Transboundary River Research Articles

Changes in the supply and demand potentials of China's glacier water resources in the 21st century: Spatiotemporal mismatches and combined effects

China's glacier water resources (GWRs) are not only indispensable suppliers of fresh water for humans living in large domestic areas but also affect the water supply to downstream neighbouring countries. Therefore, it is crucial to systematically evaluate the spatiotemporal (mis-) matches between the supply and demand potentials of China's GWRs and the combined supply and demand effects in the 21st century to enable regional sustainable development. To facilitate such research, in this study, we first regionalized the importance of China's GWRs in terms of the supply potential and downstream human dependence to reveal the spatial (mis-) matches between supply and demand potentials. Then, changes in the service potential of glacier meltwater and in population dynamics, as well as their temporal (mis-) matches and associated opportunities and risks, were further assessed at the river basin scale. The results showed that GWR plays an important role in 4 of 16 macroscale glacier-fed basins (i.e., Tarim, Junggar, Ili, and Zangxi) and 11 of 37 subbasins within the China region due to higher supply potential and demand potential in those basins. The importance of China's GWRs increases dramatically when taking the demand potential of downstream countries into account, especially in the Ganges and Indus river basins. The peaks in meltwater runoff from the most glacierized basins of the eastern Tianshan Mountains, eastern Qilian Mountains, and southeastern Tibetan Plateau of China occur slightly earlier than the projected peak population (around 2030) under the mid-range Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP245), leading to a compound risk in terms of decreasing meltwater supply and increasing human dependence at the end of the 2020s. However, the peak meltwater is expected to occur later than the peak population in the Tarim, Qiangtang Plateau, and Qaidam basins. The opportunities offered by the increase in meltwater can relieve the water resource pressure for those populations under water-stressed conditions. Greater attention should also be paid to water shortage risks in the transboundary river basins, especially in the Indus and Ganges basins, because the peak meltwater within China is generally expected to occur sooner than the projected peak population of downstream countries. This study provides an effective planning and decision-making basis for the full utilization of China's GWRs and adaptation when glacier runoff declines.

Characterization of the skill of the CORDEX-Africa regional climate models to simulate regional climate setting in the East African Transboundary Omo Gibe River Basin, Ethiopia

Regional climate models (RCMs) that produce good outputs in one region or for specific variables may underperform for others. Thereby, assessing the performance of various model simulations and their corresponding mean ensemble is critical in identifying the most suitable models. In this regard, a study was conducted to evaluate the performance of ten RCMs against observations from multiple ground-based stations in the East African Transboundary Omo Gibe River Basin, Ethiopia, during the baseline period of 1986–2005. The study evaluated the models' ability to replicate various aspects of climatic variables and their corresponding statistical indicators. The results confirmed that RCMs have varying abilities to reproduce climatic conditions across the basin. The ensembles and RACMO22T (EC-EARTH) were better at replicating the average annual precipitation distribution. Meanwhile, the CCLM4-8-17 (MPI) together with the ensembles better captured the measured precipitation annually, despite the discrepancies in the actual magnitudes. All RCMs were able to simulate the seasonal precipitation patterns effectively, with RACMO22T (EC-EARTH), CCLM4-8-17 (CNRM), RCA4 (CNRM), CCLM4-8-17 (MPI), and REMO2009 (MPI) models captured superior, excluding the maximum value. Interannual and seasonal rainfall pattern variations were more significant than variations in air temperature. Additionally, a better correlation was observed between actual and simulated precipitation at multiple separate monitoring places. The RCA4 (MPI) and CCLM4-8-17 (MPI) demonstrated reasonable minimum and maximum temperatures. The RCA4 (MIROC5) model was more effective in reproducing extreme precipitation events. However, all RCMs and their ensembles tended to overestimate the return periods of these events. In general, the research highlights the importance of selecting reliable RCMs that better replicate observed climatic settings and employing the ensemble mean of top-performing models following systematic bias adjustment for a specific application.

