Land Transformation Research Articles

Analysis of agricultural land condition in Western Kazakhstan from 1991 to 2023: the impact of climate change.

Kazakhstan's insufficient food production contributes to its dependency on food imports, highlighting the need for science-based technologies to address land degradation and boost domestic production. The privatisation of land and the establishment of a market economy led to the division of collective farms and significant land fragmentation, resulting in a reduction of agricultural land by 10.6 million ha in the West Kazakhstan region, particularly between 1991 and 2000. Desertification and soil degradation have led to decreased soil fertility, adversely affecting the agricultural industry. Over the last 30years, the area of eroded soils has increased by 5-9%. As of 2022, over 16.7% of agricultural land remains unused, a substantial rise from 1991. This study aims to investigate the qualitative and quantitative transformations of agricultural land in the region over the past three decades and to assess the impact of climate change on land degradation processes. To achieve this, cartographic analysis of NDVI3g (Global Inventory Monitoring and Modelling System [GIMMS]) data for 1990-2022 was conducted, employing linear ordinary least squares and median Theil-Sen trend methods to identify long-term vegetation trends. The results showed a negative trend in agricultural lands with a decline rate of 0.0025 per year (P = 0.009). However, in the past 13years, a positive trend was observed in only three regions, with an average increase of 0.007 per year (P = 0.03). These findings are statistically significant and highlight the growing impact of climatic factors on agricultural and natural ecosystems.

Protection of customary land rights: Meta-Analysis and Regulatory Impact Assessment in Indonesia's New Capital

The objective of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of existing protection measures in safeguarding indigenous land rights in Sepaku and Samboja, East Kalimantan, within the context of the capital city of Indonesia. This study employs a comprehensive methodology, including a literature review, legal analysis, and field investigations. It examines the legal framework, institutional coordination, and impact of land use policies on indigenous communities. The data were collected via interviews and document analysis. This study reveals a pressing need to strengthen regulatory design and law enforcement to protect indigenous land tenure rights. This text highlights the challenges faced by indigenous peoples due to deforestation, land disputes, and the transformation of land for urban development. The research underscores the necessity of improved cross-sectoral authority and coordination within the Ministry of Environment and Forestry. This study provides valuable insights into the complex issues surrounding land tenure rights and indigenous communities in the context of the capital city of Nusantara. The text contributes to the ongoing discourse on environmental protection, indigenous rights, and the sustainability of land use policies in Indonesia. The findings provide practical recommendations for enhancing legal protection and mitigating deforestation in high-demand land areas, ultimately benefiting both the environment and local communities.

Impact of land transformation, management and governance on subjective wellbeing across social–ecological systems

Impact of land transformation, management and governance on subjective wellbeing across social–ecological systems

Making All Deserts Bloom: The Racist Space/Time of UAE-Israel Collaboration

ABSTRACT Since the normalisation of political relations between the United Arab Emirates and Israel, the so-called ‘desert tech’ industry has emerged as a key area of economic collaboration. Desert tech combines technological innovation with speculation and entrepreneurialism, claiming to offer lucrative yet sustainable solutions to the specific dangers of climate change in arid environments. By weaving together their respective climate and security expertise and technologies, political visions, and investment capital, Israel and the UAE promise to save arid states the world over from ecological catastrophe – making themselves and their political and territorial projects indispensable in the process. In this paper, we unravel their promethean vision of making ‘all deserts bloom’. We first situate this vision in the desert’s tangible histories of colonial environmentalism, retracing the inextricable relationship of climate science to the violent expropriation, securitisation and transformation of Indigenous life and land by white, European settlers. We then follow contemporary UAE-Israel desert-tech collaboration across the geographically expansive and historically layered sites and forms of violence that facilitate, circulate, and secure this industry’s vision of the future. In so doing, we argue that normalisation is underwritten by a racialised temporality – one that constructs desert landscapes as eternally on the threshold of climate catastrophe, erasing the deep, historical relationships of Palestinians, Bedouin and other racialised subjects to arid environments.

