Spatial Conflict Research Articles

An analysis of land use conflict potentials based on ecological-production-living function in the southeast coastal area of China

The rapid advancement of urbanization and industrialization has led to the continuous strengthening of multi-functionality of land use. The overlapping, crowding, agglomeration and transformation of various land use functions suggested that there would be fierce competition and conflicts. Based on the widely recognized “ecological-production-living” perspective of sustainable development in the world, we constructed the spatial identification and intensity diagnosis model of potential land use function conflicts (LUFCs), and selected Nan’an City, a typical coastal city in southeast China, as an empirical analysis. On the level of theoretical building, the LUFCs were divided into eight types, the conflict intensity was divided into four stages, and a land use conflict risk index (LUCRI) was constructed to characterize the possibility of potential conflict, which was divided into four ranks. Empirical research showed that the spatial concentration characteristic of ecological function of land use in Nan’an City was not significant and was poor spatial connectivity, while the gradient and band feature of production function was significant and was good spatial connectivity, and living function have formed three core clusters. The controllable conflict zones gathered and formed cold spots in high altitude forest areas, as well as the out-of-control conflict zones gathering and forming hot spots in concentrated areas of social and economic activities. The area proportions of different conflict types respectively were 1.79%, 18.07%, 23.17%, 13.49%, 8.00%, 13.66%, 20.34% and 1.49%. The whole study area was basically at risk of potential conflicts, with the area proportions accounting for 55.28%, 30.19%, 12.30% and 2.23%. Different governance strategies should be adopted according to the spatial distribution, manifestation and conflict degree. The model and index constructed in this paper could accurately reflect the actual situation of land use in fast-growing areas, which would provide reference for land space planning and management.

비도시지역의 토지이용규제 체계에 대한 법제 고찰 - 비도시지역 산지를 중심으로 -

Land use regulations for non-urban area restrict the land use according to the zoning system and hierarchy system of the regulations. However, the classification system of the zoning system is not reasonable and there are problems with the classification system and the legal effect. Hence, when the land use is regulated for rural areas, conflicts of spatial values of conservation and development frequently occur, and social conflicts and inequality related to the restrictions arise. In this study, the main objectives are to discuss the fundamental problems and present legal issues along with practical examples through the legislation analysis and the literature review on land use regulation system for non-urban area. The results show the problems on several points: the legal effect of the zoning system and hierarchy system of land use regulations, efficiency of the hierarchy system, the spatial conflict between conservation and development, guarantee of property rights and infringement of the private property rights, and prolonged regulatory barriers and uncertainty. The necessity of reorganization of the classification system for land use regulations for rural areas and simplification and establishment of the legal effect of land use regulations were suggested as an improvement. The results regarding the land use regulation system for non-urban area will provide an insight into the improved classification system of zoning in rural areas.

RETRACTED: Recognition and zoning optimization of geographical spatial conflict in Wuhan metropolitan area based on multi-functional perspective

Identifying geographical spatial conflicts and optimizing development patterns are important prerequisites for eliminating the conflicts of geographical spatial conflict. The paper takes the Wuhan Metropolitan Area as an example. Using grid-scale data, we construct a multi-functional suitability evaluation index system for geographical space, starting from three dimensions: ecological protection, agricultural production and urban construction. The multi-index comprehensive evaluation method is used to measure the geographical spatial suitability level and identify the characteristics of geographical spatial conflict patterns. Three-dimensional Rubik's cube model is used to divide the space conflict types and optimize the partition. We found that the areas with suitable ecological protection functions and more suitable areas are mainly distributed near the waters and the Dabie Mountains and Mufu Mountains with relatively high altitude in Wuhan Metropolitan Area. Suitable areas for agricultural production functions are concentrated in the Jianghan Plain. Suitable areas for urban construction functions are concentrated around urban areas, established towns, and major transportation routes. Regions with high intensity of land and space conflicts are mainly located in the central and northwestern parts of the Wuhan Metropolitan Area. Regions with low levels of conflict are concentrated in the west, northeast, and southeast regions of the Wuhan Metropolitan Area. The degree of geographical spatial conflict in Wuhan Metropolitan Area can be divided into three primary zones and 12 secondary zones, which are intense conflict zone, general conflict zone, and weak conflict zone. Based on multi-functional perspective, identifying and analyzing the types of geographical spatial conflict will help locate the development direction of different conflict areas and provide theoretical and technical support for the optimization of geographical space.

