Southeastern South America Research Articles

Uncertainty separation of drought projection in the 21st century using SMILEs and CMIP6

Reliable projection of future drought conditions is critical for informing adaptation in response to future climate change. However, the uncertainty associated with drought projection impedes the precise estimation of drought risk and consequently efficient adaptation strategy. To better understand the role of uncertainty in drought projection, this study distinguished the total uncertainty of drought projection into scenario uncertainty, model uncertainty, and internal variability uncertainty by variance analysis using realizations from the Single Model Initial-condition Large Ensembles (SMILEs) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The results showed that SMILEs differ from CMIP6 mainly in the magnitude of internal variability and model uncertainty. The contribution of internal variability to total drought projection uncertainty in SMILEs (31–56 %) is greater than that in CMIP6 (9–21 %), while model uncertainty of SMILEs (36–41 %) is nearly half that of CMIP6 (67–76 %). The estimation of total uncertainty in drought projection is comparable between SMILEs and CMIP6, indicating that total uncertainty attains a minimum in the mid-21st century (the 2060 s for SMILEs and 2050 s for CMIP6). In addition, SMILEs and CMIP6 consistently show that model uncertainty is dominant in tropical regions, and scenario uncertainty is the main uncertainty contributor in western North America, eastern South America, the Mediterranean, and southern Australia.

Plausible Drying and Wetting Scenarios for Summer in Southeastern South America

Abstract Summer rainfall trends in southeastern South America (SE-SA) have received attention in recent decades because of their importance for climate impacts. More than one driving mechanism has been identified for the trends, some of which have opposing effects. It is still not clear how much each mechanism has contributed to the observed trends or how their combined influence will affect future changes. Here, we address the second question and study how the CMIP6 summer SE-SA rainfall response to greenhouse warming can be explained by mechanisms related to large-scale extratropical circulation responses in the Southern Hemisphere to remote drivers (RDs) of regional climate change. We find that the regional uncertainty is well represented by combining the influence of four RDs: tropical upper-tropospheric amplification of surface warming, the delay in the stratospheric polar vortex breakdown date, and two RDs characterizing recognized tropical Pacific SST warming patterns. Applying a storyline framework, we identify the combination of RD responses that lead to the most extreme drying and wetting scenarios. Although most scenarios involve wetting, SE-SA drying can result if high upper-tropospheric tropical warming and early stratospheric polar vortex breakdown conditions are combined with low central and eastern Pacific warming. We also show how the definition of the SE-SA regional box can impact the results since the spatial patterns characterizing the dynamical influences are complex and the rainfall changes can be averaged out if these are not considered when aggregating. This article’s perspective and the associated methodology are applicable to other regions of the globe. Significance Statement Summer rainfall in southeastern South America (SE-SA) affects an area where around 200 million people live. The observed trends suggest long-term wetting, and most climate models predict a wetting response to greenhouse warming. However, in this work, we find that there is a physically plausible combination of large-scale circulation changes that can promote drying, which means SE-SA drying is a possibility that cannot be ignored. We also show that the definition of the SE-SA regional box can impact regional rainfall analysis since the spatial patterns characterizing the dynamical influences are complex and the changes can be averaged out if these are not considered when aggregating. This perspective and the associated methodology are applicable to other regions of the globe.

Late Miocene mammalian burrows in the Camacho Formation of Uruguay reveal a complex community of ecosystem engineers

We report fossil mammal burrows from backshore beach facies in the Camacho Formation of southern Uruguay, of Late Miocene (Huayquerian SALMA) age. The presence of desiccation cracks and rhizoliths indicate the occurrence of relatively extended periods of subaerial exposure and the incipient development of vegetation. The analysis of the burrows' spatial extent, size, and structure reveals the existence of exceptionally well-preserved and intercrossing tunnel systems. We show the existence of different size classes of burrows, which indicate that at least four different taxa were responsible for their construction. Considering the inferred body masses of the trace makers obtained from allometric relationships and the body masses of taxa recovered for the Camacho Formation, the burrows may have been produced by a combination of the following mammals: one of several rodents, notoungulates, cingulates, folivorans, and a carnivoran. The fossil association represents an exceptional case of a community of ecosystem engineers in the Late Miocene of southeastern South America.