From an Ideal Village to a Cultural Landscape: Rediscovering People’s Commune Heritage

As an important ideal social practice in world history, the people’s commune system and its organized architectural activities took the first step in promoting rural modernization in modern China and had a significant impact on the built environment of urban and rural areas. This study aims to discuss how to view the legacy of rural people’s communes in service of contemporary society. Taking the Weixing Commune, which was the earliest established commune in China in 1958, as an example, through a comparative study of relevant planning and construction archives and the literature, combined with onsite investigations and through the perspective of the cultural landscape, this study delves into the history of local rural construction and sorts out the types, specific compositions, and value elements of the commune’s remains from four dimensions: environment, industry, architecture, and memory. The heritage of the people’s commune is unique. It was a comprehensive transformation of land to farmland, water conservancy, and other natural environmental patterns carried out by residents and related professionals to realize the ideal life of socialism and ultimately resulted in the shaping of a unique type of cultural landscape, presenting the coexistence of political landscapes that hold ideals and vernacular landscapes that carry life.

Green Infrastructure Mapping in Almeria Province (Spain) Using Geographical Information Systems and Multi-Criteria Evaluation

Green infrastructure (GI) is increasingly prioritised in landscape policy and planning due to its potential to benefit ecosystems and enhance wildlife conservation. However, due to the uneven distribution of protected areas (PAs) and the fragmentation of habitats more generally, multi-level policy strategies are needed to create an integrated GI network bridging national, regional and local scales. In the province of Almeria, southeastern Spain, protected areas are mainly threatened by two land use/land cover changes. On the one hand, there is the advance of intensive greenhouse agriculture, which, between 1984 and 2007, increased in surface area by more than 58%. On the other hand, there is the growth of artificial surfaces, including urban areas (+64%), construction sites (+194%) and road infrastructures (+135%). To address this challenge, we present a proposal for green infrastructure deployment in the province of Almeria. We combine Geographic Information Systems (GISs) and multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) techniques to identify and evaluate suitability for key elements to be included in GI in two key ways. First, we identify the most suitable areas to form part of the GI in order to address vulnerability to degradation and fragmentation. Second, we propose 15 ecological corridors connecting the 35 protected areas of the province that act as core areas. The proposed GI network would extend along the western coast of the province and occupy the valleys of the main rivers. The river Almanzora plays a leading role. Due to its remoteness from the coast and its climatic conditions, it has not attracted intensive greenhouse agriculture and urban development, the main drivers of the transformation and fragmentation of traditional land uses. Around 50% of the area occupied by the proposed corridors would be located in places of medium and high suitability for the movement of species between core areas.

Past and recent drivers of extinction risk in endemic New Zealand birds

AbstractLand‐cover change is a major driver of species extinction risk and the overarching loss of biodiversity. However, the impact of such change is nuanced, varying among species due to the mediation of life‐history traits and the timing of land transformation. While diverse studies have pinpointed ecological and life‐history attributes linked to the decline of bird species, the combined effects of past and recent land‐cover change often present a complex picture. In this study, we undertook a modelling approach to assess extinction risk in New Zealand's endemic birds based on life‐history traits and past (1996–2008) and recent (2008–2018) land‐cover change. Our results suggested specific variables driving extinction risk in endemic New Zealand birds. Notably, incubation length emerged as the most influential factor, trailed by past land‐cover change, body size and clutch size. This indicates that past land‐cover change in combination with large body sizes and slow life histories, characterized by low fecundity and extended incubation periods, collectively elevates the extinction risk of endemic birds in New Zealand. These results shed light on the conservation priorities for species with specific biological traits potentially exposed to the negative effects of land‐cover change.

