Solar Wind Properties Research Articles

A New Method of Frequency Fluctuation Estimation and IPS Processing Results Based on the Downlink Signal of Tianwen-1

The radio-occultation observations taken by Tianwen-1 are aiming to study the properties of solar wind. A new method of frequency fluctuation (FF) estimation is presented for processing the down-link signals of Tianwen-1 during the occultation period to study the properties of the coronal plasma at the heliocentric distances of 4.48–19 R ⊙. Because of low S/N as well as the phase fluctuation phenomena caused by solar activity, a Kalman based on polynomial prediction methods is proposed to avoid the phase locked loop loss lock. A new detrend method based on multi-level iteration correction is proposed to estimate Doppler shift to get more accurate power density spectra of FF in the low frequency region. The data analyze procedure is used to get the properties of the solar corona during the occultation. The method was finally verified at the point when the solar offset is 5.7 R ⊙, frequency tracking was successfully performed on data with a carrier-to-noise ratio of about 28 dBHz. The density spectra obtained by the improved method are basically the same when the frequency is greater than 2 mHz, the uncertainty in the result of the rms of the FF obtained by removing the trend term with different order polynomials is less than 3.3%. The data without eliminating interference show a large error for different detrending orders, which justifies the need for an improved approach. Finally, the frequency fluctuation results combined with the information on intensity fluctuation obtained by the new method are compared with the results of the integrated Space Weather Analysis system and theoretical formula, which verifies that the processing results in this paper have a certain degree of credibility.

What Do Halo CMEs Tell Us about Solar Cycle 25?

It is known that the weak state of the heliosphere due to diminished solar activity in cycle 24 backreacted on coronal mass ejections (CMEs) to make them appear wider for a given speed. One of the consequences of the weak state of the heliosphere is that more CMEs appear as halo CMEs (HCMEs), and halos are formed at shorter heliocentric distances. Current predictions for the strength of solar cycle (SC) 25 range from half to twice the strength of SC 24. We compare the HCME occurrence rate and other properties during the rise phase of cycles 23, 24, and 25 to weigh in on the strength of SC 25. We find that HCME and solar wind properties in SC 25 are intermediate between SCs 23 and 24, but closer to SC 24. The HCME occurrence rate, normalized to the sunspot number, is higher in SCs 24 and 25 than in SC 23. The solar wind total pressure in SC 25 is ∼35% smaller than that in SC 23. Furthermore, the occurrence rates of high-energy solar energetic particle events and intense geomagnetic storms are well below the corresponding values in SC 23, but similar to those in SC 24. We conclude that cycle 25 is likely to be similar to or slightly stronger than cycle 24, in agreement with polar-field precursor methods for cycle 25 prediction.

Wavelet coherence analysis foF2 over Boulder station during different geomagnetic activity


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 A geomagnetic storm is a major disturbance of Earth’s magnetosphere that occurs when there is a very efficient exchange of energy from the solar wind into the space environment surrounding Earth. During solar and geomagnetic activities, critical frequency of F2 layer (foF2) varies in a great extent. The focus of the current study is on variations in foF2, the critical frequency of the F2 layer, during the intense geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 24 and quiet storm of solar cycle 25. The foF2 data of mid latitude station BC840 (Boulder) in the American region have been used to study geomagnetic and solar wind properties linked with foF2. Time series analysis and Wavelet Coherence analysis have been used to establish the relationship between those parameters. We have found considerable effect of solar and geomagnetic storm disturbances on foF2 during the geomagnetic storm time. The foF2 is enhanced prior to the storm and depletes during recovery phase with no significant changes observed during weak storm. The enhancement or depletion in foF2 may be used as precursor of geomagnetic storms. With long trend analysis and larger database we can make a catalog which can be used to predict the geomagnetic storm and deepen our understanding in impacts of storms on communication signals due to energy injected in ionosphere.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Investigating the variations in the composition and heating of interacting ICMEs