Accretionary and collisional processes of the Brasiliano Orogeny recorded by the Tonian La Tuna ophiolite, Dom Feliciano Belt, Uruguay

Accretionary to collisional orogenies such as the Brasiliano Orogeny of eastern South America present the opportunity to distinguish between oceanic-continental (accretionary) and continental (collisional) processes. However, the multitude of geotectonic processes involved and the reduced degree of preservation of the accretionary stage restrain the interpretation of evidence. This study focuses on a metasomatite associated with the La Tuna Ophiolite in the southern Dom Feliciano Belt of the Uruguayan Shield, as these can provide crucial insights into the accretionary stage of the Brasiliano Orogeny. The metasomatite occurs as a meter-sized massive tourmalinite body surrounded by a meter-wide chloritite lens, both enclosed by the La Tuna serpentinite. Our SEM-EDS and EPMA data revealed that the serpentines from the La Tuna ophiolite are antigorite and lizardite, while chlorite was identified as clinochlore. Abundant inclusions of sheridanite chlorite in dravite tourmaline suggests that tourmaline overgrew chlorite. Dravite crystals revealed the presence of three diffuse zones with minor compositional variations, mainly enrichments in Ca and Fe towards the rims. The U-Pb LA-ICP-MS dating of metasomatic zircon yielded ages of 743.2 ± 3.4 Ma (n = 22) for the chloritite and 743.1 ± 2.4 Ma (n = 31) for the tourmalinite. High δ11B values (+12.1‰ to + 18.1‰) of tourmaline (LA-ICP-MS) suggest that the metasomatic event was caused by seawater-derived fluids in a fluid-dominated environment. The single metasomatic U-Pb age combined with the high δ11B values suggest that the metasomatites underwent more intense metasomatic events than those associated with the Bossoroca (−8.5‰ to +1.8‰) and the Ibaré ophiolites (+3.2‰ to +5.2‰) further north in the São Gabriel Terrane of the Dom Feliciano Belt. Nonetheless, a few spots in tourmaline located within fracture zones and in contact with chlorite displayed negative (c. −5‰) and low positive δ11B values (c. 2‰). These are interpreted as overprinting by crustal fluids, either during the tectonic emplacement of the La Tuna Ophiolite or during exhumation. The calculated TDM Hf model ages for zircon in tourmalinite and chloritite range from 0.74 to 1.09 Ga and their ɛHf(T) values range from +4.9 to +11.2, indicating derivation from depleted mantle sources. The data corroborate earlier results indicating that the associated La Tuna amphibolites have composition similar to N-MORB. Furthermore, the trace element composition of zircon in the metasomatites is consistent with an oceanic environment (U/Yb < 0.1). Geotectonically, the La Tuna metasomatites formed at 743 ± 2 Ma in an oceanic setting, most likely in a juvenile Adamastor Ocean basin. During the collisional stage of the Brasiliano Orogeny, the La Tuna Ophiolite was tectonically emplaced within the <666 Ma La Micaela Schist of the Paso del Drágon Complex. As such, this study on the La Tuna Ophiolite contributes direct evidence on the oceanic evolution leading up to the accretionary stage of the Brasiliano Orogeny and provides new constraints on the transition towards the collisional stage.

