The presence of power system uncertainties results in variations of the harmonic resonance behaviors. There is, therefore, a need to perform the probabilistic assessment in harmonic resonance study. In this paper, a systematic methodology for probabilistic harmonic resonance assessment considering power system uncertainties is presented. First, potential system uncertainties are analyzed and modeled. The stochastic behavior of harmonic resonance due to system uncertainties is then studied using both Monte Carlo approach and harmonic resonance mode analysis technique. A modified power iteration method is further used to efficiently reduce the calculation time. Three indices, including probabilistic expressions of 1) resonance frequency band, 2) modal impedances in the resonance band, and 3) sensitivity information at the bus-level and the element-level are used to represent the stochastic behaviors of harmonic resonance. In addition, the resonance mitigation scheme based on probabilistic resonance frequency band shift technique is described. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through case studies in an uncertain power system. Its potential applications are also discussed.
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