Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Research Articles

Regional Response of Land Hydrology and Carbon Uptake to Different Amounts of Solar Radiation Modification

AbstractSolar radiation modification (SRM) is a proposed method to cool the Earth by intentionally perturbing the Earth's energy balance. One concern about the effect of SRM is disparities in the regional climate response. In this study, we use the Community Earth System Model (CESM1.2) to analyze the regional response of land hydrology and terrestrial carbon uptake to different amounts of SRM. The SRM is implemented by a uniform increase in volcanic‐size sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere under a doubling of atmospheric CO2. Our results show that different amounts of SRM could either moderate or exacerbate CO2‐induced changes in land hydrology including precipitation, precipitation minus evapotranspiration, and soil moisture (SM), but the effect varies widely across regions and specific variables. An “optimal” amount of SRM that moderates land hydrology changes for one region might exacerbate changes for other regions (or vice versa). Also, our study shows that for quite a few regions, partial SRM moderates CO2‐induced change in precipitation minus evaporation but exacerbates changes in CO2‐induced SM. The response of terrestrial Net primary productivity (NPP) to different amounts of SRM shows large regional disparities, depending on whether temperature or water availability constrains NPP more. Our study also shows that the effect of CO2 physiological forcing plays a key role in regulating land hydrology response to SRM, especially at the regional scale.

China’s terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance during the 20th century: an analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model

BackgroundChina’s terrestrial ecosystems play a pronounced role in the global carbon cycle. Here we combine spatially-explicit information on vegetation, soil, topography, climate and land use change with a process-based biogeochemistry model to quantify the responses of terrestrial carbon cycle in China during the 20th century.ResultsAt a century scale, China’s terrestrial ecosystems have acted as a carbon sink averaging at 96 Tg C yr− 1, with large inter-annual and decadal variabilities. The regional sink has been enhanced due to the rising temperature and CO2 concentration, with a slight increase trend in carbon sink strength along with the enhanced net primary production in the century. The areas characterized by C source are simulated to extend in the west and north of the Hu Huanyong line, while the eastern and southern regions increase their area and intensity of C sink, particularly in the late 20th century. Forest ecosystems dominate the C sink in China and are responsible for about 64% of the total sink. On the century scale, the increase in carbon sinks in China’s terrestrial ecosystems is mainly contributed by rising CO2. Afforestation and reforestation promote an increase in terrestrial carbon uptake in China from 1950s. Although climate change has generally contributed to the increase of carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems in China, the positive effect of climate change has been diminishing in the last decades of the 20th century.ConclusionThis study focuses on the impacts of climate, CO2 and land use change on the carbon cycle, and presents the potential trends of terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance in China at a century scale. While a slight increase in carbon sink strength benefits from the enhanced vegetation carbon uptake in China’s terrestrial ecosystems during the 20th century, the increase trend may diminish or even change to a decrease trend under future climate change.

Interannual and seasonal relationships between photosynthesis and summer soil moisture in the Ili River basin, Xinjiang, 2000–2018

Soil moisture (SM) is essential for controlling terrestrial carbon uptake, as it directly provides moisture for photosynthesis, especially in arid and semiarid regions. We selected the arid and semiarid Ili River basin (IRB) of Xinjiang as the study area, and investigated the spatial and temporal characteristics and interrelationships with SM and photosynthesis from 2000 to 2018 using the ERA5 products and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF). SM and photosynthesis showed a decreasing trend during the study period. Compared with those in spring and autumn, the variation of summer SM and SIF was more consistent with the interannual variation. Anomaly analysis showed that negative SM anomalies were most profound in 2012–2015, 2008, and 2014. Additionally, we quantified the effect of seasonal SM deficits on photosynthesis by performing model-based experiments. The results indicated that the gross primary productivity (GPP) simulated by the P-model could capture the characteristics of photosynthesis in the IRB, which had a high correlation with SIF (R2 = 0.82, p < 0.001). In 2012–2015, 2008, and 2014, SM deficits caused more GPP reduction in the summers than in the springs or the autumns. The trends were mainly visible in the northern IRB, where GPP was below 40 % of the multi-year mean, and SM was below 23 %. GPP decreased more significantly in grassland than in the forest under the influence of SM deficit. This study reveals seasonal differences in the effects of SM deficit on photosynthesis and emphasizes that the summer SM deficit was the main factor responsible for decreases in GPP in the IRB during the study period. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the relationships between photosynthesis and environmental factors, and provide a reference for an accurate assessment of the regional carbon cycle.

