Idiopathic carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is a common compressive neuropathy. Aging and female sex are risk factors, but the reasons are unclear. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether identifiable radiographic changes resulting in a decrease in carpal tunnel area (CTA) over time exist. A database search of a multicenter, academic, tertiary institution from 1998 to 2021 identified 433 patients with serial wrist magnetic resonance images (MRI) at least 5 years apart. Fifty-six met the inclusion criteria with adequate films to measure CTA and transverse carpal ligament (TCL) thickness at the same slice location-the carpal tunnel inlet, hook of the hamate, and carpal tunnel outlet-independently by two observers who were blinded to each other's measurements. Rates for the change in CTA and TCL thickness were calculated at all three locations. Thickness of the TCL increased, whereas that of the CTA decreased over time. Inlet CTA decreased by 0.9 mm2 per year (95% CI: 0.34-1.5), outlet CTA decreased by 1.8 mm2 per year (95% CI: 1.2-2.5), and CTA at the hook of the hamate decreased by 1.6 mm2 per year (95% CI: 1.0-2.0 per year). The TCL thickened by 0.02 mm per year at all three sections. Taller patients had a decreased rate of CTA loss. In this select cohort, TCL thickened and CTA decreased with time. TCL thickening accounted for about half of the variation in CTA, suggesting that this is a possible contributor to this change. Hypertrophy of the carpal tunnel floor may account for the remaining variation in CTA. The question of whether these results are reliable and generalizable to the general population, or a major influence in the pathophysiology of CTS, is unknown. Small decreases in CTA and thickening of the TCL occur with aging. Whether this is a contributing factor in the development of CTS requires further study.
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