Spatial Evolution Characteristics Research Articles

Spatial-temporal Evolution of Ecological Vulnerability in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on PSRM Model

As one of the three major urban agglomerations in China, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region has strong economic strength but its ecological fragility is very prominent. To pursue the comprehensive development of economy and ecology, it is very important to analyze the ecological environment in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. Here, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region was selected as the research area, and 19 indicators were selected to construct an evolution system based on the PSRM model. The temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of ecological vulnerability in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region were explored by combining the order relation method, CRITIC method, Theil index, and hot spot analysis, and the influencing factors were calculated via geographic detector. The results showed that:① the ecological vulnerability first increased and then decreased in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. The vulnerable areas showed a northeast-southwest trend, and the ecological environment in the northeast and southwest regions was better than that in the central and southern regions. The area of slight vulnerability in 2014 increased by 6803.01 km2 compared with that in 2009. The area of mild vulnerability decreased by 130.41 km2, and the area of moderate vulnerability decreased by 26537.31 km2 compared with that in 2009. The areas of severe and extremely vulnerable status increased by 19512.9 km2 and 351.81 km2, respectively, compared with those in 2009. The habitat situation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region improved significantly from 2014 to 2019. Compared with that in 2014, the areas of mild, moderate, severe, and extremely vulnerable decreased by 2248.29 km2, 2220.21 km2, 7988.67 km2, and 55.98 km2, respectively. The light area increased by 12513.15 km2 compared with that in 2014. ② According to the calculation results of the Theil index, the spatial correlation degree of ecological vulnerability in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region exhibited a V-shaped fluctuation, and the spatial pattern of the cold and hot areas was predominantly consistent with that of the vulnerability. ③ Biological abundance, PM10, and the human disturbance index had a significant influence on the spatial differentiation of ecological vulnerability in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. Based on the results of ecological vulnerability analysis, some suggestions on the ecological environment and sustainable development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region were proposed.

The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of industrial pollution in North China

Scholars have different observations and undertandings over the relationship between the economic development and environment protection, since the "Environmental Kuznets Curve" hypothesis has been raised. The integrated utilization of resources and the collaborative industrial development in North China have improved economic development, and caused nonnegligible environmental pollution simuatenously. Currently, North China is at the critical point to achieve industrial green development. This research analyzes the spatial and temporal distribution patterns and influencing factors of industrial wastewater discharge in North China by using exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and spatial econometric model. The results show that the industrial wastewater discharge shows an inverted "U" shape in time, reaching a peak in 2010 and then fluctuating down; spatially, it shows a significant spatial aggregation, while the spatial divergence also appears. Industrial structure is an important factor in promoting wastewater discharge, while economic development has an obvious inhibitory effect on pollution, but the influence of technological progress is not obvious.

Examining coordination and equilibrium: an analysis of supply index and spatial evolution characteristics for older adult services in Zhejiang Province.

This study aims to analyze the spatial distribution and dynamic evolution of older adult service supply in Zhejiang Province from 2010 to 2019. Additionally, this research seeks to propose an optimized resource allocation strategy for older adult care services, promoting regional fairness and coordinated development. To evaluate the older adult service supply capacity, this research first constructed an evaluation index system based on the Chinese modernization development pattern. Then, an empirical analysis was carried out using a combination of the entropy-TOPSIS method, kernel density estimation, Markov chain analysis, Dagum Gini coefficient, and panel regression model. The results show an overall upward trend in the supply and service capacity of older adult care in the whole province. However, the spatial distribution of older adult service supply capacity in Zhejiang Province still exhibits a gradient effect, even in the most recent year of 2019. Furthermore, the supply capacity of older adult services shifted to a higher level in the whole province, and regions with high supply capacity had a positive spillover effect on adjacent regions. The overall difference in the older adult service supply capacity of the province showed a decreasing trend. The level of economic development, urbanization rate, transportation capacity, the level of opening up, and the proportion of employees in the tertiary industry had a significant impact on the supply capacity and spatial difference of older adult services. From the findings, this study puts forth countermeasures and suggestions to optimize the spatial distribution of older adult care services. This includes giving full play to the regional spatial linkage effect, promoting new-type urbanization construction, upgrading the transportation network, and expanding the opening up of the industrial structure. By implementing these measures, a more equitable and coordinated older adult services system can be developed in Zhejiang Province.

Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of air quality based on EWM-LSTM model: A case study of Sichuan Province, China

Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of air quality based on EWM-LSTM model: A case study of Sichuan Province, China

Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Optimization of Ecospatial Networks in County Areas Based on Ecological Risk Assessment: Taking Dalian Pulandian District as an Example

The ecological security of a county is the basis for guaranteeing sustainable socio-economic development in the process of new urbanization, as well as the key to maintaining the rational functioning of natural ecosystems in urban and rural areas, and the primary prerequisite for satisfying the ecosystem service functions enjoyed by urban and rural residents. This study takes Pulandian, an estuary county with low mountains, hills, plains, and beach lands, as an example, and comprehensively applies various methods such as the model of driving–pressure–state–impact–response (DPSIR), the mainstream model of minimum cumulative resistance (MCR), the model of morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA), and the circuit theoretical model to assess the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the ecological spatial network of Pulandian District from 1990 to 2020 and evaluate its ecological risk from the socio-economic and environmental perspectives to provide a basis for the construction of ecological resistance surfaces. On this basis, an ecospatial network optimization model was constructed to reduce ecological risk and meet ecological security requirements. The results showed that the ecological space showed an upward trend of increasing, then decreasing, and then increasing in the area during the 30-year period, but there was serious fragmentation in the low area of the northeastern river valley, the low-hill plain area in the central part of the county, and the coastal area in the southeastern part of the county. High-resistance radiation centered on townships with high urbanization breaks the original ecological spatial network gradient, resulting in the absence of ecological corridors in large areas of the central and southeastern regions. Therefore, seven new ecological source sites were added for the central and southern portions of the study area, and the number of optimized ecological corridors increased from 47 to 66. In addition, we established an ecosystem consisting of an ecological barrier, an ecological coastal zone, multiple ecological corridors, and multiple ecological sites as an optimization system. This is of great scientific value and practical significance to provide reference for optimizing the ecological spatial network in Pulandian District of Dalian, to promote coastal ecological protection and construction, and to promote regional construction and sustainable development.

The impact of adaptive management on community resilience in arid rural areas facing environmental change: An integrated analytical framework

Environmental variability poses a major risk to rural communities and farmers, particularly in dryland regions. Effective adaptive strategies must be implemented to promote the transformation, adaptation, and sustainable development of rural areas located in arid regions worldwide. The adaptive management of rural transformation can influence community resilience by changing the elemental structures of social–ecological systems. However, few studies have reported an assessment framework between system resilience and adaptive management. We developed an integrated analytical framework to fully estimate the impact of adaptation strategy implementation on different levels of community resilience, considering the differences between spatial geographic units and measuring changes in different temporal scales. We applied this framework to a case study of China’s Minqin Oasis, assessing the community resilience of rural areas facing environmental change. We found that (1) rural community resilience in Minqin Oasis has obvious spatial and temporal evolution characteristics, with the overall rural community resilience showing a decreasing trend over the past 30 years, while the spatial distribution of community resilience tended to be balanced for the period 2011–2017; (2) the main obstacles to the improvement of rural community resilience include wind and sand control, ecological water resources, economic levels, and the adjustment of the agricultural economic structure; and (3) Adaptation strategies based on the priority of ecological restoration and government-led mandatory policy are not conducive to the improvement of community resilience. This study provides a clear framework for linking adaptive management and community resilience assessment in the context of climate change or environmental risk. It also offers an effective means for policymakers to direct strategic resources to the geographic spaces where they are most required. Case-based research results provide an evaluation reference for the adaptive management of arid rural areas in the face of environmental change worldwide.

Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Water Conservation in the Three-Rivers Headwater Region and the Driving Factors over the Past 30 Years

The Three-Rivers Headwater Region (TRHR), located in the hinterland of the Tibetan Plateau, serves as the “Water Tower of China”, providing vital water conservation (WC) services. Understanding the variations in WC is crucial for locally tailored efforts to adapt to climate change. This study improves the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) water yield model by integrating long-term time series of vegetation data, emphasizing the role of interannual vegetation variation. This study also analyzes the influences of various factors on WC variations. The results show a significant increase in WC from 1991 to 2020 (1.4 mm/yr, p < 0.05), with 78.17% of the TRHR showing improvement. Precipitation is the primary factor driving the interannual variations in WC. Moreover, distinct interactions play dominant roles in WC across different eco-geographical regions. In the north-central and western areas, the interaction between annual precipitation and potential evapotranspiration has the highest influence. Conversely, the interaction between annual precipitation and vegetation has the greatest impact in the eastern and central-southern areas. This study provides valuable insights into the complex interactions between the land and atmosphere of the TRHR, which are crucial for enhancing the stability of the ecosystem.

Detection and evolution of disaster sources in high slopes of open-pit mines based on time-lapse high-density electricity method

High and steep slopes in open pit mines used for ore production require careful monitoring to ensure stability and safeguard lives, property, and social welfare. Understanding the evolutionary characteristics of hazard sources within these slopes is crucial for effective slope management. This article presents a novel approach to identify the evolution of hazard sources within slopes by utilizing the derivative of normalized inversion data versus time as a characteristic feature. To analyze the evolution of hazard sources, raw apparent resistivity data collected at different times are processed using smoothing and wavelet denoising algorithms to reduce noise. Geological constraints are then applied to the collected data through the parametric region method. The least squares method is employed for independent inversion, and the inversion results are standardized. Subsequently, the standardized inversion results are used to derive the derivative of resistivity versus time equation, which reveals the evolution of hazard sources within the slope. A case study is conducted on a large open pit rocky slope to analyze the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results demonstrate the successful reduction of noise through the smoothing and wavelet threshold denoising algorithms, effectively suppressing interference caused by acquisition equipment and environmental electromagnetic noise. The application of the parametric region method with geological constraints highlights the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of hazard sources within the slope. The findings indicate varying degrees of evolution of hazard sources within the slope, with significant changes observed mainly in the shallow part influenced by water erosion and blasting vibration. Areas with lithological stability show minimal changes, while original hazard source areas have evolved to different extents, distinguishable based on the size and sparsity of contour values. By combining inversion data analysis, noise reduction techniques, and geological constraints, the proposed approach provides valuable insights into the evolution of hazard sources within slopes. This information can aid in the development of effective slope management strategies in open pit mines, contributing to enhanced safety and protection of valuable assets.

Study on the Temporal and Spatial Evolution Characteristics of Chinese Public's Cognition and Attitude to “Double Reduction” Policy Based on Big Data

