Thaw Depth Research Articles

The soil–cryogenic complex: Evidence of late Pleistocene–Holocene coevolution of permafrost and cryosols at the Kolyma Lowland

AbstractOne of the most important problems of cryopedology is the interaction of pedogenic processes with the processes that form the structure of the uppermost layers of the near‐surface permafrost. The thickness, structure, spatial variability, and other features are responsible for the reaction of the soil‐permafrost system to the bioclimatic fluctuations as well as the contemporary anthropogenic pressure. Together the soil profile and the upper layers of permafrost form the natural body of the “soil–cryogenic complex,” which is the result of simultaneous late Pleistocene–Holocene soil and permafrost coevolution. Pedogenic and cryogenic processes together form organic‐accumulative horizons above the permafrost table that have often been described in the profiles of Cryosols in different regions of Arctic. The multiannual dynamics of summer thawing depth determine the involvement of the material of these shielding horizons into the zone of active modern pedogenesis or its exclusion from it in case of their frozen state. Soil surface microrelief, complexity of the vegetation, and spatial differences of thermal properties of the suprapermafrost soil horizons and the transient layer of permafrost are responsible for the complicated pattern of permafrost table microrelief. Thus, the long‐term study of cryogenic soils that are developed on the close underlying permafrost provides improved understanding of the natural‐historical body—soil‐cryogenic complex.

Simulating the thermal regime of a railway embankment structure on the Tibetan Plateau under climate change

With global warming and its amplified effect on the Tibetan Plateau, the permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau has been significantly degraded, manifested by decreased permafrost thickness, increased active layer thickness, thermokarst, and surface subsidence, causing severe damage to infrastructure. To better understand and assess the future stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, we used a laterally coupled version of the one-dimensional CryoGrid3 land surface model to simulate the thermal regimes of the railway subgrade under current climate conditions. By modeling ground subsidence (i.e., by simulating the melting of excess ice) we provide estimates of future subgrade stability under low (Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 [RCP2.6]) and high (RCP8.5) climate warming scenarios. Our modeled results reveal satisfactory performance with respect to the comparison of measured and modeled ground thermal regimes. Under current climate conditions, we infer that mostly thaw-stable conditions as maximum thaw depths do not reach the embankment base. The sunny side of the embankment (southeast-facing) reveals being more vulnerable to suffering from thaw settlement or thermal erosion than the shady side (northwest-facing). The extent of future railway failure due to thawing permafrost will depend on the magnitude of the warming. For conditions typical of Beiluhe (situated on continuous permafrost in the central Tibetan Plateau), the railway embankment might largely maintain safe operation until the end of the century under a scenario of climate stabilization. In contrast, under strong warming the railway subgrade is likely to destabilize from the 2030s onwards and embankment subsidence is initiated at mid-century through the melting of excess ice.

Localized Vegetation, Soil Moisture, and Ice Content Offset Permafrost Degradation under Climate Warming

Rapid Arctic warming is expected to result in widespread permafrost degradation. However, observations show that site-specific conditions (vegetation and soils) may offset the reaction of permafrost to climate change. This paper summarizes 43 years of interannual seasonal thaw observations from tundra landscapes surrounding the Marre-Sale on the west coast of the Yamal Peninsula, northwest Siberia. This robust dataset includes landscape-specific climate, active layer thickness, soil moisture, and vegetation observations at multiple scales. Long-term trends from these hierarchically scaled observations indicate that drained landscapes exhibit the most pronounced responses to changing climatic conditions, while moist and wet tundra landscapes exhibit decreasing active layer thickness, and river floodplain landscapes do not show changes in the active layer. The slow increase in seasonal thaw depth despite significant warming observed over the last four decades on the Yamal Peninsula can be explained by thickening moss covers and ground surface subsidence as the transient layer (ice-rich upper permafrost soil horizon) thaws and compacts. The uneven proliferation of specific vegetation communities, primarily mosses, is significantly contributing to spatial variability observed in active layer dynamics. Based on these findings, we recommend that regional permafrost assessments employ a mean landscape-scale active layer thickness that weights the proportions of different landscape types.