Root zone soil moisture in over 25 % of global land permanently beyond pre-industrial variability as early as 2050 without climate policy

Abstract. Root zone soil moisture is a key variable representing water cycle dynamics that strongly interact with ecohydrological, atmospheric, and biogeochemical processes. Recently, it was proposed as the control variable for the green water planetary boundary, suggesting that widespread and considerable deviations from baseline variability now predispose Earth system functions critical to an agriculture-based civilization to destabilization. However, the global extent and severity of root zone soil moisture changes under future scenarios remain to be scrutinized. Here, we analysed root zone soil moisture departures from the pre-industrial climate variability for a multi-model ensemble of 14 Earth system models (ESMs) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in four climate scenarios as defined by the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, and SSP5–8.5 between 2021 and 2100. The analyses were done for 43 ice-free climate reference regions used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We defined “permanent departures” when a region's soil moisture exits the regional variability envelope of the pre-industrial climate and does not fall back into the range covered by the baseline envelope until 2100. Permanent dry departures (i.e. lower soil moisture than pre-industrial variability) were found to be most pronounced in Central America, southern Africa, the Mediterranean region, and most of South America, whereas permanent wet departures are most pronounced in south-eastern South America, northern Africa, and southern Asia. In the Mediterranean region, dry permanent departure may have already happened according to some models. By 2100, there are dry permanent departures in the Mediterranean in 70 % of the ESMs in SSP1–2.6, the most mitigated situation, and more than 90 % in SSP3–7.0 and SSP5–8.5, the medium–high and worst-case scenarios. North-eastern Africa is projected to experience wet permanent departures in 64 % of the ESMs under SSP1–2.6 and 93 % under SSP5–8.5. The percentage of ice-free land area with departures increases in all SSP scenarios as time goes by. Wet departures are more widespread than dry departures throughout the studied time frame, except in SSP1–2.6. In most regions, the severity of the departures increases with the severity of global warming. In 2050, permanent departures (ensemble median) occur in about 10 % of global ice-free land areas in SSP1–2.6 and in 25 % in SSP3–7.0. By the end of the 21st century, the occurrence of permanent departures in SSP1–2.6 increases to 34 % and, in SSP3–7.0, to 45 %. Our findings underscore the importance of mitigation to avoid further degrading the Earth system functions upheld by soil moisture.

Sub-regional to local topographic features shape resources, land use and disturbances determining forest distribution in old-growth grasslands of subtropical South America

What determines the presence (or lack) of trees in grasslands is a long-standing question in ecology. Views of trees in grasslands have shifted from generally considering grasslands as degraded forests that need to be restored, to a more recent perspective on many regions as ancient grassy biomes that have long been neglected and are, according to their climate conditions, maintained as stable biomes by internal feedbacks involving fire and/or herbivory. In addition, there are currently concerns about trends of woody expansion or “encroachment” in grasslands, i.e. potential transitions between grassy and wooded ecosystems driven by local and global changes.In this study, we use high-resolution local databases and generalized additive models (GAMLSS) to analyze the factors that determine forest cover in the Campos grasslands of Uruguay in southeastern South America. We consider climate, local conditions, land use and disturbances to understand what explains the distribution of forests. Forests were associated with areas of steeper slopes, watercourses and higher surface runoff, in deeper soils with higher water availability, along a longitudinal climatic gradient, with less livestock and land-use intensity and higher human presence. We discuss how, in ancient grasslands such as this one, sub-regional geology and local topography can be permanent features that generate spatial heterogeneity in forest cover probability by mediating resource availability and influencing land use and disturbance regimes.

Spatiotemporal cluster of mpox in men who have sex with men: A modeling study in 83 countries.

Mpox outbroke globally during 2022-2023, with more than 90% of cases occurring in men who have sex with men (MSM). However, the spatiotemporal distribution of mpox is not well established yet. This study aimed to explore the spatiotemporal clustering of mpox cases in MSM worldwide. We obtained the numbers of mpox cases from Our World in Data, the number of MSM from the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), UNAIDS DATA 2021 and UNAIDS Global AIDS Update 2022 and literature. We evaluated the spatiotemporal cluster of mpox in MSM using retrospective space-time analyses method. The total number of mpox cases was 85 795 during May 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023. The most likely cluster was Spain (likelihood ratio = 4764.97; p < 0.001), with a cluster period from July 26 to August 14, 2022. There were 11 secondary clusters, which included 46 countries located in western Europe, eastern and northern South America, northern Europe, Canada, Central Africa, southern and central Europe, Latin America, Turkey, Dominican Republic, New Zealand, and Australia. The findings may inform current and future control strategies of mpox and might provide references for the identification of the spatiotemporal distribution of new and emerging infectious diseases in specific populations.

