Traffic Flow Data Research Articles

A traffic order evaluation method integrating aggressive driving behavior and traffic flow data based on tensor factorization

Here’s a revised version of abstract, under 150 words: This study introduces the Traffic Disorder Index (TDI), a new metric for assessing traffic operational risk by combining aggressive driving behaviours and traffic flow data. The TDI quantifies traffic order and identifies weakly stable traffic conditions using Bayesian temporal tensor factorization and dimensionality reduction to simplify high-dimensional traffic data into a low-dimensional score. The TDI’s effectiveness is evaluated through its ability to detect traffic order levels, match abnormalities, and provide interpretability. The results show that 89.6% of identified abnormal events correlating to sections with medium or high disorder. Notably, areas of high traffic disorder tend to occur at points of interest, entrances, and exits, and analyses show that elevated TDI scores are associated with greater speed variance and fluctuations, particularly near intersections in urban centres. Compared to traditional methods, the TDI better captures spatiotemporal traffic characteristics and offers actionable insights for proactive traffic safety measures.

Research on Urban Road Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Sa-Dynamic Graph Convolutional Neural Network

Neural network models based on GNNs often achieve good results in traffic flow prediction tasks of traffic networks. However, most existing GNN-based methods apply a fixed graph structure to capture spatial dependencies between nodes, and fixed graph structures may not be able to reflect the spatiotemporal changes in node dependencies. To address this, introducing a self-attention mechanism applied to an adaptive adjacency matrix, the neural network architecture is improved based on Graph WaveNet, and a new approach called self-attention dynamic graph wave network (SA-DGWN) is proposed, which can fit the spatiotemporal dependencies of the road network. In an experiment, traffic flow data were extracted based on RFID from certain roads in Nanjing, China. The results show that under the same configuration, compared to Graph WaveNet, MAE, MAPE, and RMSE from the proposed method reduced by 3.08%, 3.68%, and 2.6%, respectively. In addition, for the training data, we explored the impact of temporal feature and sampling periods on the training effect. The additional results indicate that adding hour-minute-second information to the input improved the model’s accuracy, reducing MAE, MAPE, and RMSE by 15.28%, 12.28%, and 14.01%, respectively. Adding day-of-the-week features also brought substantial performance improvements. For different sampling periods, the model performed better overall with a 10 min sampling period compared to 5 min and 15 min periods. For single-step prediction tasks, the longer the sampling period, the better the prediction effect.

COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF THE MOVING CAR METHOD FOR TRAFFIC DATA COLLECTION ON MULTILANE HIGHWAYS

Collecting traffic flow data is essential for most traffic studies to analyze and evaluate the performance of systems that provide safe trips for people and goods on highways. There are several methods for collecting traffic data. The moving car method (MCM) calculates traffic volume, speed, and travel time simultaneously, while stationary methods, such as camera recordings or radars, observe these data separately. This research aims to use both data collection methods on six segments of urban multi-lane highways to determine the accuracy of the moving car method compared to traditional methods. Additionally, it seeks to model a relationship between these methods to facilitate data collection using MCM for more accurate results. The results indicate no significant difference between the two methods, as the T statistic is less than the critical T in the t-test results. The models show low values of RMSE for the relationships between observed volume, arithmetic and harmonic mean speed, and arithmetic and harmonic means of travel time obtained by stationary methods and these data calculated by MCM. These models can be used with MCM for the study area.

A congestion prediction method based on trajectory mining algorithm

Nowadays, number of private cars is increasing rapidly. Traffic congestion becomes a serious problem in urban region. If traffic congestion can be predicted before it happens, it will be helpful for improving traffic condition. So many traffic congestion prediction methods have been proposed. Almost all these methods are based on traffic flow prediction algorithm. In these methods, historical traffic flow data is used while performing prediction. Obviously, information of sudden accidents like traffic accidents, road damage and bad weather that happened recently may be not contained in historical traffic flow data. But performance of traffic flow prediction algorithms will be affected by these factors. In this situation, performance of traffic congestion prediction method based on traffic flow prediction result will be affected as well. To solve the problem, a new traffic congestion prediction method based on trajectory mining algorithm is proposed in this paper. In this method, traffic controllers can set a threshold for each road according to the current situation of the road. The threshold represents the vehicle number that can be carried by the corresponding road in a short period. Besides, for each road, the proposed method tries to count the number of vehicles that will pass through the specific road at next time step by predicting next location for all the running vehicles based on their trajectories. If the vehicle number of a road surpasses the threshold of this road, it will be predicted as congested road. Otherwise, it will be predicted as non-congested road.