Mapping Climatic Regions of the Cerrado: General Patterns and Future Change

ABSTRACTThe Cerrado biome, renowned for its biodiversity and threatened by rapid land transformation, encompasses a vast savanna ecosystem in Brazil. The region is characterised by a seasonal climate, influenced by a myriad of meteorological systems creating diverse and non‐homogeneous rainfall regimes across the region. To account for this heterogeneity, we propose a novel classification of the Cerrado using rainfall data to delineate three distinct climatic regions: Eastern, Southern and Central‐West Cerrado. The Eastern region exhibited the driest and most seasonal climate, marked by high vapour pressure deficit (VPD) and predominantly open‐canopy vegetation. Conversely, the Southern region, characterised by lower seasonality, boasts a higher proportion of forest cover and lower mean VPD. The Central‐West region, encompassing diverse landscapes, featured areas with higher precipitation levels, particularly along the Amazônia border. Furthermore, we conducted trend analyses on observed station data and used CMIP6 models to evaluate future scenarios under differing emissions trajectories. While observed trends in mean rainfall were marginal, VPD demonstrated a notable upward trend of approximately 1% annually throughout the biome. Climate models indicated a substantial drying close to the Amazônia border, and wetter conditions in the southeast. All Cerrado regions are anticipated to experience amplified seasonality and VPD, with VPD projected to surge by approximately 30% (60%) under low (high) emissions scenarios by the end of the century. Notably, the transition from the dry to wet season was the most affected. Our study provides critical insights on how the climatic heterogeneity of the Cerrado shapes vegetation structure distribution and how future changes will exacerbate water stress throughout the biome. These findings underscore the importance of understanding climate variability for effective conservation and management strategies in the region.

Revealing the dynamic effects of land cover change on land surface temperature in global major bay areas

Comparative studies across national boundaries on urban heat islands (UHI) are lacking, especially comparative analyses among globally important bay area urban agglomerations at different levels of urbanizations. Bay areas around the world are currently experiencing different stages of urbanization, and the transformation of urban land cover into thermal environments varies significantly. This study investigated the spatial-temporal changes of land cover change (LCC) and the land surface temperature (LST) in four major bay areas (including the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA), the New York Bay Area (NYBA), the Tokyo Bay Area (TBA), and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Bay Area (GBA)) from 2000 to 2020. Utilizing correlation analysis and the multiscale geographical weighted regression model (MGWR), the goal was to understand how LCC impact the thermal environmental regionally. The results showed that: (1) The main shift in land cover involved a decrease in forested and cultivated area and an increase in impervious surfaces, with deforestation and agriculture conversion being major factors in this increase. The GBA gave a significant 112% rise in impervious surface during this period. (2) The LST trended towards higher, medium LST zones, closely linked with urban impervious surface expansion. (3) The MGWR model highlighted the direct non-stationary relationship between land cover alterations and LST effects. It showed that conversion to impervious surfaces, particularly from water and cultivated lands, markedly intensified LST, whereas water bodies and forests demonstrated a substantial capacity to mitigate LST. Urban planners were advised to mitigate LST elevations stemming from the transformation of forest lands and aquatic environments into impervious areas, a change notably prevalent in highly urbanized regions. This study provides valuable perspectives on balancing the management of urban thermal environments and urbanization processes.

Analyzing land use land cover dynamics under rapid urbanization using multi-temporal satellite imageries and geospatial technology for Jamshedpur city in India