Tingkat Keberlanjutan Pemanfaatan Ruang Publik Multifungsi di Permukiman Kumuh

Due to the limitation of slum dweller’s residence, they use public spaces for their daily activities. One kind of them is a park. Public space used for various kinds of activities by slum dwellers is called a multifunction public space. Utilization of multifunction public space can potentially lead to spatial use conflict which interfere with its functional sustainability. The aim of this research was to identify the level of sustainability of the utilization of a multifunction public space in the slum area. This research used a quantitative approach and a questionnaires survey method. Respondents were slum dwellers using the park. The total respondents was 96 by using the Lemeshow formula. The results showed that there were differences in the level of sustainability among three parks. The highest level of sustainable utilization is Pendongkelan, the medium level is Melati Indah, and the lowest level is Taman Anggrek. There were four aspects of sustainability which were measured. Diversity and harmony were two aspects determining sustainability. For sustainability of spatial utilization of the multifunction public space in the slum area need management to take care of the size of the park, the availability of park amenities, and its accessibility.

The Effects of Computer-Based and Motor-Imagery Training on Scoring Ability in Lacrosse.

Previous studies have confirmed that the temporal attentional control created by the repetition of stimulus–response compatibility (SRC) tasks was transferred to shooting skills in lacrosse players. In the current study, we investigated whether combining motor imagery training with SRC tasks could enhance the scoring ability of lacrosse players. We grouped 33 male lacrosse players into three groups: an SRC task and motor imagery group (referred as to SRC + Image), an SRC task group, and a control group. Players in the first two groups underwent five sessions of 200 SRC task trials. In addition, the SRC + Image group completed five sessions of motor-imagery training. The control group underwent no training interventions. All three groups performed a lacrosse shooting test and a Simon task before and after training sessions to assess the magnitude of the interference effects of the various types of training they underwent. The results of the Simon task showed that repetition of 1,000 trials was enough to create a short-term representation with the incompatible special mapping being transferred to a dynamic activity like lacrosse shooting. Moreover, a combination of a computer-based Type 2 task and motor-imagery training could effectively increase players’ scoring abilities in a field of large spatial conflict.

Response mode modulates the congruency sequence effect in spatial conflict tasks: evidence from aimed-movement responses.

The present study investigated how response mode determines the specificity of control responsible for the congruency sequence effect (CSE), especially when conflict arises from spatial dimensions. Horizontal and vertical Simon tasks were presented in turn, while response mode (Experiment 1) or task-relevant stimulus dimension (Experiment 2) was manipulated. All responses were made by aimed movements to make the relative salience of the horizontal and vertical dimensions equivalent regardless of response mode. The confound-minimized CSEs were significant only when the two tasks shared the same response mode, which did not vary as a function of task-relevant stimulus dimension. This result suggests that response mode determines the scope of control, as it reconfigures the representations of the task-irrelevant spatial dimensions (i.e., the horizontal and vertical dimensions), which is corroborated by distributional analyses. This response mode-specific control was also consistently found for the horizontal and vertical arrow versions of flanker-compatibility tasks in Experiment 3, in which conflict does not directly arise from the response dimension. Furthermore, the current findings revealed that the CSEs were more evident in movement times than in initiation times, which provides new insight on how control inhibits the response activated by a task-irrelevant stimulus dimension, especially at a motor level.

The dark side of raptors’ distribution ranges under climate change

Artificial light at night (ALAN) represents a significant threat to biodiversity. Given that protected areas (PAs) are in relative darkness compared to the surrounding sites, they could be considered an effective tool towards eliminating the impacts of ALAN. However, the extent to which climate change-induced shifts would drive species out of PAs and thus, alter their exposure to ALAN remains an open question. We assessed the extent and protection coverage of dark areas across the current and future distributions of 39 raptor species of European conservation interest. We initially developed a set of distribution models using current and projected climatic variables. Next, we used a satellite dataset of nighttime lights composite to determine the spread of ALAN within the raptors’ ranges. Finally, we applied three indices of proportional changes in the expansion of suitable habitats and dark areas to quantify patterns in ALAN within the current and future raptors’ ranges across Europe. Our analyses revealed that potential future distribution shifts of raptors will lead to changes in the exposure of species to ALAN, with these patterns being rather unfavourable for most of them. Still, PAs in Europe were found to offer a relative high proportion of dark areas which overlap with the current and future raptors range. Our findings provided some first insights into the spatial conflict between species ranges and ALAN, considering potential distribution shifts driven by climate change. The proposed methodology offers the means to identify potential dark refugia towards prioritizing conservation actions.

