Surface Circulation Research Articles

Seasonal and El Niño–Southern Oscillation-related ocean variability in the Panama Bight

Abstract. In the Panama Bight, two different seasonal surface circulation patterns coincide with a strong mean sea level variation, as observed from 27 years of absolute dynamic topography (ADT) and the use of self-organizing maps. From January to April, a cyclonic gyre with a strong southwestward Panama Jet Surface Current (PJSC) dominates the basin circulation, forced by the Panama surface wind jet that also produces upwelling, reducing sea surface temperature (SST), increasing sea surface salinity (SSS) and causing an ADT decrease. From June to December, the Choco surface wind jet enhances SST, precipitation and river runoff, which reduces SSS, causing an ADT rise, which in turn forces a weak circulation in the bight, vanishing the PJSC. Interannual variability in the region is strongly affected by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO); however this climatic variability does not modify the seasonal circulation patterns in the Panama Bight. In contrast, the positive (negative) ENSO phase increases (decreases) SST and ADT in the Panama Bight, with a mean annual difference of 0.9 ∘C and 9.6 cm, respectively, between the two conditions, while its effect on SSS is small. However, as the strong seasonal SST, SSS and ADT ranges are up to 2.2 ∘C, 2.59 g kg−1 and 28.3 cm, the seasonal signal dominates over interannual variations in the bight.

Micropaleontological and Isotopic Perspective of Surface Water Mass Variability in the NE Atlantic from MIS 6 to 5e (188 to 115 ka)

The penultimate glaciation (marine isotope stage (MIS) 6) is considered regionally extreme compared to the last glacial maximum, in which the European ice sheets had a vast areal extent. In contrast to the last deglaciation (19–7 ka), the penultimate deglaciation (140–130 ka) hosts one of the most rapid oceanographic changes of the late Pleistocene. In this study, we reconstructed changes in the near-surface and thermocline in the central to northeast Atlantic by analyzing sediments from two Integrated Ocean Drilling Program Expedition 306 sites. Sites U1313 (41°00.6′ N, 32°57.4′ W) and U1314 (56°21.9′ N, 27°53.3′ W) were drilled on the eastern flank of the mid-Atlantic ridge and Gardar Drift of the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, respectively. We analyzed planktonic foraminiferal assemblages, ice-rafted debris (IRD), and oxygen isotopes in two planktonic foraminifers, Globigerina bulloides, and Globorotalia inflata, from MIS 6 to 5e (185–115 ka). Warmer and colder sea-surface conditions were marked by a change in the relative abundance of polar, subpolar, and transitional planktonic foraminifers. Oxygen isotopes in G. bulloides and G. inflata suggest that the thermocline deepened at the subtropical Site U1313 during MIS 6. The lack of Globorotalia inflata prevented us from profiling the mixed layer and thermocline at the subpolar Site U1314. In contrast to MIS 6, the mixed layer and thermocline were re-stratified during the last interglacial. The lack of major IRD events at both sites suggests the stability of the Laurentide ice sheet during MIS 6 compared to the subsequent glaciation. The presence of Heinrich event 11 indicates the discharge of freshwater that freshened the sea surface, resulting in mixing between the mixed layer and thermocline. Our results were placed into a broader context using published data that shed light on the sensitivity of freshwater discharge to the North Atlantic and the following changes with a transition from a penultimate glacial to an interglacial period in surface circulation.

Plate convergence controls long-term full-depth circulation of the South China Sea

How plate tectonics may affect full-depth ocean/sea circulation is not well understood. We used seismic data plus drilling/core and geomorphologic data to examine the influence of regional tectonics on South China Sea circulation. The features of four contourite depositional complexes across the sea, continental shelf to abyssal plain, indicate that plate convergence has controlled circulation within this marginal sea since the beginning of its closure, primarily via Luzon Strait changes. Initially (late Miocene), South China Sea circulation was open, as a part of North Pacific ocean circulation. Later (Pliocene to early Pleistocene) creation of the Luzon Strait reversed the direction of South China Sea surface circulation but not its deeper circulation. Subsequent (middle Pleistocene to present) narrowing and shallowing of the strait weakened surface, intermediate, and bottom flows within the sea but strengthened deepwater flow. This contourite-based approach to elucidating tectonic effects on surface-to-bottom paleo-circulation can be applied to other marine basins within an active tectonic setting.

