SWAT-MODFLOW Model Research Articles

Analysis of the Effects of Securing Baseflow and Improving Water Quality through the Introduction of LID Techniques

Rapid climate change and increasing water use have led to various problems in small- and medium-sized urban streams during dry periods, such as stream drying, water pollution, and ecological degradation, reducing their physical and ecological functions. Ensuring adequate baseflow and improving water quality during these critical periods are essential for maintaining urban stream health. While previous studies have explored the effects of Low Impact Development (LID) techniques (e.g., green roof, rainwater harvesting system, permeable pavement, infiltration trench) on infiltration and groundwater recharge, they have primarily focused on general flow regimes rather than dry and low-flow periods. This study specifically evaluates the effects of LID techniques on securing baseflow and improving water quality during dry periods, utilizing the SWAT-MODFLOW model and the Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT) system. The results show that LID techniques reduce peak flow by an average of 27% and secure an additional 43% of baseflow during dry periods. Suspended solids (SS) and total phosphorus (T-P) concentrations were reduced by 15% and 41%, respectively. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of LID techniques not only in managing stormwater runoff during flood events but also in maintaining baseflow and water quality during dry periods, thus providing valuable insights for sustainable urban watershed management.

Enhancing smallholder agricultural production through sustainable use of shallow groundwater in the Borkena catchment, Awash River Basin, Ethiopia

ABSTRACT With increasing shallow groundwater use for agricultural purposes, understanding the spatiotemporal variability in recharge rates, storage capacity, and its interaction with surface waters becomes crucial for its sustainable management. An integrated SWAT–MODFLOW model is developed to assess shallow groundwater availability in the Borkena catchment. The model is calibrated using streamflow and static groundwater level data. Results show that groundwater recharge in the catchment is 85 mm/a, representing 11% of the mean annual rainfall. Shallow groundwater resources exist across nearly 42% of the Borkena catchment. The percentage of shallow groundwater withdrawal to groundwater recharge is very low (0.1%), signifying the potential for increased shallow groundwater development. However, caution must be taken as its uncontrolled expansion may result in a high risk of depletion. This integrated modeling is one of the few efforts conducted to provide important information regarding shallow groundwater potential in the Borkena catchment, which is essential for the resilience of small-scale producers in the continued growing water demand and climate change.

Estimating exploitable groundwater for agricultural use under environmental flow constraints using an integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model

Traditionally, the impact of groundwater abstraction on streamflow and aquifers has been assessed primarily in terms of water availability and depletion, often neglecting critical environmental flow (Eflow) requirements. To address this gap, our study employed an Eflow perspective to evaluate exploitable groundwater for agricultural use at a watershed scale using an integrated modeling approach. We used the SWAT-MODFLOW model, integrating the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the Modular Finite-Difference Flow Model (MODFLOW), to analyze water balance segments and stream-aquifer interactions in the study region. Eflow for different management classes was determined using the flow duration curve (FDC) approach. The FDC method classifies Environmental Flow Management Classes (EMC) from “A” (natural or minor alteration) to “F” (critically modified). The relationship between the selected EMC and simulated streamflow, under the pressure of agricultural groundwater pumping, served as a constraint in evaluating exploitable groundwater alongside groundwater level fluctuations. As the traditional approach depends on average recharge for determining exploitable groundwater, this study also assessed the spatiotemporal distribution of groundwater recharge. Simulation periods were aligned with agricultural pumping schedules. Results indicated that groundwater pumping significantly impacts streamflow at the start of the irrigation period. Under moderately affected EMC and with an average groundwater level fluctuation of one meter, the exploitable groundwater during the irrigation period can reach up to 2.96 Mm3/day. With this amount of pumping, the average groundwater discharge to streams declined by around 13 %. While groundwater level fluctuations near the watershed outlet were minimal, in the upstream area, levels could decrease by as much as 2.5 m. The groundwater level fluctuation underscores the necessity of accounting for both spatial and temporal factors, particularly in highly affected regions.