Dynamics of conflict during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2018\u20132019

BackgroundThe 2018–2019 Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri provinces in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is the largest ever recorded in the DRC. It has been declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The outbreak emerged in a region of chronic conflict and insecurity, and directed attacks against health care workers may have interfered with disease response activities. Our study characterizes and quantifies the broader conflict dynamics over the course of the outbreak by pairing epidemiological and all available spatial conflict data.MethodsWe build a set of conflict variables by mapping the spatial locations of all conflict events and their associated deaths in each of the affected health zones in North Kivu and Ituri, eastern DRC, before and during the outbreak. Using these data, we compare patterns of conflict before and during the outbreak in affected health zones and those not affected. We then test whether conflict is correlated with increased EVD transmission at the health zone level.FindingsThe incidence of conflict events per capita is ~ 600 times more likely in Ituri and North Kivu than for the rest of the DRC. We identified 15 time periods of substantial uninterrupted transmission across 11 health zones and a total of 120 bi-weeks. We do not find significant short-term associations between the bi-week reproduction numbers and the number of conflicts. However, we do find that the incidence of conflict per capita was correlated with the incidence of EVD per capita at the health zone level for the entire outbreak (Pearson’s r = 0.33, 95% CI 0.05–0.57). In the two provinces, the monthly number of conflict events also increased by a factor of 2.7 in Ebola-affected health zones (p value < 0.05) compared to 2.0 where no transmission was reported and 1.3 in the rest of the DRC, in the period between February 2019 and July 2019.ConclusionWe characterized the association between variables documenting broad conflict levels and EVD transmission. Such assessment is important to understand if and how such conflict variables could be used to inform the outbreak response. We found that while these variables can help characterize long-term challenges and susceptibilities of the different regions they provide little insight on the short-term dynamics of EVD transmission.

Historic Neighborhood Design Based on Facility Heatmap and Pedestrian Simulation: Case Study in China

Abstract With the rapid growth of tourism in China, the spatial conflict between tourists and the host community has become a major issue in historic neighborhood design. This study employed big da...

Spatial Conflict of Production–Living–Ecological Space and Sustainable-Development Scenario Simulation in Yangtze River Delta Agglomerations

Production–living–ecological space (PLES) is a recent research hotspot on land planning and regional sustainable development in China. Taking the Yangtze River Delta agglomerations as a case study, this paper establishes a spatial-conflict index to identify the PLES conflicts, and then builds a cellular-automaton (CA) Markov model to simulate the PLES pattern in 2030 and to evaluate the influence on PLES conflicts under two scenarios. Results showed that the ecological space (ES) and the living–productive space (LPS) of the Yangtze River Delta agglomerations showed a descending tendency in 2010–2015, whereas ecological–productive space (EPS) and productive–ecological space (PES) reflected a small increase. EPS and PES had squeezed ES and LPS with urbanization and industrial development in this region. Meanwhile, the spatial conflicts of PLES worsened during the period, with the average of the spatial-conflict index (SCI) shifting from 0.283 to 0.522, and seemed to gain momentum. On the basis of scenario analysis for 2030, it was concluded that the “ecological red line policy”, appropriate restriction of urban expansion, and ecological management of the bank of the Yangtze River are helpful in alleviating PLES conflicts, and contribute to spatial structure and harmonizing. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable implications for spatial planning and sustainable development in the Yangtze River delta agglomerations.

Decomposing Simon task BOLD activation using a drift-diffusion model framework

The Simon effect is observed in spatial conflict tasks where the response time of subjects is increased if stimuli are presented in a lateralized manner so that they are incongruous with the response information that they represent symbolically. Previous studies have used fMRI to investigate this phenomenon, and while some have been driven by considerations of an underlying model, none have attempted to directly tie model and BOLD response together. It is likely that this is due to Simon models having been predominantly descriptive of the phenomenon rather than capturing the full spectrum of behavior at the level of individual subjects. Sequential sampling models (SSM) which capture full response distributions for correct and incorrect responses have recently been extended to capture conflict tasks. In this study we use our freely available framework for fitting and comparing non-standard SSMs to fit the Simon effect SSM (SE-SSM) to behavioral data. This model extension includes specific estimates of automatic response bias and a conflict counteraction parameter to individual subject behavioral data. We apply this approach in order to investigate whether our task specific model parameters have a correlate in BOLD response. Under the assumption that the SE-SSM reflects aspects of neural processing in this task, we go on to examine the BOLD correlates with the within trial expected decision-variable. We find that the SE-SSM captures the behavioral data and that our two conflict specific model parameters have clear across subject BOLD correlates, while other model parameters, as well as more standard behavioral measures do not. We also find that examining BOLD in terms of the expected decision-variable leads to a specific pattern of activation that would not be otherwise possible to extract.

