Unpredictable Future Research Articles

Futuring Your Strategy: An Unconventional Approach to Strategic Planning

This article proposes an alternative, future-focused approach to strategic planning inspired by practices in futures studies and strategic foresight. Traditional strategic planning tends to rely on analyzing past trends and current conditions, limiting creativity and adaptive capacity. In contrast, a futurist approach frames strategy around exploring preferable futures and identifying discontinuities, uncertainties, and low-probability events that could significantly impact the organization. Key concepts from futures research like scenario planning, environmental monitoring, expert interviews and wild card tracking are presented as ways to conduct more expansive and long-term environmental scanning. The stages of developing strategic options, plans, and ongoing adjustments are also discussed through a futurist lens. Examples from Bell Canada and Meyer Turku demonstrate how these concepts have been successfully applied in practice. By cultivating foresight skills and habits of continual exploration, adaptation and stakeholder collaboration, organizations can develop strategic plans more resilient to an unpredictable future.

The OECD’s construction of future imaginaries for curriculum reform

ABSTRACT Offering imaginaries of the future is a significant part of the work of documents produced by national policymakers, interest groups and international organisations. In this article, we examine thematic reports on the redesign of the curriculum published by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) as part of its Education 2030 project. Our analysis is grounded in the understanding that documents transform issues through storytelling, data and visualisations. We show how thematic reports context a complex and unpredictable future by forecasting different futures based on current issues that need solutions. The storytelling that contexts the imaginaries of futures gains authority through datafication of national curricula enabled by Curriculum Content Mapping. The Curriculum Content Mapping reveals a lack of alignment with the OECD’s Learning Compass for 2030 transforming the issue of a complex future into an issue of curriculum as an instrument to potentialise the future. Hence, datafication of curriculum content serves as an instrument of governance towards specific curriculum transformations based on the OECD’s education politics towards economic growth rather than informing about future needs.

EQUIPPING STUDENTS FOR A DYNAMIC FUTURE

The ever-changing landscape of the 21st century requires a shift in educational focus beyond traditional subject knowledge. This paper explores key considerations for designing effective curricula, emphasising the crucial role of basic skills and 21st-century competencies, fostering a lifelong learning mindset, and preparing students for an increasingly interconnected world. Building strong literacy, numeracy, and digital skills is the foundation for communicating effectively, thinking critically, and navigating the digital world. Developing key 21st-century skills such as critical thinking, problem-solving, collaboration, and communication will enable students to tackle complex challenges, work effectively in teams, and express themselves clearly. Encouraging creativity, innovation, and adaptability enables students to think outside the box, embrace new ideas, and thrive in an unpredictable future. Fostering a growth mindset and self-directed learning skills empowers them for lifelong learning and continuous skill development. While subject-specific knowledge remains valuable, this paper emphasises the need for a holistic approach that integrates these essential skills and mindsets. In addition,recognizing the importance of social-emotional learning and global citizenship highlights the need to prepare well-rounded individuals for success in an interconnected world. This includes understanding diverse cultures, promoting responsible global citizenship, and encouraging sustainable practices. By incorporating these elements into curriculum design, we can equip students with the skills and attitudes necessary to navigate the complexities of the future, become responsible, engaged, and lifelong learners, and contribute meaningfully to a globalised society.

Impact Of Down Syndrome Among Families Who Have Children with Down Syndrome and Have Follow-Up for Their Children at Black Lion Hospital In 2019.

