Southeastern Tropical Indian Ocean Research Articles

A Comparison of the Impacts of Two Consecutive Double-Peaked La Niña Events on Antarctic Sea Ice in Austral Spring

Abstract Among nine La Niña events since 1980, there are seven double-peaked La Niña events that typically persist for 2 years and peak twice in the two consecutive boreal winters. In the study, the individual impacts of the first and second peak episodes of such La Niña on the Antarctic sea ice in austral spring (September–November) were compared. The results suggest a difference. The first episode induces a tripolar distribution of sea ice concentration (SIC) with a negative anomaly in the Bellingshausen Sea sandwiched with positive anomalies in the Ross Sea and the northeastern Weddell Sea. The second causes an SIC reduction in most parts of the Southern Ocean except for the eastern Ross–western Amundsen Seas where an increase is observed. Mechanistically, the first episode forces one single Rossby wave train to propagate southeastward, causing a strong cyclone anomaly over the eastern Ross–Amundsen–Bellingshausen Seas along with a weak anticyclone over the Weddell Sea. In comparison, the second La Niña excites two branches of Rossby wave trains emanating from the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean and the central equatorial Pacific, respectively, which induce three anomalous anticyclones and two anomalous cyclones over the Southern Ocean. These different atmospheric circulation anomalies shape their different sea ice distributions between the two La Niña episodes through both dynamic and thermodynamic processes. The modeling results from CAM5 verify these differences. Significance Statement Under global warming, the double-peaked La Niña occurs more frequently. The first and second La Niña episodes in such double-peaked La Niña are distinct from each other not only in their onset and developing mechanisms but also in their climate impacts. Based on observational analyses and model experiments, the study investigated the distinctive impacts of the first and second episodes on the austral spring Antarctic sea ice. The results reveal that the first episode excites one single southeastward-propagated Rossby wave train, while the second episode forces two branches of Rossby wave trains. These different atmospheric responses in the Southern Hemisphere shape the distinct sea ice distributions both dynamically and thermodynamically. The study also indicates the diversity of tropical–Antarctic teleconnections.

The Fujiwhara effect on ocean biophysical variables in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean region

A rare event known as Fujiwhara effect occurred in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean when tropical cyclones (TCs) Seroja and Odette were co-existed, interacted each other, and merged into one TC in April 2021. Here, remotely sensed data (surface winds, sea surface temperature, chlorophyll-a concentration, and surface currents) were analyzed to determine the impact of Fujiwhara effect on the ocean biophysical variables in the region. Ekman pumping velocity were computed to determine the upwelling/downwelling process. During the entire development of the TCs to the merging, the TCs induced sea surface temperature (SST) cooling and raising sea surface chlorophyll-a. Ekman pumping and inertial pumping may serve as the primary driving force for the observed negative SST anomaly and positive anomaly in chl-a concentration associated with TCs. This rare event adds the complexity of ocean and climate dynamics of the region as an exit gate of the Indonesian throughflow to the Indian Ocean and may have implications to circulation and climate in the Indian Ocean and beyond. The present research likely represents the first scientific documentation of oceanic responses to a Fujiwhara effect in the region.

An Intrathermocline Eddy Observed in the Southeastern Tropical Indian Ocean

AbstractAn intrathermocline eddy (ITE) was observed over the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) from early February to early May 2020. The ITE was generated near the southwest of Java, and was long lived with a long propagation distance. It had pronounced surface anticyclonic anomalies during westward propagation. Observations from an anchored buoy and several Argo profiles suggested a typical lens‐like vertical structure within the thermocline during the passage of the ITE. The ITE carried a saline water mass with maximum salinity at core depths of 100–150 m. The saline water mass originated from the equatorial Indian Ocean and was transported to the southwest of Java in early January. The formation of the ITE was characterized by a rapid increase of positive sea level anomaly in the southwest of Java, which was closely associated with the local positive wind stress curl in late January and early February.