Interacting coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been commonly reported during the STEREO era. With the interaction of CMEs in the heliosphere, it is expected that the participating CMEs will either merge to form a single interplanetary CME (ICME) or will arrive as distinct entities or ICMEs at 1 AU. Previous studies have focused on in situ observations of solar wind, i.e., plasma and magnetic field properties to understand the nature of the CME–CME interaction and its impact. In this study, we examine the observations of composition parameters of those ICMEs that resulted due to the interaction of two CMEs during their propagation between the Sun and the Earth. We report two events of the CME–CME interaction observed in 2012, of which one led to a merged structure after the interaction, as observed at 1 AU. The second interaction event was reported to arrive at L1 as two distinct structures. Our analysis reveals distinct composition signatures in the form of ion charge state enhancements. The results improve our understanding of the signatures of ICMEs and different complex structures formed after the interaction. The study reveals that compression can occur due to the passage of the shock associated with the following CME through the preceding CME and not due to the CME–CME interaction. The results also highlight the importance of the comparison of solar wind proton velocity data with the expected temperature data, in particular, to understand the ICME–ICME interaction processes.

PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model

The plasmasphere is a region of cold and dense plasma around the Earth, corotating with the Earth. Its plasma density is very dynamic under the influence of the solar wind and it influences several processes such as the GPS navigation, the surface charging of the satellites and the propagation and growth of plasma waves. In this manuscript, we present a new machine-learning model of the equatorial plasma density depending only on the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at the L1 Lagrange point. We call this model PINE-RT as it has been inspired by the recently-introduced PINE (Plasma density in the Inner magnetosphere Neural network-based Empirical) model and it has been developed to run in real-time (RT) in the context of the PAGER project. This project is an EU Horizon 2020 project aiming at forecasting the threats of satellite charging as a consequence of the solar activity 1–2 days ahead. In PAGER, the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at L1 are the inputs which are made available for the plasmasphere modeling. We report here the detailed derivation of the PINE-RT model and its validation and comparison with two state-of-the-art machine-learning and physics-based models. The model is currently running in real-time and its predictions are publicly available.

Exploring the Predictability of the High‐Energy Tail of MEE Precipitation Based on Solar Wind Properties

AbstractMedium Energy Electron (MEE) precipitation (≳30 keV) ionizes the mesosphere and initiates chemical reactions, which ultimately can reduce mesospheric and stratospheric ozone. Currently, there are considerable differences in how existing parameterizations represent flux response, timing, and duration of MEE precipitation, especially considering its high‐energy tail (≳300 keV). This study compares the nature of ≳300 to ≳30 keV electron fluxes to better understand differences within MEE precipitation. The MEE fluxes are estimated from measurements by the Medium Energy Proton and Electron Detector (MEPED) onboard the Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellite (POES) from 2004 to 2014. The fluxes are explored in the context of solar wind drivers: corotating high‐speed solar wind streams (HSSs) and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) alongside their associated solar wind properties. Three key aspects of ≳300 keV electron fluxes are investigated: maximum response, peak timing, and duration. The results reveal a structure‐dependent correlation (0.89) between the peak fluxes of ≳30 and ≳300 keV electrons. The epsilon coupling function correlates well (0.84) with the ≳300 keV peak flux, independent of solar wind structure. The ≳300 keV flux peaks 0–3 days after the ≳30 keV flux peaks. The highest probability (∼42%) occurs for a 1‐day delay, while predictive capabilities increase when accounting for solar wind speed. The ≳300 keV flux response has the highest probability of lasting 4 days for both CMEs and HSSs. The results form a base for a stochastic MEE parameterization that goes beyond the average picture, enabling realistic flux variability on both daily and decadal scales.

The exoplanetary magnetosphere extension in Sun-like stars based on the solar wind–solar UV relation

ABSTRACT The Earth’s magnetosphere extension is controlled by the solar activity level via solar wind properties. Understanding such a relation in the Solar system is important for predicting the condition of exoplanetary magnetospheres near Sun-like stars. We use measurements of a chromospheric proxy, the Ca ii K index, and solar wind OMNI parameters to connect the solar activity variations, on decennial time-scales, to the solar wind properties. The data span the period 1965–2021, which almost entirely covers the last five solar cycles. Using both cross-correlation and mutual information analysis, we find a 3.2-yr lag of the solar wind speed with respect to the Ca ii K index. Analogously, a 3.6-yr lag is found once we consider the dynamic pressure. A correlation between the solar wind dynamic pressure and the solar ultraviolet emission is found and used to derive the Earth’s magnetopause standoff distance. Moreover, the advantage of using a chromospheric proxy, such as the Ca ii K index, creates the possibility to extend the relation found for the Sun to Sun-like stars, by linking stellar variability to stellar wind properties. The model is applied to a sample of Sun-like stars as a case study, where we assume the presence of an Earth-like exoplanet at 1 au. Finally, we compare our results with previous estimates of the magnetosphere extension for the same set of Sun-like stars.