Background: - Worldwide Down syndrome is a common chromosomal abnormal condition. Itis also known as trisomy 21. Children with down syndrome have delay in growth and hypotonic this interferes with feeding, constipation led to malnutrition, poor motor development, delay cognitive development and mental retardation, congenital heart disease and risk of ear infection. The effect of Down syndrome differs among individual depending on the extent of abnormality and the health care service available even in developed countries despite the extensive knowledge of health conditions in children with Down syndrome, the impact of Down syndrome on families and access to health care for persons with Down syndrome remains understudied. All these will affect family life differently. Therefore, exploring the impact of Down syndrome among families who have children with Down syndrome will provide a paramount input for care providers, researcher and policy maker. Objectives: - To explore the impact of Down syndrome on family among families who have children with Down syndrome and have follow up for their children at black lion hospital 20 in 19. Methods: -The researcher use phenomenological research design. Data was collected through in-depth interview, Focus group discussion and key informant interview. These major categories were aggregate from the raw data collection and then framework analysis and identify themes across all sources of data. Result: - From the Analysis of the data six major themes were categorized. Non acceptance –Birth of an abnormal child, Lifestyle changes, family relationship, unpredictable future of the child, basic service and Societal and Community acceptance. Conclusion: -The findings show that birth of a child with Down syndrome produces a lot physical and psychological effect in parents. So, parents need adequate support from Government and concerned body in general and also from nurses in particular right from the very birth of a disabled child. Therefore, this study is important for nurses working with families having children with Down syndrome. As nurses are the eye to blind, leg to amputate based on this, it is their role to realize and aware of the problems faced by the families and should advocate necessary support.

Impact Of Down Syndrome Among Families Who Have Children with Down Syndrome and Have Follow-Up for Their Children at Black Lion Hospital In 2019.

Background: - Worldwide Down syndrome is a common chromosomal abnormal condition. Itis also known as trisomy 21. Children with down syndrome have delay in growth and hypotonic this interferes with feeding, constipation led to malnutrition, poor motor development, delay cognitive development and mental retardation, congenital heart disease and risk of ear infection. The effect of Down syndrome differs among individual depending on the extent of abnormality and the health care service available even in developed countries despite the extensive knowledge of health conditions in children with Down syndrome, the impact of Down syndrome on families and access to health care for persons with Down syndrome remains understudied. All these will affect family life differently. Therefore, exploring the impact of Down syndrome among families who have children with Down syndrome will provide a paramount input for care providers, researcher and policy maker. Objectives: - To explore the impact of Down syndrome on family among families who have children with Down syndrome and have follow up for their children at black lion hospital 20 in 19. Methods: -The researcher use phenomenological research design. Data was collected through in-depth interview, Focus group discussion and key informant interview. These major categories were aggregate from the raw data collection and then framework analysis and identify themes across all sources of data. Result: - From the Analysis of the data six major themes were categorized. Non acceptance –Birth of an abnormal child, Lifestyle changes, family relationship, unpredictable future of the child, basic service and Societal and Community acceptance. Conclusion: -The findings show that birth of a child with Down syndrome produces a lot physical and psychological effect in parents. So, parents need adequate support from Government and concerned body in general and also from nurses in particular right from the very birth of a disabled child. Therefore, this study is important for nurses working with families having children with Down syndrome. As nurses are the eye to blind, leg to amputate based on this, it is their role to realize and aware of the problems faced by the families and should advocate necessary support.

Understanding and Application of Experiential Learning Theory in Medical Education

Experiential learning varies greatly depending on how the meaning of experience is construed. In the context of education, experiential learning generally refers to educational activities that are based on the learners’ active participation and implementation of their knowledge, corresponding to the so-called “learning by doing” emphasized by progressive educational philosophy, in contrast to traditional teaching methods where learners passively receive knowledge. This paper examines the principles of experiential learning theory that are relevant to learning from experience, introducing examples applied to medical education to provide a theoretical perspective. Experiential learning theory is explicated on the basis of the theories of Dewey, Kolb, and Schön. Their key ideas are continuity of experience and the interaction between experience and reflection. According to experiential learning theory, growth is education, and education is a reconstruction of experience. Experiential learning is a way of thinking about the educational process, wherein meaningful learning is constructed through reflection-in-action. Medical education is changing rapidly. Medical schools have the mission of preparing physicians who can compete in an unpredictable future and fulfill their roles as professionals. The implications of experiential learning theory for medical education need to be considered and applied to student education. This paper is meaningful in that it suggests the theoretical possibility that experiential learning theory can be used to achieve the educational goals of medical schools.