Soils of the Krestovsky and Chetyryokhstolbovoy islands in the National Nature Reserve “Bear Islands” (East Siberian Sea)

This paper presents an investigation of previously unstudied soils of the Arctic islands (Krestovsky and Chetyryokhstolbovoy), which gained the status of a new protected area “Bear Islands” (70°37′–70°60′ N, 160°23′–162°33′ E). Their soils were formed mainly under permafrost conditions (approximately 1 m), with a seasonal thawing depth of 0.3–0.6 cm. The territory of Krestovsky Island is a combination of several landscapes characterized by various types of permafrost soils. Primitive gravelly soils (A–BC(C)) are exposed in mountainous areas. Permafrost tundra low-gley soils (OT–Bg–BCg(C)) are formed on the gentle long slopes under hummocky moss-herbaceous tundra. In natural depressions on cryogenic forms of surface, the soil cover represents a combination of permafrost arctotundra gleyic (O–B–Bg(BC)┴) and humus-gley soils (O–AH–AB–BG┴). Marsh soils (Ad–C(AC)–C′) occur along the low flooded gently sloping coasts of the island. All soils are acidic. Zonal types are characterized by gleying, which brings them closer to the soils of the mainland. The soil cover of Chetyryokhstolbovoy Island, with the most fully developed shrublichen-moss or forb-moss soils, is rather monotonous. Namely it is represented by arctotundra gleyic soils with a profile of the same type in terms of morphological features and physicochemical properties (О–Аd–АВ(g)–Вg(BCg)). The main features of this soil type include the thinness of the surface organogenic horizon, good decomposition of organic matter, high and medium content of humus in the soddy-humus horizon, the absence of surface gleying or its weak severity due to drying out in summer.

Innovative Air Convection Embankment for Cold/Arctic Region Low-Volume Roads

Roadbed thaw settlement is a unique challenge for the durability of low-volume roads (LVRs) in permafrost regions. Air convection embankment (ACE) is an effective technique that acts as a semi-heat-transfer system to control temperature variation and reduce the thaw depth of subsoil. However, limited by the shortage of the necessary crushed rocks within a short distance, building an ACE in Alaska, U.S., is prohibitively expensive. Previous studies identified the feasibility of using cellular concrete for ACE and determined the optimized thickness of the cellular concrete aggregate interlayer for ACE. However, the economic efficiency and thermal and mechanical performance of the optimized, innovative cellular concrete aggregate ACE need further investigation. Therefore, two innovative cellular concrete ACEs with reasonable heights for cold/Arctic region LVRs were evaluated in this study. A thermal-mechanical coupling model was created using ANSYS Fluent and ANSYS Mechanical to evaluate the thermal and mechanical stability of the two optimized innovative cellular concrete aggregate ACEs by comparing them with a typical Alaskan flexible pavement, a silty sand/gravel embankment, and a conventional crushed-rock ACE. The fatigue damage was predicted using the elastic-based Alaska Flexible Pavement Design (AKFPD) program. A life-cycle cost analysis was conducted using AKFPD to evaluate the overall long-term economic efficiency of the cellular concrete ACEs. The results showed that cellular concrete ACE could achieve better thermal and mechanical performance with much lower embankment height than crushed-rock ACE. The cost analysis showed that the proposed cellular concrete ACEs had a significant cost advantage over the conventional crushed-rock ACE.

Simulation of Freeze–Thaw and Melting of Buried Ice in Longbasaba Moraine Dam in the Central Himalayas Between 1959 and 2100 Using COMSOL Multiphysics

AbstractPermafrost degradation increases the likelihood of glacial lake outburst floods on the Tibetan Plateau. Analyses of the freeze–thaw conditions in moraine dams and associated impacts on dam stability contribute toward reducing natural hazard risks. We used the heat transfer module of COMSOL Multiphysics to simulate the soil temperature field in the Longbasaba moraine dam, which is on the northern slope of central Himalaya. There is close agreement between the simulated and observed soil temperature values. Root mean squared errors (the square root of the mean of the square of all of the error) are below 1.30°C and mean bias errors vary from −0.10 to −0.52°C for the different soil layers. Between 1959 and 2020, active layer thickness increased at a mean annual rate of 0.024 m a−1. Under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 scenarios, the buried ice inside the moraine dam is clearly melting. The maximum‐buried ice thaw depth is currently 3.4 m and at the end of the 21st century is projected to be 9.53, 16.69, and 21.83 m under SSP1‐2.6, SSP2‐4.5, and SSP5‐8.5, which indicates a continuous decrease in moraine dam stability.