Upper-Ocean Circulation and Tropical Atlantic Interannual Modes

Abstract The impact of tropical Atlantic Ocean variability modes in the variability of the upper-ocean circulation has been investigated. For this purpose, we use three oceanic reanalyses, an interannual forced-ocean simulation, and satellite data for the period 1982–2018. We have explored the changes in the main surface and subsurface ocean currents during the emergence of Atlantic meridional mode (AMM), Atlantic zonal mode (AZM), and AMM–AZM connection. The developing phase of the AMM is associated with a boreal spring intensification of North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC) and a reinforced summer Eastern Equatorial Undercurrent (EEUC) and north South Equatorial Current (nSEC). During the decaying phase, the reduction of the wind forcing and zonal sea surface height gradient produces a weakening of surface circulation. For the connected AMM–AZM, in addition to the intensified NECC, EEUC, and nSEC in spring, an anomalous north-equatorial wind curl excites an oceanic Rossby wave (RW) that is boundary-reflected into an equatorial Kelvin wave (KW). The KW reverses the thermocline slope, weakening the nSEC and EUC in boreal summer and autumn, respectively. During the developing spring phase of the AZM, the nSEC is considerably reduced with no consistent impact at subsurface levels. During the autumn decaying phase, the upwelling RW-reflected mechanism is activated, modifying the zonal pressure gradient that intensifies the nSEC. The NECC is reduced in boreal spring–summer. Our results reveal a robust alteration of the upper-ocean circulation during AMM, AZM, and AMM–AZM, highlighting the decisive role of ocean waves in connecting the tropical and equatorial ocean transport.

Smoothed particle hydrodynamics simulations for wave induced ice floe melting

In this paper, ice melting under the impacts of water waves was studied numerically via smoothed particle hydrodynamics simulations. Effects due to the ice elasticity were also included. Accordingly, the melting of an ice plate, modeled as an elastic object and interacting with transitional water waves with wave height and wave steepness up to 0.32 m and 0.093, respectively, was simulated and analyzed. The simulations showed that water waves' effects on the ice melting are seen via overflow over the top surface and local fluid circulations in the submerged region due to water–ice interactions and wave motions. Those effects result in a melting amount of the ice plate up to 1.78 times higher than the ice in still water. The overflow contributes up to 25% of the total amount of the melted ice. In comparison, fluid convection in the submerged region also leads to an increase in about 43% in the ice-melting amount over the submerged region. The melting rate is seen highest at the early stage of the simulation period and then is constantly reducing. The melting rate of the ice is seen linearly varying with the initial water temperature.

Surface circulation in the Gulf of Thailand from remotely sensed observations: seasonal and interannual timescales

Abstract. The Gulf of Thailand (GoT), a shallow semi-enclosed basin located in the western equatorial Pacific, undergoes much wind variabilities on both seasonal and interannual timescales that produce complex surface circulation. The local Ekman pumping modifies sea level in the northern GoT, while remote wind forcing influences sea level variability at the GoT western boundary, potentially through the coastal trapped Kelvin waves. The importance of the Ekman current on ageostrophic current is also important; the stronger influence of the Ekman current is found toward the southern part of the GoT. The GoT circulation reverses its direction seasonally following the monsoon wind reversal which is well-captured by the most dominant complex empirical orthogonal function explaining 28 % of the total circulation variance. During the monsoon transition, a strong meridional current along the western boundary that connects to the flow at the GoT southeastern entrance is observed. This implies high exchange between the GoT and the South China Sea and thus modification of the GoT water. On the interannual timescale, the GoT circulation is directly impacted by both the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Interestingly, the two climate modes have different spatial influences on the GoT circulation. The IOD dominates the interannual current along the GoT western boundary and the southern boundary of the observing domain (8∘ N), while the ENSO correlates with that in the interior. The results highlight the complex circulation pattern as being contributed by different dynamics over each region of the GoT.