Where do they live? Predictive geographic distribution of Tadarida brasiliensis brasiliensis (Chiroptera, Molossidae) in South America

Tadarida brasiliensis, the Brazilian free-tailed bat, is an insectivorous molossid with a wide distribution in the Americas. It occurs in different ecosystems and uses varied shelters, from caves and crevices to human constructions, such as roofs and ceilings. Despite its wide distribution, there are several sampling gaps that make it difficult to identify the regions where the species occurs. This is a particular problem for the subspecies T. brasiliensis brasiliensis in South America, a region with few studies in comparison to North America. Considering these problems involved with identifying the distribution of T. b. brasiliensis in South America, we inferred its distribution based on 121 confirmed occurrences for the subspecies. We created a species distribution model (SDM) using the ensemble approach from the combination of BIOCLIM, SVM, GLM and MaxEnt algorithms. The resulting model suggested that the subspecies is unlikely to occur in the Amazon region and has a positive affinity with human population density, topography, a lower vegetation index, and the precipitation in the driest month. Our results show there is a large continuous area suitable for T. b. brasiliensis in central and eastern South America, with interruptions and narrow areas toward Central America. The population in this last area is separated from a smaller site in Chile by Andean deserts, snowy peaks, and high-altitude points. Our results demonstrated that along its distribution suitable habitat for T. b. brasiliensis is not continuous. The discontinuities in populations require further investigation to determine if there are phylogeographic consequences for the species.

Melaleuca (Myrtaceae): Biogeography of an important genus of trees and shrubs in a changing world

The number of naturalised and invasive woody plant species has increased rapidly in recent decades. Despite the increasing interest in tree and shrub invasions, little is known about the invasion ecology of most species. This paper explores the global movement of species in the genus Melaleuca (Myrtaceae; here including the genus Callistemon). We assess the global introduction history, distribution and biogeographic status of the genus. Various global species occurrence databases, citizen science (iNaturalist), and the literature were used.Seventy-two species [out of 386 Melaleuca species; 19%] have been introduced to at least 125 regions outside their native range. The main regions of global Melaleuca introductions are Southeast Asia, the southern parts of North America, south-eastern South America, southern Africa and Europe. The earliest record of a Melaleuca species outside of the native range of the genus is 1789. First records of Melaleuca species outside their native range were most commonly recorded in the 1960s, with records from all over the world. The main reasons for Melaleuca introductions were for use in the tea tree (pharmaceutical value) and ornamental horticulture industries. Melaleuca introductions, naturalizations and invasions are recent compared to many other woody plant taxa. Experiences in Florida and South Africa highlight the potential of Melaleuca species to spread rapidly and have significant ecological impacts. It is likely that the accumulating invasion debt will result in further naturalization and invasion of Melaleuca species in the future.

Climate change over South America simulated by the Brazilian Earth system model under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios

Climate projections simulated by the Brazilian Earth System Model (BESM2.5) under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios are analyzed based on future changes of surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation with respect to the historical reference period 1971–2000. Since BESM2.5 is the only climate model developed in a South American country, this study gives a particular emphasis to South American future climate projections. Regarding the surface air temperature, BESM2.5 projects a steady warming throughout the 21st century, with the highest warming over eastern Amazonia, northern Chile and central South America for both scenarios. The SAT changes range between 2 °C and 3–4 °C for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. On the other hand, projected precipitation varies over different regions of South America, with decreasing and increasing trends over the Amazon and southern South America, respectively. Interestingly, this study shows contrasting results with respect to extreme precipitation indicators, projecting enhanced extreme events with higher numbers of both consecutive dry days and days in which the precipitation exceeds 20 mm over the southeastern region. The model projects a meridional dipole pattern in the precipitation, with decreasing precipitation and longer dry spells over Northeast Brazil and the East Amazon region and increasing precipitation and shorter dry spells over Northwest South America and West Amazon, that is driven by future changes in the SLP that imposes a meridional gradient over these regions, causing the increase of westerlies that are likely to increase the moisture transport from the Pacific Ocean into western South America and the weakening of the easterlies that transport moisture over eastern South America and East Amazon.

Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observations Impact (EFSOI) applied to a regional data assimilation system over south-eastern South America

Observations that are assimilated into numerical weather prediction systems are conformed by numerous data sets and their impact should be objectively evaluated. This can be efficiently achieved by the Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Impact (FSOI) methodology. In this study we explore the application of the ensemble formulation of FSOI (EFSOI) in a regional data assimilation system over south-eastern South America and evaluate the observations that result beneficial or detrimental to the forecast. In this paper we focus on the impact of two types of surface weather stations: human-operated conventional surface weather station networks from the National Meteorological Service and non-conventional automatic surface weather stations from different public and private networks (CSWS and NSWS respectively). To achieve this, the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter is used with 20 members. The experiment was carried out during 30 days of the intensive observing period of the RELAMPAGO-CACTI (Remote sensing of Electrification, Lightning, And Mesoscale/microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations-Clouds, Aerosols, and Complex Terrain Interaction) field campaign that was conducted during the 2018–2019 austral warm season in the center of Argentina. 20 km resolution analyses were obtained every 6-h, assimilating data from soundings, aircrafts, GOES derived motion winds, AIRS retrievals, CSWS and NSWS. It is shown that, considering the entire period, all the observation sources had a positive impact on the 6-h forecasts. However, when each variable is analyzed individually, surface pressure observations from both CSWS and NSWS show on average a negative impact. Two data denial experiments were carried out in order to support EFSOI results. This paper is the first approximation to quantify the impact of different observation sources and observed variables at a regional scale over south-eastern South America, a data sparse region where unconventional networks can help close large geographical data gaps. The results of this work help identify observation data sources detrimental for the data assimilation system, suggesting data selection criteria to improve the regional forecast accuracy.

Lithosphere density structure of southeastern South America sedimentary basins from the analysis of residual gravity anomalies

We conduct a gravity study of the lithosphere beneath three large sedimentary basins in southeastern South America: Paraná, Chaco-Paraná, and Pantanal. We compile a massive gravity database and estimate the free-air and Bouguer gravity anomalies, resulting in a novel complete Bouguer anomaly map for the study area. To discern the influence of crustal loads with known lithologies, including sediments, basalts, and topography variations of the Moho discontinuity, we calculate their gravity effects and subsequently remove them from the complete Bouguer anomaly, leading to the development of our residual Bouguer anomaly map. This map highlights unknown anomalous masses within the lithosphere. To aid in the interpretation of these residual anomalies, we perform a 2D forward modeling. Based on our results, we propose new boundaries for the Paranapanema block and the Luiz Alves craton. Additionally, we propose that the Ponta Grossa swarm dike has a more substantial impact on the crust and lithosphere than previously considered, and delimit the region of influence of this magmatism in the lithosphere. Moreover, tectonic features such as the São Francisco paleocontinent and the Rio de La Plata craton appear to be associated with negative residual Bouguer anomaly regions. Furthermore, we identify and emphasize the significance of the Western Paraná Suture, which acts as a demarcation between the Paraná Basin region and the Pantanal and Chaco-Paraná basins. Remarkably, this suture appears to play a more important role in shaping the density structure of the southwest of South America than the age and tectonic history of the sedimentary basins.

Genomic signatures of ecological divergence between savanna and forest populations of a Neotropical tree.