High-energy particle enhancements in the solar wind upstream Mercury during the first BepiColombo flyby: SERENA/PICAM and MPO-MAG observations

Context. The first BepiColombo Mercury flyby offered the unique opportunity to simultaneously characterize the plasma and the magnetic field properties of the solar wind in the vicinity of the innermost planet of the Solar System (0.4 AU). Aims. In this study, we use plasma observations by SERENA/PICAM and magnetic field measurements by MPO-MAG to characterize the source with intermittent features (with a timescale of a few minutes) at ion energies above 1 keV observed in the solar wind upstream of Mercury. Methods. The solar wind properties have been investigated by means of low-resolution magnetic field (1 s) and plasma (64 s) data. The minimum variance analysis and the Lundquist force-free model have been used. Results. The combined analyses demonstrate that the intermittent ion features observed by PICAM at energies above 1 keV can be associated with the passage of an interplanetary magnetic flux rope. We also validate our findings by means of Solar Orbiter observations at a larger distance (0.6 AU). Conclusions. The core of an interplanetary magnetic flux rope, hitting BepiColombo during its first Mercury flyby, produced high-energy (> -pagination1 keV) intermittent-like particle acceleration clearly distinct from the background solar wind, while at the edges of this interplanetary structure compressional low-energy fluctuations have also been observed.

Upstream Solar Wind Prediction up to Mars by an Operational Solar Wind Prediction System

AbstractCombining the upstream solar wind observations measured by Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN), Advanced Composition Explorer(ACE) and Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) from October 2014 to April 2021, we investigate the statistical properties of the background solar wind at Mars and Earth. By applying an operational solar wind prediction system (Wang et al., 2018, https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2018025) in Space Weather Prediction Center (SEPC), we simulate the solar wind conditions and carry out a comparative analysis with observations to study our model performance. We find that our model is able to simulate the solar wind conditions upstream of Earth and Mars, corresponding to the different heliocentric distances and different levels of solar activity. Furthermore, we apply an event‐based evaluation by analyzing the high speed enhancements (HSEs), and find that the hit rate of HSEs is 70.38% and 66.37% for Earth and Mars, respectively. By predicting the HSEs at Earth (Mars), our model reaches a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 83.93 km/s (65.91 km/s) and 22.98 hr (21.65 hr) for maximum speed and arrival time prediction error, respectively. We also conduct a three‐month case study, from November 2020 to January 2021, analyzing solar wind conditions upstream of Earth, Mars, and measured by Tianwen‐1 (China's first Mars mission), for which our model is capable to predict the upstream solar wind conditions up to Mars.

Observations of Quiescent Solar Wind Regions with Near-f ce Wave Activity

In situ measurements in the near-Sun solar wind from the Parker Solar Probe have revealed the existence of quiescent solar wind regions: extended regions of solar wind with low-amplitude turbulent magnetic field fluctuations compared to adjacent regions. Identified through the study of harmonic waves near the electron cyclotron frequency (f ce), these quiescent regions are shown to host a variety of plasma waves. The near-f ce harmonic waves are observed exclusively in quiescent regions, and as such, they can be used as markers for quiescent regions. A blob-finding algorithm is applied to data from Encounters 1–6 in order to identify near-f ce harmonic wave intervals and thereby locate quiescent regions. We carry out a superposed epoch analysis on the identified quiescent regions, and compare their bulk solar wind properties with adjacent regions of solar wind. Quiescent regions are found to contain relatively weak magnetic field variation and are entirely devoid of magnetic switchbacks. In the quiescent solar wind, the magnetic field closely follows the Parker spiral, while adjacent regions prefer more radial orientations, providing a clear picture of the magnetic geometry of these regions. Quiescent regions show minimal differences in multiple particle plasma parameters relative to the non-quiescent solar wind. The quiescent solar wind regions, studied throughout this work, are thought to represent the underlying solar wind, through which Alfvénic fluctuations propagate. Quantifying the properties of these regions may help to understand the formation/origin of the solar wind, and furthermore, to constrain the role that low-frequency Alfvén waves play in the regulation of solar wind temperature.