Revisiting the tropical Atlantic western boundary circulation from a 25-year time series of satellite altimetry data

Abstract. Geostrophic currents derived from altimetry are used to investigate the surface circulation in the western tropical Atlantic over the 1993–2017 period. Using six horizontal sections defined to capture the current branches of the study area, we investigate their respective variations at both seasonal and interannual timescales, as well as the spatial distribution of these variations, in order to highlight the characteristics of the currents on their route. Our results show that the central branch of the South Equatorial Current and its northern branch near the Brazilian coast, the North Brazil Current component located south of the Equator, and the Guyana Current have similar annual cycles, with maxima (minima) during late boreal winter (boreal fall) when the Intertropical Convergence Zone is at its southernmost (northernmost) location. In contrast, the seasonal cycles of the North Brazil Current branch located between the Equator and 7–8∘ N, its retroflected branch, the northern branch of the South Equatorial Current to the west of 35∘ W, and the North Equatorial Countercurrent show maxima (minima) during late boreal summer (boreal spring), following the remote wind stress curl strength variation. West of 32∘ W, an eastward current (the Equatorial Surface Current, ESC) is observed between 2–2∘ N, identified as the equatorial extension of the retroflected branch of the North Brazil Current. It is part of a large cyclonic circulation observed between 0–6∘ N and 35–45∘ W during boreal spring. We also observed a secondary North Brazil Current retroflection flow during the second half of the year, which leads to the two-core structure of the North Equatorial Countercurrent and might be related to the wind stress curl seasonal changes. To the east, the North Equatorial Countercurrent weakens and its two-core structure is underdeveloped due to the weakening of the wind stress. At interannual scales, depending on the side of the Equator examined, the North Brazil Current exhibits two opposite scenarios related to the phases of the tropical Atlantic Meridional Mode. At 32∘ W, the interannual variability of the North Equatorial Countercurrent and of the northern branch of the South Equatorial Current (in terms of both strength and/or latitudinal shift) are associated with the Atlantic Meridional Mode, whereas the variability of the Equatorial Surface Current intensity is associated with both the Atlantic Meridional Mode and Atlantic Zonal Mode phases.

Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation modulation of ENSO teleconnections in its decaying stages: Relations with Indian Ocean basin‐wide mode and South American precipitation

AbstractThis study examines the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) modulation of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections in its decaying stages with the tropical ocean by focusing on the Indian Ocean Basin‐Wide (IOBW) mode and the precipitation over South America (SA) in the 1901–2012 period. Composite analyses revealed that the ENSO teleconnections are IPO‐modulated due to the differential ENSO decaying speed, which is slower during the positive than negative IPO phase, for both El Niño (EN) and La Niña (LN) cases. Negative precipitation anomalies related to EN persist over northeastern SA until austral winter for the positive IPO phase (POS IPO), while significant opposite sign anomalies occur in this region for the negative IPO phase (NEG IPO). These results are associated with the Walker circulation's reversal during NEG IPO which is, in turn, accompanied by negative IOBW. During the POS IPO, the positive IOBW causes upward movements over there and, by continuity, downward movements over SA. In the NEG IPO, for LN events the wave train originating in the north of Australia propagates toward subtropical SA, which, coupled with the surface circulation, causes dryness in this region. In addition, the rapid decay of LN in the NEG IPO, followed by the emergence of EN, caused changes in the Walker circulation, such that enhanced upward movements occurred over the Pacific and SA region, and downward movements over the Indian Ocean until austral winter. In turn, the slower decay of the LN in the POS IPO maintains strong subsidence over the central Pacific and weak upward motions over western SA. So, the EN (LN) and positive (negative) IOBW during the POS (NEG) IPO prolong the scarcity of precipitation over equatorial (subtropical) SA. Persistent dry periods over these regions during the ENSO decaying stage might have important implications for the seasonal forecasts.