Origin of dissolved organic carbon under phosphorus-limited coastal-bay conditions revealed by fluorescent dissolved organic matter

To determine the origins of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in a bay of volcanic Jeju Island, where the discharge of fresh groundwater (FGW) is dominant, we measured fluorescent dissolved organic matter (FDOM) and implemented a parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC). The PARAFAC model identified three humic-like components (FDOMH) and one protein-like component (FDOMP). DOC was extremely deficient in the FGW (35 ± 13 μM) and positively correlated with salinity in the coastal environment, indicating oceanic DOC contribution. The FDOMP pattern was similar to that of DOC, suggesting that marine biological production is a primary DOC source in this region. Particularly, significant FDOMP correlations in the coastal waters with the fluxes of dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP; R2 = 0.31) and dissolved silicon (R2 = 0.46) from the FGW demonstrated that in situ biological production is facilitated by FGW-borne nutrient addition. However, the absence of a correlation between the fluxes of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and FDOMP (R2 &amp;lt;0.01) indicated that anthropogenic DIN is not essential for DOC production under the P-limited nutrient conditions and diatom-dominant conditions prevailing on the coastal Jeju Island. Here, we calculated the potential capacity of carbon fixation by marine biological activity based on the Redfield ratio of carbon and phosphorus with DIP fluxes. The flux accounts for approximately 2% of the terrestrial carbon uptake in South Korea. Therefore, optical properties of FDOM may be good indicators of coastal DOC origin, and nutrient speciation may be linked to the carbon cycle.

Dryness controls temperature-optimized gross primary productivity across vegetation types

Temperature response of gross primary productivity (GPP) is a well-known property of ecosystem, but GPP at the optimum temperature (GPP_Topt) has not been fully discussed. Our understanding of how GPP_Topt responds to warming and water availability is highly limited. In this study, we analyzed data at 326 globally distributed eddy covariance sites (79oN-37oS), to identify controlling factors of GPP_Topt. Although GPP_Topt was significantly influenced by soil moisture, global solar radiation, mean annual temperature, and vapor pressure deficit in a non-linear pattern (R2 = 0.47), the direction and magnitude of these climate variables’ effects on GPP_Topt depend on the dryness index (DI), a ratio of potential evapotranspiration to precipitation. The spatial pattern showed that soil moisture did not affect GPP_Topt across energy-limited sites with DI < 1 while dominated GPP_Topt across water-limited sites with DI >1. The temporal pattern showed that GPP_Topt was lowered by warming or low precipitation in water-limited sites while energy-limited sites tended to maintain a stable GPP_Topt regardless of changes in air temperature. Vegetation types in humid climates tended to have higher GPP_Topt and were more likely to benefit from a warmer climate since it was not restricted by water conditions. This study highlights that the response of GPP_Topt to global warming depends on the dryness conditions, which explains the nonlinear control of water and temperature over GPP_Topt. Our finding is essential to realistic prediction of terrestrial carbon uptake under future climate and vegetation conditions.

Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model

Abstract. Lateral carbon transport from soils to the ocean through rivers has been acknowledged as a key component of the global carbon cycle, but it is still neglected in most global land surface models (LSMs). Fluvial transport of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and CO2 has been implemented in the ORCHIDEE LSM, while erosion-induced delivery of sediment and particulate organic carbon (POC) from land to river was implemented in another version of the model. Based on these two developments, we take the final step towards the full representation of biospheric carbon transport through the land–river continuum. The newly developed model, called ORCHIDEE-Clateral, simulates the complete lateral transport of water, sediment, POC, DOC, and CO2 from land to sea through the river network, the deposition of sediment and POC in the river channel and floodplains, and the decomposition of POC and DOC in transit. We parameterized and evaluated ORCHIDEE-Clateral using observation data in Europe. The model explains 94 %, 75 %, and 83 % of the spatial variations of observed riverine water discharges, bankfull water flows, and riverine sediment discharges in Europe, respectively. The simulated long-term average total organic carbon concentrations and DOC concentrations in river flows are comparable to the observations in major European rivers, although our model generally overestimates the seasonal variation of riverine organic carbon concentrations. Application of ORCHIDEE-Clateral for Europe reveals that the lateral carbon transfer affects land carbon dynamics in multiple ways, and omission of this process in LSMs may lead to an overestimation of 4.5 % in the simulated annual net terrestrial carbon uptake over Europe. Overall, this study presents a useful tool for simulating large-scale lateral carbon transfer and for predicting the feedbacks between lateral carbon transfer and future climate and land use changes.

Rising CO2 and warming reduce global canopy demand for nitrogen.

SummaryNitrogen (N) limitation has been considered as a constraint on terrestrial carbon uptake in response to rising CO2 and climate change. By extension, it has been suggested that declining carboxylation capacity (V cmax) and leaf N content in enhanced‐CO2 experiments and satellite records signify increasing N limitation of primary production. We predicted V cmax using the coordination hypothesis and estimated changes in leaf‐level photosynthetic N for 1982–2016 assuming proportionality with leaf‐level V cmax at 25°C. The whole‐canopy photosynthetic N was derived using satellite‐based leaf area index (LAI) data and an empirical extinction coefficient for V cmax, and converted to annual N demand using estimated leaf turnover times. The predicted spatial pattern of V cmax shares key features with an independent reconstruction from remotely sensed leaf chlorophyll content. Predicted leaf photosynthetic N declined by 0.27% yr−1, while observed leaf (total) N declined by 0.2–0.25% yr−1. Predicted global canopy N (and N demand) declined from 1996 onwards, despite increasing LAI. Leaf‐level responses to rising CO2, and to a lesser extent temperature, may have reduced the canopy requirement for N by more than rising LAI has increased it. This finding provides an alternative explanation for declining leaf N that does not depend on increasing N limitation.

Responses of tree growth and biomass production to nutrient addition in a semi-deciduous tropical forest in Africa.

Experimental evidence of nutrient limitations on primary productivity in Afrotropical forests is rare and globally underrepresented yet are crucial for understanding constraints to terrestrial carbon uptake. In an ecosystem-scale nutrient manipulation experiment, we assessed the early responses of tree growth rates among different tree sizes, taxonomic species, and at a community level in a humid tropical forest in Uganda. Following a full factorial design, we established 32 (eight treatments × four replicates) experimental plots of 40 × 40 m each. We added nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), potassium (K), their combinations (NP, NK, PK, and NPK), and control at the rates of 125 kg N ha-1 year-1 , 50 kg P ha-1 year-1 and 50 kgK ha-1 year-1 , split into four equal applications, and measured stem growth of more than 15,000 trees with diameter at breast height (dbh) ≥1cm. After 2 years, the response of tree stem growth to nutrient additions was dependent on tree sizes, species and leaf habit but not community wide. First, tree stem growth increased under N additions, primarily among medium-sized trees (10-30 cm dbh), and in trees of Lasiodiscus mildbraedii in the second year of the experiment. Second, K limitation was evident in semi-deciduous trees, which increased stem growth by 46% in +K than -K treatments, following a strong, prolonged dry season during the first year of the experiment. This highlights the key role of K in stomatal regulation and maintenance of water balance in trees, particularly under water-stressed conditions. Third, the role of P in promoting tree growth and carbon accumulation rates in this forest on highly weathered soils was rather not pronounced; nonetheless, mortality among saplings (1-5cm dbh) was reduced by 30% in +P than in -P treatments. Although stem growth responses to nutrient interaction effects were positive or negative (likely depending on nutrient combinations and climate variability), our results underscore the fact that, in a highly diverse forest ecosystem, multiple nutrients and not one single nutrient regulate tree growth and aboveground carbon uptake due to varying nutrient requirements and acquisition strategies of different tree sizes, species, and leaf habits.

