Strike-slip Rate Research Articles

Cenozoic faulting of the Ganzi-Yushu (Xianshuihe) fault from apatite (U-Th)/He ages and its implications for the tectonic reorganization in the southeastern Tibetan plateau

The Ganzi-Yushu-Xianshuihe fault that lies along the northeastern boundary of the Chuan-Dian crustal fragment provides the opportunity to study the tectonic evolution and geodynamic mechanisms of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Apatite (U-Th)/He data from an elevation transect provide robust evidence for the initiation of the Ganzi-Yushu fault. The consistent AHe ages of the lower samples constrain the onset of fault activity to 9.4 ± 1.5 Ma. Moreover, the zircon U-Pb dating and rare earth element (REE) analysis confirm that the Queer Shan and Gaogong granitic plutons were emplaced as a whole and then displaced by the Ganzi-Yushu fault. Combining the total offset of these two plutons and the onset timing of the fault activity yields a long-term average left-lateral strike-slip rate of 7.3–10.8 mm/yr for the Ganzi-Yushu fault. Based on the summarized synchronous deformation in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, including the initiation of fault activity along the whole Ganzi-Yushu-Xianshuihe fault, the slip reversal of the Red River fault, and the fault activity along a series of left-slip faults in the Indochina block, we suggest that the southward extrusion of the Chuan-Dian crustal fragment and clockwise rotation around the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis initiated at the middle-late Miocene (15-10 Ma).

Newly Discovered NE-Striking Dextral Strike-Slip Holocene Active Caimashui Fault in the Central Part of the Sichuan-Yunnan Block and Its Tectonic Significance

The Sichuan-Yunnan block is a tectonically active region in China, with frequent large earthquakes occurring in and around it. Despite most earthquakes being concentrated along boundary faults, intraplate faults also have the potential to generate damaging earthquakes. Remote sensing makes it possible to identify these potential earthquake source faults. During an active fault investigation in the Liangshan area, a distinct lithological boundary named Caimashui fault was found. The geometric distribution and kinematic parameter of the fault is crucial for assessing seismic hazards and understanding the deformation pattern within the Sichuan-Yunnan block. The Caimashui fault is mapped with remote sensing interpretation, a field survey, and UAV measurement. Through trenching and Quaternary dating, the Late Quaternary active characteristics of the fault are studied. The fault is a Holocene active dextral strike-slip fault with a reverse component, exhibiting a dextral strike-slip rate of ~0.70 ± 0.11 mm/a. Paleoseismic investigation shows that the last surface rupture event of the Caimashui fault occurred later than 4150 ± 30a BP, with a magnitude of M ≥ 7.0. The fault may act as a secondary splitting fault, absorbing the deformation caused by various sinistral strike-slip rates of the boundary faults and the potential energy from the counterclockwise rotation of the Central Yunnan micro-block.

Evidence of Dextral Strike-Slip Movement of the Alakol Lake Fault in the Western Junggar Based on Remote Sensing

The NW-SE-trending dextral strike-slip faults on the north side of the Tian Shan, e.g., the Karatau fault, Talas–Fergana fault, Dzhalair–Naiman fault, Aktas fault, Dzhungarian fault, and Chingiz fault, play an important role in accommodating crustal shortening. The classic viewpoint is that these strike-slip faults are an adjustment product caused by the difference in the crustal shortening from west to east. Another viewpoint attributes the dextral strike-slip fault to large-scale sinistral shearing. The Alakol Lake fault is a typical dextral strike-slip fault in the north Tian Shan that has not been reported. It is situated along the northern margin of the Dzhungarian gate, stretching for roughly 150 km from Lake Ebinur to Lake Alakol. Our team utilized aerial photographs, satellite stereoimagery, and field observations to map the spatial distribution of the Alakol Lake fault. Our findings provided evidence supporting the assertion that the fault is a dextral strike-slip fault. In reference to its spatial distribution, the Lake Alakol is situated in a pull-apart basin that lies between two major dextral strike-slip fault faults: the Chingiz and Dzhungarian faults. The Alakol Lake fault serves as a connecting structure for these two faults, resulting in the formation of a mega NW-SE dextral strike-slip fault zone. According to our analysis of the dating samples taken from the alluvial fan, as well as our measurement of the displacement of the riser and gully, it appears that the Alakol Lake fault has a dextral strike-slip rate of 0.8–1.2 mm/a (closer to 1.2 mm/a). The strike-slip rate of the Alakol Lake fault is comparatively higher than that of the Chingiz fault in the northern region (~0.7 mm/a) but slower than that of the Dzhungarian fault in the southern region (3.2–5 mm/a). The Chingiz–Alakol–Dzhungarian fault zone shows a gradual decrease in deformation towards the interior of the Kazakhstan platform.