Beyond dams: Assessing integrated water storage in the Shashe catchment, Limpopo River Basin

Study regionThe Shashe catchment, Limpopo River Basin, Botswana, and Zimbabwe. Study focusThe Shashe catchment is the third largest flow contributor to the Limpopo River Basin. Water availability in the Shashe catchment is highly seasonal due to high seasonal rainfall variability. The seasonality and inter-annual variability cause shortfalls (demand exceeds the average water availability) in certain months and years. Storage is needed to bridge the seasonal water availability “gap” and mitigate the deficits in drought years, i.e., inter-annual variability. While the need for water storage through grey infrastructure such as dams has long been known, there is growing recognition of the need for approaches to water storage that capitalize on all storage types. However, the current capacity to plan in ways that utilize all storage types is limited. The analyses conducted for this paper assessed the volume and spatial and temporal variability of different storage options – large and small dams, sand dams, soil moisture, and aquifers – in the Shashe catchment of the Limpopo River Basin. An integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model and remote sensing approach were developed for 2015–2020. New hydrological insights for the regionThe total annual water storage in the Shashe catchment is approximately 44,000 Mm3, dominated by groundwater. The annual storage is about 42,000 Mm3 in aquifers, 1500 Mm3 in soil, 700 Mm3 in large dam reservoirs, 45 Mm3 in small dams/ponds, and 0.13 Mm3 in sand dams. There is high seasonality in water storage availability. Soil moisture storage is at its maximum from January to March and lowest from July to September. Dam storage is at its maximum from March to May, and the water storage is relatively stable throughout the year. Aquifer storage is relatively stable during the dry seasons compared to other storage options. Optimizing water use considering the seasonal variation in different storage types could improve water availability and climate resilience.

The role of changing land use and irrigation scheduling in groundwater depletion mitigation in a humid region

Many agricultural production regions in the world have been experiencing groundwater resource depletion, which threatens water and food security if mitigation practices are not developed and implemented. To understand how changing land use and irrigation schedule impact groundwater, a coupled SWAT-MODFLOW model was applied to determine groundwater depletion mitigation strategy in a humid region, the Big Sunflower River Watershed (BSRW) in Mississippi, USA. It was found that converting grasslands to forests contributed to reducing groundwater declining. Simulated results indicated that the watershed lost 749, 586, and 381 mm yr−1 of water through surface runoff in the wet, normal and dry years, respectively. The amount of groundwater that moved into the vadose zone to help satisfy crop water demand ranged from 700 to 750 mm yr−1. Precipitation increased the groundwater recharge during the rainy season from fall to spring. Annual recharge rate was only 34–50 mm. Groundwater level dropped 0.2–0.5 m in crop irrigation seasons (May to August). Land use dataset showed 81 % of the area is cropland, with soybean, corn, rice, and cotton accounting for 64 % of the total cropland area in BSRW. The planted area of corn and soybean significantly increased while the area of cotton area was tremendously reduced. Corn, soybean, and rice consumed approximately 96 % of the total amount of groundwater irrigation. This study indicated that irrigation scheduling based on plant water demand could save 47 % of groundwater currently used by conventional irrigation. The improved irrigation schedule could reduce groundwater decline by 0.01–2.05 m across the watershed, and mitigate the declines by 1.35–2.05 m in the depression cone in the central east part of the watershed. The results can assist with planning land and water use and developing sustainable groundwater management practices focused on locations of high groundwater withdrawals in other regions around the world.

Impact of rainfed agriculture on spatio-temporal patterns of water balance and the interaction between groundwater and surface water in sub-humid plains

The expansion of rainfed agriculture, especially soybean cultivation in sub-humid plains, alters water balance and the exchange between groundwater-surface water (GW-SW). However, to date, there are no studies that analyze how these anthropic disturbances affect hydrological connectivity in these systems, especially the GW-SW interactions. The objective of this study is to analyze how the increase in rainfed agriculture affects the spatio-temporal patterns of the water balance and the GW-SW interaction. For this analysis, a coupled GW-SW flow model was implemented under land use and land cover (LULC) scenarios, to quantify the spatio-temporal dynamics for different components of water balance and GW-SW interactions for the upper creek basin of Del Azul. A simulation was carried out for a period of 13 years (2003–2015) on a daily scale and it was contrasted through three multitemporal LULC maps. The results point that substitution of natural pastures, the reduction of winter crops and the decrease of crop rotation, due to the increase of soybean monoculture in the basin under study, modifies the water balance, especially the annual rates of surface runoff and soil moisture which may increase between 3.5 and 9.4 % and between 1.4 and 4.4 % respectively, thus increasing the annual streamflows between 2.6 and 6.8 % and the groundwater heads between 0.2 and 0.6 m. This leads to changes in the hetereogeneity of the GW-SW interaction, a reduction between 0.3 and 3 % is observed in the discharge from the Pampeano aquifer to the Del Azul stream, while the recharge rates from the Del Azul stream to the Pampeano aquifer increase between 2 and 17.8 %. The application of the SWAT-MODFLOW model under LULC scenarios, improves the prediction of the regional hydrologic connectivity on sub-humid plains, because the hydrological processes occurring in the surface and non-saturated zone are governed by shallow groundwater dynamics.