Painted Water—A Concept to Shape Water Negotiation Strategies in Shared River Basins

In a transboundary river basin, downstream states frequently express concerns regarding the potential utilization of water resources by upstream states as a tool for exerting coercion. This fact contributes to instilling doubt in the applicability of negotiations, even in transboundary basins that possess strong international agreements. In an effort to address the issue, this paper introduces the painted water concept. It divides upstream states’ available water into three triage color volumes before reaching downstream states in ascending order of negotiability: green, yellow, and red. Additionally, downstream states must consider the dynamics of transitions of painted water classes over time when developing their negotiation strategies and water policies. In order to assess the concept’s contribution in practice, we analyze trilateral riparian negotiations along the Blue Nile River basin, based on a “what-if” analysis approach under four global future scenarios. These results could shed light on part of the complexity of the Blue Nile negotiation and mainstream the water policies and perspectives of riparian states. Here, this paper shows that the painted water concept can provide multidisciplinary insights into proactive water negotiations. The inclusion of such a concept can help to deepen theories, approaches principals, and any disciplines pertinent to transboundary water negotiations.

Urgent call for protection and use of transboundary watercourses. Some legal reflections

AbstractThe use of transboundary water resources has received special international attention in recent years. Although riparian countries recognize the benefits of cross‐border rivers and enter into agreements with countries sharing the transboundary rivers by means of legal rules, treaties, and principles, they have done excessive riverine exploitation activities to maximize their socio‐economic benefits, causing the imbalance in the ecosystems and peace. This study aims to conduct a secondary analysis of primary qualitative data to research the common legal frameworks on international water law such as Helsinki Rules, UN Watercourses Conventions, and UNECE Water Convention, together with a case study on the Mekong River Agreement. Bilateral, multilateral, international treaties and principles are currently not enforceable enough to compel riparian countries strictly to comply with these legal rules and principles on equitable and sustainable water coordination and development. Besides, there are still internal conflicts among the upper and lower riparian countries over the equitable and reasonable use of transboundary river watercourses due to lack of punitive sanctions. There is an urgent need to establish a specialized international water management commission designated by all nations with the utmost power to regulate human‐related activities concerning transboundary watercourses to govern equitable and sustainable management and development of the transboundary water use. Besides, current international law principles have to be revised to fill the gap of disagreement and potential conflicts between upstream, middle stream and downstream countries.

Estimating the Impacts of Ungauged Reservoirs Using Publicly Available Streamflow Simulations and Satellite Remote Sensing

On the Korean Peninsula, the Imjin River is a transboundary river that flows from North Korea into South Korea. Therefore, human intervention activities in the upstream region can have a substantial impact on the downstream region of South Korea. In addition to climate impacts, there are increasing concerns regarding upstream man-made activities, particularly the operation of the Hwanggang dam located in the territory of North Korea. This study explored the feasibility of using the publicly available global hydrological model and satellite remote sensing imagery for monitoring reservoir dynamics and assessing their impacts on downstream hydrology. “Naturalized” streamflow simulation was obtained from the Group on Earth Observation (GEO) Global Water Sustainability (GEOGloWS) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Streamflow Services (GESS) model. To correct the biases of the GESS-based streamflow simulations, we employed quantile mapping using the observed streamflow from a nearby location. This method significantly reduced volume and variability biases by up to 5 times on both daily and monthly scales. Nevertheless, its effectiveness in improving temporal correlation on a daily scale in small catchments remained constrained. For the reservoir storage changes in the Hwanggang dam, we combined multiple remote sensing imagery, particularly cloud-free optical images of Landsat-8, Sentinel-2, and snow-free Sentinel-1, with the area–elevation–volume (AEV) curves derived from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Digital Elevation Model (DEM). In assessing its hydrological impacts, the study found that overall impacts within the downstream catchment in Pilseung bridge of South Korea were generally less significant compared to the upstream Hwanggang catchment. However, there was a higher probability of experiencing water shortages during wet months due to the upstream dam’s operations. The study highlights the potential benefits of utilizing the publicly available hydrological model and satellite remote sensing imagery to supplement decision makers with important information for the effective management of the transboundary river basin in ungauged regions.

Putting diplomacy at the forefront of Water Diplomacy

Water diplomacy is a recent term that has been used to analyse hydropoltiical dynamics and issues that may arise when discussing transboundary water governance. In fact, the shared nature of transboundary water resources may lead to tension over their allocation and use which can in turn aggravate or harm interstate relations and cooperation. This is important as most freshwater resource systems cross jurisdictional borders, with 153 countries sharing transboundary rivers, lakes, and aquifers. Thus, a coordinated and sustainable management of these resources through water diplomacy is vital. While the concept of water diplomacy has been defined in several ways, we stress the need to emphasise diplomacy and the goals beyond the water field when considering this concept.

