Bootstrap-based inference for multiple mean-variance changepoint models

Abstract

Identifying multiple change points in the mean and/or variance is crucial across various fields, including finance and quality control. We introduce a novel technique that detects change points for the mean and/or variance of a noisy sequence and constructs confidence intervals for both the mean and variance of the sequence. This method integrates the weighted bootstrap with the Sequential Binary Segmentation (SBS) algorithm. Not only does our technique pinpoint the location and number of change points, but it also determines the type of change for each estimated point, specifying whether the change occurred in the mean, variance, or both. Our simulations show that our method outperforms other approaches in most scenarios, clearly demonstrating its superiority. Finally, we apply our technique to three datasets, including DNA copy number variation, stock volume, and traffic flow data, further validating its practical utility and wide-ranging applicability.