Calibration and uncertainty analysis of integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model based on iterative ensemble smoother method for watershed scale river-aquifer interactions assessment

Calibration and uncertainty analysis of integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model based on iterative ensemble smoother method for watershed scale river-aquifer interactions assessment

Assessment of Spatiotemporal Groundwater Recharge Distribution Using SWAT-MODFLOW Model and Transient Water Table Fluctuation Method

Recharge is a crucial section of water balance for both surface and subsurface models in water resource assessment. However, quantifying its spatiotemporal distribution at a regional scale poses a significant challenge. Empirical and numerical modeling are the most commonly used methods at the watershed scales. However, integrated models inherently contain a vast number of unknowns and uncertainties, which can limit their accuracy and reliability. In this work, we have proposed integrated SWAT-MODFLOW and Transient Water Table Fluctuation Method (TWTFM) to evaluate the spatiotemporal distribution of groundwater recharge in Anyang watershed, South Korea. Since TWTFM also uses SWAT model percolation output data, calibration was performed for individual models and a coupled model. The coupled model was calibrated using daily streamflow and hydraulic head. The SWAT-MODFLOW model performed well during the simulation of streamflow compared to the SWAT model. The study output showed that the study watershed had significant groundwater recharge variations during the simulated period. A significant amount of recharge happens in the wet season. It contributes a significant amount of the average annual precipitation of the region. The direct flow components (surface and lateral) showed significant contributions when the water balance components were evaluated in the region. TWTFM showed a glimpse to estimate recharge, which requires representative monitoring wells in the study region. Comprehensively, the SWAT-MODFLOW model estimated groundwater recharge with reasonable accuracy in the region.

Interlinking of Lakes to Combat Impacts of Climate Change

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5, 2014), the global mean temperature may increase up to 4 °C by 2100, and will severely affect the availability of water resources and the water demand across the world. Understanding of the hydrological impacts of climate change enables water resource managers to make robust decisions on future policy adaptations. The concept of inter-basin transfer on a large scale has been under consideration for some time. In the present scenario there is great increase in demand for fresh water; thus, proper planning for conservation and judicious utilization is important to create balance between the availability and demand of water supply. Maharashtra State Adaptation Action Plan on Climate Change (MSAAPCC) for water resources sector recommended concrete efforts on conservation and renaturalisation of rivers and water bodies, enhancement of water storage and groundwater recharge and improvement of water use efficiency. Bhandara District of state of Maharashtra (India) is called as a district of lakes due to the existence of hundreds of lakes in the district called as Mama or Malguzari lakes. These lakes are developed in pre-independence era by the Gond king of the region for the purpose of irrigation and drinking purposes. These lakes were managed by the people; however, after independence, they came under the control of the govt and most of them got encroached or faced lack of attention and care by the local people. The district is being developed in various sectors and also the population is increasing in unpresented way leading to increased demand for water. The climate change has started showing signs; number of extreme weather events are increasing; recently, Bhandara received 186 mm of rainfall in a day; some of the areas in the district are facing the issues related to availability and quality of water irrespective of receiving average annual rainfall of more than 1100 mm. The linking of the lakes in the Bhandara District, Maharashtra, in a scientific manner using advanced tools and techniques will pave the way for sustainable development of water resources and its management. The linking of lakes will lead to creation of carbon sinks, enhancement of biodiversity, mitigation of drought and flood, and enhancement of food security. Peoples’ participation and multipronged approach on Awareness, action and accountability will hold the key to success through localization of SDGs as recommended by NITI Aayog, Govt. of India. The proposed integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model will provide scientific insights required for cost effective planning for interlinking and management of lakes in the region. The outcome of the study can be used as a rule base for adoption and development of similar proposals in the suitable areas in other regions.