Geochemical evolution of dissolved trace elements in space and time in the Ramganga River, India

Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of river water chemistry from its source to sinks is critical for constraining the origin, transformation, and “hotspots” of contaminants in a river basin. To provide new spatiotemporal constraints on river chemistry, dissolved trace element concentrations were measured at 17 targeted locations across the Ramganga River catchment. River water samples were collected across three seasons: pre-monsoon, monsoon, and post-monsoon between 2019 and 2021. To remove the dependency of trace element concentrations on discharge, we used molar ratios, as discharge data on Indian transboundary rivers are not publicly available. The dataset reveals significant spatiotemporal variability in dissolved trace element concentrations of the Ramganga River. Samples collected upstream of Moradabad, a major industrial city in western Uttar Pradesh, are characterized by ~ 1.2–2.5 times higher average concentrations of most of the trace elements except Sc, V, Cr, Rb, and Pb, likely due to intense water–rock interactions in the headwaters. Such kind of enrichment in trace metal concentrations was also observed at sites downstream of large cities and industrial centers. However, such enrichment was not enough to bring a major change in the River Ganga chemistry, as the signals got diluted downstream of the Ramganga-Ganga confluence. The average river water composition of the Ramganga River was comparable to worldwide river water composition, albeit a few sites were characterized by very high concentrations of dissolved trace elements. Finally, we provide an outlook that calls for an assessment of stable non-traditional isotopes that are ideally suited to track the origin and transformation of elements such as Li, Mg, Ca, Ti, V, Cr, Fe, Ni, Cu, Zn, Sr, Ag, Cd, Sn, Pt, and Hg in Indian rivers.

Meteorological drought and trend effects on transboundary river basins in Afghanistan

Meteorological drought and trend effects on transboundary river basins in Afghanistan

The Problem of Water Scarcity in Central Asia: the Factor of Afghanistan

The article deals with the problem of water scarcity in the countries of Central Asia. Despite their efforts, the lack of water availability continues to persist. This increases tension in the inter-state relations in the region, as in recent years the countries increasingly face a shortage of water. Recently, Afghanistan has begun to influence the distribution of water resources in the region. Its actions are aimed at increasing abstraction of water resources from transboundary rivers of Central Asia. At the same time, Afghanistan has a right to act in this way. However, given the increasing shortage of water resources, Afghanistan’s policy may lead to new conflicts and exacerbation of relations with the Central Asian states.

Reservoir operation impacts on streamflow and sediment dynamics in the transboundary river basin, Vietnam

AbstractHuman interventions activities around the world, particularly reservoir operation, have dramatically altered hydrological and sediment regimes in most of the major river basins. In the Mekong River, specifically the Upper Srepok River Basin (USRB) which is a main tributary of the river basin connected to the Mekong Delta's rice bowl and the Tonle Sap Lake's top inland fisheries, there are increasing concerns about the impacts of cascade reservoir operations on downstream streamflow and sediment budgets. Previous studies estimating impacts either relied solely on observed data or did not verify simulations of regulated streamflow. Using a process‐based hydrological model calibrated and validated for both natural and regulated streamflow in the USRB, it was found that the monthly hydrological changes were up to ±20% compared to pre‐dam periods at the most downstream station bordering between Vietnam and Cambodia (i.e., Ban Don station). The basin also experienced a slight decrease (less than 2%) in annual streamflow. Additionally, average and peak suspended sediment concentration decreased significantly in both of the annual and seasonal periods. At the Ban Don station, sediment loads were reduced 140 thousand tons/year (i.e., 15%) compared to pre‐dam period. Most of the changes in streamflow and sediment budgets in the basin were driven by the Buon Tua Srah reservoir, which had the highest degree of regulation in the basin. Therefore, integrated and transboundary water and sediment management, particularly at Buon Tua Srah reservoir, needs to be developed for the sustainability of the river basin.