Quantifying Ship Strike Risk to Breeding Whales in a Multiple-Use Marine Park: The Great Barrier Reef

Spatial risk assessments are an effective management tool used in multiple-use marine parks to balance the needs for conservation of natural properties and to provide for varying socio-economic demands for development. The multiple-use Great Barrier Reef Marine Park (GBRMP) has recently experienced substantial increases in current and proposed port expansions and subsequent shipping. Globally, large whale populations are recovering from commercial whaling and ship strike is a significant threat to some populations and a potential welfare issue for others. Within the GBRMP there is spatial conflict between the main breeding ground of the east Australian humpback whale population which overlaps the main inner shipping route that services several large natural resource export ports. The east coast humpback whale population is one of the largest humpback whale populations globally, exponentially increasing (11% per annum) close to the maximum potential rate and estimated to reach pre-exploitation population numbers in the next 4-5 years. We quantify the relative risk of ship strike to calving and mating humpback whales, with areas of highest relative risk coinciding with areas offshore of two major natural resource export ports. We found females with a dependent calf had a higher risk of ship strike compared to groups without a calf and their inshore movement and coastal dependence later in the breeding season increases their overlap with shipping although their lower relative abundance decreases risk. The formalisation of a two-way shipping route has provided little change to risk and projected risk estimates indicate a three- to five-fold increase in risk to humpback whales from ship strike over the next ten years. Currently, the whale Protection Area in the GBRMP does not cover the main mating and calving areas, whereas provisions within the legislation for establishment of a Special Management Area during the peak breeding season in high risk areas could occur. A common mitigation strategy of re-routing shipping lanes to reduce risk is not a viable option for the GBRMP due to physical spatial limitations imposed by the reef, whereas speed restrictions could be the most feasible based on current ship speeds if mitigation were deemed necessary.

Street Vendors’ Activity Space in the Residential, Public Space (Case Study: Tirto Agung Park, Semarang)

Public space as a facility that accommodating community social activities has become one of the important aspects in terms of enhancing people’s lives in the scope of residential and settlements, which include active parks. Tirto Agung Park, as an active park located close to the residential area in Banyumanik Sub-District, Semarang City, becomes a place visited by many people to accommodate recreational, entertainment, and sports activities purposes. Therefore, Tirto Agung Park became a location/space/place for street vendors to grow and develop their activities. Street vendors often use existing public spaces such as inside the park, roadsides, and sidewalks for their activities. This condition often makes a spatial utilization conflict between street vendors and the main activities in Tirto Agung Park. Hence, it is important to identify the street vendors’ activity space in Tirto Agung Park as a public space for a residential community in Banyumanik Sub-District. The purpose of this research is to identify the livability of street vendors’ space based on their behavior in its location. This research uses quantitative methods by conducting surveys through questionnaires by applying disproportionate stratified random sampling techniques. The results of this study explain the space availability of street vendors’ activities in Tirto Agung Park, including the types of street vendors’ activities, types of activities around street vendors, space forms, activity time, access, natural elements, space security, and parking space.

Anthropogenic effects on the physiology and behaviour of chacma baboons in the Cape Peninsula of South Africa.

As animals increasingly occupy habitats in proximity to humans, with home ranges a mosaic of natural and anthropogenic landscapes, it becomes imperative from a conservation perspective to understand the impacts of human activities on wildlife. Many non-human primates share habitats with humans, an ability stemming largely from shared ecological needs due to our close evolutionary relationship. Such proximity, however, is often accompanied by direct conflict between humans and wildlife, leading to higher stress levels, injuries, mortality and behavioural changes, with detrimental effects on long-term health and fitness. Glucocorticoid (GC) hormones, which are released in response to ecological and social challenges, are increasingly employed to understand responses to anthropogenic disturbance. Here we investigate physiological and behavioural responses of female chacma baboons (Papio ursinus) to variation in spatial overlap and conflict with humans in their natural home range. The baboons resided in the Tokai Section of Table Mountain National Park in the Cape Peninsula of South Africa, where their home range included four types of habitats: protected, suburban, agricultural and mosaic areas. We studied the largest group of baboons in Tokai (70 individuals) and examined the effects of ranging in these different habitats on the faecal GCs and behaviour of all adult females in the troop (N = 16). We found time spent ranging in more anthropogenic habitats to be associated with higher levels of GCs, more aggression, less time socializing and shorter grooming bouts. Self-directed behaviour, however, varied and did not necessarily reflect physiological measures of stress. Taken together, the results of this study highlight the risks associated with ranging in anthropogenic environments and point to the need for a multifaceted approach to studying the negative impacts of human activities on animals so as to better inform conservation practices.