Overestimated Terrestrial Carbon Uptake in the Future Owing to the Lack of Spatial Variations CO2 in an Earth System Model

AbstractAtmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) would be increasing much more if it were not for terrestrial carbon (C) uptake, fueling the drawdown of atmospheric CO2 in vegetation and soil on decadal to centennial time scales. Here, we used a global Earth system model (BNU‐ESM) with two different CO2 data sets (i.e., uniform CO2 vs. non‐uniform CO2 data sets) to simulate the responses of the C balance, particularly to the non‐uniform CO2 effect. Under future conditions of 2071–2100, accounting for spatial variations of CO2 concentrations resulted in 0.51 Pg C yr−1 or 19% additional global net ecosystem production (NEP) inductions relative to the uniform conditions. The reduction in NEP in the future was mostly caused by the reduction in the Northern Hemisphere, within which summer was the season that accounted for the largest fraction of this reduction. Changes in NEP under future conditions differed largely to those under present conditions, resulting from changes in the circulation caused by the non‐uniform CO2—for example, reductions in evapotranspiration limit water vapor contributions to the lower atmosphere, and substantially diminish convective precipitation, which led to decreased precipitation. Our findings call for more attention to be paid to the influence of spatial variations in CO2 concentration—particularly in the Northern Hemisphere—to better constrain the projected C uptake under future conditions. Also, it highlights the fundamental importance of non‐uniform CO2 in determining the pattern, response, and magnitude of C uptake through to 2100.

Nitrification and denitrification in the Community Land Model compared with observations at Hubbard Brook Forest.

Models of terrestrial system dynamics often include nitrogen (N) cycles to better represent N limitations on terrestrial carbon (C) uptake, but simulating the fate of N in ecosystems has proven challenging. Here, key soil N fluxes and flux ratios from the Community Land Model version 5.0 (CLM5.0) are compared with an extensive set of observations from the Hubbard Brook Forest Long-Term Ecological Research site in New Hampshire. Simulated fluxes include microbial immobilization and plant uptake, which compete with nitrification and denitrification, respectively, for available soil ammonium (NH4 + ) and nitrate (NO3 - ). In its default configuration, CLM5.0 predicts that both plant uptake and immobilization are strongly dominated by NH4 + over NO3 - , and that the model ratio of nitrification:denitrification is ~1:1. In contrast, Hubbard Brook observations suggest that NO3 - plays a more significant role in plant uptake and that nitrification could exceed denitrification by an order of magnitude. Modifications to the standard CLM5.0 at Hubbard Brook indicate that a simultaneous increase in the competitiveness of nitrifying microbes for NH4 + and reduction in the competitiveness of denitrifying bacteria for NO3 - are needed to bring soil N flux ratios into better agreement with observations. Such adjustments, combined with evaluation against observations, may help to improve confidence in present and future simulations of N limitation on the C cycle, although C fluxes, such as gross primary productivity and net primary productivity, are less sensitive to the model modifications than soil N fluxes.

Nitrification, denitrification, and competition for soil N: Evaluation of two Earth System Models against observations.