Using the fuzzy evidential reasoning approach to assess and forecast the water conflict risk in transboundary Rivers: A case study of the Mekong river basin

Improving the reliability of conflict evaluation and risk prediction methods used in transboundary water-sharing problems is an important research gap that needs to be addressed. This paper constructed a novel and comprehensive water conflict risk assessment framework that takes into account the multi-dimensional attributes of water resources. The reliability of each evaluation index is represented based on the triangular fuzzy number which can address the ambiguity and uncertainty. The fuzzy evidence reasoning model (FERM) was constructed to comprehensively calculate the risk level of water conflict in the transboundary river basin. The GM (1,1) model was used to predict the indicators for dynamic forecasting of the water conflict risk, and the water sharing problem in the Mekong River Basin (MRB) was selected as the case study to validate the method proposed in this paper. The results showed: (1) Except for Myanmar, the risk of water conflicts in other countries has decreased and will continue to decrease in the future. (2) The water quantity conflict risk in Laos and Thailand is increasing. (3) There is little change in the risk of water ecological conflict in riparian countries. (4) The risk of socio-economic conflict in Cambodia rises from high grade to very high grade, while the risk of economic and social conflict in other countries will decline. (5) From 1992 to 2027, water conflict in riparian countries have been on the decline. The comparison of the TWAP’s (Transboundary Waters Assessment Programme) assessment and prediction of water conflict risk shows that the research results of the two are close to each other. Therefore, the proposed model could help to assess and forecast the water conflict risk in transboundary rivers. This assists riparian countries to take effective preventive measures to avoid water conflicts.

A Study of Initial Water Rights Allocation Coupled with Physical and Virtual Water Resources

Virtual water exerts an indispensable influence on water resources, yet the existing studies on the water rights allocation of transboundary rivers hardly consider virtual water transfer (VWT). Therefore, in this paper, we used Taihu Lake as an example with data collected in 2017 that described both physical and virtual water use. We used these data to evaluate water rights allocation schemes by coupling virtual and physical water use. In order to achieve this goal, we first determined the physical water rights allocated for the four regions connected to the Basin. Next, we employed the multi-regional input–output (MRIO) approach to calculate the VWT among the four regions; then, we converted the VWT to the riparian level via the water efficiency coefficient. Finally, with virtual water included in the physical water rights allocation, we formulated a final water rights allocation for Taihu Lake. The results showed the following findings: (1) The ranking of the amount of physical water rights allocation is: Jiangsu > Zhejiang > Shanghai > Anhui. (2) Anhui and Jiangsu produce a net export of virtual water (2.259 billion m3 and 1.78 billion m3, respectively), while Zhejiang and Shanghai have a net import of virtual water (2.344 billion m3 and 1.695 billion m3, respectively), indicating that Anhui houses more water-consuming industries and is in greater need of economic restructuring. (3) The integration of virtual water makes a difference: Jiangsu achieved 16.208 billion m3 in terms of the amount of water rights allocated, Zhejiang achieved 6.606 billion m3, Shanghai achieved 3.040 billion m3, and Anhui achieved 4.319 billion m3, with a ranking of Jiangsu > Zhejiang > Anhui > Shanghai. The results detailed above prove that virtual water exerts an indispensable influence, and integrating virtual water can make the physical water rights allocation of transboundary rivers more equal and reasonable.

The Base Value of the Ecological Compensation Standard in Transboundary River Basins: A Case Study of the Lancang–Mekong River Basin

The ecological compensation standard in transboundary river basins should be determined by the basin countries through negotiation on the basis of the base value of the ecological compensation standard. This paper calculated the base value range of the ecological compensation standard, determining the upper limit based on the spillover value of ecosystem services for the ecosystem-service-consuming country and the lower limit according to the cost of ecological protection for the ecosystem-service-supplying country. The final range was determined by integrating this with the willingness to pay and the actual effort in each basin country. Taking, for example, the Lancang–Mekong River basin, the results indicate that the spillover value of ecosystem services in Laos, China and Myanmar was positive and these three countries were ecosystem-service-supplying countries, while in Cambodia, Vietnam and Thailand it was negative and these three countries were ecosystem-service-consuming countries. Among the ecosystem-service-supplying countries, the cost of ecological protection of them was in descending order of Laos, China and Myanmar, which was related to their own level of economic development. Considering the adjustment coefficient for the payment of ecosystem service value and the cost-sharing coefficient of each basin country, the feasible range for the base value of the ecological compensation standard was determined to be [2.47, 229.67] × 108 $, which provided the basis for the negotiation on the determination of the ECS. In addition, implementation suggestions were proposed from three aspects: establishing a basin-information-sharing mechanism and platform, establishing an integrated management organization for transboundary river basins, and strengthening and improving the coordination and supervision model of ecological compensation.