Insights into surface circulation and mixing in James Bay and Hudson Bay from dissolved organic matter optical properties

Hudson Bay and James Bay are fed by numerous rivers, which also deliver large amounts of dissolved organic matter (DOM). The objective of this study is to assess Hudson Bay wide DOM spatial distribution using ultraviolet-visible light absorption and excitation-emission matrix fluorescence spectroscopies. Overall, a five-component PARAFAC model was validated using 1060 discrete samples collected over nine field campaigns between 2009 and 2018 and including the first samples from James Bay ( n = 112). Regional and seasonal variations were observed. Particularly striking was a 9-fold difference in concentration between coastal and marine zones of these bays, which implies limited mixing between those regions. Seasonal variations in absorption coefficient at 355 nm and terrestrial humic-like components were found only in east Hudson Bay, revealing a regional disparity in seasonal DOM behaviour. The summer intensities and relative abundances of DOM revealed that cyclonic circulation transports terrestrial DOM around James Bay following its eastern shores before being transported northward along the western coast of Belcher Islands. The vertical distribution of DOM indicated that fluorescent DOM is delivered to the deeper layer by winter convective mixing in northern Hudson Bay. • Limited mixing between the coastal and marine regions of the bay is observed. • The strong terrestrial signal of east James Bay is found in northern Belcher Island. • DOM is delivered to the deeper layer by winter convection in northern Hudson Bay.

Characterizing near-surface salinity variability in the northern Bay of Bengal and its potential drivers during extreme freshening years of the 2011–2019 period

Northern Bay of Bengal (BoB) receives a significant amount of freshwater, from precipitation and river discharge, which makes it comparatively low saline, specifically during August/September. However, the factors that determine the dispersal of this freshwater within the BoB remain relatively less addressed. Analysis of the near-surface salinity data from a moored buoy located in the northern BoB during 2011–2019 supplemented with satellite and model data showed prominent interannual variability viz. time of occurrence, persistence and magnitude of freshening. The surface salinity exhibit significant lowering during 2011, 2015 and 2017 with unique prolonged freshening in 2017. The offshore advection of low salinity water is initiated with sustained low wind stress further favoured by existing surface circulation and mesoscale eddies contributing to the unique characteristics. In addition, the maximum freshening observed in 2011 coincides with positive Indian Ocean Dipole event, whereas that of the prolonged freshening in 2017 is favored with anomalously low wind stress.

Projected Changes in the Seasonal Cycle of Madden‐Julian Oscillation Precipitation and Wind Amplitude

AbstractAlthough recent studies have examined the responses of annual‐ and seasonal‐mean Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) activity to global warming, little is known about the seasonal cycle changes that determine the timing of the peak MJO influence on local weather and climate. By analyzing the Community Earth System Model version 2 large ensemble at the end of the 21st century, we report changes in both the phase and amplitude of the seasonal cycle of MJO precipitation over the tropical Indian Ocean and southwestern Pacific. While the seasonal delay in phase of the MJO is related to the seasonal delay of total precipitation, with contributions from surface latent heat flux and circulation changes, the amplification in seasonal amplitude is consistent with the increase in MJO amplitude due to mean temperature increases. The shifts in phase of the seasonal cycle of the MJO under global warming may influence the predictability of extreme events.

Improved global sea surface height and current maps from remote sensing and in situ observations

Abstract. We present a new gridded sea surface height and current dataset produced by combining observations from nadir altimeters and drifting buoys. This product is based on a multiscale and multivariate mapping approach that offers the possibility to improve the physical content of gridded products by combining the data from various platforms and resolving a broader spectrum of ocean surface dynamic than in the current operational mapping system. The dataset covers the entire global ocean and spans from 1 July 2016 to 30 June 2020. The multiscale approach decomposes the observed signal into different physical contributions. In the present study, we simultaneously estimate the mesoscale ocean circulations as well as part of the equatorial wave dynamics (e.g. tropical instability and Poincaré waves). The multivariate approach is able to exploit the geostrophic signature resulting from the synergy of altimetry and drifter observations. Sea-level observations in Arctic leads are also used in the merging to improve the surface circulation in this poorly mapped region. A quality assessment of this new product is proposed with regard to an operational product distributed in the Copernicus Marine Service. We show that the multiscale and multivariate mapping approach offers promising perspectives for reconstructing the ocean surface circulation: observations of leads contribute to improvement of the coverage in delivering gap-free maps in the Arctic and observations of drifters help to refine the mapping in regions of intense dynamics where the temporal sampling must be accurate enough to properly map the rapid mesoscale dynamics. Overall, the geostrophic circulation is better mapped in the new product, with mapping errors significantly reduced in regions of high variability and in the equatorial band. The resolved scales of this new product are therefore between 5 % and 10 % finer than the Copernicus product (https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00148, Pujol et al., 2022b).