Spatial distribution and regional tectonic significance of the newly discovered Kalawenguquan fault in the interior of the Tian Shan Mountain Range, Western China

Quantifying the geometrical and kinematic aspects of faults within the Tian Shan Mountain Range is crucial for investigating the tectonic deformation patterns in the region. Through remote sensing image analysis using GaoFen-7 (GF-7) data and field geological surveys, we determined the geometric distribution and fault properties of the Kalawenguquan fault. The newly discovered Kalawenguquan fault spans more than 400 km and mainly strikes in the NEE direction, with some localized segments in the NE direction. The fault plane dips southward at angles ranging from 55° to 85°. The Kalawenguquan fault is a recently discovered Holocene active fault in the Tian Shan and is a thrust and left-lateral strike-slip fault. Based on geological survey findings and sediment dating data from the late Quaternary, the Kalawenguquan fault has a vertical sliding rate of approximately 0.41 mm/a. The left-lateral strike-slip rate was calculated to be 0.6–1.4 mm/a. We detected that at least two paleoseismic events occurred on the fault since 5.4 ± 0.4 ka. In the range of 41°-45° latitude, 45 % of the crustal shortening in the Tian Shan is absorbed by the internal structure.

Geometry, slip rate, and the latest earthquake of the Jinta Nanshan Fault: Interactions of the Altyn Tagh Fault and the Qilian Shan at the northern margin of the Tibetan Plateau

This work presents a study of late Quaternary activity on the Jinta Nanshan Fault (JTF), to constrain its properties including seismic hazard, and to understand the tectonic evolution of the northern edge of the Tibetan Plateau. The JTF has developed during northeastward growth of the Qilian fold-and-thrust belt and eastward growth of the Altyn Tagh Fault. Based on remotely-sensed image interpretation and field investigation, trench studies, high-resolution terrain construction and Optical Stimulated Luminescence dating, we study the fault geometry and slip motion, and constrain the slip rate and the latest earthquake for the JTF. The JTF continues as far southeast as the Heihe River and shows predominantly left-lateral strike-slip displacement. The left-lateral slip rate is 0.27–0.48 mm/yr since late Pleistocene, much larger than the vertical slip rate of 0.05 ± 0.01 mm/yr. The latest rupture event of the JTF is slightly before 1 ka, which could be related to the poorly-recorded 756 CE earthquake in Hexi Corridor, and is also associated with fresh offset during this earthquake in the geomorphology of the east segment of the JTF. Strike-slip offset in this earthquake is estimated as 3.2 ± 0.4 m, with a rupture length of at least ∼13 km, indicating a moment magnitude of 6.4–7.2. We estimate the recurrence interval as 8–13 ka, based on the size of the latest offset and the slip rate of 0.27–0.48 mm/yr. These results indicate that the strike-slip continuation of the Altyn Tagh Fault dominates the slip behaviour of the JTF. The small strike-slip rate, and the match between the strike-slip of the JTF and the vertical slip of the North-South Normal Faults (NSF) at its eastern end, permit the interpretation that the slip of Altyn Tagh Fault is completely accommodated by crustal extension at the NSF, and dies out at the eastern end of the Jinta Nanshan region.

Current active fault distribution and slip rate along the middle section of the Jiali-Chayu fault from Sentinel-1 InSAR observations (2017–2022)