In eastern Neotropical South America, the Cerrado, a large savanna vegetation, and the Atlantic Forest harbour high biodiversity levels, and their habitats are rather different from each other. The biomes have intrinsic evolutionary relationships, with high lineage exchange that can be attributed, in part, to a large contact zone between them. The genomic study of ecotypes, i.e. populations adapted to divergent habitats, can be a model to study the genomic signatures of ecological divergence. Here, we investigated two ecotypes of the tree Plathymenia reticulata, one from the Cerrado and the other from the Atlantic Forest, which have a hybrid zone in the ecotonal zone of Atlantic Forest-Cerrado. The ecotypes were sampled in the two biomes and their ecotone. The evolutionary history of the divergence of the species was analysed with double-digest restriction site-associated DNA sequencing. The genetic structure and the genotypic composition of the hybrid zone were determined. Genotype-association analyses were performed, and the loci under putative selection and their functions were investigated. High divergence between the two ecotypes was found, and only early-generation hybrids were found in the hybrid zone, suggesting a partial reproductive barrier. Ancient introgression between the Cerrado and Atlantic Forest was not detected. The soil and climate were associated with genetic divergence in Plathymenia ecotypes and outlier loci were found to be associated with the stress response, with stomatal and root development and with reproduction. The high genomic, ecological and morphophysiological divergence between ecotypes, coupled with partial reproductive isolation, indicate that the ecotypes represent two species and should be managed as different evolutionary lineages. We advise that the forest species should be re-evaluated and restated as vulnerable. Our results provide insights into the genomic mechanisms underlying the diversification of species across savanna and forest habitats and the evolutionary forces acting in the species diversification in the Neotropics.

Monnina (Polygalaceae), a New World monophyletic genus full of contrasts

Abstract Endemic to the Neotropics, Monnina is the second largest genus of Polygalaceae, yet little is known about its phylogenetic history, biogeography, and morphological character evolution. To address these knowledge gaps, we conducted Bayesian and maximum likelihood (ML) analyses of nuclear ITS and plastid trnL–F regions to test the monophyly of Monnina s.l. We used this phylogenetic framework to (i) infer divergence time estimates of lineages within the genus and reconstruct their historical biogeography; (ii) reconstruct the evolution of morphological characters of putative ecological and evolutionary importance in Monnina; and (iii) test for correlations between our phylogenetic hypothesis and environmental data. Our results reveal that Monnina is monophyletic with an indehiscent, 1–2-seeded fruit as a synapomorphy for the genus. We identify six clades within Monnina based on our combined phylogenetic results: Clades A, B, and D are primarily distributed in southern and eastern South America, Clades C and E are primarily Central Andean, and Clade F is chiefly distributed in the Northern Andes and Central America. The ancestor of the Monnina stem lineage dispersed from Australia/Africa to South America during the late Eocene to early Oligocene. The divergences of major lineages within the genus began in the early Miocene. We inferred the most recent common ancestor of Monnina to be an herbaceous plant with one-seeded samaroid fruits. The origins of fleshy fruits and shrubby habits are phylogenetically correlated within Monnina, and their concerted convergent evolution may have promoted increased net diversification rates in the two most species-rich subclades of the genus.

Studying the Day‐To‐Day Effect of F Region Meridional Neutral Wind on the Formation of Post‐Sunset Equatorial Ionospheric Irregularities

AbstractThe unique properties of the equatorial ionosphere continue to be of great concern to users of space‐based technologies that rely on the ionosphere. Due to the lack of observational data, the influence of the F region meridional wind on the formation of the post‐sunset equatorial ionospheric irregularities has not yet been fully investigated. Therefore, in this work, the effect of dusk‐time F region meridional wind on the formation of post‐sunset equatorial ionospheric irregularities is studied. A pair of GNSS receivers from each of the three longitudinal sectors, such as Eastern Africa, Eastern South America, and Eastern Asia is considered to evaluate the rate of change of the TEC index (ROTI) in the years from 2010 to 2013. Observational meridional wind speed from the Gravity Field and Steady‐State Ocean Circulation Explorer satellite and electron density from the Communication/Navigation Outage Forecasting System are also used for the same longitudinal sectors. In the three longitudinal sectors, correlational analysis is carried out between the ROTI and the latitudinal gradient of the meridional wind speed. Based on observational data, we find that ionospheric irregularities are suppressed when the latitudinal gradient of the meridional wind is positive, while irregularities often occur when the latitudinal gradient is negative.