Modeling the water-energy-food-environment nexus and transboundary cooperation opportunity in the Brahmaputra River Basin

Study regionThe Brahmaputra River Basin. Study focusThe Brahmaputra River Basin (BRB) is the most environmentally fragile and politically unstable transboundary river basin in South Asia. Therefore, incorporating the environmental sector into water-energy-food system analysis is necessary to better serve water resource management in the BRB. Integrated water resources system analysis can provide more perspectives for alleviating political tension and promoting cooperation in the basin. This study proposes a modeling framework to explore the water-energy-food-environment (WEFE) nexus and analyze transboundary cooperation opportunities in the BRB. Employing the framework, we attempt to answer three questions: (1) how can we understand the relationships between various sectors and coordinate their water demands? (2) How do these relationships influence riparian countries’ decisions? (3) What measures can promote the sustainable development of the BRB under climate change and water infrastructure development? New hydrological insights for the regionThe results show that the trade-off curve between economic benefits and environmental costs has declining marginal value in the BRB. When environmental constraints are raised, countries are more inclined to cooperate to obtain more economic benefits. Full cooperation in the BRB increases the economic benefits and prompts riparian countries to take a greener road among the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126). Water resource project construction can improve the utility of water resources in a country, thus enhancing its discourse power on benefit reallocation.

Application of machine learning models in assessing the hydrological changes under climate change in the transboundary 3S River Basin

Abstract This paper aims to evaluate two machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely, convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memories (LSTM) deep learning algorithms, to predict the hydrological regime of the 3S River Basin under various climate change scenarios. Climate models CMCC-CMS, HadGEM-AO2, and MIROC5 were used to predict future climate and streamflow for three future periods: near-future (2020–2050), mid-future (2050–2080), and far-future (2080–2100) under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. The future projection shows an increase in mean annual temperature from 0.08 to 4.3 °C by CMCC-CMS, from 0.13 to 4.4 °C by HadGEM-AO2, and −0.07 to 4.2 °C MIROC5 models. Similarly, the annual precipitation is projected to fluctuate from 13.3 to 62.5% by CMCC-CMS, from −12.4 to 26.1% by HadGEM-AO2, and from 6.9 to 49% by the MIROC5 model. The 3S River Basin expects an increasing trend in streamflow in the Srepok and Sesan Rivers, while the Sekong is projected to have reduced streamflow. ML models predicted the increasing flood risk in the Sekong and Sesan catchments with the increase of the Q5 index in the future but a decrease in the Srepok.

How to Resolve Transboundary River Water Sharing Disputes

There are more than 260 transboundary rivers in the world, which are sometimes the cause of conflict. Therefore, management of these rivers is important not only for the economy but also for harmony and peace. Various methods are followed to resolve water-sharing disputes. A systematic review was carried out to determine how water disputes are resolved. It was found that cooperation, mediation, perfect river basin organisation, a proper monitoring system, information exchange, and benefit-sharing are the keys to success. On the other hand, non-cooperation, disregard of international water laws, water hegemony, imbalance of military power, and the absence of a proper institution, mediator, or benefit-sharing approach are the causes for failure of transboundary river management. This study also summarised the evaluation report of the river basin management and diagnosed whether the riparian countries are successful in conflict management, diagnosing 53% of the river basins as successful, 35% as unsuccessful, and 12% as neutral (neither successful nor unsuccessful). This result indicates that there is dissatisfaction with 35% transboundary rivers of the world. It was also revealed that the most frequently identified mode for resolving water conflict is benefit-sharing.