Sea surface height anomaly and geostrophic current velocity from altimetry measurements over the Arctic Ocean (2011–2020)

Abstract. Satellite altimetry missions flying over the ice-covered Arctic Ocean have opened the possibility of further understanding changes in the ocean beneath the sea ice. This requires complex processing of satellite signals emerging from the sea surface in leads within the sea ice, with efforts to generate consistent Arctic-wide datasets of sea surface height ongoing. The aim of this paper is to provide and assess a novel gridded dataset of sea surface height anomaly and geostrophic velocity, which incorporates both the ice-covered and open ocean areas of the Arctic. Data from the CryoSat-2 mission in the period 2011–2020 were gridded at monthly intervals, up to 88∘ N, using the Data-Interpolating Variational Analysis (DIVA) method. To examine the robustness of our results, we compare our dataset to independent satellite data, mooring time series and Arctic-wide hydrographic observations. We find that our dataset is well correlated with independent satellite data at monthly timescales. Comparisons to in situ ocean observations show that our dataset provides reliable information on the variability of sea surface height and surface geostrophic currents over geographically diverse regions of the Arctic Ocean and different dynamical regimes and sea ice states. At all comparison sites we find agreement with in situ observed variability at seasonal to interannual timescales. Furthermore, we find that our geostrophic velocity fields can resolve the variability of boundary currents wider than about 50 km, a result relevant for studies of Arctic Ocean circulation. Additionally, large-scale seasonal features emerge. Sea surface height exhibits a wintertime Arctic-wide maximum, with the highest amplitude over the shelves. Also, we find a basin-wide seasonal acceleration of Arctic slope currents in winter. We suggest that this dataset can be used to study not only the large-scale sea surface height and circulation, but also the regionally confined boundary currents. The dataset is available in netCDF format from PANGAEA at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.931869 (Doglioni et al., 2021d).

Attribution of the Subsurface Temperature Change in the Southern Hemisphere

Abstract The Southern Hemisphere temperature has experienced obvious changes with great spatial differences over the past several decades. Most regions show extreme warming, especially those located at 35°–55°S. In contrast, subsurface cooling exists between 15° and 35°S in the Indian and Pacific basins. The subsurface temperature and salinity change can be divided into spiciness change and heave components. The results show the warming due to isopycnal movement being largely offset by significant spiciness cooling at middepth. Surface warming and subduction into the interior ocean account for subsurface spiciness cooling near 45°S, while surface freshening and penetration along isopycnals are more important to the subsurface spiciness cooling farther north. The isobaric temperature change is associated with pure warming and pure heaving, and the subsurface cooling observed in the Indian and Pacific subtropics is predominantly attributed to pure heaving. This study provides a quantitative estimate of the relative contribution of surface temperature, salinity change, and circulation adjustment in subsurface temperature change, highlighting the importance of circulation change in producing subsurface cooling. Further research is needed to understand why different processes dominate in different ocean sections. Significance Statement While the global ocean is warming, the subsurface temperature change exhibits a significant regional disparity. This paper attempts to explain the deep-reaching warming at 35°–55°S and cooling at 15°–35°S based on three historical observation datasets. We find that the cooling mostly occurs between 400 and 1000 m in the south Indian and Pacific subtropics (15°–35°S), which is attributed to pure heaving, indicating the importance of circulation change in these regions. The midlatitude warming (35°–55°S) is mainly caused by the pure warming process, which is related to heat uptake at the subpolar surface and northward and downward heat transport. The spiciness cooling near 45°S is mainly driven by the subduction of the surface warming signal while the freshening process has a stronger impact on spiciness cooling farther north.