Partycypacja społeczna w kontekście budowy trasy średnicowej w Opolu

Autor artykułu postawił sobie za cel opisanie przebiegu konfliktu przestrzennego oraz analizę procesu partycypacji społecznej w kontekście planowanej budowy trasy średnicowej przebiegającej przez wyspę Pasiekę w Opolu. Posługując się metodą studium przypadku podjęto próbę znalezienia odpowiedzi na pytania: czy władze samorządowe zastosowały „dobre praktyki” postulowane przez organizacje pozarządowe oraz jaką rolę odegrał w nich ruch miejski.

Framework for Spatial-Temporal Cross-Functional Planning of Projects by Highway Agencies

State highway agencies (SHAs) are tasked with providing short- to long-term plans for developing and maintaining transportation infrastructure. In line with this task, often multiple functional groups in SHAs are responsible for allocating funds from multiple categories to a range of infrastructure assets on the same network—a situation that demands highly effective platforms for collaboration. However, the use of heterogeneous information systems challenges efforts to perform a spatial-temporal analysis of candidate projects proposed by these functional groups. To address this challenge, this paper proposes an integrated framework to improve the collaborative planning of highway projects by SHAs. The major steps in the framework include budgeting, identifying and integrating candidate projects, performing a spatial conflict analysis, classifying conflicts, and developing a response action. These steps are repeated iteratively until there are no unplanned spatial conflicts in the final program or scenario. The proposed framework was implemented by developing a tool in a spreadsheet environment via Visual Basic programming. The developed tool was first validated via a Charrette test involving ten participants with a total of close to forty years of project management experience in cross-functional organizations. The second phase of validation involved feedback from six agency experts after case demonstration involving 340 highway projects. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by providing an integrated platform for different functional groups in SHAs to collaborate more effectively.

Spatiality of street vendors and sociospatial disputes over public space: The case of Valparaíso, Chile

In recent years street vending or street trading has become a focal point of political agendas throughout cities of the Global South. The literature of street vending tends to develop within two fields of analysis: 1- socio-spatial regulation, 2- socio-spatial appropriation. This research is centred on socio spatial appropriation analysis of street vendors in the city of Valparaíso, Chile, revealing social and spatial disputes over the use of public space.Through a quantitative and qualitative analysis, we present an in-depth view of social and spatial conflict identified by street vendors themselves, revealing how socio-spatial appropriation by street vendors is an expression of the social and spatial dispute over the use of public space. This study makes an original contribution by associating spatial conflicts of street vending with the socio-spatial appropriation of public space.Results show the need to include the socio-spatial logic and dynamics of street vending in the design and management of public spaces in cities faced with this growing phenomenon.

A dynamic risk assessment method to address safety of navigation concerns around offshore renewable energy installations

This work focuses on the development of a deterministic dynamic risk method that can be used by operational end-users such as seafarers, when navigating in restricted waters where there is spatial conflict due to multi-use of marine areas by the shipping and offshore renewable energy industries. The developed method can also be used during the planning stages of offshore renewable energy installations. A case study of vessel operations near an offshore wind farm is also presented. The article also briefly discusses the potential application of manoeuvring-based dynamic risk methods to resolve spatial conflicts in the maritime, as well as other transport domains.

Multinational Energy Justice for Managing Multinational Risks: A Case Study of Nuclear Waste Repositories

This paper investigates the viability of Energy Justice as a framework to assist the governance of multinational risk. Positioned between local and universal scales, it advocates for the approach of multinational energy justice as a means of considering justice manifestations either between neighboring countries, or between geographically isolated countries that share common energy concerns or systems. Specifically, it focuses on how to govern the risk of nuclear waste in a multinational fashion, and questions the extent to which this approach could offer a useful account to help understand the justice issues multinational repositories give rise to. We present a content analysis of 10‐years’ worth of policy reports on nuclear waste repositories (2006–16), including 25 full‐length reports documents relating to the Government of South Australia's now abandoned repository proposal. Following a discussion around the merit of energy justice approaches in relation of transboundary issues of justice, intergenerational justice and the role conflicting justice demands across time and space, we present three areas for further consideration: (i) We call for greater attention to issues of spatial conflict; (ii) further reflect on temporal justice conflict and its integration into energy justice frameworks; and (iii) reflect upon multinational responsibility for energy justice.