The Jiali-Chayu fault, situated on the eastern side of the eastern Himalayan syntaxis, is the southeastern margin of the large strike-slip fault zone of the Jiali Fault. The study of the distribution and activity within this fault zone is imperative for a comprehensive understanding of the tectonic movement patterns in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Previous studies have established that the kinematic characteristic of the Jiali-Chayu fault diverges significantly from that of other segments within the Jiali fault. Nonetheless, the current tectonic characteristics, including the slip sense, slip rate, and geometric deformation of this fault, are still not well resolved, leading to divergent interpretations regarding its contemporary activity intensity. This paper introduced an optimized time-series InSAR method with phase compensation designed for regions characterized by low coherence and exhibiting slow deformation. Using Sentinel-1 SAR data from both ascending and descending orbits spanning the period between 2017 and 2022, we successfully derived deformation rates for the middle part of the Jiali-Chayu fault at a spatial resolution of 150 m. The slip and dip rates of active faults are determined by considering the fault movement rates from two different observation angles, in conjunction with strike angle and the assumed dip angle of the fault. The results show that the deformation rates of the three branches are very different, with F2-1 and F2-2 exhibiting notable activity, while other areas exhibit relatively weaker activity. The strike-slip rates for F2-1 and F2-2 faults range between 3.6 and 5.3 mm/a and 3.05 to 5.13 mm/a, respectively, while their respective dip-slip rates fall within the range of 1.1–2.7 mm/a and 2.99–5.02 mm/a. In accordance with the fault slip directions, we classify the F2-1 fault as a sinistral (left-lateral) strike-slip fault and the F2-2 fault as a dextral (right-lateral) strike-slip fault. This study addresses a gap in remote sensing methods for detecting active fault activity in this region, providing a systematic foundation for identifying weak activity characteristics within the fault zone.Graphical

Seismotectonic aspects of the Ms 7.3 1948 October 5 Aşgabat (Ashgabat) earthquake, Türkmenistan: right-lateral rupture across multiple fault segments, and continuing urban hazard

SUMMARY The Ms 7.3 1948 Aşgabat earthquake was one of the most devastating earthquakes of the 20th century, yet little is known about its location, style and causative fault. In this study, we bring together new seismic and geomorphic observations with previously published descriptions of surface rupture and damage distributions to determine the likely source of the earthquake. We determine the epicentre and focal mechanism of this earthquake from digitized historical seismograms and the relocation of regional seismicity to show that the earthquake most likely nucleated close to the city of Aşgabat. The earthquake ruptured a right-lateral strike-slip fault to the southeast of the city, which has a clear long-term expression in the landscape, and also likely reactivated a subparallel concealed thrust along the Gyaursdag anticline east of the city. The earthquake potentially also ruptured a right-lateral segment northwest of Aşgabat, which does not have an identifiable expression in the landscape. Using high-resolution satellite imagery and digital elevation models we investigate the geomorphology of active faulting around Aşgabat and adjacent parts of the Köpetdag (Kopeh Dagh) mountain range front, showing that there are significant strike-slip and oblique strike-slip segments adjacent to the city that apparently did not rupture in 1948, and yet show clear geomorphic expression and potential right-lateral displacement of Parthian-era (∼2000 yr) and post-Sassanian era (∼1500 yr) archaeological remains. Luminescence dating of displaced fluvial terraces west of Aşgabat yields a vertical displacement rate of 0.6 mm yr−1, though the strike-slip rate remains undetermined.

Stepwise decrease in strike-slip rate along the eastern Altyn Tagh Fault and its relation to the Qilian Shan thrust system, northeastern Tibetan Plateau

As the northern boundary fault the Tibetan Plateau, the slip-rate decrease pattern of the eastern Altyn Tagh Fault (ATF) and its relation to the neighboring Qilian Shan thrust system remain unclear. In this study, high-resolution topographic data have been acquired by using the UAV-based LiDAR and Structure from Motion (SfM) technique. Using OSL dating ages obtained from terraces, we constrained the strike-slip rates at four locations along the eastern ATF, ranging from ∼7 mm/yr to ∼1 mm/yr. In combination with previous observations, a stepwise decrease pattern in strike-slip rate along the eastern ATF has been proposed in this study. To confirm this conclusion, sandbox experiments were conducted to simulate the simultaneous deformation involving the sinistral slip of the eastern ATF and the crustal shortening in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. The role of ductile middle-lower crust was examined by comparative experiments (Models 1 and 2). In Model 1, without a ductile middle-lower crust, the wedge translated forward as a rigid block until reaching the frontal thrust, resulting in an almost uniform slip rate along the strike-slip fault. In Model 2, with a ductile middle-lower crust, the slip rate exhibited rapid decrease while passing each thrust belt, forming a stepwise decrease pattern rather than a gradient decrease; The compressional deformation was accommodated by a series of thrust belts that were active simultaneously, consistent with the late Quaternary simultaneous activity of the thrust belts within the Qilian Shan thrust system. Our modeling results suggested coupled growth between the eastern ATF and the Qilian Shan thrust system, and that a ductile middle-lower crust played important role in dispersing deformation into parallelly distributed thrust belts.

