Hurricanes Frances and Jeanne (HF and HJ) passed over Lake Okeechobee, Fla., in September 2004. Strong winds produced a large surface seiche during both storms. The slope of the water surface reversed itself within 4 hrs as wind direction changed during HF, but shifted in only 2 hrs during HJ. The greatest water level difference was along the lake's north-south (N-S) axis during both storms (2.6 and 3.5 m, respectively). Differences between maximum wind set-up (storm surge) and set-down on the opposite shore indicated that the slope of the water surface was not symmetrical at the height of either storm. Using simple steady-state models, maximum wind set-up was forecast for opposing stations along the lake's N-S axis and compared to observed data and storm surge predictions by the SLOSH model. Steady-state model accuracy was not improved by using averaging periods >15 min in length or by lagging weather and water temperature data behind lake stage. Steady-state models calibrated to the data performed better than uncalibrated models. Prediction errors for maximum wind set-up during HF and HJ by SLOSH were comparable to errors in the steady-state models. While not a substitute for sophisticated hydrodynamic models like SLOSH and LOHM, properly calibrated steady-state models can provide lake managers with reasonable estimates of wind set-up. Future use of simple wind set-up models on Lake Okeechobee will require validation against data from other hurricanes.
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