Multi-isotope (δ2H, δ13C, δ15N) feather profiles and morphometrics inform patterns of migratory connectivity in three species of North American swallows

Aerial insectivorous birds have suffered steep population declines in North America over the last 60 years. A lack of information on migratory connectivity between breeding and non-breeding grounds for these species limits our ability to interpret factors affecting their population-specific trends. We determined likely Latin American non-breeding regions of Bank (Riparia riparia), Barn (Hirundo rustica) and Cliff (Petrochelidon pyrrhonota) swallow from populations across their breeding ranges. We used predicted feather hydrogen (δ2Hf) and carbon (δ13Cf) isoscapes for winter-grown feathers to indicate areas of highest probability of moult origin and incorporated these results into a cluster analysis to determine likely broad non-breeding regions. We also assessed variation in wing length among populations to determine the potential for this metric to differentiate population moult origins. We then investigated patterns of multi-isotopic (δ2Hf, δ13Cf, δ15Nf) and wing-length niche occupancy by quantifying niche size and overlap among populations under the assumption that broad niches were consistent with low within-species migratory connectivity and narrow and non-overlapping niches with higher connectivity. Multivariate assignment identified different non-breeding regions and potential clusters of moult origin generally corresponding to Central America and northern South America, eastern and south-central South America, and the western and southern part of that continent, with variation within and among populations and species. Separate niche space indicated different wintering habitat or areas used by species or populations whereas niche overlap indicated only potential spatial similarity. Wing length varied significantly among populations by species, being longer in the west and north for Bank and Cliff Swallow and longer in eastern Canadian Barn Swallow populations. Barn Swallow occupied consistently larger isotopic and wing length niche space than the other species. Comparisons among populations across species showed variable isotopic and wing-length niche overlap generally being greater within breeding regions and lower between western and eastern breeding populations supporting a general North American continental divide for all species with generally low migratory connectivity for all species. We present a novel approach to assessing connectivity using inexpensive and broad isotopic approaches that provides the basis for hypothesis testing using more spatially explicit expensive techniques.

Genomic history of coastal societies from eastern South America.

Sambaqui (shellmound) societies are among the most intriguing archaeological phenomena in pre-colonial South America, extending from approximately 8,000 to 1,000 years before present (yr BP) across 3,000 km on the Atlantic coast. However, little is known about their connection to early Holocene hunter-gatherers, how this may have contributed to different historical pathways and the processes through which late Holocene ceramists came to rule the coast shortly before European contact. To contribute to our understanding of the population history of indigenous societies on the eastern coast of South America, we produced genome-wide data from 34 ancient individuals as early as 10,000 yr BP from four different regions in Brazil. Early Holocene hunter-gatherers were found to lack shared genetic drift among themselves and with later populations from eastern South America, suggesting that they derived from a common radiation and did not contribute substantially to later coastal groups. Our analyses show genetic heterogeneity among contemporaneous Sambaqui groups from the southeastern and southern Brazilian coast, contrary to the similarity expressed in the archaeological record. The complex history of intercultural contact between inland horticulturists and coastal populations becomes genetically evident during the final horizon of Sambaqui societies, from around 2,200 yr BP, corroborating evidence of cultural change.

