Abstract Background: The oral microbiota may be associated with lung cancer risk through direct mechanisms, including infection, immune responses, and periodontal disease, and through indirect mechanisms such as the modification of the oral microbiota by tobacco. We conducted a case-cohort study nested within three US prospective cohort studies to evaluate the association between oral microbiota ascertained years before a cancer diagnosis and risk of lung cancer. Methods: Incident lung cancer cases within the Agricultural Health Study (AHS; N=244), NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study (N=376), and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectum, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO; N=700) who provided an oral wash sample were identified. The median time between oral sample collection and diagnosis was approximately 6.6 years, 3.4 years, and 4.5 years for AHS, NIH-AARP, and PLCO, respectively. A referent subcohort was randomly selected by strata of age, sex, and cigarette smoking history. We extracted DNA using the DSP DNA Virus Pathogen kit, and the V4 region of the 16S rRNA gene was PCR amplified and sequenced using the MiSeq. The sequencing data were processed using QIIME2 with the DADA2 plugin and we generated alpha and beta diversity metrics. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between the oral microbial measures and the risk of lung cancer with adjustment for known lung cancer risk factors, and estimates from the three cohorts were meta-analyzed. Results: Increased alpha diversity was associated with decreased lung cancer risk, although only the association with the Shannon Index reached statistical significance (HR for 5th quintile versus 1st quintile 0.74; 95% CI 0.60, 0.92) with no evidence of between-study heterogeneity (p = 0.5968). Specific principal coordinate vectors from the beta diversity matrices were also significantly associated with lung cancer risk, suggesting differing bacterial communities between future lung cancer cases. When stratified by histologic subtypes, the inverse association with alpha diversity was restricted to squamous cell carcinoma, with all alpha diversity metrics reaching statistical significance (e.g., Faith’s phylogenetic diversity HR for 5th quintile versus 1st quintile 0.57; 95% CI: 0.37, 0.87). Similarly, when stratified by smoking history, the inverse association with alpha diversity was restricted to former smokers (e.g., observed species HR for 5th quintile versus 1st quintile 0.63; 95% CI: 0.44, 0.89). Conclusions: In oral wash samples collected years before diagnosis, we found significant associations between both alpha and beta diversity metrics of the oral microbial communities and risk of lung cancer. Additional work is required to understand the associations by histologic subtype and smoking history. Citation Format: Emily Vogtmann, Xing Hua, Guoqin Yu, Autumn Hullings, Yunhu Wan, Casey L Dagnall, Kristine Jones, Belynda D. Hicks, Amy Hutchinson, Shalabh Suman, Bin Zhu, Barry Graubard, Mitchell H. Gail, J. Gregory Caporaso, William Wheeler, Dale Sandler, Laura E. Beane Freeman, Linda Liao, Neal D. Freedman, Neil Caporaso, Rashmi Sinha, Jianxin Shi, Christian C Abnet. The human oral microbiota and risk of lung cancer: An analysis of three prospective cohort studies [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on the Microbiome, Viruses, and Cancer; 2020 Feb 21-24; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(8 Suppl):Abstract nr A39.
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