Land use land cover (LULC) is considered as one of the most important driving factors behind the global environmental change. The rapid changes in the LULC patterns than ever before, mostly in developing countries, are frequently considered by widespread urban sprawling, land degradation, reduction of agricultural land, and alteration into other land use categories, resulting in enormous costs to the environment. Using a combined remote sensing and GIS technique, this study investigates the spatial urban expansion and its impacts on other LULC categories from 1987 to 2016 in Jamshedpur, India, based on the acquired multispectral satellite imageries, field observations, and demographic data. A visual-based image analysis technique was employed to develop a LULC map for the period of 1987, 2004, and 2016, and the precision of the maps was determined by overall accuracy and kappa statistic methods. The compact urbanization over the city was quantified using both landscape metrics and Shannon’s entropy method. The results of the change detection showed that the built-up area has experienced more than fifty percent growth during the 1987 – 2016 period. It is the main driving factor behind the reduction in the area of other land use categories: agricultural land (−87.12 %), vegetation (−67.51 %), riverbed (−46.25 %), and forest cover (−27.92 %). Although barren land and fallow land were the most dynamic land use categories, it increased by 281.84 % and 119.66 %, respectively. The change matrix between 1987 and 2016, indicated the maximum transformation (+455.23 %) of fallow land to settlement. Geographically, there is a continuous growth in the built-up area from the city center to the fringes as a result of suburbanization. The values of Shannon’s entropy during 1987, 2004, and 2016 were 1.11, 1.19, and 1.57, respectively. The demographic analysis shows that the annual population for the period of 1971–1981, 1981–1991, 1991–2001, and 2001–2011 has changed by + 3.89 %, +2.09 %, +2.91 %, and + 1.95 % per year, respectively. The population growth, aggregated settlements and land scarceness in Jamshedpur were found to be the key reasons behind the urban growth and development. This study emphasizes the critical need for sustainable urban development practices and robust land use strategies to alleviate the environmental impacts of rapid urban expansion. It will lay a valuable groundwork for future research focused on integrating land use management with urban growth frameworks to achieve balanced and resilient development in Jamshedpur.

Environmental and economic assessment of mixed plastic waste pelletization in the Gulf Cooperation Council region

Pelletizing mixed plastic wastes (MPW) has gained interest as an upcycling technology and an alternative to conventional recycling. To investigate its potential, we conducted a cost analysis and life-cycle assessment (LCA) for a conceptual pelletization facility designed to produce 1 kg of pellets per batch of MPW (comprising polyethylene—PE and polypropylene—PP). This work has the following merits: (i) evaluating environmental impact (EI), cost analysis, and mechanical strength based on actual experimental data and its comparison with local and international manufacturers; (ii) enabling the evaluation of LCA impacts of MPW pellets; and (iii) emphasizing the significance of waste management in reducing EIs. The following ten EIs were assessed: climate change (CC), net energy, particulate matter formation, natural land transformation, metal depletion, marine ecotoxicity, ionising radiation, freshwater ecotoxicity, freshwater eutrophication, and terrestrial ecotoxicity. The CC of the as-synthesized pellets is 1.26 kg CO2 eq., significantly lower than the data obtained from the Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) and an actual plant in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Additionally, the net energy required for the production of 1 kg of pellets is 54.1 MJ, while the cost is around 0.55 USD. The tensile strength of MPW pellets (24.63 MPa) falls between that of PE virgin pellets (21.12 MPa) and PP virgin pellets (28.12 MPa). This suggests that the MPW pellets exhibit competitive strength characteristics, warranting its consideration for applications where moderate strength is required. Overall, the competitive cost, coupled with the reduced EIs, demonstrates the potential of pelletization as a sustainable and economically viable waste management solution.

The role of light rail systems in urban regionalisation processes and in defining the bioregional vision of the Pontine plain in Italy

ABSTRACT Urban regionalisation or new regionalism is a land transformation process that involves the emergence of new sprawl settlements in the European Union and North America. These settlements are often composed of residential or micro-productive units that cause ecological fragmentation, biodiversity loss, and spatial reorganisation. This process challenges conventional spatial analytical and planning frameworks and calls for a new approach. This paper argues that bioregional units which account for complex human-environment interactions and the sustainability of natural resources and ecosystems can provide a new analytical and planning framework. Bioregions represent the main living environments for people, and mobility is a key driver shaping their lifestyle choices. This paper explores the role of light rail systems (LRSs) in enhancing the sustainability and well-being of bioregions, using the Pontine bioregion in Italy as a case study. It reviews the bioregional theory and applies the bioregional framework to the Pontine plain presenting the main features of the Pontine bioregion, including its internal and external urban relationships. Building on these analyses, the paper then discusses the proposal of a new railway network system that integrates LRSs as strategic elements for efficient mobility, urban regeneration, social cohesion, and environmental sustainability of the bioregional territory.