Earth System Models (ESMs) have implemented nitrogen (N) cycles to account for N limitation on terrestrial carbon uptake. However, representing inputs, losses, and recycling of N in ESMs is challenging. Here, we use global rates and ratios of key soil N fluxes, including nitrification, denitrification, mineralization, leaching, immobilization, and plant uptake (both NH4 + and NO3 - ), from the literature to evaluate the N cycles in the land model components of two ESMs. The two land models evaluated here, E3SM Land Model version 1 (ELMv1)-ECA and CLM5.0, originated from a common model but have diverged in their representation of plant-microbe competition for soil N. The models predict similar global rates of gross primary productivity (GPP) but have approximately two-fold to three-fold differences in their underlying global mineralization, immobilization, plant N uptake, nitrification, and denitrification fluxes. Both models dramatically underestimate the immobilization of NO3 - by soil bacteria compared with literature values and predict dominance of plant uptake by a single form of mineral nitrogen (NO3 - for ELM, with regional exceptions, and NH4 + for CLM5.0). CLM5.0 strongly underestimates the global ratio of gross nitrification:gross mineralization and both models are likely to substantially underestimate the ratio of nitrification:denitrification. Few experimental data exist to evaluate this last ratio, in part because nitrification and denitrification are quantified using different techniques and because denitrification fluxes are difficult to measure at all. More observational constraints on soil nitrogen fluxes such as nitrification and denitrification, as well as greater scrutiny of the functional impact of introducing separate NH4 + and NO3 - pools into ESMs, could help to improve confidence in present and future simulations of N limitation on the carbon cycle.

Does growing atmospheric CO2 explain increasing carbon sink in a boreal coniferous forest?

The terrestrial net ecosystem productivity (NEP) has increased during the past three decades, but the mechanisms responsible are still unclear. We analyzed 17 years (2001–2017) of eddy‐covariance measurements of NEP, evapotranspiration (ET) and light and water use efficiency from a boreal coniferous forest in Southern Finland for trends and inter‐annual variability (IAV). The forest was a mean annual carbon sink (252 [±42] gC m‐2 a‐1), and NEP increased at rate +6.4–7.0 gC m‐2 a‐1 (or ca. +2.5% a‐1) during the period. This was attributed to the increasing gross‐primary productivity GPP and occurred without detectable change in ET. The start of annual carbon uptake period was advanced by 0.7 d a‐1, and increase in GPP and NEP outside the main growing season contributed ca. one‐third and one‐fourth of the annual trend, respectively. Meteorological factors were responsible for the IAV of fluxes but did not explain the long‐term trends. The growing season GPP trend was strongest in ample light during the peak growing season. Using a multi‐layer ecosystem model, we showed that direct CO2 fertilization effect diminishes when moving from leaf to ecosystem, and only 30–40% of the observed ecosystem GPP increase could be attributed to CO2. The increasing trend in leaf‐area index (LAI), stimulated by forest thinning in 2002, was the main driver of the enhanced GPP and NEP of the mid‐rotation managed forest. It also compensated for the decrease of mean leaf stomatal conductance with increasing CO2 and LAI, explaining the apparent proportionality between observed GPP and CO2 trends. The results emphasize that attributing trends to their physical and physiological drivers is challenged by strong IAV, and uncertainty of LAI and species composition changes due to the dynamic flux footprint. The results enlighten the underlying mechanisms responsible for the increasing terrestrial carbon uptake in the boreal zone.

The Variability of Air-sea O2 Flux in CMIP6: Implications for Estimating Terrestrial and Oceanic Carbon Sinks