Applying Machine Learning Techniques to Evaluate Climate-Related Risks in Real Estate Mortgage Valuations

Facing the escalating effects of climate change, the real estate industry faces risks from physical perils and shifting towards a low-carbon economic model. These risks have substantial consequences for the assessment and effectiveness of real estate mortgage portfolios. Conventional approaches to evaluating mortgage risk frequently fail to capture the intricate, non-linear connections between climate variables and loan results. In this paper, we present a new machine-learning framework that aims to quantify climate-related risks in real estate finance. We utilize neural networks and gradient-boosting algorithms to forecast the likelihood of mortgage defaults and the potential loss resulting from defaults in different climate stress scenarios. A robust and forwardlooking risk assessment is developed by integrating property-level exposure data, loan characteristics, and macroeconomic indicators. The empirical findings prove that our models perform superior to conventional econometric methods regarding predictive precision and computational effectiveness. The framework offers a robust instrument for investors, lenders, and regulators who aim to effectively address climate risks and enhance their ability to withstand and adapt to an unpredictable future.

The Values in the Hollywood Cinema Market

Some have misled Hollywood cinema with impressions due to some conception that it is limited to big budgets, stars, special effects, and extensive publicity campaigns. However, it encompasses more than investment diversification, production, and commercial propaganda feature. In other words, beyond the illustrative classic Hollywood pre-sold mechanism, monopoly, and overseas market, it supports values and serves as multicultural, sexual and race equality. This paper lists the phenomenon that contemporary Hollywood cinema is revenue-driven, resulting in many low-quality and quantity reproduction cinemas such as hybrid genre is typical of formulaic filmmaking, and they arranged all the cinematic elements narrative to meet the audience's expectations. Significantly, formulaic movies have become popular and widespread in the international market and may have an unpredictable impact on the future film industry. The author believes that films are the medium for representing historical periods and are for the generation's legacy, which should craft narratives that intricately blend values and ideology. In a nutshell, it is crucial to discover a solution for cinema's unpredictable future.

A Semiotic Analysis on Robert Frost’s Poem Love and a Question Based on Charles Sander Peirce’s Triangle Theory

This research aims to identify Robert Frost's symbols in "Love and a Question" and disclose their meanings using Peirce's triangle theory. This study uses descriptive and qualitative methods to examine Robert Frost's Love and a Question's symbols. Interpreting poem symbols is the focus of this research. This library research uses books and scientific materials to ensure objectivity. Finally, using semiotics and Peirce's triangle, the researcher explains Robert Frost's poem Love and a Question's symbols. The poem Love and a Question's symbolic words' significance through Peirce's triangle theory. The symbolic terms were: green-white stick signified lengthy journey, stranger symbolized uncertainty, rich a curse symbolized precious, and sky symbolized unpredictable future. The poem's represented words all have a life-related significance. The actual meaning of life is building a household as a newlywed couple. Also included is a purpose of life that is no longer defined by wealth because greediness can lead to suffering.

Caring for the Common Home and Calling for a Diverse Future: Pope Francis and Byung-Chul Han in Dialogue

The first few decades of the twenty-first century have posed various challenges to humankind such as the worldwide impact of the changing patterns of globalization processes, economic crises, the pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the specter of deglobalization illustrate. The unknown and unpredictable future is a reason for utmost concern for the contemporary society that Byung-Chul Han characterizes as an “achievement society”—one that is dominated by “excessive positivity” and that has evolved into a “doping society”. This “palliative society” is such because it is unable to cope with pain, and it is marked by a kind of permanent analgesia that prevents urgent reforms from taking place. In this essay, I examine how Pope Francis’s encyclical letters Laudato Si’ (2015) and Fratelli Tutti (2020)—by calling for an integral ecology (which connects environmental, economic, political, social, cultural, and ethical issues), social friendship, solidarity, and the common good—instill hope in the burnout society that Han reflects upon, urge action toward, and encourage changes to overcome in the current environmental and human crisis, as well as to building a diverse future that is not palliative.