Simulated circulation and trajectory analysis in the Makassar Strait

Makassar Strait conveys the main Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) pathway, as part of the global thermohaline circulation transferring heat and freshwater fluxes from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean. Dynamics and variability of the ITF and the monsoon winds system influence significantly marine ecosystem in the Indonesian Seas. The study aims to analyze sea surface circulation patterns and particle trajectories in the Makassar Strait by developing a simulation of the CROCO’s 1/36º regional general circulation model between 2017-2018. The results revealed the dynamics of near-surface layer (0 – 50 m depth) varied seasonally. The magnitude of surface current was about 0.6 m/s during the peak of northwest monsoon (NWM) flowing northward and reverse southward during the peak of southeast monsoon (SEM). The magnitude of the current intensified up to 1 m/s in the subsurface at Labani Channel and persistent flows to the southward. The thermocline transport volume was maximum during SEM with average transport about -11.00 (±1.54) Sv. The analysis shows that the particles near Balikpapan coast spreaded slowly to the north, then rotating at the center of the strait and spreaded according to the NWM and SEM.

Impact of Yucatan Channel Subsurface Velocity Observations on the Gulf of Mexico State Estimates

Abstract The Gulf of Mexico (GoM) surface circulation variability is dominated by the Loop Current (LC) and the episodically released anticyclonic Loop Current eddies (LCEs). The Yucatan Current feeds the LC through the Yucatan Channel (YC), and its flow structure at the YC is hypothesized to affect the LC evolution critically. This study examines the impact of assimilating YC subsurface velocity observations from a tall mooring array across the YC on the GoM circulation. State estimates and forecasts of the LC circulation were produced using a regional implementation of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm) and its adjoint-based four-dimensional variational (4DVAR) assimilation system. The estimates were constrained by combinations of the YC observations and satellite-derived sea surface height (SSH) and sea surface temperature (SST). The results show that assimilation of both moored and satellite data improves the model hindcasts and forecasts for all LC phases. Additionally, one realization of the state estimate that assimilates only moored data matches the LCE detachment timing with that of AVISO SSH. Observations from the moorings close to the Yucatan Peninsula significantly impact the LCE detachment. A finite-time Lyapunov exponent analysis reveals the differences among the assimilation experiments, such as eddylike structures intruding into the GoM through the YC, and its relation to the typical LC sudden growth. Finally, an adjoint sensitivity analysis is used to verify the dynamic link between the LC extension and the intrusion of eddylike structures into the GoM.

A wave-driven surface circulation feature in Table Bay

Table Bay, located in the Cape Peninsula region of South Africa, supports a variety of human and ecological interests. Notably it hosts a major port, with significant shipping and smaller maritime activity in and near the bay. Despite this, knowledge of its circulation dynamics remains cursory. In this study, surface gravity waves, particularly those with longer periods and higher wave heights such as swells, are shown to be important in driving near surface currents and establishing circulation patterns within Table Bay. A surface circulation feature, linked to large wave conditions and established by strong wave-driven flows near Robben Island, is identified and described by means of two coastal ocean model simulations. One simulation is dynamically coupled to a wave model and includes current forcing due to waves, whereas the other neglects waves. The influence of these wave-driven currents is relevant at the event scale, but also affects the monthly means of the simulation periods. Finally, the importance of including accurate surface gravity wave forcing in simulations of coastal currents, for applications of coastal models, is elucidated. This is achieved by analysing differences in the drift of a series of drogues deployed in the coupled and uncoupled simulations. Trajectories, drift speeds and drogue fates differed materially between the two configurations, underscoring the implications of wave-driven currents for common use cases.