Solar Orbiter SWA Observations of Electron Strahl Properties Inside 1 AU

The Solar Wind Analyser (SWA) suite on Solar Orbiter includes an Electron Analyser System (SWA-EAS) which is capable of high temporal and angular resolution measurements of solar wind electrons in the energy range ∼1 eV to ∼5 keV. In this article we report early nominal phase observations of the suprathermal electron population at energies ≥70 eV (representative of the ’strahl’ population), and use a simple fitting routine and classification system to determine the characteristics of the distributions and determine the variations in their properties as a function of heliocentric distance and solar wind properties. We find that under our classification system a significant population of radially outward moving strahl beams is identifiable in the tested samples. These are seen in across solar wind speed regimes, but, consistent with earlier observations, are slightly more prevalent in high speed wind. These beams occur at all distances examined (∼0.43 to ∼1.0 AU), but do not show significant evolution with distance, suggesting a balance between focusing and scattering processes across the distance range covered. However, the data suggests that the beams broaden on average with increasing magnetic field strength and narrow on average with increasing solar wind speed. We also identify a small population, occurring in sporadic clusters, which have deficits in phase space density in the sunward moving part of the electron distribution. These clusters occur across the distance range sampled and show some variations in average properties with radial distance, suggesting they too are influenced by competing scattering and (de-)focusing processes. The implications for the origin and evolution of these electron populations derived from these new observations are explored.

Constraining the charge-, time-, and rigidity-dependence of cosmic-ray solar modulation with AMS-02 observations during Solar Cycle 24

Our basic theoretical understanding of the sources of cosmic rays and their propagation through the interstellar medium is hindered by the Sun, that through the solar wind affects the observed cosmic-ray spectra. This effect is known as solar modulation. Recently released cosmic-ray observations from the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS-02) and publicly available measurements of the solar wind properties from the Advanced Composition Explorer and the Wilcox observatory allow us to test the analytical modeling of the time-, charge- and rigidity-dependence of solar modulation. We rely on associating measurements on the local heliospheric magnetic field and the heliospheric current sheet's tilt angle, to model the time-dependence and amplitude of cosmic-ray solar modulation. We find evidence for the solar modulation's charge- and rigidity-dependence during the era of solar cycle 24. Our analytic prescription to model solar modulation can explain well the large-scale time-evolution of positively charged cosmic-ray fluxes in the range of rigidities from 1 to 10 GV. We also find that cosmic-ray electron fluxes measured during the first years of cycle 24 are less trivial to explain, due to the complex and rapidly evolving structure of the Heliosphere's magnetic field that they experienced as they propagated inwards.

SWASTi-SW: Space Weather Adaptive Simulation Framework for Solar Wind and Its Relevance to the Aditya-L1 Mission

Solar wind streams, acting as a background, govern the propagation of space weather drivers in the heliosphere, which induce geomagnetic storm activities. Therefore, predictions of the solar wind parameters are the core of space weather forecasts. This work presents an indigenous three-dimensional (3D) solar wind model (SWASTi-SW). This numerical framework for forecasting the ambient solar wind is based on a well-established scheme that uses a semiempirical coronal model and a physics-based inner heliospheric model. This study demonstrates a more generalized version of the Wang–Sheeley–Arge relation, which provides a speed profile input to the heliospheric domain. Line-of-sight observations of GONG and Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager magnetograms are used as inputs for the coronal model, which in turn provides the solar wind plasma properties at 0.1 au. These results are then used as an initial boundary condition for the magnetohydrodynamics model of the inner heliosphere to compute the solar wind properties up to 2.1 au. Along with the validation run for multiple Carrington rotations, the effect of variation of specific heat ratio and study of the stream interaction region (SIR) are also presented. This work showcases the multidirectional features of SIRs and provides synthetic measurements for potential observations from the Solar Wind Ion Spectrometer subsystem of the Aditya Solar wind Particle Experiment payload on board ISRO’s upcoming solar mission Aditya-L1.