The Process of Soil Carbon Sequestration in Different Ecological Zones of Qingtu Lake in the Arid-Semi-Arid Region of Western China.

As a vital component of the global carbon pool, soils in arid and semi-arid regions play a significant role in carbon sequestration. In the context of global warming, increasing temperatures and moisture levels promote the transformation of barren land into wetlands, enhancing carbon sinks. However, the overdevelopment of oases and excessive extraction of groundwater lead to the opposite effect, reducing carbon sequestration. This study examines two soil types-meadow soil (MS) and swamp soil (SS)-from Qingtu Lake, an arid lake in western China. It analyzes the sources of soil inorganic carbon, the composition and origin of dissolved organic matter (DOM), and the relationships between microbes, soil organic carbon (SOC), soil inorganic carbon (SIC), mineral composition, and soil texture. The results indicate that inorganic carbon in the study area consists of both primary carbonate minerals and secondary pedogenic carbonates. The DOM primarily consists of two components, both identified as terrestrial humic substances. In meadow soils, bacterial activity drives the weathering of plagioclase, which releases Ca2+ necessary for the formation of pedogenic carbonates. Plagioclase also provides colonization sites for microbes and, along with microbial activity, participates in the soil carbon cycle. Within the soil community, bacteria appear to play a more critical role than fungi. In contrast, microbial contributions to the carbon cycle in swamp soils are weaker, with minerals predominantly interacting with organic carbon to form mineral-associated organic matter, thus promoting the soil carbon cycle. These findings have important implications for understanding soil carbon sinks under different micro-ecological conditions in arid and semi-arid regions. Through targeted human intervention, it is possible to enhance carbon sequestration in these areas, contributing to the mitigation of global climate change.

Historical expansion of tea plantations over 150years (1876-2023) in North Bengal, India.

The Camellia sinensis (L.) Kuntze agroforestry system has been a dominant driver of land transformation for over a century. However, most previous studies have not captured the dynamics of tea plantations since their inception. To address this research gap, this study investigates 150years (1876 to 2023) of tea area dynamics and two decades (2001-2022) of tree loss in the Bengal-Dooars region (Jalpaiguri and Alipurduar districts). Various data sources were employed, including Sentinel-2A imagery (10m), early twentieth century topographic maps at a 1:50,000 scale, and historical records from the British colonial period. Results revealed that the tea area expanded from 331 to 95,800ha (a 70% increase) during the study period. The 1-km grid-wise spatial analysis indicated that approximately 70% of the increase was attributed to the 60-90% and > 90% grid categories, signifying the expansion of large tea estates. Most tea gardens(TG) are sustained with trees, which can significantly contribute to carbon stock. Tree loss within and outside TG for 2001-2022 was analyzed using annual tree loss data at 30m from the Global Forest Watch (GFW) platform. Between 2001 and 2022, about 52.7% of tree loss was attributed to TG, although tea covers only 15.3% of the geographic area of the study region. Our findings highlight the historical expansion of tea plantations and their impact on natural land cover. We suggest that future studies address the mean age of TG along with tree fractions for improved carbon estimates.

Imperfection of land system in agriculture, possible consequences and the ways to correct them

Significant transformations occurred during the land reform by January 1999. The monopoly of state ownership over land was abolished, and reorganizations of collective and state farms were carried out, alongside the privatization of land. Since 2002, the turnover of agricultural land has been regulated by Federal Law No. 101-FZ of July 24, 2002, "On the Turnover of Agricultural Land." Ownership, use, and disposal of land plots that are in shared ownership can only be carried out in accordance with the decisions of the participants in the shared ownership. However, the procedure for allocating land plots against the shares of land is lengthy, costly, and prone to corruption. Imperfect land legislation and incompetence in the courts hinder the completion of land transformations. This article discusses the issues of shared land ownership related to multi-contour land plots and methods to overcome these challenges.