Interseismic kinematics along the Tuolaishan-Lenglongling fault determined by Sentinel-1 InSAR observations

Current study of interseismic fault slip behavior constrained by Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) derived line-of-sight (LOS) velocities has been favored. However, we found that the fault slip rate inferred by the spatially dense two-dimensional (2-D) horizontal velocities can be more robust than that estimated by LOS velocities. Here, we obtain the LOS velocity maps across the Qilian-Haiyuan fault (QL-HYF) zone through time series analysis of Sentinel-1 A/B data (2015–2020). Combining the GPS observations, we calculate the interseismic 3-D velocity map. Based on a genetic optimization algorithm, we investigate the fault motion at depth on the Lenglongling (LLL) and Tuolaishan (TLS) segments. We show the spatial variation of the strike-slip rate (4.1– 5.5 mm/yr), dip-slip rate (0– 1.7 mm/yr), crustal compression shortening rate (1.2– 3 mm/yr) and locking depth (7.9– 17.1 km) along the TLSF. These parameters are 3.4– 5.6 mm/yr, 0– 0.8 mm/yr, 1.9– 4 mm/yr and 13.3– 23 km along the LLLF, respectively. Based on the inferred strike-slip rate (∼3.4 mm/yr) and locking depth (∼13.3 km) on the main fault of the 2022 Menyuan earthquake, the estimated interseismic accumulated seismic moment (1.44×1019 N m) since the 1540 M7.2 paleoearthquake can produce an Mw6.74 earthquake, in agreement with the moment magnitude (∼Mw6.7) caused by the coseismic rupture. This suggests that there is a good correspondence between inter- and co-seismic kinematics, and the fault with low interseismic slip rate remains have the potential to generate large earthquake.

Slip partitioning and seismogenic stress buildup adjacent to the junction of the Lenglongling fault and the Tuolaishan fault: Insights from kinematically constrained numerical simulations

Understanding fault kinematics plays a crucial role in estimating seismic hazards and linking the relationship between seismogenic stress buildup and tectonic deformation. The northwestern segment of the Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone (QHFZ) serves as a natural laboratory for investigating how the oblique block motion decomposes into a complex fault system. In this study, we constructed a 3D FEM model incorporating the active faults as contact discontinuities to obtain a continuous numerical image of fault slip rates. Our findings revealed that deformation partitioning within the context of oblique block convergence generates a spatially heterogeneous distribution of fault slip rates. The inferred strike-slip rates of the Tuolaishan fault and the Lenglongling fault (LLLF) range from approximately 2 to 4 mm/yr and 4 to 7 mm/yr, respectively. The Lenglongling fault's slip behavior exhibits a spatial transition, with a dominant strike-slip component dominating in the western part and gradually changing to a combination of reverse faulting and strike-slip in the eastern segment. The Northern Lenglongling fault (NLLLF), characterized by a listric shape, merges with the LLLF in the deep crust, resulting in the formation of a positive flower structure that enhances the accumulation of compressional seismogenic stress. The region with high shear strain rates within this area has experienced significant earthquakes, including the 2022 Menyuan MS 6.9 earthquake, the 2016 Menyuan MS 6.4 earthquake, and the 1986 Menyuan MS 6.4 earthquake. Our numerical study gained valuable insights into the relationship between slip partitioning, fault structures, and regional stress.

Active subduction and strain partitioning in western Myanmar revealed by a dense survey GNSS network

