Vocal fold leukoplakia (VFL), a precancerous lesion of the larynx, is characterized by white plaques on the vocal fold mucous membrane. Currently, there are no reliable biomarkers to predict the recurrence and malignant transformation of VFL. Considering chondroitin sulfate proteoglycan 4 (CSPG4) as a biomarker for malignant tumors such as laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), we conducted this cohort study to evaluate the prognostic influence of CSPG4 expression on VFL patients. This study included 44 patients with surgical intervention of VFL. CSPG4 expression in VFL were observed using immunohistochemistry, and the relationship between the prognosis of VFL patients and CSPG4 expression were investigated using Spearman correlation analysis and multiple Cox regression models. During a median follow-up of 89.3 months, recurrence occurred in 19 postsurgical VFL patients, and malignant transformation occurred in 10 patients. The recurrence and malignant transformation group showed significant differences in the H-SCORE of CSPG4 (P = 0.005 and P = 0.045) compared to the the non-recurrence group and the non-malignant transformation group. And the CSPG4 expression level was positive correlation with recurrence and malignant transformation (0.306 or 0.416, spearman correlation confident). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that CSPG4 H-SCORE has predictive value for poor prognosis (areas under the curve, 0.742 and 0.710; cut-off points, 82.5 and 177.5, respectively). Multiple Cox regression analysis revealed a statistically significant effect of lesion size (P = 0.014) and CSPG4 H-SCORE (P = 0.005) on recurrence as well as pathological type (P = 0.001) and CSPG4 H-SCORE stratified by 177.5 (P = 0.039). Our survival data indicated that higher CSPG4 expression was associated with a shorter time of recurrence (P = 0.003) and tumorigenesis (P<0.001). CSPG4 overexpression indicates higher risks and shorter time of postoperative VFL recurrence and tumorigenesis. Detection of CSPG4 expression in VFL may be a novel approach to assess the outcome of VFL patients.
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