Not the usual project management: a better way to prepare for major disruptions

PurposeOrganizations have always faced the possibility of disruptions. Traditional approaches, such as shifting risks through insurance or improving organizational resiliency, view disruptions as threats. This study aims to propose a new perspective where disruptions can also be opportunities. By adopting project portfolio management (PPM), organizations can develop proactive capabilities to manage uncertainty and prepare to exploit future disruptions.Design/methodology/approachDrawing on publicly available research reports, company reports, professional standards and press reports, this study describes key features of PPM and provides detailed practical guidance on how to apply PPM in daily operations, especially in preparation for the next disruption.FindingsThe key steps in applying PPM in daily operations are: align portfolios and projects with strategic goals and objectives; establish a robust governance framework; optimize resource capability and capacity; build and implement appropriate implementation methodologies; continuously monitor, review and optimize the project portfolio; and develop a culture that embraces risks, innovation and adaptability.Research limitations/implicationsThis research has several limitations and implications. On limitations, the study was constrained by publicly available data, an in-depth interview with a consulting firm and a survey based on convenient sampling. These limitations will impact the generalizability of the findings. On implications, this paper shows how organizations can prepare for future disruptions by applying PPM. There are other ways to prepare for the unpredictable future, and further research is needed to explore other methods.Practical implicationsThe results of this study have important practical implications for all organizations and in all sectors. Major disruptions are matters of “when,” not “how,” and responsible organizations need to pay attention. Based on the PPM discipline, this research provides an approach for business executives and project management practitioners to tackle this challenge. Furthermore, portfolio managers should use this information to promote and advocate for more disciplined planning to confront the uncertain future.Social implicationsThe findings of this paper carry important social implications. As the recent events showed the vastness of disruptions, from extreme heat to fires in Maui, sitting idly and waiting passively for an unpredictable future is not an option. This paper advocates the need for more awareness and preparation for future disruption by applying PPM. Furthermore, this research provides concrete guidelines for organizations and practitioners to consider as they confront the unknown. Additional research should investigate other effective strategies to meet the challenges of an uncertain and volatile future.Originality/valueThis study offers practical steps on how organizations may manage not only to survive but also to thrive in an uncertain and volatile world.

Unpredictable future of medical teaching institution reforms amid political transitions in Pakistan

Unpredictable future of medical teaching institution reforms amid political transitions in Pakistan

Letters to the Young Teacher – a reminder

The aim of the article is to recall the ideas and values of Maria Grzegorzewska, the creator of special education, contained in Letters to the Young Teacher. It has been shown that over the years they are not only up-to-date, but also have gained particular importance in the need to reflect on the role of the teacher and the modern school in preparing the young generation for an unpredictable future. It was emphasized that the teacher, both in the past and today, is the most important link in changes in education.

Editorial: Indian Literature: Past, Present and Future

Editorial: Indian Literature: Past, Present and Future

IMPACTOS DOS CONTEXTOS EMERGENTES NA AULA UNIVERSITÁRIA: TENSÕES E PERSPECTIVAS

ABSTRACT: Thinking about the university in emerging contexts requires considering that, if the university of yore was wrong to give excessive emphasis to the past, today's is driven by the inexorable present and the unpredictable future, forcing it to review its conceptions and pedagogical practices in university class. The scope of the study presented here focused on a qualitative analysis of three reports of practices carried out and presented by participants of the XI Seminário Internacional de Educação Superior (XI SIES) of the South Brazilian Network of Higher Education Investigators, held in 2018 at the Universidade Federal de Pelotas. The selected works obey the selection criterion of presenting, at least, two of the most prominent and related dimensions of innovation, they are: Break with the traditional way of teaching and learning and Reorganization of the theory/practice relationship because we understand that an innovative practice must present at least two of the dimensions proposed by Cunha (2006). The authors who supported this work were mainly Santos (2010), Franco (2012), Didriksson (2008), Cunha (1998, 2006), Morosini (2014), Tardif (2002) and Shulman (1989), guiding the intended analysis, whether in the understanding of emerging contexts, or in the field of pedagogical practices and innovation. The challenges are many, but the study showed the interest and protagonism of teachers and students in the direction of a more significant and emancipatory.