Development prediction algorithm of vehicle travel time based traffic data

This work is based on encouraging a generous and conceivable estimation for modified an algorithm for vehicle travel times on a highway from the eliminated traffic information using set aside camera image groupings. The strategy for the assessment of vehicle travel times relies upon the distinctive verification of traffic state. The vehicle velocities are gotten from acknowledged vehicle positions in two persistent images by working out the distance covered all through elapsed past time doing mollification between the removed traffic flow data and cultivating a plan to unequivocally predict vehicle travel times. Erbil road data base is used to recognize road locales around road segments which are projected into the commended camera imag-es and later distinguished vehicles are assigned to the looking at route segment so instantaneous and current velocities are calculated. All data were effectively processed and visualized using both MATLAB and Py-thon programming language and its libraries.

Research on Urban Road Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Hybrid CNN-LSTM Model

Long-term traffic flow forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation systems and also helps in the dynamic management of traffic flow. The goal of this research is to estimate future road traffic conditions using neural network models to reduce road congestion. Reducing prediction error is the most difficult task in traffic prediction. To predict traffic flow, this paper uses traffic data from Paris, France road dataset with normalized preprocessing of time series data. In this work, a novel CNN-LSTM hybrid model is built using MATLAB to predict traffic flow. The preprocessed data is used to train the CNN model, LSTM model and hybrid CNN-LSTM model. Finally, the predicted traffic flow data is evaluated using three evaluation indicators: coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The results show that the proposed hybrid CNN-LSTM model can well capture and learn the long-term temporal characteristics of traffic flow and can predict traffic flow quickly and effectively.

Addressing Class Imbalance in Intrusion Detection: A Comprehensive Evaluation of Machine Learning Approaches

The ever-growing number of cyber attacks in today’s digitally interconnected world requires highly efficient intrusion detection systems (IDSs), which accurately identify both frequent and rare network intrusions. One of the most important challenges in IDSs is the class imbalance problem of network traffic flow data, where benign traffic flow significantly outweighs attack instances. This directly affects the ability of machine learning models to identify minority class threats. This paper is intended to evaluate various machine learning algorithms under different levels of class imbalances, using resampling as a strategy for this problem. The paper will provide an experimental comparison by combining various algorithms for classification and class imbalance learning, assessing the performance through the F1-score and geometric mean (G-mean). The work will contribute to creating robust and adaptive IDS through the judicious integration of resampling with machine learning models, thus helping the domain of cybersecurity to become resilient.

Traffic Flow Prediction Methods Based on Deep Learning

In recent years, due to the rapid development of deep learning, it has been found that deep learning has shown good experimental results in traffic flow prediction, and is significantly better than traditional traffic flow prediction methods. This paper mainly classifies, sorts out, and summarizes the classic techniques and research status of traffic flow prediction based on deep learning. According to the length of traffic flow data, the traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning is further subdivided into long traffic flow prediction method and short traffic flow prediction method. The representative models of the two traffic flow prediction methods are analyzed and introduced in detail. Each representative model is expanded and extended, and the performance evaluation indicators of the long and short traffic flow prediction models are introduced. Finally, the possible future research directions and corresponding development trends in this field are summarized.

Towards explainable traffic flow prediction with large language models

Traffic forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation systems. It has experienced significant advancements thanks to the power of deep learning in capturing latent patterns of traffic data. However, recent deep-learning architectures require intricate model designs and lack an intuitive understanding of the mapping from input data to predicted results. Achieving both accuracy and explainability in traffic prediction models remains a challenge due to the complexity of traffic data and the inherent opacity of deep learning models. To tackle these challenges, we propose a traffic flow prediction model based on large language models (LLMs) to generate explainable traffic predictions, named xTP-LLM. By transferring multi-modal traffic data into natural language descriptions, xTP-LLM captures complex time-series patterns and external factors from comprehensive traffic data. The LLM framework is fine-tuned using language-based instructions to align with spatial-temporal traffic flow data. Empirically, xTP-LLM shows competitive accuracy compared with deep learning baselines, while providing an intuitive and reliable explanation for predictions. This study contributes to advancing explainable traffic prediction models and lays a foundation for future exploration of LLM applications in transportation.

Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction：A Method of MEA-LSTM Model Based on Chaotic Characteristics Analysis

To effectively improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow prediction, an improved Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method is proposed using the Mind Evolution Algorithm (MEA). Firstly, to address the issues of abnormal and missing traffic flow data, a Neighborhood Stacked Denoising AutoEncoder (NSDAE) is used for data repair. Then, the maximum Lyapunov exponent is used to determine the chaotic characteristics. Meanwhile, based on Bayesian estimation theory, the features of three-parameter sequences are fused in high-dimensional space using phase space reconstruction technique to obtain reconstructed multi-parameter fused traffic flow data. Finally, by taking advantage of the fact that MEA can divide the data into several subpopulations for optimal search separately, a prediction model based on MEA to improve LSTM is proposed. The results show that compared to the other two traditional data restoration methods, the NSDAE has higher accuracy, with the lowest average values of RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. Through the phase space reconstruction technique, the feature fusion of three parameters of traffic flow is realized in high-dimensional space, which makes up for the insufficiency of a single time-series data that cannot comprehensively levy the characteristics of traffic flow. The MEA-LSTM model outperforms the LSTM model in terms of prediction accuracy, computational efficiency, and generalization ability, and its RMSE, MEA, and MAPE are reduced by 24.3%, 28.9%, and 30.1%, respectively.

Research on Deep Learning Models for Traffic Flow Prediction

The issue of urban traffic congestion is becoming increasingly severe, highlighting the need for accurate traffic flow prediction to facilitate effective traffic management. Traditional prediction methods often struggle to address the complex spatiotemporal dependencies and external factors inherent in traffic data. This paper reviews existing deep learning models applied to traffic flow prediction, categorizing them into spatial and temporal types based on their dependencies. Spatial dependency models include those based on Euclidean space, such as CNN-based models, and non-Euclidean space models that combine Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) with attention mechanism. These models effectively capture spatial variations in traffic flow data. Temporal dependency models, such as Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (T-GCN), focus on capturing long-term dependencies and time series dynamics. The selection of models depends on specific tasks and data characteristics. The article concludes with a summary and outlook on the entire discussion.

A tensor decomposition method based on embedded geographic meta-knowledge for urban traffic flow imputation

Accurate and reliable traffic flow data are essential for intelligent transportation systems; however, limitations arising from hardware and communication costs often lead to missing data. Tensor decomposition is widely used to address these issues. However, existing imputation methods employ a fixed geographic feature similarity matrix to constrain the tensor decomposition process, which fails to accurately capture the spatial heterogeneity of traffic flows, thus limiting the imputation accuracy and robustness. This study proposes a tensor decomposition method embedded with geographic meta-knowledge (Meta-TD) to accurately determine the spatial heterogeneity of traffic flows. The key innovation is establishing a dynamic relationship between the geographic meta-knowledge and spatial heterogeneity of traffic flows, and then using the spatial heterogeneity of the traffic flows to constrain the tensor decomposition process. Experimental results based on real urban traffic flows demonstrated the superiority of Meta-TD over fifteen baseline models under random, block, and long time-series missing patterns, achieving reductions in MAE, RMSE, and MAPE of 6.97–97.05%, 3.33–94.68%, and 0.72–90.89%, respectively. Notably, Meta-TD maintained high accuracy for sudden changes in traffic flow states, evidencing its robustness to varying missing data rates and distribution patterns. This adaptability makes it highly suitable for complex and dynamic urban traffic environments.