In Situ Observation of Solar-flare-induced Proton Cyclotron Waves Upstream from Mars

Proton cyclotron waves (PCWs) upstream from Mars are usually interpreted as waves generated by ion/ion instabilities due to the interaction between the solar wind plasma and the pickup protons, originating from the extended hydrogen (H) exosphere of Mars. Their generation mainly depends on the solar wind properties and the relative density of the newborn protons with respect to the background solar wind. Under stable solar wind conditions, a higher solar irradiance leads to both increased exospheric H density and ionization rate of H atoms, and therefore a higher relative density, which tends to increase the linear wave growth rate. Here we show that the solar irradiance is likely to contribute significantly to PCW generation. Specifically, we present observations from the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) spacecraft indicating that, around the peak of the X8.2 flare on 2017 September 10, the increased solar irradiance gave rise to higher pickup H+ fluxes, which in turn excited PCWs. This result has implications for inferring the loss of hydrogen to space in early Martian history with more intense and frequent X-class flares as well as their contributions to the total loss.

Linking Small-scale Solar Wind Properties with Large-scale Coronal Source Regions through Joint Parker Solar Probe–Metis/Solar Orbiter Observations

The solar wind measured in situ by Parker Solar Probe in the very inner heliosphere is studied in combination with the remote-sensing observation of the coronal source region provided by the METIS coronagraph aboard Solar Orbiter. The coronal outflows observed near the ecliptic by Metis on 2021 January 17 at 16:30 UT, between 3.5 and 6.3 R ⊙ above the eastern solar limb, can be associated with the streams sampled by PSP at 0.11 and 0.26 au from the Sun, in two time intervals almost 5 days apart. The two plasma flows come from two distinct source regions, characterized by different magnetic field polarity and intensity at the coronal base. It follows that both the global and local properties of the two streams are different. Specifically, the solar wind emanating from the stronger magnetic field region has a lower bulk flux density, as expected, and is in a state of well-developed Alfvénic turbulence, with low intermittency. This is interpreted in terms of slab turbulence in the context of nearly incompressible magnetohydrodynamics. Conversely, the highly intermittent and poorly developed turbulent behavior of the solar wind from the weaker magnetic field region is presumably due to large magnetic deflections most likely attributed to the presence of switchbacks of interchange reconnection origin.

First High-resolution Observations of Interstellar Pickup Ion Mediated Shocks in the Outer Heliosphere

This study reports the first high-time-resolution observations of interstellar pickup ions (PUIs) in the outer heliosphere, including the first high-resolution observations of PUIs mediating shocks collected anywhere. These new data were enabled by a clever flight software reprogramming of the Solar Wind Around Pluto (SWAP) instrument on New Horizons to provide ∼30 minutes resolution as compared to the previous ∼24 hr time resolution. This time resolution is sufficient to resolve the shock structures and quantify the particle heating across these shocks. In the ∼10 months of initial data, we observed seven relatively small shocks, including one reverse shock. We find that the PUIs are preferentially compressed and heated across the shocks, indicating compression ratios from ∼1.2–1.8, with little heating for values less than ∼1.5 and progressively more PUI heating for larger compression ratios. In contrast, core solar wind properties did not show consistent changes across the shocks, indicating that these particles (1) participate little in the large-scale fluid-like interactions of the outer heliosphere’s combined solar wind and PUI plasma and (2) cannot be used to characterize PUI-mediated shocks as prior studies sought to do. All six forward shock crossings showed gradual increases in PUI pressure over shock widths of ∼0.05–0.13 au, which is roughly three decades larger than characteristic particle scales such as the PUI gyroradii. The new high-resolution observations and results described here are important for understanding shocks in the outer heliosphere, the termination shock, and more broadly for PUI-mediated shocks across many astrophysical systems.

Statistical Methods Applied to Space Weather Science

Space Weather is receiving more and more attention from the heliophysical scientific community, as it is now well established that an adequate capability of monitoring any Earth-directed heliospheric event and forecasting the most severe perturbations produced by solar activity and their impact on the geo-spatial environment is crucial, given the human increasing reliance on space-related technologies and infrastructures. Predicting how the Sun affects life on Earth and human activities in the short term relies on establishing empirical laws to forecast not only the arrival time on Earth of potentially geo-effective solar drivers, but also, and more importantly, the intensity of induced geomagnetic disturbance (if any). Scientific studies performed on a statistical basis are the key to providing such empirical laws and analytically relating solar-wind properties to geomagnetic indices. This paper summarizes the results achieved by the author in the last few years in the context of Space Weather science, and based on statistical analyses of interplanetary and geomagnetic data.