Детская игра как территория свободы

Background. Xe issue of children’s role-playing game belongs to the category of eternal in developmental psychology, since it strongly inYuences not only the theory of child development, but also the practice of preschool education, aZects the interests of the family, and, most importantly, to a large extent determines the direction and quality of the child’s development in preschool age. However, we have seen numerous shi[s in interest to this topic as societal priorities in child development have changed over the past century. In the 21st century, the discussion around the possibilities and conditions for the emergence of pretend play is of great interest on the part of both parents and the professional community. Play represents a speci\c resource for the development of a child in a world of uncertainty and an unpredictable future. Objectives. Xe study aims to analyze the current socio-cultural situation in Russian preschool education from th point of view of the role-playing game development in children, to identify the main reasons for the lack of play in kindergartens, and also to present possible parental and pedagogical educational strategies related to the place and possibilities of play in the development of preschool children. Sample. Xe study involved parents of children attending kindergartens from three regions of the Russian Federation. Xe sample was structured according to the factor of socio-economic situation in the region, as well as the factors “center-periphery”, “city-village”, “type of preschool institution”. Xe number of respondents varied from 1000 to 1200 each year. Method. A number of methods were used in the study. Xese included literature analysis on the research topic, expert evaluation, written survey (questionnaire, with the method of ranking the alternatives by respondents), statistical data analysis (with the method of variance analysis). Results. Based on the analysis of the obtained data, the following results were obtained. Xe rating of parental educational preferences shows that the conYict between learning activities and children’s play, which is discussed in the literature and is actually present in kindergartens, is not based on the real preferences of parents. Xe study revealed the phenomenon of imitation play, which is o[en presented as a real children’s game. An analysis of trends associated with the denial of the role of play in the development of modern children is presented. Conclusion. Ways to overcome the conYict between learning and play are discussed. Xe discrepancies between the real preferences of the family in the \eld of preschool education and their interpretation by preschool teachers are shown. Xe actual preferences of parents provide a picture that can be used to establish productive communication between preschool teachers and parents of children attending kindergarten. Practical application of the results. All the results obtained in the study can be applied in the practice of preschool education, at the level of preschool organizations. Xe areas of application of the results obtained include organization of a real, non-imitation, game of preschool children, building up productive communication with the parents of children attending a preschool organization.

Co-operative Learning in Undergraduate Mathematics and Science Education: A Scoping Review

To cope with an unpredictable future, higher education in mathematics and science (MS) needs to educate a knowledgeable and skilled workforce. Co-operative learning (CL) is a teaching method associated with increased academic achievement and development of generic skills. Thus, the purposes of this scoping review are to assess the evidence base of CL in undergraduate MS education to inform teaching practices and to identify potential knowledge gaps to inform future research. The review covers 24 empirical studies conducted from 2010 to 2020 on the prevalence, uses, and outcomes of CL elements in undergraduate MS education. The results show that there are few such studies, and these are rarely conducted outside the US or in disciplines other than chemistry. The most frequently implemented CL elements in the included studies are heterogeneous group formation, the use of roles, and different CL structures. The most prevalent student outcome of implemented CL elements in the reviewed studies is enhanced academic success, followed by student attitudes, generic skills, and psychological health. The results have implications for future implementation of and research on CL in international MS higher education.

What do educators need to know about the Torrance Tests of Creative Thinking: A comprehensive review.

