Glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) has been considered as an advanced material to replace conventional steel reinforcements in concrete structures to address the corrosion issue. The degradation of GFRP rebars, which may threaten both the durability and safety of infrastructures, is a major concern. To predict the 100-year strength retention of GFRP under various temperature and relative humidity conditions, the environmental reduction factor (CE) is applied in engineering. The conventional CE based on the assumption of logarithmic degradation model is commonly utilized during the degradation phase spanning from a few years to decades; however, it is not applicable to the initial and perpetual degradation phases. To address this issue, a novel environmental reduction factor (CE′) based on the exponential degradation model considering temperature and relative humidity is proposed in this study. Both CE and CE′ are mathematically deduced from empirical degradation data and then evaluated in a case study involving GFRP-concrete samples soaked in water at 23, 40 or 60 °C for up to 12 months within the authors’ dataset. Experimental results show that the GFRP tensile strength degradation is closer to the exponential model, reaching a plateau (47.4%) after 12-month exposure to 60 °C water. Moreover, the tensile strength retention of GFRP rebars in Vancouver (10 °C), Shanghai (16 °C) and Houston (22 °C) is predicted considering various scenarios of relative humidities (0–90%). Further research indicates that CE′ (0.65–0.78) exhibits a smaller value compared to CE (0.81) at a temperature of 22 °C and a relative humidity of 90% following a 100-year exposure period, thereby providing engineers with a more conservative design approach for GFRP in real-world scenarios. Nevertheless, this exponential degradation model requires a thorough consideration of severe degradation state during the extended aging period, which may not be applicable to GFRP structures exhibiting exceptional durability.
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