The “double reduction” policy is a policy innovation of China's comprehensive education reform to build a high-quality education system. The public's cognition and attitude toward it are of great significance to its actual implementation. A total of 98396 texts related to “double reduction” collected from Sina-Weibo by web crawler technology are investigated to explore the public's cognition and attitude towards the “double reduction” policy as well as its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics. Guided by life cycle theory, the evolution of the public's attitude is studied by sentiment analysis based on the ERINE algorithm and DUTIR. Topics are selected with the adoption of TF-IDF and LDA models to perform spatio-temporal evolution of public cognition and analyze group differences. The results are as follows: the evolution of public concern about the “double reduction” policy is phased and the period of high incidence is closely related to time nodes such as policy release, the new school term, and holidays. There are temporal and spatial differences in the evolution of public attitudes between different stages and groups. Although the public holds a relatively negative attitude, with more information about the “double reduction” policy available, the public's attitude is gradually easing. Topics of public concern vary in different periods, and different groups show different emotional attitudes and have distinctive evolution characteristics of cognitive themes. Compared with other age groups, teenagers pay more attention to topics related to their studies and life. The government's official micro-blog not only shoulders the responsibility of publicizing relevant policies, but also pays close attention to the implementation of relevant policies around the country. The influential groups hold a relatively firm attitude and stable emotions and often can orient public opinions. The regional attention to the “double reduction” policy is positively correlated with the level of local economic development. The research results can help government departments learn about the public's cognition and attitude towards the “double reduction” policy to provide decision-making support, and serve as an important basis for solving existing contradictions and promoting the effective implementation of policies.

Understanding Recessive Transition of Cultivated Land Use in Jilin Province, China (1990–2020): From Perspective of Productive-Living-Ecological Functions

Jilin Province is an important commercial grain production base in northeast China, and it has seen significant transition in cultivated land use in recent years. This study constructed a measurement system for the recessive transition of cultivated land use in Jilin Province based on the perspective of “three-function synergy” (productive, living, and ecological functions). It discussed the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the recessive transition of cultivated land use from 1990 to 2020, identified the turning point of the cultivated land transition trend, and built a model of recessive transition of cultivated land in Jilin Province. After analyzing the results, we came to the following conclusions: (1) The turning point of the “three-function synergy” of the recessive morphology of cultivated land in Jilin Province occurred earlier than the mutation point of the recessive transition of cultivated land, and there was a certain temporality in the recessive transition of cultivated land compared with the functional change of cultivated land; (2) the degree of recessive transition of cultivated land in Jilin Province showed a spatial distribution characteristic of being higher in the west and lower in the east; (3) the recessive transition of cultivated land use in Jilin Province could be divided into transition stages characterized by “low stage slow rise period”, “middle stage significant increase period”, and “high stage steady growth period”; (4) Jilin Province should adopt differentiated and diversified management of cultivated land to achieve a comprehensive management model that emphasizes quantity, quality, and ecology.

Regional Differences, Temporal Evolution, and Drivers of Rural Hollowing in Coastal Provinces: A Case Study of Fujian Province

This research delves into the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of rural areas, focusing on understanding the phenomenon of rural hollowing in Fujian Province and other coastal regions. By analyzing data from the Fujian Province Statistical Yearbook and the Social Development and National Economy Statistical Bulletin (2010–2020), employing methodologies such as Pearson correlation and the natural interruption point method in ArcGIS, this study seeks to provide both theoretical and practical groundwork for rural revitalization efforts. The findings of this study yield significant insights. Firstly, a pronounced geographical differentiation emerges in the context of rural hollowing in Fujian province, characterized by a distinctive “high inland and low coastal” spatial pattern. Secondly, despite its coastal location, Fujian Province continues to confront substantial rural hollowing challenges. Although the overall pace of rural hollowing development has been moderate, the persistence of population and economic hollowing is noteworthy. Consequently, the issues of depopulation and economic decline in rural areas remain pressing concerns for Fujian Province. Lastly, the investigation identifies key driving forces behind the phenomenon of rural hollowing, encompassing factors such as arable land area, rural population settlement rate, economic development level, and farmers’ net income. These drivers significantly influence the dynamics of rural hollowing. Drawing from the research findings, this study proposes several strategic recommendations to counteract rural hollowing in coastal regions. These include tailoring management approaches to address geographical disparities, enhancing resource allocation and land utilization practices, orchestrating shifts in industrial structure to foster integrated urban–rural development, and emphasizing the revitalization of talent to sustain the progress of rural areas.