The active tectonics of the Myanmar (formerly Burma) microplate in central Myanmar are caused by the oblique collision between the Sunda and Eurasia plates to the east and the Indian plate to the west. The kinematics of this plate boundary zone remain a subject of controversy, due in part to limited geodetic and seismic observations in the region. Here, we report 41 new and 67 updated survey-mode and continuous Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) velocities spanning central and western Myanmar, between 15 – 23°N and 93 – 98°E. For the first time, our network allows us to directly observe the occurrence of active convergence along the central Rakhine coast in a manner consistent with active subduction and kinematic coupling of the megathrust, at a rate of 15 – 20 mm/yr. The data also establish a nearly constant strike-slip rate of 20 – 23 mm/yr along the entire length of the Sagaing fault. Using an elastic block-modeling approach, we examine several proposed models for the partitioning of oblique convergence into strike-slip and thrust motion across the Indo-Myanmar Ranges and the Myanmar Central Basin. We find evidence for shortening perpendicular to local topography throughout the Indo-Myanmar Ranges, indicating active convergence and nearly complete strain partitioning between thrust and transform faults north of 19°N, and estimate a rate of moment-deficit accumulation along the megathrust of 0.8−1.5×1019 N m/yr, equivalent to one MW 9.0 earthquake every 250 to 450 years, assuming all elastic strain is released seismically. We also find that a relatively small set of major active crustal faults can explain much of the data, though the data cannot resolve smaller faults that may be active at rates lower than a few mm/yr. Our results have important implications for earthquake and tsunami preparedness across the region, and indicate areas for future study where the geodetic observations remain ambiguous about ongoing fault activity and seismic hazard, particularly within the densely populated Ayeyarwady Delta region and along the southern Rakhine coast.

Study of the Interseismic Deformation and Locking Depth along the Xidatan–Dongdatan Segment of the East Kunlun Fault Zone, Northeast Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, Based on Sentinel-1 Interferometry

The East Kunlun fault zone (EKFZ), located northeast of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, has experienced several strong earthquakes of magnitude seven or above since 1900. It is one of the most active fault systems and is characterized by left-lateral strike-slip. However, the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment (XDS) of the East Kunlun fault zone (EKFZ) has had no earthquakes for many years, and the Kunlun Mountains MS 8.1 earthquake has a stress loading effect on this segment, so it is widely regarded as a high-risk earthquake gap. To this end, we collected the Sentinel-1 data of the XDS of the EKFZ from July 2014 to July 2019 and obtained the high-precision interseismic deformation field by the Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technique to obtain the slip rate and locking depth of the XDS of the EKFZ, and the seismic potential of the segment was analyzed. The results are as follows: (1) The LOS deformation field of the XDS of the EKFZ was obtained using Sentinel-1 data of ascending and descending orbits, which indicated that the XDS of the EKFZ is dominated by horizontal motion. Combined with the interference results, it is shown that the strike-slip rate dominates the deformation information of the XDS of the EKFZ. The deep strike-slip rate of the fault is about 6 mm/yr, the deep dip-slip rate is about 2 mm/yr, and the slip-deficit rate on the fault surface is about 6 mm/yr; (2) Combined with the spiral dislocation theory model, the slip rate of the XDS to Xiugou Basin of the EKFZ has a gradually increasing trend, with an average slip rate of 9.6 ± 2.3 mm/yr and a locking depth of 29 ± 5 m; (3) The stress accumulation is about 483 ± 92 years in the XDS of the EKFZ, indicating that the cumulative elastic strain energy of the XDS can produce an MW 7.29 ± 0.1 earthquake in the future.

Analysis of the fault slip, creep, and coupling characteristics of the Maomaoshan-Laohushan-Haiyuan Fault using InSAR and GNSS measurements

Line-of-sight Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) observations are affected by long-wavelength errors and the inaccurate estimation of vertical deformation, thereby restricting horizontal slip rate estimations for strike-slip faults, such as the Maomaoshan-Laohushan-Haiyuan Fault (MMS-LHS-HY). To overcome this limitation, herein, InSAR (2016–2022) and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations were combined and the Least Squares Variance Component Estimation (LS-VCE) method was used to obtain the Three-Dimensional (3-D) deformation field of the Haiyuan fault zone; subsequently, the slip-rate and coupling distributions were inverted. The results showed that: (1) Compared with the GNSS and leveling deformation velocities, the residuals of the 3-D deformation field obtained using the LS-VCE method combined with the GNSS and InSAR observations reached an RMS of 1 mm/a, significantly better than the deformation field obtained without GNSS data. (2) Vertical deformation from InSAR observations led to over- or under-estimation of the fault strike-slip rate, with the maximum influence on the shallow creep rate of 2.1 mm/a. (3) Based on the 3-D deformation field, fault slip rate, locking depth, and fault creep characteristics obtained from the elastic dislocation and elastic block models were consistent with each other. (4) The strike-slip rate of the MMS-LHS-HY fault gradually decreased from west to east, whereas the thrust rate gradually increased in the same direction. (5) Based on the 3-D deformation field, the creep range of the LHS fault was ∼40 km, with the mean shallow creep rate reaching 2.5 ± 0.1 mm/a, notably larger than the creep rate obtained by ascending InSAR observation alone.