Compilation simulation of surface water and groundwater resources using the SWAT-MODFLOW model for a karstic basin in Iran

Compilation simulation of surface water and groundwater resources using the SWAT-MODFLOW model for a karstic basin in Iran

Modeling Surface Water–Groundwater Interactions: Evidence from Borkena Catchment, Awash River Basin, Ethiopia

The availability of sufficient water resources is critical for sustainable social and economic development globally. However, recurrent drought has been a precursor to inadequate water supply in the case of Borkena Catchment, Awash River Basin, Ethiopia. To support the conjunctive use and management of surface water and groundwater in Borkena Catchment, an integrated model was developed using the SWAT–MODFLOW model. The model was designed to operate on a monthly time scale. The change in the water balance obtained from the SWAT–MODFLOW model provides a quantitative means to assess the effect of the climate variability and changes, as well as the impact of human activities, on water resources. To advance the understanding at the regional and local scales, surface water–groundwater interactions in the Borkena Catchment geochemical information and piezometer maps were integrated. The results show that the groundwater recharge in the study area is approximately 122 mm/a. The surface water–groundwater interaction results show that the areas around Harbu and Dessie are characterized as losing rivers, while the areas around Kemisse-Chefa and the highlands of Kutaber, where the Borkena River originates, are characterized as gaining rivers. A geochemical analysis indicated that there is an inter-basin groundwater transfer from the Abbay to the Awash basin. The integrated model generated key temporal and spatial information that is useful for the sustainable conjunctive management of surface and groundwater in Borkena Catchment for climate resilience in the face of climate variability and increasing demand.

Integrated water availability modelling to assess sustainable agricultural intensification options in the Meki catchment, Central Rift Valley, Ethiopia

ABSTRACT The Meki catchment in the Central Rift Valley basin of Ethiopia is currently experiencing irrigation expansion and water scarcity challenges. The objective of this study is to understand the basin’s current and future water availability for agricultural intensification. This was done by simulating scenarios through an integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model to assess the water balance. The scenarios were co-developed with communities who expressed their aspirations for agricultural intensification in conjunction with projected climate change. The results show that with the present land use and climate, the catchment is already water stressed and communities cannot meet their irrigation water demand, particularly in the first irrigation season (October–January). However, in the second irrigation season (February–May) water resource availability is better and increasing irrigated area by 50% from the present extent is possible. With a climate change scenario that favours more rainfall and shallow groundwater use, agricultural intensification is feasible to some extent.

Surface Water and Groundwater Recharge Modeling in Sunsari District using Integrated SWAT-MODFLOW Model

Surface Water and Groundwater Recharge Modeling in Sunsari District using Integrated SWAT-MODFLOW Model

Integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model to study saltwater intrusion in Da Nang coastal city

This study applied an integrated surface water-groundwater (SW-GW) model, SWAT-MODFLOW to study interaction of surface and groundwater than simulate saltwater intrusion at a regional scale in Da Nang coastal city, center of Vietnam. Model components were calibrated and validated using monthly river flow data and hydraulic head data for the 2005-2020 period and showed good agreement with observed data. The results demonstrated that GW-SW exchange in the upstream areas had the most pronounced fluctuation between the wet and dry months under historical conditions. The combined potential impact is that intensive groundwater use may have more immediate effects on river flow than those of climate change, which has important implications for water resources management and supply in the future. The results showed that the total average recharge to groundwater from the rivers was varied from 12046 to 23147 m3/d relative to 50 – 74% of water resources in rain and dry season. Saltwater intrusion intrusion in 2020 is about 100 km2. In the area of Son Tra and Ngu Hanh Son districts, groundwater pumping must be reduced to zero, in some other areas, pumping rate do not exceed 250 to 1000 m3/day with distance to coastline at least 500 to 1400m depends on each area.