Spatial–Temporal Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Marine Fishery Eco-Efficiency in China: Evidence from Coastal Regions

Marine fishery is an important part of China’s maritime power strategy. Improving the ecological efficiency of marine fishery is the inevitable way to achieve the sustainable development of fishery. Based on the perspective of industrial sustainable development, this study used the Super-SBM model to evaluate the ecological efficiency of marine fishery in 11 coastal provinces of China from 2011 to 2020. Combined with Malmquist index, Moran index and other methods, the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics were analyzed. On this basis, the Tobit panel model was used to explore the influencing factors of marine fishery eco-efficiency. The results show that: (1) From 2011 to 2020, the marine fishery eco-efficiency in the 10 coastal provinces and cities of China shows a clear trend of improvement, and the efficiency values in high-efficiency areas remain basically stable. The relative gap between efficient and inefficient regions remains significant. (2) From the perspective of spatial distribution characteristics, the ecological efficiency of marine fishery in coastal provinces and cities in China had no obvious spatial correlation, and showed a trend of cross-distribution between high-efficiency regions and low-efficiency regions. (3) The change of marine fishery eco-efficiency is the result of a variety of influencing factors. Fishery industrial structure, scientific and technological support levels and environmental regulation play a role in promoting the improvement of marine fishery eco-efficiency. Therefore, optimizing the structure of the fishery industry, improving environmental regulation and increasing investment in science and technology are all effective measures for local governments to improve the eco-efficiency of marine fisheries.

Spatial-epidemiological analysis of population aging in counties in Jiangsu Province, 1990-2020

Objective: To analyze the space-time evolution trend of population aging at the county level in Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2020. Methods: Taking each county of Jiangsu Province as the research object, we selected data from the fourth to the seventh national population censuses. We used the aging coefficient and age concentration rate as static and dynamic indicators to measure the degree of population aging, respectively. We also used spatial correlation analysis to study the spatial and temporal patterns and evolution characteristics of aging in counties in Jiangsu Province. Results: The degree of aging in each county of Jiangsu Province has been deepening, and the degree of aging gradually evolves from high in southern Jiangsu and low in northern Jiangsu to high in central Jiangsu and low in southern and northern Jiangsu and shows obvious spatial aggregation. From 1990 to 2020, the population aging in Jiangsu Province has accelerated, among which the aging from 2010-2020 is the fastest. The aging progress appeares the fastest in 2010-2020. Conclusion: From 1990 to 2020, population aging in Jiangsu Province has been deepening, with the fastest progress in the last decade and an obvious spatial aggregation.

The Effect of Industrial Agglomeration on Agricultural Green Production Efficiency: Evidence from China

Understanding how industrial agglomeration affects agricultural green production efficiency is essential for green agricultural development. This study uses the super-efficient Epsilon-Based Measure (EBM) model and Global Malmquist–Luenberger (GML) index to measure and analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and core sources of dynamics of agricultural green production efficiency in China by using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2006 to 2020. It also empirically investigates the relationships between industrial agglomeration, land transfer, and agricultural production efficiency. By using fixed, intermediary, and threshold effect models, the internal links between industrial agglomeration, land transfer, and agricultural green production efficiency are examined. The findings indicate the following. (1) The green production efficiency of Chinese agriculture exhibits the regional characteristics of being “high in the west and low in the east, high in the south and low in the north” in terms of space; in terms of time, the overall trend is that green production technology efficiency is growing, with an average annual growth rate of 11.45%, and the growth primarily depends on the “single-track drive” of green technological progress. (2) Industrial agglomeration significantly affects agricultural green production efficiency, green technology efficiency, and green technology change; the corresponding coefficient values are 0.115, 0.093, and 0.022. (3) According to the mechanism-of-action results, land transfer mediates the effects of industrial agglomeration on agricultural green production efficiency, green technology efficiency, and green technology change. These effects have effect values of 28.48%, 27.91%, and 47.75%, respectively. (4) The threshold effect’s findings demonstrate a double threshold effect of industrial agglomeration on the green production efficiency of agriculture in terms of land transfer, with threshold values of 1.468 and 3.891, respectively. As a result, this study suggests adhering to the idea of synergistic development, promoting agricultural green development, strengthening the development of industrial agglomerations, promoting the quality and efficiency of industry, improving land-transfer mechanisms, and placing a focus on resource efficiency improvements, as well as other policy recommendations.