基于CLUE-S模型的县域生产-生活-生态空间冲突动态模拟及特征分析

PDF HTML阅读 XML下载 导出引用 引用提醒 基于CLUE-S模型的县域生产-生活-生态空间冲突动态模拟及特征分析 DOI: 10.5846/stxb201901070059 作者: 作者单位: 河北农业大学国土资源学院,中国地质大学北京土地科学技术学院,河北农业大学国土资源学院,河北农业大学国土资源学院,河北农业大学国土资源学院 作者简介: 通讯作者: 中图分类号: 基金项目: 国家重点研发计划项目（2016YFC0503700）；河北农业大学引进人才科研专项基金项目（YJ201807） Dynamic simulation and characteristic analysis of county production-living-ecological spatial conflicts based on CLUE-S model Author: Affiliation: College of Land Science and Technology,China University of Geosciences Beijing;College of Land and Resources,Hebei Agricultural University,College of Land Science and Technology,China University of Geosciences Beijing,College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University,College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University,College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University Fund Project: National key research and development program 摘要 | 图/表 | 访问统计 | 参考文献 | 相似文献 | 引证文献 | 资源附件 | 文章评论 摘要:随着经济、社会发展速度不断加快，多功能空间之间的竞争不断增强，国土空间的协调与稳定受到严重影响。因此，模拟生产、生活和生态空间（简称"三生"空间）冲突格局，并分析其演变特征，对于科学利用国土空间，实现区域发展格局优化有着重要意义。以昌黎县为研究区，以2005和2015年土地利用现状数据为基础，采用CLUE-S模型预测研究区2025年土地利用格局；基于土地利用主导功能和次要功能将国土空间划分为生活生产空间、生产生态空间、生态生产空间及生态空间，依据景观生态指数构建空间冲突测度模型，测算昌黎县2005-2025年三期"三生"空间冲突变化趋势。结果表明：①2005-2025年昌黎县以生产生态空间为主。2015年末，生活生产空间、生产生态空间大量占用生态生产空间和生态空间，尤其是河流附近，空间转换更加显著；到2025年，各空间类型转变较少，但生活生产空间转入量仍相对较大。②2005-2025年昌黎县空间冲突水平呈上升趋势，到2025年，空间冲突逐渐以较强空间冲突为主。这主要是由于生产生态空间、生活生产空间不断向外扩张。随着城镇化、产业发展速度的加快，生活生产空间、生产生态空间向外扩张强度逐渐增大，生态生产空间、生态空间将面临威胁。 Abstract:With the acceleration of economic and social development, competition among multi-functional spaces is continuously enhanced, and coordination and stability of territorial space are seriously affected. Therefore, it is of great significance to simulate the spatial conflict pattern of production-living-ecological spaces and analyse its evolutionary characteristics for scientific utilization of territorial space and optimization of regional development patterns. In this paper, Changli County is taken as the research area. Based on the data of land use status for two years (2005, 2015), CLUE-S model is used to predict the land use patterns in the research area in 2025. Based on the leading and secondary functions of land use, the territorial space is divided into living-production space, production-ecological space, ecological-production space, and ecological space. Based on the landscape ecological index, a spatial conflict measurement model is constructed to estimate the changing trend of the production-living-ecological spatial conflict in Changli County from 2005 to 2025. The results show that:(1) From 2005 to 2025, the territorial space of Changli County is dominated by production-ecological space. At the end of 2015, the living-production space and the production-ecological space occupy a large amount of ecological-production space and ecological space, especially near the river. By 2025, there will be fewer changes in each spatial type, but the amount of living-production space will still be relatively large. (2) From 2005 to 2025, the level of spatial conflict in Changli County will be on the rise, and by 2025, spatial conflict will gradually be dominated by strong spatial conflict. This is due to the production-ecological space and the living-production space expanding outward ceaselessly. With the acceleration of urbanization and industrial development, the outward expansion of the living-production space and the production-ecological space will gradually increase, and the ecological-production space and the ecological space will face threats. 参考文献 相似文献 引证文献