Main drivers of Indian Ocean Dipole asymmetry revealed by a simple IOD model

Indian Ocean Dipole phenomenon (IOD) refers to a dominant zonal contrast pattern of sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) over tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) on interannual time scales. Its positive phase, characterized by anomalously warm western TIO and anomalously cold southeastern TIO, is usually stronger than its negative phase, namely a positively skewed IOD. Here, we investigate causes for the IOD asymmetry using a prototype IOD model, of which physical processes include both linear and nonlinear feedback processes, El Nino’s asymmetric impact, and a state-dependent noise. Parameters for the model were empirically obtained using various reanalysis SST data sets. The results reveal that the leading cause of IOD asymmetry without accounting seasonality is a local nonlinear process, and secondly the state-dependent noise, the direct effect by the positively skewed ENSO and its nonlinear teleconnection; the latter two have almost equal contribution. However, the contributions by each process are season dependent. For boreal summer, both local nonlinear feedback process and the state-dependent noise are major drivers of IOD asymmetry with negligible contribution from ENSO. The ENSO impacts become important in boreal fall, along with the other two processes.

Shifting responses of phytoplankton to atmospheric and oceanic forcing in a prolonged marine heatwave

AbstractMarine heatwaves are becoming a severe challenge for marine ecosystems. However, current understanding of their impacts on phytoplankton, especially biomass and community structure, is still deficient or fragmentary. Here, we focus on the response of phytoplankton to a prolonged (372 d) marine heatwave in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean in 2015–2016. Despite a similar surface warming throughout the marine heatwave, we found two distinctively different changes in chlorophyll a (Chl a) concentration, based on which the marine heatwave was divided into two phases of nearly equal duration. During Phase 1, the Chl a concentration and phytoplankton biomass increased slightly, while during Phase 2 they decreased dramatically, with a marked shift in phytoplankton community toward smaller‐size species. This difference mainly resulted from the change in dominant drivers of the marine heatwave, which shifted from atmospheric forcing (enhanced net air–sea heat flux) in Phase 1 to oceanic process (downwelling Kelvin waves) in Phase 2. The intensified near‐surface stratification and upwelling Kelvin waves led to a slight surface nutrient increase in Phase 1, while the downwelling Kelvin waves suppressed the seasonal upwelling in Phase 2, resulting in a substantial decrease in nutrient supply from the subsurface ocean, and hence dramatic decreases in Chl a concentration and biomass. Our results demonstrate the complex responses of phytoplankton to marine heatwaves and highlight the importance of distinguishing the driving mechanisms of marine heatwaves when evaluating their ecological impacts.

Subthermocline eddies carrying the Indonesian Throughflow water observed in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean

Subthermocline eddies carrying the Indonesian Throughflow water observed in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean

Model based examination of radiocarbon contribution from Indonesian throughflow to the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean

Shallow seawater coral records from the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean region can be investigated to study Indonesian throughflow (ITF). In this study, the radiocarbon records of Porites corals were used to estimate lateral transport via ITF and to understand the influence of ITF on radiocarbon levels of surface waters in the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean. A simple box model based on radiocarbon was applied for this purpose. Model estimated a mean lateral transport via ITF to be 12.5 × 106 m3 s−1 towards the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean region using pre-bomb radiocarbon records. The model was further used to reconstruct post-bomb radiocarbon level in the Cocos Island surface water and result was compared with the observed value. The box model result demonstrated that along with air-sea CO2 exchange, the ITF was also an important contributor of bomb radiocarbon to the surface water of the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean. The box model showed that the ITF significantly contributed bomb radiocarbon to the surface water of the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean after the rapid increase in bomb radiocarbon in the region.

Sea level anomalies in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean as a potential predictor of La Niña beyond one-year lead

Most climate forecast agencies failed to make successful predictions of the strong 2020/2021 La Niña event before May 2020. The western equatorial Pacific warm water volume (WWV) before the 2020 spring failed to predict this La Niña event because of the near neutral state of the equatorial Pacific Ocean in the year before. A strong Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event took place in the fall of 2019, which is used as a precursor for the La Niña prediction in this study. We used observational data to construct the precursory relationship between negative sea level anomalies (SLA) in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) in boreal fall and negative Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies index one year later. The application of the above relation to the prediction of the 2020/2021 La Niña was a great success. The dynamics behind are the Indo-Pacific “oceanic channel” connection via the Indian Ocean Kelvin wave propagation through the Indonesian seas, with the atmospheric bridge playing a secondary role. The high predictability of La Niña across the spring barrier if a positive IOD should occur in the previous year suggests that the negative SETIO SLA in fall is a much better and longer predictor for this type of La Niña prediction than the WWV. In comparison, positive SETIO SLA lead either El Niño or La Niña by one year, suggesting uncertainty of El Niño predictions.

