BackgroundSince it has been found that the maximum metabolic activity of a cancer lesion shifts toward the lesion edge during cancer progression, normalized distances from the hot spot of radiotracer uptake to tumor centroid (NHOC) and tumor perimeter (NHOP) have been suggested as novel F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) parameters that can reflect cancer aggressiveness. This study aimed to investigate whether NHOC and NHOP parameters could predict pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and progression-free survival (PFS) in breast cancer patients.MethodsThis study retrospectively enrolled 135 female patients with breast cancer who underwent pretreatment FDG PET/CT and received NAC and subsequent surgical resection. From PET/CT images, normalized distances of maximum SUV and peak SUV-to-tumor centroid (NHOCmax and NHOCpeak) and -to-tumor perimeter (NHOPmax and NHOPpeak) were measured, in addition to conventional PET/CT parameters.ResultsOf 135 patients, 32 (23.7%) achieved pathological complete response (pCR), and 34 (25.2%) had events during follow-up. In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, NHOCmax showed the highest area under the ROC curve value (0.710) for predicting pCR, followed by NHOCpeak (0.694). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, NHOCmax, NHOCpeak, and NHOPmax were independent predictors for pCR (p < 0.05). In the multivariate survival analysis, NHOCpeak (p = 0.026) was an independent predictor for PFS along with metabolic tumor volume, with patients having higher NHOCpeak showing worse PFS.ConclusionNHOCpeak on pretreatment FDG PET/CT could be a potential imaging parameter for predicting NAC response and survival in patients with breast cancer.