Frost Mitigation Techniques for Tunnels in Cold Regions: The State of the Art and Perspectives

Tunnels located in cold regions are vulnerable to frost damage resulting from the special atmosphere, which directly threatens the safety of the tunnel structure and operation. Frost problems of tunnels in cold regions have not been fundamentally resolved. This paper reviews design theory and the frost mitigation techniques currently used in the design, construction and maintenance of cold region tunnels. The depths of freezing and thawing and frost heaving force are the key indexes of design theory. Insulation is the main design technology used to prevent frost heaving and thawing, and the active heating technology has also been applied in practice. In construction, reducing the heat of hydration and blasting by specific winter construction techniques can prevent tunnel freeze–thaw damages. In operation, the restoration of drainage systems, the reinforcement of structures and the reinstallation of freezing-prevention systems are effective measures to treat frost problems. Finally, some constructive suggestions and opinions are put forward to improve the service performance of tunnels.

Transient Freeze‐Thaw Deformation Responses to the 2018 and 2019 Fires Near Batagaika Megaslump, Northeast Siberia

AbstractWildfires in Arctic regions impact landforms via permafrost degradation and subsequent deformation that can last for many years. However, it remains uncertain on if and how much deformations occur, and what controls their magnitude, particularly during the first couple of years. Here, we examine the transient post‐fire deformation responses near the Batagaika megaslump, which is the world's largest retrogressive thaw slump at Batagay, Sakha Republic. There were wildfires in the summers of 2018 and 2019 on the same slope, which could trigger the formation of another megaslump; many fires occurred nearby in 2019. We use interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) to measure surface displacements, including both post‐fire and span‐fire images. We also perform onsite measurements of temperature and thaw depth around the two scars near Batagaika megaslump in 2019, 2020, and 2021 and around the 2014 scar in 2019. At the three fire scars formed in 2018 and 2019, we demonstrate year‐to‐year and location‐specific changes in the amplitude of subsidence, heave, and duration. The 2018 scar shows cumulative subsidences of up to 10 cm by March 2021, more clearly than the nearby 2019 scar. On the other hand, another 2019 scar adjacent to the 2014 scar shows up to 13 cm net subsidence during the first span‐fire year, although the subsiding area is limited. These diverse transient post‐fire responses demonstrate that under the yedoma area the spatial heterogeneities of the active layer depth and the timing of fires will control subsequent thermokarst processes.

Permafrost degradation induced by warm-oil pipelines and analytical results of thermosyphon-based thawing mitigation

The China–Russia Crude Oil Pipeline (CRCOP) has been in operation for more than ten years, and its oil temperature has been increasing annually. Problems with ground surface subsidence and pipeline settlement were found in geological investigations along the CRCOP, indicating the risk of pipeline instability. In this study, a system was established to monitor pipeline–permafrost interactions along the CRCOP. It was found that the seasonal thawing depth (STD) of a borehole 2 m away from the horizontal line of the CRCOP reached about 11 m in 2022. Based on the on-site measured boundary, a laboratory experiment was conducted to study the evolution of the thermal regime, and to investigate the cooling effect of thermosyphons. The results indicated the consistent existence of a thaw bulb surrounding the pipeline, which was open in warm seasons but remained closed in cold seasons and expanded in three directions at different speeds. Thermosyphoning erased the thaw bulb and altered the thermal evolution of the permafrost, with a gradually decreasing STD. The results of this research can serve as a reference for thermal regime assessments of the CRCOP and thaw settlement mitigation along the CRCOP, as well as for other counterparts across the world.