Interannual Variability of the Australian Summer Monsoon Sustained through Internal Processes: Wind–Evaporation Feedback, Dynamical Air–Sea Interaction, and Soil Moisture Memory

Abstract In northern Australia (NAUS), mean rainfall during the Australian summer monsoon (AUSM) season exhibits distinct interannual variability despite weak influence from tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability. The present study investigates mechanisms for the strong and persistent rainfall anomalies throughout the AUSM season. When the AUSM is stronger than normal, the low-level monsoonal circulation intensifies in response to the stronger convective activity over NAUS. The intensified surface westerlies over the tropical southeastern Indian Ocean (SEIO) enhance oceanic evaporation locally and downstream moisture transport into NAUS. This wind–evaporation feedback is verified through a moist static energy budget analysis. For this feedback to work effectively, SST cooling due to the stronger AUSM should be weak enough not to suppress the oceanic evaporation in the tropical SEIO. Our mixed layer heat budget analysis based on an ocean model hindcast experiment reveals that anomalous downwelling in the subsurface SEIO, which is induced dynamically by the intensified monsoon westerlies, partially offsets the SST cooling. The land surface evaporation over the continental inland area is also enhanced significantly in the middle and later portions of the monsoon season associated with increased soil moisture, suggesting its memory effect for the persistence of rainfall anomalies. The AUSM variability can therefore be regarded as a self-sustaining internal variability in the atmosphere–ocean–land surface coupled system, rather than just an atmospheric internal variability. Significance Statement We aim to understand why summer monsoon rainfall in northern Australia varies markedly from one year to another even under the weak influence of large-scale sea surface temperature fluctuations, such as El Niño/La Niña. Our analyses based mainly on observational datasets reveal that wind-induced changes in oceanic evaporation south of Java significantly modulates the water vapor transport into northern Australia. We also find that ocean dynamics helps this wind–evaporation feedback process and continental soil moisture may act to prolong anomalous rainfall by its memory effect. This study shows the self-sustaining nature of the Australian summer monsoon variability under the atmosphere–ocean–land surface interactions, which deepens our understandings of the monsoon system.

Variations of Summertime SSTA Independent of ENSO in the Maritime Continent and Their Possible Impacts on Rainfall in the Asian–Australian Monsoon Region

Abstract The sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the Maritime Continent (MC) region are mainly related to local variability, ENSO, and the Indian Ocean dipole. Using the reanalysis data from NOAA and NCEP–NCAR, by employing the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, we have explored the principal mode of ENSO-independent summertime SSTA in the MC and its associations with regional climate anomalies. After ENSO signals have been removed, the leading mode of SSTA in the MC exhibits a uniformly signed pattern, which mainly varies on an interannual time scale. The maintenance mechanisms of the ENSO-independent SSTA are different in different subregions, especially over the region south of Java and the tropical northwestern Pacific. When the time coefficient of the first leading EOF mode (EOF1) is positive, warmer SSTAs are observed in the area south of Java. The oceanic dynamic heating there facilitates the warmer SSTA. Thus, the Gill-type response of the atmosphere is found over the region south of Java. The diabatic cooling in the atmosphere is dominant over the tropical northwestern Pacific where the warmer SSTA is maintained by the absorption of solar radiation due to less cloud cover there. A tilted vertical circulation is hence formed, linking the tropical southeastern Indian Ocean with the tropical northwestern Pacific. The anomalous circulations in the Asian–Australian monsoon region are affected by this ENSO-independent SSTA mode, resulting in decreased summer rainfall anomaly in the region near the southeast coast of China and increased winter precipitation anomaly over the extratropical region of Australia.