Bootstrap-based inference for multiple mean-variance changepoint models

Identifying multiple change points in the mean and/or variance is crucial across various fields, including finance and quality control. We introduce a novel technique that detects change points for the mean and/or variance of a noisy sequence and constructs confidence intervals for both the mean and variance of the sequence. This method integrates the weighted bootstrap with the Sequential Binary Segmentation (SBS) algorithm. Not only does our technique pinpoint the location and number of change points, but it also determines the type of change for each estimated point, specifying whether the change occurred in the mean, variance, or both. Our simulations show that our method outperforms other approaches in most scenarios, clearly demonstrating its superiority. Finally, we apply our technique to three datasets, including DNA copy number variation, stock volume, and traffic flow data, further validating its practical utility and wide-ranging applicability.

Short Term Prediction of Urban Traffic Flow based on Machine Learning Algorithms

With the increasing per capita car ownership worldwide, existing transportation facilities are unable to fully meet people's travel needs. The massive traffic flow can lead to traffic congestion, so predicting traffic flow can play a crucial role in urban traffic management. This study predicts the westbound traffic flow data of the Minnesota Department of Transportation (MN DoT) ATR 301 station on Interstate 94 in the United States for 28 consecutive days using a Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) data prediction model. The Random Forest is utilized to analyze the association between attributes and the historical data has been separated into 1-hour intervals. The highway displays a bimodal pattern on weekdays and a unimodal pattern on holidays, according to the final forecast results. Furthermore, after making the necessary adjustments to the parameters, the simulated trend closely resembles the real value, proving that LSTM can be used to model short-term traffic flow. Accurately predicting urban traffic flow can make the management of urban traffic management systems more comprehensive and provide citizens with higher quality travel planning references.

Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on a Novel Combined Model

To improve the forecasting accuracy of traffic flow, this paper proposes a traffic flow forecasting algorithm based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) for data processing. The Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) algorithm is used to optimize the weights of a combined model called the GWO-PC-CGLX model, which consists of the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Initially, PCA and CEEMDAN are used to reduce the dimensionality and noise in the air quality index (AQI) data and traffic flow data. The smoothed data are then input into the CNN, GRU, LSTM, and XGboost models for forecasting. To improve the forecasting accuracy, the GWO algorithm is used to find the optimal weight combination of the four single models. Taking the data from Jiayuguan and Lanzhou in Gansu Province as an example, compared with the actual data, the values of the evaluation indicator R2 (Coefficient of Determination) reached 0.9452 and 0.9769, respectively, which are superior to those of the comparison models. The research results not only improve the accuracy of traffic flow forecasting but also provide effective support for the construction of intelligent transportation systems and sustainable traffic management.

Deep Learning-Based Method for Detecting Traffic Flow Parameters Under Snowfall.

In recent years, advancements in computer vision have yielded new prospects for intelligent transportation applications, specifically in the realm of automated traffic flow data collection. Within this emerging trend, the ability to swiftly and accurately detect vehicles and extract traffic flow parameters from videos captured during snowfall conditions has become imperative for numerous future applications. This paper proposes a new analytical framework designed to extract traffic flow parameters from traffic flow videos recorded under snowfall conditions. The framework encompasses four distinct stages aimed at addressing the challenges posed by image degradation and the diminished accuracy of traffic flow parameter recognition caused by snowfall. The initial two stages propose a deep learning network for removing snow particles and snow streaks, resulting in an 8.6% enhancement in vehicle recognition accuracy after snow removal, specifically under moderate snow conditions. Additionally, the operation speed is significantly enhanced. Subsequently, the latter two stages encompass yolov5-based vehicle recognition and the employment of the virtual coil method for traffic flow parameter estimation. Following rigorous testing, the accuracy of traffic flow parameter estimation reaches 97.2% under moderate snow conditions.