Monitoring and assessing of sustainable development in the urban area of Ouagadougou based on SDG 11.3.1 indicator and the city biodiversity index

Urban growth can induce changes in the use and transformation of urban land. In the context of rapid urbanization, monitoring key indicators of sustainable development is essential. The aim of this study was to monitor and assess the level of sustainable development in the city of Ouagadougou between 2002 and 2022, based on global indicators such as Sustainable Development Goal 11.3.1 indicator and the Singapore City Biodiversity Index. A remote sensing and Geographic Information System approach was used to acquire and analyze open-source geospatial data. The results show an increasing inefficiency in land use, with excessive consumption to population growth until 2013. Between 2013 and 2022, this trend declined, but urban biodiversity nevertheless decreased significantly, with a 40% loss of natural areas between 2002 and 2022. Fragmentation of natural areas, due to infrastructure development, has amplified this degradation, posing ecological risks to the city. This study underlines the importance of strengthening the ecological connectivity of urban spaces to improve their sustainability and resilience. It also recommends reorienting urban strategies by integrating nature-based solutions and placing biodiversity preservation at the heart of sustainable urban development policies.

Valorization of phosphate mine waste rock as alternative aggregates for high-performance concrete

Natural aggregate quarrying significantly impacts the environment while phosphate mine waste rock (PMWR) offers alternative aggregates for use in high-added value construction materials. This study was the first to investigate the application of three aggregate types from PMWR as a complete substitute to natural aggregate to produce high-performance concrete (HPC). For this aim, three coarse aggregate (CA) types: Flint (F), Phosflint (PF), and Dolomite (D) from PMWR in Morocco were selected and compared with a natural Reference CA (R). Two mixtures were tested: HPC-0.40 and HPC-0.36 with a w/c ratio equal to 0.40 and 0.36. D-HPC and PF-HPC achieved a slump exceeding 20 cm and a 28-d compressive strength (CS) equal to 55 MPa ± 5 MPa on average, similar to the R-HPC, while F-HPC did not meet the requirement for HPC (i.e. a 28-d CS superior to 55 MPa). Scanning electron microscope observations showed that D-HPC exhibited a very dense and indistinguishable interfacial transition zone (ITZ), while F-HPC showed a debonding of F-CA and a larger ITZ size which explain its lower CS. Life ycle assessment revealed a major positive environmental impact on ecosystem quality that reduced land occupation and land transformation by up to 32 %. A secondary evaluation of the valorization of PMWR as alternative fine aggregate (FA) in high-strength mortar (HSM) was investigated and showed that the 28-d CS is equal to 93 MPa for PF-HSM and equal to 81 MPa for D-HSM, superior to RS-HSM which is equal to 61 MPa. Dolomite and Phosflint FA offered a better alternative to natural River sand to overcome the ceiling effect. These findings encourage the construction sector to adopt a sustainable consumption of aggregates by using PMWR as alternative CAs and FAs to produce high-strength construction materials.

Towards A City of Good Dwelling

One of the main issues in contemporary urban planning is the fragmentation of urban spaces (Batty 2009) due to the relentless processes of land transformation. This phenomenon can lead to the creation of isolated urban islands and a lack of high-quality public areas. Such weaknesses particularly affect the socio-economic conditions of marginal areas within the existing city, especially those on the outskirts near rural areas. Public spaces (Low et al 2006) are essential for social interaction, community building, and improving the overall quality of urban life. They are spaces where cultural, economic, and social activities converge, contributing to the city's vibrancy and inclusiveness. Are considered the key of the new processes of urban regeneration and it contributes significantly to the making of the city of "good dwelling" (Beauregard 2020). To obtain the conditions for a good dwelling, it is proposed to apply the seven principles contained in the "Manifesto della Città del Buon Abitare"(Colarossi et al 2023): the city of good dwelling must assume the general principles of hospitality, urbanity and beauty of its public spaces. The paper proposes as innovative approach, the use of an urban planning tool with which it is possible to apply the principles of the Manifesto of the city of good living and which is called "Plan-program of public space planning and public and private services" (P.A.S.S.i.). The effort of this research is to identify a general planning tool for the redevelopment to the existing city. The multi-scalar approach of the research tool simultaneously allows an overall vision of the program and a qualitative control of each individual project.

