Abstract The slip models of the Oaxaca, Mexico earthquakes of 29 November 1978 (M w 7.6) and 23 June 2020 (Mw 7.4) were estimated by inverting P and SH teleseismic velocity waveforms. The inversion of the 1978 event used broadband and long-period data. In the case of the 2020 event, broadband data were available. In both cases, the rupture zones lie down dip of the hypocenter. It has been suggested that the events of 1978 and 2020 are quasi-repeater earthquakes breaking similar asperities of previous events. Based on this, the slip of the seismic rupture obtained in recent events is used to characterize the slip of previous events, and to calculate the slip deficiency in the four rupture zones defined by the 1928 events. The largest slip deficiency is where the large 7.6 event occurred in October 1928, between the ruptures of 1978 and the Mw 7.2 earthquake of June 2018. Here, no great earthquakes have occurred in the last 96 years, suggesting high accumulation of elastic strain that may generate potentially an earthquake Mw 7.8. This gap separates two regions with different seismic behavior, suggesting a complex rupture process in the Oaxaca subduction zone. The other three regions, where the 1978, 2018, and 2020 earthquakes took place, show average slip deficiencies of 500 cm. The great earthquake of 1787 broke the four rupture areas defined by the 1928 events in a single Mw 8.6 earthquake, consistent with a variable rupture mode that has been observed in other subduction zones of the world. In conclusion, the Oaxaca subduction zone suggests a high seismic potential.
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