75th percentile range across models) under the SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios, respectively. Projected SI changes show large regional differences, with decreases in northern China and increase in southern China, leading to little change for the national mean. The DSI and SI changes are associated with uneven distributions of changes in absolute amounts and relative proportions of precipitation among seasons, respectively. Further analysis reveals that the contributions of different moisture budget terms to precipitation changes vary across seasons, resulting in changes in the seasonal distribution of precipitation and thus the DSI and SI changes. Specifically, the thermodynamic component of vertical moisture advection primarily determines the greater magnitude of increased precipitation in summer than in winter in most of China, resulting in the DSI change. The reduction in residual term dominates the diminished winter precipitation in southern China, leading to more precipitation concentrated in summer for given annual precipitation and thus the intensification in SI, while the opposite holds true in northern China.

Effects of Lower Troposphere Vertical Mixing on Simulated Clouds and Precipitation Over the Amazon During the Wet Season

AbstractPlanetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes parameterize unresolved turbulent mixing within the PBL and free troposphere (FT). Previous studies reported that precipitation simulation over the Amazon in South America is quite sensitive to PBL schemes and the exact relationship between the turbulent mixing and precipitation processes is, however, not disentangled. In this study, regional climate simulations over the Amazon in January–February 2019 are examined at process level to understand the precipitation sensitivity to PBL scheme. The focus is on two PBL schemes, the Yonsei University (YSU) scheme, and the asymmetric convective model v2 (ACM2) scheme, which show the largest difference in the simulated precipitation. During daytime, while the FT clouds simulated by YSU dissipate, clouds simulated by ACM2 maintain because of enhanced moisture supply due to the enhanced vertical moisture relay transport process: (a) vertical mixing within PBL transports surface moisture to the PBL top, and (b) FT mixing feeds the moisture into the FT cloud deck. Due to the thick cloud deck over Amazon simulated by ACM2, surface radiative heating is reduced and consequently the convective available potential energy is reduced. As a result, precipitation is weaker from ACM2. Two key parameters dictating the vertical mixing are identified, p, an exponent determining boundary layer mixing and λ, a scale dictating FT mixing. Sensitivity simulations with altered p, λ, and other treatments within YSU and ACM2 confirm the precipitation sensitivity. The FT mixing in the presence of clouds appears most critical to explain the sensitivity between YSU and ACM2.