Assessing the effect of urbanization on regional-scale surface water-groundwater interaction and nitrate transport

Identifying regional-scale surface water-groundwater interactions (SGI) is vital for predicting anthropogenic effects on surface water bodies and underlying aquifers. However, large-scale water and nutrient flux studies rely on surface water or groundwater-focused models. This study aims to model the effect of urbanization, which is usually accompanied by high groundwater abstraction and surface water pollution, particularly in the developing world, on a regional-scale SGI and nitrate loading. In the study area, the urban expansion increased by over 3% in the last decade. The integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Modular Finite-Difference Groundwater Flow (MODFLOW) coupling code, was used to assess SGI. By coupling SWAT-MODFLOW with Reactive Transport in 3-Dimensions, the nutrient loading to the river from point and non-point sources was also modeled. Basin average annual results show that groundwater discharge declined with increasing groundwater abstraction and increased with Land use/Land cover (LULC) changes. Groundwater recharge decreased significantly in the Belge season (February to May), and the river seepage and groundwater discharge decreased correspondingly. High spatiotemporal changes in SGI and nitrate loading were found under the combined LULC and groundwater abstraction scenarios. The water yield decreased by 15%. In a large part of the region, the nitrate loading increased by 17–250%. Seasonally controlled groundwater abstraction and water quality monitoring are essential in this region.

Development of Spatial Peatland Fire Danger Index Using Coupled SWAT-MODFLOW Model

The Keetch–Byram Drought Index (KBDI) is a numerical value reflecting the dryness of the top layer of soils, deep forest litter, logs, and living vegetation. The KBDI is expressed as a scale from 0 to 200, where the number represents the amounts of rainfall (in millimeters) to return the soil to saturation. We proposed a method to integrate peatland groundwater as a key variable for the peatland forest fire hazard, and we called it mKBDI. The groundwater table was obtained from the SWAT-MODFLOW model simulation. The MODFLOW model uses a 200 m × 200 m grid. The SWAT-MODFLOW model was calibrated and validated using daily water level measurements in the river. The model failed to represent peak flow, but the model produced the average water level. Output from the simulation was read using the FloPy module, and then mKBDI was calculated. The daily calculations of the mKBDI for each grid for the catchment were saved in the NetCDF format using the x-array module. We applied this model in the Peatland Hydrological Unit (PHU) Merang-Kepahyang, South Sumatera, Indonesia, in 2015 (El-Niño year) and 2016 (La-Nina Year). The daily mKBDI index from all the grids in the catchment was classified into three classes: low (mKBDI < 100), moderate (mKBDI = 101–150), or high (mKBDI > 150). Then, the whole catchment was classified according to these classes. Therefore, every day the percentage of the area with low, moderate, or high class in the catchment dynamically changed. When these classes were verified with hotspot data, all hotspots only coincided with the high hazard classes, where more than 60% was area of the catchment. No hotspot data were reported on low/moderate levels throughout 2015/2016. In the larger area with high mKBDI classes, the frequency of hotspots substantially rose. Sixty-three hotspots occurred during August–October of 2015 when the area of high hazard classes was above 70%. Through this finding, we proposed to use a 60% area of the catchment with high mKBDI classes as a threshold value indicating that the area is prone to peatland fire. Therefore, the peatland restoration project in preventing the fire could be evaluated using this indicator. If the restoration projects could reduce the area with high mKBDI classes to less than 60% for the whole year, we could accept it as a successful project.

Identification and Prediction of Crop Waterlogging Risk Areas under the Impact of Climate Change

Waterlogging refers to the damage to plants by water stress due to excess soil water in the crop’s root zone that exceeds the maximum water holding capacity of the field. It is one of the major disasters affecting agricultural production. This study aims to add a crop waterlogging identification module to the coupled SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tools)-MODFLOW (Modular Finite Difference Groundwater Flow Model) model and to accurately identify and predict crop waterlogging risk areas under the CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6) climate scenarios. The result showed that: (1) The SWAT-MODFLOW model, which coupled with a crop waterlogging identification module, had good simulation results for LAI (Leaf Area Index), ET (Evapotranspiration), spring wheat yield, and groundwater level in the middle and lower reaches of the Bayin River; (2) The precipitation showed an overall increasing trend in the Bayin River watersheds over the next 80 years under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The temperature showed a clear increasing trend over the next 80 years under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios; (3) Under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, the mountain runoff from the upper reaches of the Bayin River was substantially higher than in other scenarios after 2041. The mountain runoff in the next 80 years will decrease substantially under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. The mountain runoff over the next 80 years showed an initial decrease and then an increasing trend under the SSP5-8.5 scenario; (4) During the historical period, the crop waterlogging risk area was 10.9 km2. In the next 80 years, the maximum crop waterlogging area will occur in 2055 under the SSP1-2.6 scenario. The minimum crop waterlogging area, 9.49 km2, occurred in 2042 under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. The changes in the area at risk of crop waterlogging under each scenario are mainly influenced by the mountain runoff from the upper reaches of the Bayin River.