One of the most important questions that educators try to answer is how to prepare new generations of students for an unpredictable future. Students need to learn several skills, such as creativity, critical thinking, collaboration, and communication (the 4 Cs). Creativity, especially, is an essential skill in a complex and unforeseeable world/era, and an important step in any effort to enhance creativity is to identify students' creative strengths and relative weaknesses. This review aims to offer school psychologists and other educators such as teachers, policymakers, and curriculum designers a comprehensive and practical guide to one of the most well-known creativity assessments-the Torrance Tests of Creative Thinking (TTCT) that was developed by E. Paul Torrance in the 1960s. The paper discusses the history, components, training, psychometric properties, and uses of the TTCT. Contrary to the notion that the TTCT is only a measure of divergent thinking skills, the current article presents its other uses. It is the authors' hope that teachers, school psychologists, and other educators will find the information reported in this article useful to better understand the TTCT and use it most effectively.

77 EXPERIENCES OF OLDER PEOPLE AND CARERS REFERRED TO AMBULATORY OUTREACH TEAM WITHIN INTEGRATED CARE PROGRAMME FOR OLDER PERSONS (ICPOP) SERVICE

Abstract Background Ambulatory outreach services are part of new pathways to reduce reliance on secondary care as outlined in the Integrated Care Programme for Older Persons. Multidisciplinary outreach teams provide urgent medical and rehabilitation services in the person’s home to stabilise a health crisis. Methods The study aimed to explore the experiences of older people accessing a ambulatory outreach service and identify development opportunities. Interpretive description, an inductive analytic approach, was used to seek an understanding of clinical phenomena that illuminate their characteristics, patterns and structure. Data collection used qualitative telephone interviews. A purposeful sample of older people and carers were recruited following discharge from the outreach service over a three-month period. Results Sixteen participants (patients n=9 and carers n=7) were interviewed, 77% were female with a mean age of 83 years. Three major themes and seven sub-themes were identified: Theme 1: Gratitude for specialised care: a) Moment of crisis “It was absolutely brilliant”; b) Care in my home: physical and psychological benefits Theme 2: Living with and managing complexity: c) Resilience and resignation: living in the moment “Well she’s doing good at the moment, God forbids if there is more injuries”, d) Work of patients: maintain motivation & control; task and service boundaries e) Work of Families “We’re doing it so far”. Theme 3:Scope for pro-active planning & Integration: f) What happens next? an unpredictable future; h) Integration with GP & community, g) Unspoken plan- sub-conscious advanced care planning “Nobody makes the decision on their own they call someone else” Conclusion The Outreach Team was highly valued by participants and was seen as vital in regaining functional capability and confidence to cope. Future developments need to examine task and service boundaries that undermine resilience, post outreach follow-up, integration with primary care, and opportunities for advanced care conversations.

'I turned in my man card': a qualitative study of the experiences, coping styles and support needs of men with systemic sclerosis.

Men with SSc have a more severe clinical phenotype and reduced survival compared with women. No previous psychosocial studies have focused solely on men with SSc. This study aimed to explore experiences, coping strategies and support preferences of men with SSc. An international qualitative research study comprising seven focus groups (three USA, four UK) of 25 men with SSc. Transcripts were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Three overarching themes and one underpinning theme were identified. In 'impact of SSc on masculinity', the men described an 'impact on roles and activities', reported 'sex, intimacy, and erectile dysfunction' as a salient issue that may be overlooked by clinicians, and experienced challenges to 'masculine self-image'. 'Dealing with SSc' meant 'always being prepared', 'becoming an expert' and 'balancing priorities' in responsibilities, activities and symptom management. In 'support for living with SSc' men were selective in '(Not) talking about SSc', would '(reluctantly) accept help' and described 'preferences for support'. Underpinning these experiences was 'facing an uncertain future' with some participants preferring not to focus on an unpredictable future, and others worrying about disease progression. These novel data suggest SSc impacts male patients' masculine identity and roles, and although they will accept practical help, they may mask the full emotional impact. Sex and intimacy are important overlooked issues with erectile dysfunction often not discussed at diagnosis. Further research should develop a self-management intervention for men with rheumatic diseases with a combination of disease-specific and common core components.