The measurement of atmospheric O2 concentrations and related oxygen budget have been used to estimate terrestrial and oceanic carbon uptake. However, a discrepancy remains in assessments of O2 exchange between ocean and atmosphere (i.e. air-sea O2 flux), which is one of the major contributors to uncertainties in the O2-based estimations of the carbon uptake. Here, we explore the variability of air-sea O2 flux with the use of outputs from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The simulated air-sea O2 flux exhibits an obvious warming-induced upward trend (∼1.49 Tmol yr−2) since the mid-1980s, accompanied by a strong decadal variability dominated by oceanic climate modes. We subsequently revise the O2-based carbon uptakes in response to this changing air-sea O2 flux. Our results show that, for the 1990–2000 period, the averaged net ocean and land sinks are 2.10±0.43 and 1.14±0.52 GtC yr−1 respectively, overall consistent with estimates derived by the Global Carbon Project (GCP). An enhanced carbon uptake is found in both land and ocean after year 2000, reflecting the modification of carbon cycle under human activities. Results derived from CMIP5 simulations also investigated in the study allow for comparisons from which we can see the vital importance of oxygen dataset on carbon uptake estimations.

Remote Sensing of Autumn Phenology by Including Surface Soil Temperature: Algorithm Development, Calibration, and Validation

Phenology exercises a critical control on annual terrestrial ecosystem carbon uptake and indicates interaction between climate and vegetation. Solely vegetation index (VIs) is insufficient to accurately detect the end of growing season (EOS). Soil temperature (Ts) plays a modulating role in soil microbial functioning and plant growth, while its impact on EOS remains largely unknown. Hence, we compared the potential between Ts and air temperature (Ta) as indicators of EOS by using flux data from 14 deciduous broadleaf forests (DBF), 24 evergreen needleleaf forests (ENF), 7 mixed forests, and 23 none-forests (NF) over Northern temperate and boreal regions (30&#x00B0;-60&#x00B0;N) for 2001-2014. The widely used NDVI-based double logistic approach failed to capture EOS variability for these ecosystems, and we derived a new EOS algorithm with a soil temperature-based scaler, which improved the EOS modeling for all plant functional types. We found that Ts at different depths showed varied abilities for EOS modeling, and Ts at the 0-10 cm depth provided the best estimates of EOS in terms of both numbers of significant sites and the correlation coefficients (R). Estimated EOS occurred earlier by on average 2.9 days than the current MODIS phenology product for &#x223C;56.5&#x0025; pixels, especially for the ENF ecosystems (&#x223C;5.5 days). Our study suggests the usefulness of surface soil temperature for autumn leaf senescence phenology modeling, and that combination of environmental variables with the current modeling strategy can improve our understanding of autumn phenology with future climate change.

Land use change induced by the implementation of ecological restoration Programs increases future terrestrial ecosystem carbon sequestration in red soil hilly region of China

Ecological Restoration Programs (ERP) is an effective approach to increase carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems to mitigate climate change, but it’s still controversial whether they are as important to carbon sequestration in areas with higher rainfall and accumulated temperature as they are in areas with low rainfall and accumulated temperature. In this study, we evaluated the influences of ERP on land use change (LUC) and carbon sequestration of terrestrial ecosystems in the red soil hilly region (RSHR) of China with higher rainfall and accumulated temperature. In view of the differences in LUC caused by ERP, the change point of ERP implementation was quantitatively determined in 2000 according to the characteristics of LUC, and divided the ERP implementation period into two stages: the early stage (1985–2000) and the mature stage (2000–2015). The Program Driving Force Model (PDFM) modified in this paper shows that ERP such as the Natural Forest Protection Program implemented in the mature stage has a greater driving effect on land use (+18%). Based on the three carbon pools (above-ground biomass, underground biomass, and soil organic carbon) of the ERP area in the forest land, cultivated land and grassland ecosystem, it is estimated that the total carbon storage of the terrestrial ecosystems generated in the period from 2000 to 2030 amounts to 1057.2 Tg, 65% of which is driven by ERP (691.6 Tg). Our estimates of future terrestrial ecosystem carbon sinks from ERP, reduces further uncertainty to our capacity to predict the future of terrestrial carbon uptake and losses and to China's projected carbon emissions peak in 2030. The quantitative assessment of the driving force of ERP on LUC provides a methodological reference for related researches. The practice of changing land use and increasing carbon sinks through ERP provides guidance for offsetting carbon dioxide emission when China's carbon dioxide emissions is expected to reach the peak by 2030, and striking sustainable development.