Born from rock: eight new species of Itauara Müller, 1888 (Trichoptera: Glossosomatidae) from southeastern Brazil, including phylogenetic and distributional comments on the genus

Eight new species of Itauara Müller, 1888 are described based on specimens collected in southeastern Brazil: I. bispinata sp. nov., I. caparao sp. nov., I. cipoensis sp. nov., I. cristata sp. nov., I. holzenthali sp. nov., I. mangaratiba sp. nov., I. robertsonae sp. nov., and I. rupicola sp. nov. In addition, we provided an updated distributional list of species of Itauara, with new records of I. jamesii Robertson &amp; Holzenthal, 2011 and I. lucinda Robertson &amp; Holzenthal, 2011 for Espírito Santo State (Brazil), I. plaumanni (Flint, 1974) for Paraná State (Brazil), and I. tusci Robertson &amp; Holzenthal, 2011 for Minas Gerais State (Brazil). We performed an equal weighted parsimony analysis adding the new species to the dataset provided by Robertson &amp; Holzenthal (2013), with modification of the interpretation of some morphological characters. The genus was recovered as monophyletic, but overall statistic support for clades was weak. Itauara is restricted to South America and has a disjunct distribution, with some species occurring in northern South America and others in southeastern South America. Probably, the diversification of Itauara in South America is related to the connections between the Amazon Forest and the Atlantic Forest through historical events at different times.

Whole genome sequencing of Bacillus anthracis isolated from animal in the 1960s, Brazil, belonging to the South America subclade

Bacillus anthracis causes anthrax disease and can affect humans and other animals. This zoonotic disease has an impact on the economic and health aspects. B. anthracis population is divided into three major clades: A (with worldwide distribution), B, and C (restricted to specific regions). Anthrax is most common in agricultural regions of central and southwestern Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, Southern and Eastern Europe, the Caribbean, and Central and South America. Here, we sequenced by short and long reads technologies to generate a hybrid assembly of a lineage of B. anthracis recovered from animal source in the 1960s in Brazil. Isolate identification was confirmed by phenotypic/biochemical tests and MALDI-TOF MS. Antimicrobial susceptibility was performed by in-house broth microdilution. B. anthracis IAL52 was susceptible to penicillin, amoxicillin, doxycycline, levofloxacin, and tetracycline but non-susceptible to ciprofloxacin. IAL52 was classified as sequence type ST2, clade A.Br.069 (V770 group). Sequencing lineages of B. anthracis, especially from underrepresented regions, can help determine the evolution of this critical zoonotic and virulent pathogen.

Multiyear versus single‐year El Niño events: Contrasting their impacts on South American seasonal precipitation

AbstractDifferences in the seasonal distribution of precipitation over South America (SA) associated with single‐year (SY) and multiyear (MY) El Niño (EN) events were analysed based on reanalysis data for the 1901–2012 period. The results suggest that Pacific Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies associated with MY EN events interact with the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans SST from austral fall to spring, after the event's first year, affecting SA precipitation distribution in subsequent seasons. Compared to SY EN events, which reproduce well the north–south dipolar precipitation anomaly pattern over SA, the MY EN events show differences in the intensity and positioning of precipitation anomalies. Precipitation decreases over northern SA during all seasons are observed for SY and MY EN events except for differences in magnitudes. Variations in the position and longitudinal extension of the downward motions of Walker circulation in response to these events explain these differences. Over southern and southeastern SA, differences in anomaly positioning are more evident. The positive precipitation anomalies over these regions in the austral spring and summer are weakened and southward shifted during the MY EN in relation to those during SY EN events. These variations are associated with the Rossby‐wave train pattern path that depends on the EN and season. Consequently, the associated local atmospheric circulation patterns also depend on the season. The intense (weak) South American low‐level jet (SALLJ) for the first year of MY EN contrasts with the weak or inexistence (intense) SALLJ for the SY EN during summer (springer). Complementary to previous studies, the results indicate that the differences in the intensity and duration of the SY and MY EN events contribute to changes in the EN‐related atmospheric teleconnection pattern that impacts SA precipitation. The results can be useful for climate prediction and monitoring purposes.