A 2D Moving Mesh Finite Element Analysis of Heat Transfer in Arctic Soils

Accurate soil heat transfer models are needed to predict and adapt to a warming arctic. A numerical model to accurately predict temperatures and thaw depths in soils, both with depth and with horizontal distance from features such as cliffs, was developed in Matlab using the finite element method. The model was validated against analytical solutions to simple versions of the problem and experimental temperature data from borehole thermistor strings on the north shore of Alaska. The current model is most useful for short term (on the order of days) predictions of thaw depth and near surface temperatures in homogeneous soils with existing data to allow the calibration of soil thermal parameters. These are exactly the time scales and capabilities that would integrate well with erosional models to predict the erosion during storm events and summer thaw conditions. Comparisons with analytical solutions show the model to be fairly accurate in predictions of temperatures thaw-depth and temperatures, within about 0.25 °C and 0.02 m respectively, for reasonable arctic soil parameters. Differences between predicted temperatures and thaw-depth against borehole data from Barter Island, Alaska are within about 1 °C and 0.5 m respectively. Comparison to commercial software, which does not directly track and move the phase change boundary, shows that this moving-mesh model has much better agreement. The model developed in this work is flexible and can be modified to model a wide variety of problems, but is efficiently set up to take a surface and thaw-boundary profile (not necessarily horizontal) and use soil parameters and surface boundary conditions appropriate to Arctic regions. It has been verified to appropriately model cliffs, which are particularly vulnerable to erosion.

Influence of air temperature on thaw depth of a road foundation

The expected thaw depth of the foundation soil is one of the parameters influencing the selection of technical solutions of road design in the permafrost area. The purpose of this research is a quantitative assessment of the degree of influence of air temperature on thaw depth of the road foundation soil in the permafrost area. A standard formula to calculate thaw depth of melting bodies of flat symmetry obtained through a solution of the one phase Stefan problem at boundary conditions of the first kind was used for the analysis. An algorithm using an analytical formula to assess the influence of the main initial parameters and accuracy of their determination on the resulting value, the thaw depth of the soil, is proposed. The results of the calculations are presented in a graphical form displaying the influence of average air temperature and the accuracy of its setting on the thaw depth of the road foundation soil. It was determined that the degree of change in thaw depth is non-linear and depends on both the average air temperature and on the accuracy with which it is set. For every average air temperature value there is a specific measure of required accuracy for thermal calculations so that the error of thaw depth determination does not exceed the permitted error. A 3D chart showing the expected percentage error in thaw depth forecasting depending on the average air temperature and the accuracy of its setting for an array of initial values was created.

Influence of Ground Ice Content on Thawing Depth Road Base

One of the important parameters that determine technical solutions in the design of roads in the permafrost zone is the depth of thawing of the road foundation soils. The aim of the work was to quantify the degree of influence of the ice content in the soil foundations of roads in the permafrost zone on the depth of their seasonal thawing. For the analysis, we used the classical formula for calculating the thawing depth for bodies of plane symmetry, obtained by solving the single-phase Stefan problem. The results of numerical calculations are presented in the form of 2D and 3D graphs, which make it possible to visually assess the effect of ground ice content and the degree of its change during the road operation period on the depth of thawing of the road foundation. It has been established, in particular, that the degree of change in the depth of thawing at the same value of the increase in ice content in different ranges (for example, from 10 to 20% and from 30 to 40%) for the considered typical case of the ground base of the permafrost zone, decreases by almost 1.3 times. It is shown that the greater the initial ice content of the soil, the lower the degree of decrease in the thawing depth when the ice content changes by a constant value.

Road foundation thawing at change in Ice content along the active layer depth

The seasonal temperature and humidity regime of the road foundation in the active layer of soil largely determines the reliability and safety of the automobile road use. The aim of this article is a quantitative assessment of the influence of variation in ice content in the active layer of the road foundation soil in the permafrost area on the depth of seasonal soil thawing. Analytical solutions of one-phase flat Stefan problem at varying ice content along the coordinate were obtained. The solution is in the dimensionless form as a Fourier function based on Stefan number and dimensionless simplexes. The dependence of ice content change on the distance was assumed to be linear. Calculations using the obtained formulas were conducted, comparing against formulas assuming that ice content is a constant. It was determined at which ice content gradient averaging the ice content does not lead to an error greater than permitted in engineering practice in determination of the thawing depth. The results of variant calculations are presented as 2D and 3D charts to assess the influence of the initial ice content in the soil and the degree of its variation over the period of road use on the thawing depth of road foundation.