Impact of March North Atlantic Oscillation on Indian Ocean Dipole: role of air–sea interaction over the Western North Pacific

We investigated the relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which has remained unknown to date. Reanalysis data and linear baroclinic model experiments were employed in our study. The results showed significant correlation between the March NAO and the boreal summer and autumn IOD, independent of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation signal, verified by partial correlation analysis. Air–sea interaction over the western North Pacific (WNP) is a significant aspect of the physical mechanism through which the March NAO affects the subsequent IOD. A strong positive March NAO induces equivalent barotropic cyclonic circulation over the WNP through a steady Rossby wave, accompanied by a local tripole sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly pattern. Facilitated by local air–sea positive feedback, the low-level cyclonic circulation and associated precipitation anomalies over the WNP persist from early spring to summer and shift equatorward. During May–June, the WNP anomalous cyclone strengthens the southeasterly wind and enhances cooling off Sumatra–Java through local meridional circulation. Such circulation ascends over the WNP and descends over the tropical southeastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent. Subsequently, wind–evaporation–SST and wind–thermocline–SST positive feedback in the tropical Indian Ocean contribute to IOD development. A diagnosis of ocean mixed-layer heat budget indicated that the ocean dynamic process associated with the NAO contributes more to IOD development than does atmospheric thermal forcing. Determining the influence mechanism of the March NAO on the subsequent IOD is considered useful in advancing the seasonal prediction of IOD.

Extreme Positive Indian Ocean Dipole in 2019 and Its Impact on Indonesia

The evolution of an extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) that took place in the tropical Indian Ocean during the late boreal summer to early winter of 2019 is examined in terms of coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics. The patterns of anomalous sea-surface temperature (SST) revealed a typical pIOD characteristic: cooling (warming) in the southeastern (western) tropical Indian Ocean. Based on the Dipole Mode Index (DMI), the evolution of the event started in mid-July and gradually strengthened with an abrupt weakening in early September before coming to its peak in late October/early November. It quickly weakened in November, and then it terminated in mid-December. During the peak phase of the event, the SST anomaly in the southeastern (western) tropical Indian Ocean reached about −2 °C (+1 °C). The pattern of anomalous SST was followed by an anomalous pattern in precipitation, in which deficit precipitation was observed over the eastern Indian Ocean, particularly over the Indonesia region. Earlier study has shown that dry conditions associated with the pIOD event created a favorable condition for a forest-peat fire in southern Sumatra. The number of fire hotspots has increased significantly during the peak phase of the 2019 pIOD event. In addition, anomalously strong upwelling forced by strong southeasterly wind anomalies along the southern coast of Java and Sumatra had induced a surface chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) bloom in this region. High surface Chl-a concentration was collocated with the negative SST anomalies observed off the southwest Sumatra coast and south Java.

Causal relationship between sea surface temperature and precipitation revealed by information flow

The atmosphere and the ocean are coupled with each other through various processes. Therefore, it is of great importance to understand the causality relationship between the atmosphere and the ocean for predicting their states. Here we apply the normalized information flow (NIF) to sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation data to investigate the causality from the atmosphere to the ocean and from the ocean to the atmosphere. When the global spatial structure of the local NIFs is calculated for both directions, it is found that the ocean affects the atmosphere more in the tropics, while the atmosphere affects the ocean more in the extratropics. This causality relationship between the ocean and the atmosphere agrees with previous studies. To examine the teleconnections, the remote NIFs are then calculated and compared with the local NIFs. The local impact from SST to precipitation is dominant in almost all tropical regions, while the relative importance of remote impacts is higher for the precipitation-to-SST NIFs, except for a small area in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific and southeastern tropical Indian Ocean. Regional analyses for six selected areas within the tropics are also presented. This study suggests that NIFs may be a powerful tool to study ocean-atmosphere interactions.

Decadal variability of the interannual climate predictability associated with the Indo-Pacific oceanic channel dynamics in CCSM4

The lag correlations between the observed sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean in fall and those in the Pacific cold tongue at the one-year time lag are calculated in running windows of 7–11 years and are shown to have decadal variability. Similar decadal variability has also been identified in the historical simulations of the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4) that participates in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase-5 (CMIP5). During the positive phases of the decadal variability, the significant lag correlations are diagnosed to be dominated by the oceanic channel dynamics, i.e., upwelling Kelvin waves associated with the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) force enhanced Indonesian Throughflow transport anomalies and western Pacific thermocline anomalies to propagate eastward, resulting in SSTA in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. During the negative phases of the decadal variability, the subsurface lag correlations suggest that the western Pacific Ocean are still dominated by the oceanic channel dynamics, but do not correlate well with the SSTA in the cold tongue due to a deeper thermocline in the eastern equatorial Pacific. The IOD-ENSO teleconnection is not affected significantly by the anthropogenic forcing during either the positive or the negative decadal phases. The CCSM4 model is found to underestimate Indonesian Throughflow transport variability but overestimate the westerly wind anomalies in the western-central equatorial Pacific, which forces unrealistic anomalies in the equatorial Pacific Ocean associated with the IOD.