Land Transformations in Irpinia (Southern Italy): A Tale on the Socio-Economic Dynamics Acting in a Marginal Area of the Mediterranean Europe

Marginal areas in economically advanced countries are a critical issue that European and national policies have been addressing for some time. These areas are affected by depopulation, infrastructural gaps and labor systems that do not reach the corresponding national levels and where often agriculture still plays a critical role. In Italy, despite the fact that the National Strategy for Inner Areas (SNAI) has been active for about a decade with the aim of increasing the territorial cohesion of these fragile areas, rather limited results have been achieved in terms of halting economic marginalization and demographic decline. In this specific context, our work is aimed at analyzing land use changes, the loss of ecosystem services and demographic trends in a Mediterranean region (Irpinia—Southern Italy) on district and municipal scales in the last 30 years (1990–2018) to capture current, subtle socio-economic dynamics. The analysis carried out has indicated a substantial increase in urban areas due to the development of new industrial areas and discontinuous urban fabric (urban sprawl) at the expense of natural areas (mainly meadows and shrublands). The agricultural areas have remained substantially unchanged in terms of extension, with a slight increase in heterogeneous agricultural areas and an expansion of high-value crops (vineyards), that are the most suitable for multifunctional agriculture activities (experiential and rural tourism). The analysis of the demographic trend has highlighted a widespread phenomenon of depopulation, with the exception of those municipalities who economically orbit around the provincial capital of Avellino. The municipalities in depopulation are mostly located in the inner areas characterized by a more rugged morphology and infrastructural gaps. Unexpectedly, most of municipalities show a significant anticorrelation among the population and agricultural areas which is an indicator of social and economic phenomena as complex as they are underestimated. As a final step, this analysis highlights also a loss of carbon storage mainly attributable to the soil sealing of large areas. This study can help to comprehensively understand the conditions of marginal areas in Mediterranean Europe over recent decades in the light of the main socio-economic dynamics to better direct efforts towards the containment of the human capital hemorrhage, consisting of persistently negative natural and migratory rates, and the sustainable empowerment of these geo-economic peripheries.

Land use dynamics and ecosystem service valuation in the Sanmenxia Reservoir wetland of the Yellow River

The Sanmenxia Reservoir wetland (SRW) serves as a critical ecological buffer in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. Ongoing population growth and changes in land use have placed significant pressure on the wetland’s ecosystems. However, existing research has yet to establish a spatiotemporal analysis method to assess the impact of land use change on the ecosystem service value (ESV). This gap hinders the precise regulation and sustainable development of land resources. To gain a comprehensive understanding of the land use dynamics and ecological functions of the SRW, this study introduced a refined ESV evaluation method. This method revised the equivalent factors from spatial, temporal, and hydrological perspectives, with an emphasis on the impact of sediment discharge. Furthermore, the Patch-level Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model was employed to project the land use structure in 2030, and the corresponding ESV was analyzed. The study revealed the following: (1) Cropland constituted the primary land type in the SRW. Over the last two decades, the build-up area exhibited the most significant single land use dynamics, with the transformation of bare land to cropland spanning the widest range and largest area. (2) From 2000 to 2020, the ESV increased by 0.64 billion CNY, with the water body contributing almost all the increase. (3) The projected ESV for 2030 is 2.94 billion CNY, indicating an increase in ecological functions in the near future. Policy makers should recognizethe impact of land use change on ESV and implement measures to rebalance land use structure. While ensuring the preservation of cropland and the protection of lives and property, it is advisable to consider expanding the water body area to facilitate comprehensive sustainable development within SRW.