MT-InSAR Unveils Dynamic Permafrost Disturbances in Hoh Xil (Kekexili) on the Tibetan Plateau Hinterland

Hoh Xil is an uninhabited extremity secluded on the Tibetan Plateau hinterland. A complete mapping of ground motion variation in Hoh Xil is essential for in-depth understanding of terrain’s responses to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau. However, the inaccessibility and extremely harsh environment impeded extensive field investigations on landform alteration and its formative process. Such difficulty can be resolved by Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), which enables a broad detection of subtle permafrost motions at millimeter precision. This study, for the first time, accomplished a Multi-temporal InSAR (MT-InSAR) deformation mapping from 2015 to 2020 in Hoh Xil, with a wide coverage of about 200,000 km <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> . 1,592 Sentinel-1 images were processed based on the small baseline subset (SBAS) technique. The results show that Hoh Xil was experiencing dynamic permafrost disturbances. Thawing permafrost with both the linear subsidence rate higher than 2 mm/yr and the periodic amplitude over 2 mm was primarily detected in areas of flat or gentle slopes. The InSAR cumulative deformation is highly correlated with permafrost thawing depth. Significant lag times were identified between seasonal oscillation of InSAR deformation and land surface temperature (LST). Thermokarst landforms of retrogressive thaw slumps and thermokarst lakes broadly formed and dynamically evolved as a consequence of permafrost degradation. Particularly, widespread thawing permafrost characterized by the spatial clustering of thermokarst lakes appeared to occur in areas adjacent to large lakes. The discovered dynamic permafrost disturbances in Hoh Xil manifested even the secluded Tibetan Plateau hinterland was facing the threat of climate change.

Evaluating the Impact of Soil Enthalpy upon the Thawing Process of the Active Layer in Permafrost Regions of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau Using CLM5.0

The hydrothermal dynamics of the active layer is a key issue in the study of surface processes in permafrost regions. Even though the soil energy budget is controlled by thermal conduction and latent heat transfer, few studies have focused on their effects upon the active layer thickness (ALT). In the present study, the community land model (CLM) version 5.0 is used to simulate the soil temperature and moisture of the active layers at the Tanggula (TGL) and Beiluhe (BLH) stations in permafrost regions of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on the theory of soil enthalpy in order to estimate the soil energy state and analyze the energy changes in the active layer during freezing and thawing. The results indicate that the soil enthalpy has significant seasonal variation characteristics, which accurately reflected the freezing and thawing processes of the active layer. The change in soil enthalpy is significantly related to the thawing depth of the active layer in TGL and BLH, and its changing process can be expressed as an exponential relationship. Near the surface, the variation of the energy due to temperature gradient and actual evaporation can also be expressed as an exponential relationship. The promoting effect of heat conduction on the ALT is greater than the inhibiting effect of latent heat transfer, with the energy contribution from the phase change accounting for about 20–40% of the energy due to the temperature gradient. The thawing depth increases by 14.16–18.62 cm as the energy due to the temperature gradient increases by 1 MJ/m2 and decreases by 2.75–7.16 cm as the energy due to the phase change increases by 1 MJ/m2. Thus, the present study quantifies the effects of soil energy upon the ALT and facilitates an understanding of the hydrothermal processes in soils in permafrost regions.