Bedrock Weathering Controls on Terrestrial Carbon‐Nitrogen‐Climate Interactions

AbstractAnthropogenic nitrogen deposition is widely considered to increase CO2 sequestration by land plants on a global scale. Here, we demonstrate that bedrock nitrogen weathering contributes significantly more to nitrogen‐carbon interactions than anthropogenic nitrogen deposition. This working hypothesis is based on the introduction of empirical results into a global biogeochemical simulation model over the time period of the mid‐1800s to the end of the 21st century. Our findings suggest that rock nitrogen inputs have contributed roughly 2–11 times more to plant CO2 capture than nitrogen deposition inputs since pre‐industrial times. Climate change projections based on RCP 8.5 show that rock nitrogen inputs and biological nitrogen fixation contribute 2–5 times more to terrestrial carbon uptake than anthropogenic nitrogen deposition though year 2101. Future responses of rock N inputs on plant CO2 capture rates are more signficant at higher latitudes and in mountainous environments, where geological and climate factors promote higher rock weathering rates. The enhancement of plant CO2 uptake via rock nitrogen weathering partially resolves nitrogen‐carbon discrepancies in Earth system models and offers an alternative explanation for lack of progressive nitrogen limitation in the terrestrial biosphere. We conclude that natural N inputs impart major control over terrestrial CO2 sequestration in Earth’s ecosystems.

Increasing impact of warm droughts on northern ecosystem productivity over recent decades

Climate extremes such as droughts and heatwaves have a large impact on terrestrial carbon uptake by reducing gross primary production (GPP). While the evidence for increasing frequency and intensity of climate extremes over the last decades is growing, potential systematic adverse shifts in GPP have not been assessed. Using observationally-constrained and process-based model data, we estimate that particularly northern midlatitude ecosystems experienced a +10.6% increase in negative GPP extremes in the period 2000–2016 compared to 1982–1998. We attribute this increase predominantly to a greater impact of warm droughts, in particular over northern temperate grasslands (+95.0% corresponding mean increase) and croplands (+84.0%), in and after the peak growing season. These results highlight the growing vulnerability of ecosystem productivity to warm droughts, implying increased adverse impacts of these climate extremes on terrestrial carbon sinks as well as a rising pressure on global food security.

Is photosynthetic enhancement sustained through three years of elevated CO2 exposure in 175-year-old Quercus robur?

Current carbon cycle models attribute rising atmospheric CO2 as the major driver of the increased terrestrial carbon sink, but with substantial uncertainties. The photosynthetic response of trees to elevated atmospheric CO2 is a necessary step, but not the only one, for sustaining the terrestrial carbon uptake, but can vary diurnally, seasonally and with duration of CO2 exposure. Hence, we sought to quantify the photosynthetic response of the canopy-dominant species, Quercus robur, in a mature deciduous forest to elevated CO2 (eCO2) (+150 μmol mol−1 CO2) over the first 3 years of a long-term free air CO2 enrichment facility at the Birmingham Institute of Forest Research in central England (BIFoR FACE). Over 3000 measurements of leaf gas exchange and related biochemical parameters were conducted in the upper canopy to assess the diurnal and seasonal responses of photosynthesis during the 2nd and 3rd year of eCO2 exposure. Measurements of photosynthetic capacity via biochemical parameters, derived from CO2 response curves, (Vcmax and Jmax) together with leaf nitrogen concentrations from the pre-treatment year to the 3rd year of eCO2 exposure, were examined. We hypothesized an initial enhancement in light-saturated net photosynthetic rates (Asat) with CO2 enrichment of ≈37% based on theory but also expected photosynthetic capacity would fall over the duration of the study. Over the 3-year period, Asat of upper-canopy leaves was 33 ± 8% higher (mean and standard error) in trees grown in eCO2 compared with ambient CO2 (aCO2), and photosynthetic enhancement decreased with decreasing light. There were no significant effects of CO2 treatment on Vcmax or Jmax, nor leaf nitrogen. Our results suggest that mature Q. robur may exhibit a sustained, positive response to eCO2 without photosynthetic downregulation, suggesting that, with adequate nutrients, there will be sustained enhancement in C assimilated by these mature trees. Further research will be required to understand the location and role of the additionally assimilated carbon.