Interannual variability of sea surface chlorophyll a in the southern tropical Indian Ocean: Local versus remote forcing

Phytoplankton are crucial to marine ecosystems and the global carbon cycle. This study investigates the characteristics and causes of the interannual variation of the surface chlorophyll a (chl a) in the southern tropical Indian Ocean (STIO). We find that in addition to the Seychelles-Chagos thermocline ridge (SCTR) upwelling zone in the southwestern basin, large interannual variability also shows up in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO; 6°–18°S, 70°–92°E). The chl a in the SCTR shows two dominant periods of four years and two years, whereas it shows a dominant period of six years and a weaker period of three years in the SETIO. Surface wind forcing anomalies within the STIO, but not the Indonesian throughflow, cause the interannual chl a anomaly. In the SETIO region, the thermocline dynamics control the chl a variation via a combination of equal contributions from local Ekman pumping and remote Rossby waves generated by the wind stress curl from the east. In the SCTR region, the thermocline dynamics explain only about 67% of the chl a variation, with a larger contribution from the remotely generated Rossby waves than local Ekman pumping. The circulation in the western basin also contributes to the chl a variation by transporting western equatorial chl a to this region during the boreal summer-fall. Both the Indian Ocean Dipole and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation act to modulate the chl a variation in the STIO. They make comparable contributions in the SETIO, while the Indian Ocean Dipole plays a more important role in the SCTR.

Asymmetric Response of Sea Surface Salinity to Extreme Positive and Negative Indian Ocean Dipole in the Southern Tropical Indian Ocean

AbstractBased on the Argo and multi‐satellite observations, this study investigates the asymmetric response of sea surface salinity (SSS) to two extreme positive and negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events in the southern tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). During positive IOD events, the easterly wind anomalies trigger zonal freshwater advection along the equator, decreasing SSS, while cold sea surface temperature (SST) depress the convective precipitation in the southeastern TIO (SETIO), increasing the SSS. Contrast SSS anomalies along the equator and in the SETIO show opposite phases during positive and negative IOD events. These SSS anomalies have enhanced in recent years, reaching the strongest in the extreme negative IOD in 2016 and positive IOD in 2019. The case study shows that positive SSS anomalies occurred in the southern TIO during both positive and negative IOD events in 2016 and 2019, suggesting significant asymmetry in SSS. Analysis of the mixed layer salinity budget shows that the local precipitation and the entrainment associated with the upwelling Rossby waves played an essential role in the SSS increase in 2016, while the decreased precipitation and horizontal advection caused by the westward South Equatorial Current contributed to the SSS increase in 2019. Further analyses suggest that SSS response is more sensitive to thermocline shoaling than deepening, and SSS response to precipitation is greater at shallower mixed layer than at deeper ones, which is the main reason for the asymmetric response of the SSS to negative and positive IOD events.

Can Coastal Upwelling Trigger a Climate Mode? A Study on Intraseasonal‐Scale Coastal Upwelling Off Java and the Indian Ocean Dipole

AbstractCoastal upwelling along the southern coast of Java brings cold and nutrient‐rich subsurface water to the surface. We explored whether the upwelling could trigger the onset of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) by supplying cold water to the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean. We used satellite‐based daily chlorophyll‐a concentration (Chl‐a) data during 2003–2020 as a proxy of the coastal upwelling. We focused on first Chl‐a bloom that occurred in April‐June, the onset phase of the positive IOD (pIOD). We found that the timing and strength of the upwelling signals were significantly correlated with the subsequent IOD peaks. We diagnosed processes associated with the upwelling affecting sea surface temperature (SST) in the southeastern Indian Ocean. Results indicate that after the cold‐water upwelling south of Java, westward surface temperature advection plays a role in anomalously cooling the SST in the southeastern Indian Ocean and setting a favorable condition for the subsequent pIOD development.