Математическое моделирование процесса промерзания грунтов земляного полотна железных дорог в условиях холодного климата

Purpose: Mathematical model for studying the process of soil freezing given moisture migration is developed. Numerical modeling of temperature mode of railway subgrade at non-stationary pro-cess in cold climate conditions is performed. Methods: Numerical implementation of the model is performed by mathematical module processing in COMSOL Multiphysics program, which’s based on partial differential equations (PDE), with finite element method. The model reliability is con-firmed by the comparison with previous experimental data and the results of simulation by other authors. Results: Calculation results on the developed model basis show the best correlation with experimental data in comparison with the results for other models. Calculation example and calcu-lation results for subgrade temperature mode in freezing-thawing fifth cycle are presented. The analysis of soil freezing depth change and soil temperature fluctuation change by depth by fifth year are carried out. Practical significance: The developed mathematical model makes it possible to predict soil freezing depth, taking into account moisture migration, including freezing and thawing depth changes caused by climate warming. The developed model can be used both, to study the mechanism of subgrade temperature mode distribution at freezing and thawing, and to improve subgrade construction for to protect it from soil frost heaving.

Analyzing factors impacting the thaw depth of the natural foundation soils under the railway embankment in the Tynda–Kuryan section of BAM

Relevance. The reliability of roadbed on a thawing foundation is a relevant problem both for a new railway line and existing roadbed on permafrost soils. Among other things, design inaccuracies are the reason for deformations of roadbed on icy soils in the conditions of permafrost propagation. That is due to the use of calculation methods that do not take full account of the special nature of thermal and mechanical interaction between the roadbed and the thawing foundation. Research objective is to identify, based on the analyzed material, the relationship between the thaw depth of the natural foundation soils under the railway embankment and its height. Methods of research. An 8 km long section of a Baikal-Amur Mainline on the Kuryan – P.P. 2342 km (Tynda) stretch, with statistical indicators for 61 transverse profiles was taken as an object of research. To check the presence of a linear relationship between the thaw depth of the natural foundation under the roadbed floor and the embankment height, scattering diagrams were constructed and regression equations were found; the relationship nature and strength are determined using the Pearson correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficient reliability is assessed using the Student’s criterion. To assess the quality of the constructed regression model, the statistical significance of the determination coefficient is checked using the Fisher F-criterion. Research results. The calculations allowed to make a conclusion about the statistical significance of the correlation coefficient for the embankments of the two sample groups. The obtained Pearson correlation coefficients are significant, and between the studied features (i.e. the height of the embankment and the thaw depth of the natural foundation under it (in each group)) there is a close inverse relationship, for drainless surfaces the relationship is stronger. Conclusions. The correlation analysis performed in this article shows that the thaw depth of the natural foundation under the railway embankment and the embankment height have a close statistically significant inverse relationship. The analysis prepared according to experimental data gives only a general assessment of the dependence between natural foundation thawing and the embankment height at a local site.

Riverine CO2 variations in permafrost catchments of the Yangtze River source region: Hot spots and hot moments

Rivers and streams are pivotal modulators in regional and global carbon cycles, but riverine CO2 flux is still uncertain for permafrost watersheds. Here we present the seasonal CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) and CO2 emission flux (FCO2) of 8 rivers and streams in the Yangtze River source region (YRSR), which have high permafrost coverage and seasonally thawed active layer. The YRSR rivers and streams are generally supersaturated with CO2, although there are a few sites with CO2 undersaturation during spring. The small headwater streams are CO2 hot spots that show significantly higher pCO2 (52 % higher) and FCO2 (792 % higher) than larger rivers. Both pCO2 and FCO2 show distinct seasonality across the study sites. pCO2 and FCO2 peak in summer and exhibit much lower levels in autumn and spring, indicating that hot moments of riverine CO2 occur in summer. Seasonal pCO2 and FCO2 variations are jointly controlled by hydrology, active layer dynamics and associated processes. The warm summer causes active layer thaw and highly active soil respiration, which release a large quantity of soil carbon and increase the CO2 sources via strengthened hydrologic connectivity. The high rainfall and more thaw-released water in summer bring high discharge, which can increase the water velocity and gas exchange rate and thus CO2 emission flux. Most of the variances of seasonal FCO2 (95 %) can be explained by hydrology and active layer thaw depth. Nevertheless, the hydrological process and seasonally thawed active layer over Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) play crucial roles in riverine carbon export due to the summer monsoon-dominated climate in QTP. Our results suggest that full seasonal coverage of CO2 dynamics is essential to quantify the annual CO2 flux accurately. Changing climate and warming permafrost may alter the annual CO2 emission due to deeper flow paths, hydrology changes, and longer emission windows throughout the year.