Contributions of economic growth, terrestrial sinks, and atmospheric transport to the increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the Korean Peninsula

BackgroundUnderstanding a carbon budget from a national perspective is essential for establishing effective plans to reduce atmospheric CO2 growth. The national characteristics of carbon budgets are reflected in atmospheric CO2 variations; however, separating regional influences on atmospheric signals is challenging owing to atmospheric CO2 transport. Therefore, in this study, we examined the characteristics of atmospheric CO2 variations over South and North Korea during 2000–2016 and unveiled the causes of their regional differences in the increasing rate of atmospheric CO2 concentrations by utilizing atmospheric transport modeling.ResultsThe atmospheric CO2 concentration in South Korea is rising by 2.32 ppm year− 1, which is more than the globally-averaged increase rate of 2.05 ppm year− 1. Atmospheric transport modeling indicates that the increase in domestic fossil energy supply to support manufacturing export-led economic growth leads to an increase of 0.12 ppm year− 1 in atmospheric CO2 in South Korea. Although enhancements of terrestrial carbon uptake estimated from both inverse modeling and process-based models have decreased atmospheric CO2 by up to 0.02 ppm year− 1, this decrease is insufficient to offset anthropogenic CO2 increases. Meanwhile, atmospheric CO2 in North Korea is also increasing by 2.23 ppm year− 1, despite a decrease in national CO2 emissions close to carbon neutrality. The great increases estimated in both South Korea and North Korea are associated with changes in atmospheric transport, including increasing emitted and transported CO2 from China, which have increased the national atmospheric CO2 concentrations by 2.23 ppm year− 1 and 2.27 ppm year− 1, respectively.ConclusionsThis study discovered that economic activity is the determinant of regional differences in increasing atmospheric CO2 in the Korea Peninsula. However, from a global perspective, changes in transported CO2 are a major driver of rising atmospheric CO2 over this region, yielding an increase rate higher than the global mean value. Our findings suggest that accurately separating the contributions of atmospheric transport and regional sources to the increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations is important for developing effective strategies to achieve carbon neutrality at the national level.

The complex drought effects associated with the regulation of water-use efficiency in a temperate water-limited basin

Study regionYellow River basin, China. Study focusDrought, whose intensity and frequency are projected to increase under climate change, profoundly affects terrestrial carbon and water cycles. In the study, we explored the ecological response to long-term meteorological drought, with a focus on gross primary production (GPP), transpiration (Tr) and water-use efficiency (WUE) by a linear fitted model in the Yellow River basin (YRB), a temperate water-limited basin. New hydrological insightsThe onset and conclusion of a long-term meteorological drought event were 1990 and 2001, which were used to subdividing pre-drought, drought and recovery periods to reflect hydrological response stages. GPP, Tr and WUE increased between 1982–2010, which presented different trends in the three periods (e.g., WUE decreased in the YRB and increased in the Loess Plateau region (LPR) during the drought period). The sensitivity of GPP to P and Tr varied under different hydrological response stages (e.g., GPP was most sensitive to Tr during the drought period). That is, drought can profoundly alter terrestrial carbon uptake (i.e., GPP) and water loss (i.e., Tr) that effectually alters WUE, which differs in different hydro-climatic conditions. To a certain extent, the expansive revegetation has altered the water balance of the region, subsequently increasing drought risks. This study enhances our understanding of the effects of long-term drought on carbon and water cycles in water-limited ecosystems.