Spatiotemporal changes of the aridity index in Xinjiang over the past 60 years

The Aridity Index (AI), calculated from 99 homogeneous meteorological stations from 1961 to 2020, was used to analyze the variation of dryness/wetness climate change in Xinjiang in the past 60 years. The results show that the annual AI in Xinjiang has demonstrated a significant decreasing trend over the past 60 years; that is, the climate in Xinjiang, especially southern Xinjiang, has shown a relatively wetting trend. The interdecadal variations from the 1960s to 2010s explained that the total station ratio of arid and extremely arid areas showed a decreasing trend. In contrast, the semi-arid, humid, and semi-humid areas showed increasing trends, especially since the beginning of the twenty-first century. The interdecadal spatial evolution characteristics show that Xinjiang’s dryness/wetness climate reversed in the 1990s. An abrupt change in the annual AI occurred in 1986, after which the study region was continuously wetting. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition mode is consistent in Xinjiang; that is, the climate in Xinjiang is generally dry or wet, and the intensity of this change varies among different regions. The second mode reflects the opposite spatial distribution characteristics of the dryness/wetness climate in southern and northern Xinjiang with the Tianshan Mountains. Dryness/wetness climate changes in Xinjiang mainly exhibit 2.5-year and 6-year oscillation periods, between which the 6-year period is even more significant.

Accounting for the Logic and Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Comprehensive Value of Cultivated Land around Big Cities: Empirical Evidence Based on 35 Counties in the Hefei Metropolitan Area

Exploring the value of cultivated land resources around big cities is an important prerequisite for when realizing the “trinity” of cultivated land protection in terms of quantity, quality, and ecology. At present, the value of cultivated land resources faces the problem of having a low comparative efficiency of economic output, inadequate visualisation of asset value, and serious undervaluation. The manifestation of social, ecological, and cultural values in cultivated land plays an important role in accurately calculating the value of cultivated land. Therefore, this study attempted to clarify the composition and account for the logic of the comprehensive value of cultivated land around big cities. Taking the Hefei metropolitan area as an example, we used mathematical modeling and geostatistical analysis to measure the integrated value of cultivated land around big cities from 2010 to 2020 and analyse the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors. The results revealed a 2:7:1 ratio of economic, social, ecological, and cultural values for cultivated land in the metropolitan area. The comprehensive value of cultivated land was higher in 2020 than in 2010, was approximately 7.7 times the current compensation standard, and was significantly affected by the natural geography, economic development, cultivated land conditions, and protection policies. Furthermore, the comprehensive value showed spatial differentiation characteristics of ‘high in the east and south and low in the west and north’, and a spatial agglomeration effect was evident in some areas. A significant increase was observed in the social value of cultivated land, followed by an increase in the ecological and cultural values, whereas a slow downward trend was observed for the economic value. The economic value of cultivated land around big cities showed a downward trend, whereas the social, ecological, and cultural values showed upward trends. In the future, differentiated policy tools should be adopted based on the spatial heterogeneity of the comprehensive value of cultivated land in the Hefei metropolitan area to enhance their comprehensive value. In addition, scientific and reasonable compensation standards should be established, and high-quality agricultural development with the high-level protection of cultivated land should be promoted in metropolitan areas.

