Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1D) is driven by the interplay between genetics and other factors, though the exact relationship between gut microbiome and T1D onset remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the connections between Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) genetics, gut microbiome, and their relationships to T1D seroconversion. Data from the Diabimmune website provided stool samples (n=1443) from children aged 16 to 36 months from Finland, Russia, and Estonia, categorized by HLA risk factors and seroconversion status. Statistical analyses using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test measure were conducted. High-risk HLA individuals generally had a lower relative abundance of beneficial bacteria such as Lachnospira. Predicted metabolic pathways PWY.5676 and PWY.7220/7222 had an increased abundance in low-risk HLA infants in multiple age groups. Prevotella was more abundant in seroconverted samples, while Ruminococcus, Hungatella, and Sutterella were more abundant in non-seroconverted samples. Shared pathways between different age groups such as GLYOXYLATE.BYPASS showed higher abundance in non-seroconverted samples, each with similar median abundance across different age groups. The findings suggest that gut microbiome dysbiosis, characterized by a lower abundance of beneficial SCFA-producing bacteria and the prevalence of pathways supporting bacterial persistence and immune stimulation, contributes to T1D onset. Future research should focus on advanced genomic and metabolomic analyses, functional assays, co-culture experiments, and developing predictive models using machine learning to assess autoimmune disease risk based on bacterial strains and HLA haplotypes
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