Spatiotemporal changes of the aridity index in Xinjiang over the past 60 years

Abstract

The Aridity Index (AI), calculated from 99 homogeneous meteorological stations from 1961 to 2020, was used to analyze the variation of dryness/wetness climate change in Xinjiang in the past 60 years. The results show that the annual AI in Xinjiang has demonstrated a significant decreasing trend over the past 60 years; that is, the climate in Xinjiang, especially southern Xinjiang, has shown a relatively wetting trend. The interdecadal variations from the 1960s to 2010s explained that the total station ratio of arid and extremely arid areas showed a decreasing trend. In contrast, the semi-arid, humid, and semi-humid areas showed increasing trends, especially since the beginning of the twenty-first century. The interdecadal spatial evolution characteristics show that Xinjiang’s dryness/wetness climate reversed in the 1990s. An abrupt change in the annual AI occurred in 1986, after which the study region was continuously wetting. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition mode is consistent in Xinjiang; that is, the climate in Xinjiang is generally dry or wet, and the intensity of this change varies among different regions. The second mode reflects the opposite spatial distribution characteristics of the dryness/wetness climate in southern and northern Xinjiang with the Tianshan Mountains. Dryness/wetness climate changes in Xinjiang mainly exhibit 2.5-year and 6-year oscillation periods, between which the 6-year period is even more significant.