Discrete Aurora at Mars: Dependence on Upstream Solar Wind Conditions.

Discrete aurora at Mars, characterized by their small spatial scale and tendency to form near strong crustal magnetic fields, are emissions produced by particle precipitation into the Martian upper atmosphere. Since 2014, Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN's (MAVEN's) Imaging Ultraviolet Spectrograph (IUVS) has obtained a large collection of UV discrete aurora observations during its routine periapsis nightside limb scans. Initial analysis of these observations has shown that, near the strongest crustal magnetic fields in the southern hemisphere, the IUVS discrete aurora detection frequency is highly sensitive to the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) clock angle. However, the role of other solar wind properties in controlling the discrete aurora detection frequency has not yet been determined. In this work, we use the IUVS discrete aurora observations, along with MAVEN observations of the upstream solar wind, to determine how the discrete aurora detection frequency varies with solar wind dynamic pressure, IMF strength, and IMF cone angle. We find that, outside of the strong crustal field region (SCFR) in the southern hemisphere, the aurora detection frequency is relatively insensitive to the IMF orientation, but significantly increases with solar wind dynamic pressure, and moderately increases with IMF strength. Interestingly however, although high solar wind dynamic pressures cause more aurora to form, they have little impact on the brightness of the auroral emissions. Alternatively, inside the SCFR, the detection frequency is only moderately dependent on the solar wind dynamic pressure, and is much more sensitive to the IMF clock and cone angles. In the SCFR, aurora are unlikely to occur when the IMF points near the radial or anti‐radial directions when the cone angle (arccos(B x /|B|)) is less than 30° or between 120° and 150°. Together, these results provide the first comprehensive characterization of how upstream solar wind conditions affect the formation of discrete aurora at Mars.

Electron‐Only Reconnection as a Transition Phase From Quiet Magnetotail Current Sheets to Traditional Magnetotail Reconnection

AbstractIn Earth's magnetotail, we report three types of current sheets: Quiet current sheets supported by antiparallel lobe fields, “electron‐only” reconnecting current sheets, and traditionally reconnecting current sheets. We survey Earth's magnetotail for each current sheet type and perform event studies on one of each. One quiet current sheet, three electron‐only reconnecting current sheets, and one traditionally reconnecting current sheet are placed in order to showcase the possible time‐evolution of reconnection onset. Over time, electron‐only reconnecting current sheets increase in thickness, electron and ion outflow exhaust, perpendicular ion temperature, parallel electron temperature, and Hall electric field. These features support a transition phase from a quiet current sheet to traditional reconnection. Statistics of each current sheet type show that, during electron‐only reconnection, electrons are heated and evacuate the reconnection region while ions retain the properties of a quiet current sheet. In addition, statistics of solar wind properties indicate that electron‐only and traditional reconnection do not have unique solar wind drivers. Guide field statistics of electron‐only reconnection imply that aspects of the driving mechanism of electron‐only reconnection remain unclear.

Investigation of ground magnetic perturbation in the midlatitude during active geomagnetic condition

The present paper aims at ground magnetic perturbation forecast in the midlatitude. Specifically, the assessment of ground magnetic perturbation in the middle east is of particular interest. More than 20 events including geomagnetic activity types of various orders from 2000 to 2018 are employed in the present work. The study evaluated both geomagnetic indices, real-time magnetic field, and solar wind components measured by the satellites. Detailed investigation and comparison of the data are presented. The Bz and By components of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) are investigated. The change of polarity, time duration, maximum amplitude, and characteristics including structures in IMF time series are investigated. The ground magnetic perturbation for several stations in the middle east and their correlation with solar wind properties are discussed. The prediction possibility of magnetic perturbation in the midlatitude is discussed and evaluated. The geomagnetic state variables are taken into account to assess the post-processed indices for analyzing the magnetic anomalies associated with solar winds. A conclusion based on the analyzed data for the prediction of magnetic perturbation in the midlatitude is derived.