Present–day crustal deformation in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau: Insights from three–dimensional finite–element modeling

Quantifying the present–day kinematics of southeastern Tibet is important for understanding the tectonic evolution of the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, we established a three–dimensional finite element model to estimate fault slip and strain rates in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau based on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) observations. Our model yields an overall good fit to the GNSS velocity field with residuals of 0.83 mm/yr and 0.85 mm/yr for the east and north components, respectively, comparable to the uncertainties of 0.67 mm/yr and 0.61 mm/yr. The model–derived strike–slip rates of the Xiaojiang fault, Nanhua–Chuxiong fault, Qujiang fault, central segment of Red River fault, southeastern segment of Red River fault and Dien Bien Phu fault are 13.7 ± 0.7 mm/yr, 1.9 ± 0.6 mm/yr, 3.4 ± 1.1 mm/yr, 1.5 ± 0.5 mm/yr, 1.2 ± 0.4 mm/yr and 1.6 ± 0.4 mm/yr, respectively, which are consistent with previous geological results, implying that the short–term fault motions estimated from GNSS data can reflect the long–term fault slip in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. The shear strain rate is localized along the Xiaojiang fault, which agrees with predictions of the tectonic extrusion model (i.e., the lateral extrusion of internally rigid blocks along strike-slip faults). Strain orientations in the western part of southeastern Tibetan Plateau are characterized by clockwise rotation. Comparison of the surface strain rates, crustal stress, and seismic anisotropy reveals general consistency between deformation of the surface and upper crust. The eastern part of southeastern Tibetan Plateau has small residuals, and the present–day crustal deformation can be explained by rigid block motion. However, the western part of the study area has relatively large residuals, implying that other processes, such as gravitational spreading, may influence deformation in the area. We propose a hybrid model that combines rigid block motion with continuum deformation to explain the contemporary crustal deformation of southeastern Tibetan Plateau.

Mechanical Analysis of Fault Slip Rate Sites within the San Gorgonio Pass Region, Southern California USA

Earthquake hazard assessments rely on observations from the field and geophysical data that provide fault slip rate estimates at specific sites and inform the geometry of active faults; however, uncertainty remains for both slip rate and geometry. Furthermore, incompatibilities between inferred fault geometry and geologic slip rates arise within crustal deformation models where model and geologic slip rates disagree. The impact of these incompatibilities may be local to sites or have wider effect on the fault system deformation. Here, we investigate the roles of structural position of sites and uncertainty of slip rates using three-dimensional mechanical models that simulate deformation across many earthquake cycles along southern San Andreas fault near the San Gorgonio Pass in California. Within the models, the impact of strike-slip rate sites on the fault system depends on their structural positions. Slip rates at sites along short and segmented faults has lesser impact on the slip along the fault system than either slip rates at sites along longer faults or at sites within fault branches. Consequently, inaccuracies in the slip rate estimates used for seismic hazard assessment may have differing impacts on the fault system depending on location and structural position of the slip rates. Fault branches along strike-slip faults warrant detailed investigation not only because these areas have high spatial variability of slip rate and accrue nearby off-fault deformation but also because changes in slip rates along branches has larger impact on deformation along fault system than other sites. Lack of data or large uncertainty in slip rate data from fault branches can affect our ability to accurately assess seismic hazard of the region.

Active faulting of the Nanhe Fault and relation to the Anninghe Fault zone in the late Quaternary, eastern Tibetan Plateau