Characteristics of Eulerian mesoscale eddies in the Gulf of Mexico

Although numerous studies on Eulerian mesoscale eddies with closed contours of sea surface height (SSH) or streamline have been conducted in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM), a comprehensive study on their temporal and spatial characteristics is still lacking. In this study, we combine three eddy detection algorithms to detect Eulerian eddies from the 26-year SSH record in the GoM and examine their characteristics. We find distinct characteristics between Loop Current Eddies (LCEs), Loop Current Frontal Eddies (LCFEs), and mesoscale eddies that are not directly related to the Loop Current (LC). Many characteristics of LCEs and LCFEs in the eastern GoM are closely related to the LC. More LCFEs are formed in January to July than in August to December, likely related to the seasonal variation of the northward penetration of the LC. However, the formation of non-LCFE cyclonic eddies shows a biannual variability, which could be linked to the position and strength of the background current in the western GoM. Nevertheless, the seasonal variability of the Eulerian eddies shows large uncertainties (not significant at the 95% confidence level). Low-frequency (interannual to multidecadal) variability is also detected. In the eastern GoM, the extent of northward penetration of the LC can affect the generation of LCFEs and result in low-frequency variations. In the western GoM, the low-frequency variability of eddy occurrence and amplitude could be related to the surface circulation strength.

Interannual changes of the summer circulation and hydrology in the East China Sea: A modeling study from 1981 to 2015

This study investigated long-term interannual changes in summer circulation and hydrology in the East China Sea (ECS) by performing 35-year high-resolution ocean model simulation from 1981 to 2015. The sea surface temperature (SST) warming trend was considerably weaker in summer than in winter. To the east of the Yangtze Estuary, the interannual variation of SST in summer was mainly dominated by horizontal advection associated with variations in the Taiwan warm current and heat flux in the offshore region north of the Yangtze Estuary. Baroclinic circulation during summer played a crucial role in subsurface mixing. Near the surface, the significant atmospheric wind mode (EOF1) and Kuroshio mode (EOF2) dominate interannual variations in ocean circulation. In the subsurface, local wind around the Tsushima Strait dominated the interannual ocean variation. Anomalous northeasterly winds induced a southwestward pressure gradient due to topographical confinement. These anomalies propagated to the south along the continental shelf through topographic Rossby waves. This study identified two types of anomalous features based on combinations of surface and subsurface EOFs. The combination represents an in-phase contribution between wind and Kuroshio forcings and between the surface and subsurface circulation that enhances the hydrological variability in the ECS. The implication on the relevant biogeochemical and ecological studies in the East China Sea is also very crucial at the interannual time scale.

Reconstruction of High-Resolution Sea Surface Salinity over 2003–2020 in the South China Sea Using the Machine Learning Algorithm LightGBM Model

Salinity, as one of the essential physical properties of seawater, is a common tracer differentiating water masses in the ocean, which often require relatively high-resolution datasets. Limited by the coverage of direct observations, however, high-resolution spatial and temporal salinity data are not always available, which hinders the fine application of salinity data in discerning ocean processes and improved modeling of ocean physics and biogeochemistry. To supplement the salinity database, we reconstructed sea surface salinity (SSS) with reasonably high spatial resolution (0.05° × 0.05°) over 2003–2020 in the South China Sea (SCS) with a machine learning algorithm based on a combination of MODIS-Aqua remote sensing data and a large cruise observation-based dataset. The reconstructed SSS has a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.2 when compared with our underway observations with a corresponding root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.3. The MAE between station-based observations and our reconstruction was 0.5, and the RMSE was 0.7. These validations strongly suggest that our reconstruction is highly adequate, representing at most a quarter of the identified discrepancies compared to the remote sensing SSS or two other prevalent model-derived datasets. Based on our reconstruction, the SSS in the SCS is relatively low in coastal waters, but high in the ocean basin, with a seasonal pattern with a minimum in the summer and a maximum in the winter. This spatio-temporal distribution is well consistent with the observations and is affected by the Pearl River plume, sea surface circulation, and precipitation. Using our reconstructed SSS, we were able to successfully characterize the spreading of the Pearl River and Mekong River plumes and the intrusion of the Kuroshio Current from the Pacific Ocean into the SCS.