Agricultural Irrigation Effects on Hydrological Processes in the United States Northern High Plains Aquifer Simulated by the Coupled SWAT-MODFLOW System

Groundwater use for irrigation has a major influence on agricultural productivity and local water resources. This study evaluated the groundwater irrigation schemes, SWAT auto-irrigation scheduling based on plant water stress (Auto-Irr), and prescribed irrigation based on well pumping rates in MODFLOW (Well-Irr), in the U.S. Northern High Plains (NHP) aquifer using coupled SWAT-MODFLOW model simulations for the period 1982–2008. Auto-Irr generally performed better than Well-Irr in simulating groundwater irrigation volume (reducing the mean bias from 86 to −30%) and groundwater level (reducing the normalized root-mean-square-error from 13.55 to 12.47%) across the NHP, as well as streamflow interannual variations at two stations (increasing NSE from 0.51, 0.51 to 0.55, 0.53). We also examined the effects of groundwater irrigation on the water cycle. Based on simulation results from Auto-Irr, historical irrigation led to significant recharge along the Elkhorn and Platte rivers. On average over the entire NHP, irrigation increased surface runoff, evapotranspiration, soil moisture and groundwater recharge by 21.3%, 4.0%, 2.5% and 1.5%, respectively. Irrigation improved crop water productivity by nearly 27.2% for corn and 23.8% for soybean. Therefore, designing sustainable irrigation practices to enhance crop productivity must consider both regional landscape characteristics and downstream hydrological consequences.

Surface Water and Groundwater Recharge Modeling in Sunsari District using Integrated SWAT-MODFLOW Model

This study employs an integrated groundwater-surface water (GW-SW) model, using SWAT-MODFLOW, to assess groundwater recharge and withdrawals at a regional scale in eastern Nepal. The model components were calibrated and validated using monthly river flow and hydraulic head data for the 1979-2017 period. Our results demonstrate that the average annual groundwater discharge is 2.43 m3/s. Seasonally, the average groundwater discharge is 2.73 m3/s during Summer and is 2.13 m3/s during winter. We observe that the maximum (6.9 m3/s) and minimum (0.036 m3/s) rates occurred in September-October and March-April, respectively. We also find that the average runoff fraction (i.e., runoff/ precipitation) varied from 0.34 to 0.72, and the ET component varied from 0.24 to 0.547 of the total precipitation within the SWAT model. The yearly fluctuation in TWS varied from ± 9.9% to ± 58% of the total precipitation. The Aquifer thickness varies from 16m to 57 m, and the specific yield in the Sunsari district varied from 0.12 lps to 890 lps. In the southern part, we see the water level declines from 2-4 m from July to August, where the bottom water slowly declines in September. The recharge of 1380 l/sec is observed in the Sapta Koshi area in the Bhabar zone. There is substantial underflow from hills simultaneously, resulting in the total recharge in the Sunsari district of 1.98 MCM/yr. At the same time, the total discharge, including surface, sub-surface, and spring water discharge, is nearly 29.2 MCM/yr. This study shows that the Sunsari district’s water resources have many groundwater and surface water, properly managed for future use.

Modelling the Impact of Vegetation Change on Hydrological Processes in Bayin River Basin, Northwest China

Vegetation change in arid areas may lead to the redistribution of regional water resources, which can intensify the competition between ecosystems and humans for water resources. This study aimed to accurately model the impact of vegetation change on hydrological processes in an arid endorheic river watershed undergoing revegetation, namely, the middle and lower reaches of the Bayin River basin, China. A LU-SWAT-MODFLOW model was developed by integrating dynamic hydrological response units with a coupled SWAT-MODFLOW model, which can reflect actual land cover changes in the basin. The LU-SWAT-MODFLOW model outperformed the original SWAT-MODFLOW model in simulating the impact of human activity as well as the leaf area index, evapotranspiration, and groundwater table depth. After regional revegetation, evapotranspiration and groundwater recharge in different sub-basins increased significantly. In addition, the direction and amount of surface-water–groundwater exchange changed considerably in areas where revegetation involved converting low-coverage grassland and bare land to forestland.