Oceanic Rossby Waves Induced Two Types of Ocean–Atmosphere Response and Opposite Indian Ocean Dipole Phases

AbstractThis study analyzed the downwelling Rossby waves in the south Indian Ocean (IO)-induced spring asymmetric mode and the relationship with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) event based on observations and reanalysis datasets. The westward downwelling Rossby waves favor significant sea surface temperature (SST) warming in the Seychelles thermocline dome that triggers atmosphere response and the asymmetric mode in spring. The zonal sea level pressure gradient causes anomalous easterly winds in the central and eastern equatorial IO, cooling the SST off Sumatra–Java. Meanwhile, the remainder of the downwelling Rossby waves reach the west coast, transform to northward coastal-trapped waves, and then reflect as eastward downwelling Kelvin waves along the equator. The downwelling Kelvin waves reach the Sumatra–Java coast during late spring to early summer, favoring SST warming in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean. Thus, there are two types of ocean–atmosphere response almost at the same time along the equator. The final SST status depends on which process is stronger and, as a consequence, triggers a negative or a positive phase of the IOD event in the fall season. The results show four positive and three negative IOD events related to the above processes from 1960 to 2019. The strong downwelling Rossby waves are easier to induce an intense asymmetric mode and negative IOD event, usually associated with preceding strong El Niño in the Pacific. In contrast, the weak downwelling Rossby waves tend to induce a weak asymmetric mode and positive IOD event, usually associated with preceding weak El Niño or anomalous anticyclonic atmospheric circulation in the southeastern IO.

The interdecadal variations and causes of the relationship between Autumn Precipitation Anomalies in Eastern China and SSTA over the Southeastern tropical Indian Ocean

Eastern China has a large population with rapid development of the economy, where is the important crop producing region. In this region, the spatial and temporal distribution of autumn rainfall in Eastern China is uneven, which has important societal impact. Using the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis and other observational datasets, it is found that the spatial distribution of the first EOF mode of autumn rainfall anomalies in eastern China is consistent across the region, with significant interannual variabilities. Pronounced interdecadal variations are presented in the relationship between autumn rainfall anomalies in eastern China and sea-surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) over the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO). The interdecadal changes have been analyzed by considering two epochs: one during 1979–2004 and the other during 2005–2019. It shows weak and insignificant correlations between the autumn rainfall anomalies in eastern China and SSTA over SETIO during the first epoch. On the other hand, they are remarkable and positively correlated with each other during the second epoch. The inter-decadal changes of the above relationship are related to the warming of SST over SETIO during the second epoch. It causes stronger low-level convergence and ascending motion over SETIO, with the co-occurrence of enhanced western Pacific subtropical high and anomalous abundant moisture over eastern China carried by a low-level southerly anomaly originating from the South China Sea. Simultaneously, the local Hadley circulation over eastern China becomes weak, corresponding to the anomalous ascending motion. The collaboration of anomalous water vapour transport and ascending motion strengthens the connection between the SETIO SSTA and the autumn precipitation anomalies in eastern China, and vice versa. In the boreal autumn of 2019, entire eastern China suffered extreme drought. It suggests that this drought event in eastern China is strongly affected by the negative SSTA over SETIO, which is consistent with the statistical results.

The Seasonality of Mesoscale Eddy Intensity in the Southeastern Tropical Indian Ocean

The seasonality of mesoscale eddy intensity in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) is investigated using the latest eddy dataset and marine hydrological reanalysis data. The results show that the eddy intensity in an area to the southwest coast of the Java Island has prominent seasonality—eddies in this area are relatively weak during the first half of the year but tend to enhance in August and peak in October. Further analysis reveals that the strong eddies in October are actually developed from the ones mainly formed in July to September, and the barotropic instability and baroclinic instability are the key dynamics for eddy development, but each plays a different role at different development stages. The barotropic instability resulting from the horizontal shear of surface current plays an important role in the early stage of eddy development. However, in the late development stage, the baroclinic instability induced by the sloping pycnocline becomes the major energy contributor of eddy development.