Faults along the boundaries of active tectonic blocks are the main structures that are responsible for major earthquakes in mainland China. Investigating the geometric distribution, rupture behavior, and paleoseismic history of these faults is the prerequisite for constraining geodynamic models and regional seismic hazard analyses. The Nanhe Fault, located at the eastern boundary of the Sichuan–Yunnan Block near Mianning County, has been paid less attention so far due to insufficient historical records of major earthquakes. In this paper, we focused on the Nanhe Fault and conducted satellite imagery interpretation, field investigations, and trench excavations. Our findings indicate that the Nanhe Fault initiates north of Mianning County; the north segment of the fault is connected with the Anninghe Fault; and it extends for about 70 km south-westward and terminates southwest of Ermaga Village. The fault has been faulting in the late Late Pleistocene with a left-lateral strike-slip rate of 2.40–2.56 mm/yr, while in the late Holocene, the left-lateral strike-slip and vertical slip rates are 2.50–2.60 mm/yr and about 0.60 mm/yr, respectively. Three paleoseismic events (5373–4525 BC, AD 1193–1576, and AD 1496–1843) were identified by excavating trenches at the Nanhe Fault. A comparative analysis of paleoseismic events between the Nanhe and the Anninghe fault indicates that both faults may have induced cascade rupture or triggered earthquakes—such related events may have occurred in 1496–1627. Additionally, by comparing the kinematic relationship of the faults at the eastern boundary of the Sichuan–Yunnan Block, we propose that the Nanhe Fault takes part in strain partitioning along the boundary. This interpretation reasonably explains the loss of the sliding rate between the Anninghe and Zemuhe faults, which also supports the GPS inversion results, and the discontinuous deformation model for the eastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau.

Present-day strain accumulations and fault kinematics at the Hatay Triple Junction using new geodetic constraints

The East Anatolian Fault (EAF), Cyprus Arc and Dead Sea Fault (DSF) intersect at the Hatay Triple Junction (HTJ) in southern Turkey, which is a tectonically controversial zone among researchers. Although it is not as active as the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) or other segments on the EAF in terms of seismicity, the HTJ accumulates strain causing considerable seismic activity in the region. Prior to this study, the strain accumulations and kinematics of the HTJ have not been precisely investigated using such a dense GPS network comprising permanent GPS stations, Turkish National Fundamental GPS Network (TUTGA) and campaign sites. Here, the fault slip rates and locking depths were constrained in the vicinity of HTJ using a new velocity field and improved block modeling. As per the results of block modeling, the EAF and Karatas-Osmaniye Fault (KOF) are fully locked down to depths of 15 km and 7 km, respectively. Furthermore, the Karasu Fault (KF) has a fully locked seismogenic zone to 7 km depth with a similar slip distribution to the EAF. Our kinematic model suggests 9.2 mm/yr left-lateral strike-slip rate and 2.0–2.7 mm/yr thrust faulting slip rate at the southwest end of the EAF. The KF appears to have left-lateral strike-slip at the rates ranging 4.0–5.5 mm/yr, while contrarily it has no significant normal/reverse faulting component. In addition, the KOF accommodates left-lateral strike-slip of 3.3–4.5 mm/yr and extension with the rates of 1.8–2.7 mm/yr. The new constraints on the fault slip rates associated with the HTJ correspond to predictions for a probable large earthquake with possible magnitude ranging from 7.2 to 7.6 for the EAF segment and 6.7–7.2 for the KF and KOF segments.

Evidence of structural transformation in the eastern part of the Altyn Tagh Fault, northern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, China, based on the kinematics and shortening rate of the Hongliuxia region

(a) Blocks distributed surround the Tibetan Plateau. (b) Active tectonics in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. The black rectangle within the inset shows the study area. The thick grey line shows the block boundary. Blue arrows show the global positioning system (GPS) velocity with respect to the Eurasian Plate, and the green arrows represent the GPS velocity with respect to GAB. (c) Deformation rates of these faults and folds in the compressional stepover of the eastern ATF. JTF: Jinta Fault, HLF: Helishan Fault, LSF: Longshoushan Fault, NQLF: North Qilian Shan Fault, SS: sinistral strike-slip rate, Sh: shortening rate, V: vertical rate, HLX Fo.: Hongliuxia thrust-fold belt, HSG Anti.: Huoshaogou Anticline, NKTF: North Kuantanshan Fault, LJM Anti.: Laojunmiao Anticline, and BYF: Baiyang Fault. • Shortening rate of the Hongliuxia region was 0.7 ± 0.2 mm/yr in Late Pleistocene. • Hongliuxia region showed more N–S shortening than the W–E strike-slip. • Stepover was formed between the eastern Altyn Tagh fault and Jinta-Nanshan fault. The Altyn Tagh Fault (ATF) and the North Qilian Shan Fault, as the northern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, have always been the focus of attention while developing a propagation model of the plateau. However, rocks in the North Qilian Shan Fault are intensely deformed and understanding the deformation history is difficult. The ATF and North Qilian Shan Fault have propagated into the Hexi Corridor and led to a series of new faults and folds. Based on simple kinematics and insignificant deformations of these new faults and folds, the geological process can be easily understood. The Hongliuxia region, which represents a positive flower structure in the easternmost part of the ATF, is the binding transformation site between the ATF and North Qilian Shan Fault. In this study, the kinematics of the Hongliuxia region was determined based on structural profiling and fault surveys. The shortening rate (0.7 ± 0.2 mm/yr) was estimated from the deformation and 10 Be exposure age of fluvial terraces. We found that the ATF might be connected to the Jinta-Nanshan Fault by a compressional stepover on the northern part of the Yumen Basin, which transforms into a series of compressional ridges, including the Hongliuxia thrust-fold belt, Huoshaogou Anticline, and North Heishan Fault. We infer that the ATF and the Longshoushan Fault, which serve as boundary faults, might be linked by multiple compressional stepovers. The gradual changes of the striking angles by compressional stepovers indicated the transformation from strike-slip to compressional structures and these changes caused the two boundary faults (ATF and Longshoushan Fault) to jointly undergo crustal deformation associated with the northward propagation of the Tibetan Plateau. This study can advance our understanding of the relationship between ATF and the Qilian Shan thrust fault system.