Spatial–Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Economic Dual Circulation Coordinated Development in China’s Coastal Provinces

China’s coastal area is an important node, carrying the connection between internal and external circulation. It is of great significance to explore the spatial and temporal evolution of economic dual circulation coordinated development and its driving factors. In this paper, the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) evaluation model based on the Criteria Importance Though Intercriteria Correlation and entropy (CRITIC-entropy) weight method, coupling coordination model, standard deviation ellipse and exploratory spatial data analysis were used to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of economic dual circulation coordinated development of China’s coastal area. In addition, the geographical detector was employed to identify its driving factors. The results showed that: (1) The development level of internal and external economic circulation in China’s coastal area was mainly stable and rising in a fluctuating manner, and the level of internal circulation was higher than that of external circulation. The overall coupling coordination degree of economic dual circulation exhibited a positive trend. (2) There was regional heterogeneity and spatial correlation in the coupling coordination degree of economic dual circulation in the coastal area of China, and the spatial distribution pattern showed the characteristic of being “strong in the internal and weak in the external”. (3) The coordinated development of economic dual circulation was driven by multiple factors. Regional technological innovation capability, per capita income level, circulation development level, marketization process, digitization level and financial development level were the core driving forces. Based on the findings of this paper, a series of policy recommendations for improving the coordination development between internal and external economic circulation was proposed.

Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Water Footprint in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020

Xinjiang is home to one of the most serious resource-based water shortages, and at the same time, it is an important main production area of grain, cotton, and high-quality fruits and vegetables in China, placing a heavy burden on water resources. Based on this, this paper determines the basic condition of water resources in regions of Xinjiang using the water footprint method. It then identifies the drivers of water footprint changes using the population scale effect, policy support effect, investment–output effect, economic structure effect, water use efficiency effect, and water use structure effect via the LMDI decomposition model. Finally, this paper illustrates the trajectory of the regional water footprint through individual stochastic convergence. This study found the following: (1) The water footprint of Xinjiang showed a fluctuating upward trend, and the total water footprint varied significantly between regions. From a compositional standpoint, most regions were dominated by the agricultural water footprint, while spatially, the regional water footprint had a high distribution trend in the south and a low distribution in the north. (2) The driving effects of the water footprint, policy support, population scale, and water use structure were incremental, while the effects of water use efficiency, economic structure, and investment output were decremental. (3) Most regions in Xinjiang showed individual stochastic convergence trends, indicating that regions converged to their respective compensating difference equilibrium levels. In this regard, it is necessary to strengthen R&D and the promotion of water use technology, further optimize the industrial structure, and leverage the positive effect of government investment to alleviate the regional water constraint dilemma and promote high-quality regional economic development.

Spatial Distribution Pattern and Evolution Characteristics of Elderly Population in Wuhan Based on Census Data

Spatial Distribution Pattern and Evolution Characteristics of Elderly Population in Wuhan Based on Census Data

Study on the Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors of the “Production–Living–Ecological Space” in Changfeng County

The rapid development of industrialization and urbanization aggravates the tension of human–land relationships, leading to increasingly prominent contradictions and a serious imbalance in the relationship among production–living–ecological space (PLES). The study of county PLES is important for guiding the spatial development and layout optimization of national land as well as promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas. This can be made more accurate, comprehensive, and visualized by using a land transfer matrix, a land use dynamic attitude, and a barycenter migration model. Research results have shown that the spatial type of Changfeng County was dominated by production space and living space from 2000 to 2020. The production space area decreased the most, to 16.3044 km2, and the ecological space area increased by 50.175 km2, within which the single dynamic attitude was first positive and then negative, with more drastic spatial changes and the fastest expansion rate. The transfer relationship was mainly based on the transfer of production space out and ecological space in; the longest distance and most obvious change was in the center of gravity of ecological space in the first 10 years of the study period, showing a trend toward the southeastern town of Xiatang. In addition, population, the increase in the proportion of tertiary industry structures, and policy regulation are the dominant factors in changes in the PLES in the county. This study provides a basis and support for the rational use of land resources and the balanced and coordinated development of people and land in Changfeng County, which is currently implementing unbalanced development.