The hydrothermal changes of permafrost active layer and their impact on summer rainfall-runoff processes in an alpine meadow watershed, northwest China

The freezing-thawing variation of permafrost active layer increases the complexity of rainfall-runoff processes in alpine river basins, Northwest China. And alpine meadow is the prominent ecosystem in these basins. This study selected a small alpine meadow watershed in the upper reaches of the Shule River Basin, China. We investigated alpine rainfall-runoff processes, as well as impacts of summer thaw depth of active layer, soil temperature and moisture variation on streamflow based on in-situ observations from July 2015 to December 2020. Some hydrologic parameters or indices were calculated using statistical methods, and impacts of permafrost change on river runoff were assessed using the variable infiltration capacity model (VIC). In the alpine meadow, surface soil (0–10 cm depth) of the active layer starts to freeze in mid-October each year, and begins to thaw in early April. Also, the deeper soil (70–80 cm depth) of the active layer starts to freeze in late October, and begins to thaw in late June. Moisture content in shallow soils fluctuates regularly, whereas deeper soils are more stable, and their response to rainstorms is negligible. During active layer thawing, the moisture content increases with soil depth. In the alpine meadow, vertical infiltration only occurred in soils up to 40 cm deep, and lateral flow occurred in 0–20 and 60–80 cm deep soils at current rainfall intensity. Summer runoff ratios were 0.06–0.31, and runoff floods show lags of 9.5–23.0 h following the rainfall event in the study area. The freeze–thaw process also significantly impacts runoff regression coefficients, which were 0.0088–0.0654 per hour. Recession coefficient decrease negatively correlates with active layer thawing depth in summer and autumn. Alpine river basin permafrost can effectively increase peak discharge and reduce low flow. These findings are highly significant for rainfall–runoff conversion research in alpine areas of inland rivers.

Increased nutrient availability speeds up permafrost development, while goose grazing slows it down in a Canadian High Arctic wetland

Abstract It is of prime importance to understand feedbacks due to the release of carbon (C) stored in permafrost soils (permafrost‐climate feedback) and direct impacts of climatic variations on permafrost dynamics therefore received considerable attention. However, indirect effects of global change, such as the variation in soil nutrient availability and grazing pressure, can alter soil and surface properties of the Arctic tundra, with the potential to modify soil heat transfers toward the permafrost and impact resilience of Arctic ecosystems. We determined the potential of nutrient availability and grazing to alter soil energy balance using a 16‐year split‐plot experiment crossing fertilization at different doses of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) with protection from goose grazing. Moss biomass and some determinants of the surface energy budget (leaf area index (LAI), dead vascular plant biomass and albedo) were quantified and active layer thaw depth repeatedly measured during three growing seasons. We measured soil physical properties and thermal conductivity and used a physical model to link topsoil organic accumulation processes to heat transfer. Fertilization increased LAI and albedo, whereas grazing decreased dead vascular plant biomass and albedo. Fertilization increased organic accumulation at the top of the soil leading to drier and more porous topsoil, whereas grazing increased water content of topsoil. As a result, topsoil thermal conductivity was higher in grazed plots than in ungrazed ones. Including these properties into a simulation model, we showed that, after 16 years, nutrient addition tended to shallow the active layer whereas grazing deepened mean July active layer by 3.3 cm relative to ungrazed subplots. As a result of OM accumulation at the surface, fertilization increased permafrost vertical aggradation rate by almost an order of magnitude (up to 5 mm year−1 instead of 0.7 mm year−1), whereas grazing slowed down permafrost aggradation by reducing surface uprising and deepening thaw depth. Synthesis. We demonstrated that long‐term grazing and N and P addition, through their impact on vegetation and soil properties have the potential to impact permafrost dynamics to the same extent as contemporary temperature increase in High Arctic polygonal wetlands.