Present–day crustal deformation across the Daliang Shan, southeastern Tibetan Plateau constrained by a dense GPS network

SUMMARYThe Daliang Shan is a tectonic unit that connects the active southeastern Tibetan Plateau with the stable South China block. As a newly generated (formed later than the Xianshuihe–Xiaojiang active fault system) seismotectonic zone induced by the Tibetan tectonics, the detailed constraints of the crustal deformation are central to the understanding of the kinematics and dynamics of the Tibetan expansion. This paper establishes and analyses a high-spatial resolution global positioning system (GPS) velocity field from a dense GPS network in this region. Our modelling results indicate that, in contrast to the equivalent sinistral strike-slip rate of approximately 5 mm yr–1 on the Anninghe–Zemuhe and Daliangshan faults, their inferred interseismic locking depth varies within a large range. The southern segment of the Anninghe Fault and the middle segment of the Daliangshan Fault have deep locking depths of ∼13 km, indicating that the seismic risk is high in these areas. In addition, the detectable counter-clockwise rotation rate of 0.35 ± 0.12° Myr–1 of the Mabian block makes a significant contribution of ∼50 per cent to the strike-slip motion on its boundary faults. This counter-clockwise rotation may be induced by a left-lateral shear gradient with southeastward motion relative to the South China-fixed reference frame, indicating the significance of a simple-shear pattern in exploring the kinematics of the encroachment of the Tibetan tectonics upon a stable block (craton).

Mechanical Models of Fault-Slip Rates in the Transverse and Peninsular Ranges, California

AbstractThe Transverse and Peninsular Ranges of Southern California host a geometrically complex network of seismically active faults with a range of slip senses. Here, we present 3D mechanical models of this region that are driven by the total Pacific-North American plate motion and slip on the San Andreas, San Jacinto, and Garlock faults. Based on these boundary conditions, we solve for the full 3D distribution of slip rates on 83 faults and compare model slip-rate predictions to long-term slip-rate data from Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast version 3 (UCERF3) as well as individual geologic point-based estimates of long-term slip. About 46/68 (68%) model-predicted average fault-slip rates are within the UCERF3 slip-rate ranges with a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 1.03 mm/yr to the nearest (upper or lower) UCERF3 limit. The largest slip-rate discrepancies occur on the San Gabriel, Pine Mountain, and Big Pine faults, which may be presently inactive. We find that removing these three faults (i.e., assuming they are inactive) results in an improvement in all goodness-of-fit metrics with 47/63 (75%) UCERF3 slip rates fit with an RMSE of 0.40 mm/yr. We also compare this same model to existing point-based long-term slip-rate estimates and fit 39/69 (60%) with an RMSE of 0.79 mm/yr. The ability for the model to fit independent slip-rate data implies that strike slip along the “Big Bend” of the San Andreas fault (in conjunction with slip on the Garlock and San Jacinto faults) along with total plate motion is sufficient to reproduce both reverse-slip rates throughout the Transverse ranges and strike-slip rates in the Peninsular Ranges regions without additional driving forces needed. Overall, the models provide slip rates and distributions for 83 faults, including faults that currently do not have geologic slip-rate estimates and/or may not produce interseismic deformation.