When the law is unclear: challenges and opportunities for data and information exchange in the Tigris-Euphrates and Indus river basins

Abstract Data and information exchange are vital for long-term transboundary water cooperation. However, many transboundary river basins lack regular data exchange between riparian States. In many cases, this is simply a feature of the generally fragmented nature of transboundary water cooperation; in others, transboundary river basin data sharing may be withheld for geopolitical reasons. The Tigris-Euphrates and Indus river basins are among the most highly politicized river basins globally. Cooperation between riparians is complicated by a lack of certainty regarding data, information exchange and legal obligations, as upper riparians in both basins have persistently objected to the customary law of international watercourses. With reference to international water law, this article ascertains the level of data and information exchange in these two basins, both through formal and informal structures, as well as prevalent obstacles and the institutional and technological responses to them. Despite significant challenges, the authors argue that technological advances can stimulate enhanced riparian cooperation.

Direct and indirect simulating and projecting hydrological drought using a supervised machine learning method

There is a trend in using Artificial Intelligence methods as simulation tools in different aspects of hydrology, including river discharge simulations, drought predictions, and crop yield simulations. The motivation of this work was to assess two various concepts in applying these methods in simulations and projections of hydrological drought. In this study, Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) was simulated and projected using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and meteorological drought indicators (the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)) were selected as predictors. A direct approach (directly simulating and projecting SRI) and an indirect approach (simulating and projecting river discharge, then calculating SRI) were assessed. Our results show that the indirect approach performs better than the direct approach in simulations of SRI in four discharge stations in the Odra River Basin (a transboundary river basin in Central Europe) from 2000 to 2019. Moreover, a considerable difference between these two approaches was detected in projections of hydrological drought under the RCP8.5 emission scenario for two horizons (near future: 2021–2040, and far future: 2041–2060). Based on the run theory, both approaches show somewhat similar drought conditions for future projections.

Meteorological and hydrological droughts in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin: Spatiotemporal patterns and propagation

The Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB) has been particularly vulnerable to serious and successive droughts during the last decades. Nevertheless, the characteristics of spatiotemporal variations in meteorological drought (MD) and hydrological drought (HD) with an emphasis on drought propagation have yet to be thoroughly investigated. In this study, based on reanalysis data, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized runoff index (SRI) were employed to comprehensively examine the evolution and propagation characteristics of MD and HD. Spearman rank correlation and wavelet analyses were employed for the correlation and propagation of MD to HD. The influencing factors of the drought propagation time (DPT) were also explored. The results indicate that: (1) During 1950–2021, the regions with worsening drought conditions were primarily in the Lancang River Basin in Yunnan Province, the highlands in north Laos, and the Khorat Plateau in Thailand. (2) The drought characteristics varied significantly on different timescales. For the longer timescales, the MDs and HDs corresponded to fewer drought events but longer durations and larger severities. The average duration and severity of HD were higher than MD on all selected timescales. (3) The DPTs from MD to HD exhibited noticeable spatial variability ranging from 2 to 9 months. In addition, there were statistically positive correlations between the MD and HD in each sub-region. (4) Precipitation was the dominant factor influencing the spatial distribution of DPTs at the basin scale, while the catchment properties, represented by the land use and elevation, had non-negligible influences on the DPTs. (5) Human activities weakened the correlations between MD and HD. Meanwhile, the DPTs were prolonged as a result of human influence. Our findings highlight the characteristics of HD response to MD in the diverse sub-regions of the LMRB and provide crucial information for early warning and improvement of drought resilience in this transboundary international river.

Water for Life Versus Water for Development

At ancient times, when the population on planet Earth was scarce, there was little friction over water resources. This has changed over the past few decades with the exponential growth of population with no corresponding increase of water revenue from nature. Compounding the problem is the construction of dams on almost every river in the world. Dams are used to regulate water flow, store water for use in dry seasons, eliminate or moderate flood hazards, generate hydropower, or control navigation. Dams may also have negative side effects. Dams constructed on international trans-boundary rivers can be extremely controversial. International conventions regulate the exploitation of the water of trans-boundary rivers. There have been violations to these conventions. These violations were done in the name of development. The results were disastrous for downstream riparian countries. In addition to the socio-economic effects, environmental, political, and massive migratory pressures have also been observed. At issue is the question of survival versus development, and which one should have higher priority. Examples will be given of development projects constructed by Ethiopia on the Nile River, which impacted Sudan and Egypt, and of development projects constructed by Turkey on the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers, which impacted Iraq and Syria.