Investigating a Toolchain from Trajectory Recording to Resimulation

The growing variety of transportation options and increasing traffic congestion pose new challenges for road safety. As a result, there is an intensified focus on developing automated driving features and assistance systems aimed at minimizing accidents caused by human errors. The creation of these systems requires a substantial amount of testing kilometers, with estimates suggesting that around 2.1 billion kilometers would be necessary to ensure that each situation pertinent to the driving function is encountered at least once with a probability of 50%. This paper advances the microscopic simulation of traffic scenarios beyond linear patterns, utilizing the open-source environment openPASS. It addresses the research question of whether existing microscopic simulations are able to realistically represent non-linear traffic scenarios. A comprehensive toolchain integrates simulation with video recordings and laser scans. The study compares recorded traffic flow data with simulations at a T-junction, assessing the realism of vehicle models and trajectory representation. Three scenarios are analyzed, considering vehicles and pedestrians. The 3D geometry of the scene was captured with a laser scanner, enabling the mapping of recorded video data onto a geo-referenced environment. Object trajectories were extracted using an ’Regions with Convolutional Neural Networks features’ object detector. While openPASS simulated vehicle and pedestrian behaviors effectively, limitations in trajectory variability and reaction times were observed. These findings highlight the need for more realistic behavior models. This research emphasizes the necessity for improvements to accommodate complex driving behaviors and pedestrian dynamics.

Structural Characteristics of Expressway Carbon Emission Correlation Network and Its Influencing Factors: A Case Study in Guangdong Province

Understanding the spatial correlation of transportation carbon emissions and their influencing factors is significant in achieving an overall regional carbon emission reduction. This study analyzed the structure characteristics of the expressway carbon emission correlation network in Guangdong Province and examined its influencing factors with intercity expressway traffic flow data using social network analysis (SNA). The findings indicate that the correlation network of expressway carbon emissions in Guangdong Province exhibited a “core-edge” spatial pattern. The overall network demonstrated strong cohesion and stability, and a significant difference existed between the passenger vehicle and freight vehicle carbon emission networks. The positions and roles of different cities varied within the carbon emission network, with the Pearl River Delta (PRD) cities being in a dominant position in the carbon network. Cities such as Guangzhou, Foshan, and Dongguan play the role of “bridges” in the carbon network. The expansion of differences in GDP per capita, industrial structure, technological level, and transportation intensity facilitates the formation of a carbon emission network. At the same time, geographical distance between cities and policy factors inhibit them. This study provides references for developing regional collaborative carbon emission governance programs.

An innovative traffic flow detection model based on temporal video frame analysis and grayscale aggregation quantification

AbstractCurrent traffic status detection methods heavily rely on historical traffic flow data and vehicle counts. However, these methods often fail to meet the stringent real‐time requirements of state detection, especially on edge devices with limited computing resources.To address these challenges, this study develops a traffic alert model using temporal video frame analysis and grayscale aggregation quantization techniques. Initially, the model uses distance mapping between pixel features and frames of road traffic videos to construct a comprehensive road environment and vehicle segmentation model. The model also establishes a mapping between pixel equidistant lines and actual distances, enabling precise congestion detection. This approach significantly reduces costs associated with traditional traffic detection methods as it does not rely on historical data. Performance evaluation using fixed‐point road monitoring data indicates that the proposed model outperforms traditional traffic state detection models, with a performance improvement of approximately 4.7% to 9.5%. Additionally, the model improves computing resource efficiency by approximately 72.5% and demonstrates substantial real‐time detection capabilities.

Spatio-temporal envolutional graph neural network for traffic flow prediction in UAV-based urban traffic monitoring system

With the advancement of modern UAV technology, UAVs have become integral to creating traffic management monitoring systems. Additionally, UAV-based traffic monitoring systems can predict traffic flow by integrating machine learning methods. Specifically, traffic flow data contains both spatial and temporal information, which can be effectively processed by graph neural networks (GNNs). However, GNNs often face the challenge of oversmoothing, which hinders their ability to capture complex structures in the data. The Spatio-Temporal Graph Ordinary Differential Equations (STGODE) model addresses this issue by introducing Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) to construct deeper GNNs. Despite this, STGODE relies on initially predefined semantic neighborhood matrices, which do not adapt well to the dynamic nature of traffic information. To overcome this limitation, we propose an evolutionary graph neural network for traffic prediction, capable of continuously updating the semantic adjacency matrix throughout the training process. This dynamic evolution of the semantic adjacency matrix allows it to adapt to the features and semantic relations of the current data, enhancing its ability to capture the complexity and variability of traffic patterns. We validate our approach through experiments on several real-world datasets, demonstrating that our method outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks.