Solar Flares Research Articles

Spectral cleaving in solar type II radio bursts: Observations and interpretation

Context. Shock waves in the solar corona are associated with solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Type II solar bursts are radio signatures of shock waves in the solar corona. They are driven by solar flares or CMEs. Despite extensive studies, the intricate spectral patterns observed in type II solar bursts occasionally pose new challenges for the theory of electron acceleration in shocks. Aims. We study a newly identified feature in type II solar bursts called spectral cleaving. This feature is characterized by the actual branching of a type II radio emission lane in radio spectral data. Methods. We analyzed the type II burst exhibiting spectral cleaving in high-fidelity dynamic spectra obtained using the URAN-2 radio telescope (8.25–33 MHz; Poltava region, Ukraine) on 2011 February 14. The high-resolution spectrograms were examined to ascertain its spectral morphology. Results. Our research represents the first recognition of spectral cleaving as a peculiarity of type II bursts that is yet to be classified. This effect occurs due to the shift (or migration) of radio source(s) along a shock front, which in turn is caused by changes in the magnetic field orientation ahead of the propagating shock front. Conclusions. The spectral cleaving observed in solar type II bursts reveals a distinct phenomenon that indicates complex interactions between shock waves and magnetic fields in the solar corona. This discovery enhances our understanding of the mechanisms behind solar radio emissions and emphasizes the need for further observational studies to verify these findings.

An investigation into the influence of solar flares and geomagnetic storms on the F2 layer of the ionosphere in Western Europe during March 2024

On March 23 and 24, 2024, the M-class and X-class solar storms significantly intensified. Subsequently, from March 24 to 26, the monitoring station’s Kp index notably increased, at times exceeding 8, indicating that a severe geomagnetic storm was occurring. During this period, the IGS Global Ionosphere Maps (GIMs) displayed a substantial decrease in Total Electron Content (TEC) in Western Europe due to the impact of the intense geomagnetic storms. To investigate this occurrence, data from the Lowell GIRO Data Center were utilized. The analysis revealed that a concentrated solar flare eruption on March 23, 2024, triggered geomagnetic storm events on Earth, causing significant ionospheric anomalies in Western European countries. Specifically, compared to typical levels, parameters such as foF2, m3000F2, and TEC values experienced significant reductions in Western European countries. Moreover, the hmF2 data exhibited higher values at night and lower values during the day, deviating from the expected diurnal pattern. Analysis of the Rate of TEC Index (ROTI) indicated varying effects of geomagnetic storms across different latitudes in Western Europe. Through detailed graphical analysis, this study elucidates the alterations in the ionosphere under geomagnetic storm conditions in Western Europe, shedding light on the dynamic behavior of the ionosphere during a specific timeframe.

Photospheric Pore Rotation Associated with a C-class Flare from Spectropolarimetric Observations with DKIST

We present high-resolution observations of a C4.1-class solar flare (SOL2023-05-03T20:53) in AR 13293 from the Visible Spectro-Polarimeter (ViSP) and Visible Broadband Imager (VBI) instruments at the DKIST. The fast cadence, good resolution, and high polarimetric sensitivity of ViSP data provide a unique opportunity to explore the photospheric magnetic fields before and during the flare. We infer the magnetic field vector in the photosphere from the Fe i 6302 Å line using Milne–Eddington inversions. Combined analysis of the inverted data and VBI images reveals the presence of two opposite polarity pores exhibiting rotational motion both prior to and throughout the flare event. Data-driven simulations further reveal a complex magnetic field topology above the rotating pores, including a null-point-like configuration. We observed a 30% relative change in the horizontal component (δ F h ) of Lorentz force at the flare peak time and roughly no change in the radial component. We find that the changes in δ F h are the most likely driver of the observed pore rotation. These findings collectively suggest that the back reaction of magnetic field line reconfiguration in the corona may influence the magnetic morphology and rotation of pores in the photosphere on a significantly smaller scale.

Solar Atmospheric Oscillations as Measured by the GOES-R Series EXIS EUVS-C Instrument

This Letter presents first observations of distinct solar atmospheric oscillations from signals collected by the Extreme Ultraviolet and X-ray Irradiance Sensors EUVS-C instrument, which is part of each Geostationary Observational Environmental Satellite R-Series instrument payload. The EUVS-C instrument is a full-disk, normal-incidence spectrograph that covers a narrow band in the mid-ultraviolet between 276 and 284 nm, where it can measure the magnesium ii emission doublet at ∼280 nm and the photospheric continuum. The primary goal of EUVS-C data is to construct the well-known Mg ii index, which is often used as a proxy for chromospheric activity. Because of the high temporal and spectral resolution of EUVS-C measurements, the data provide a unique opportunity to observe discernible solar atmospheric waves that have definite signatures of 3 and 5 minute oscillation periods, where the frequency response of these signals is dependent on what part of the spectrum is analyzed (e.g., Mg emission lines). Furthermore, both photospheric and chromospheric waves can simultaneously be examined. With the recent increase in solar activity for Solar Cycle 25, these waves exhibit enhanced amplitudes and phase shifts during the impulsive shock of strong solar flares. This Letter will discuss the analysis for deriving these waves, and results from both a quiescent Sun and an X-class solar flare event will be presented.

On the Aether Dynamics, Twin Paradox, and Ultimate Relativity of Solar Flares

In our previous work, Theory of Everything, we addressed the longstanding twin paradox of special relativity by introducing the concept of Aether force dynamics, F(v). This was achieved through the recognition that Aether force is cumulative, encompassing the sum of all force increments required to accelerate a massive body to velocity v. Similarly, the time dilation experienced by twin 2, the moving twin, is a cumulative effect, involving all time dilation increments accrued during their journey. This contrasts with the Lorentz contraction and mass dependence, which are instantaneous effects. Our approach successfully unified special and general relativity, extending the latter's focus on gravitational accelerations to incorporate any form of acceleration, thus leading to what we term the Ultimate Theory of Relativity. We have also applied this framework to describe dynamic processes in solar flares, drawing an analogy to the cinema problem, which involves maximizing the angle subtended by an observer to a screen. As in the twin paradox, the analysis necessitates the consideration of potential infinities, achieved by dividing finite quantities by zero or zero by zero. Remarkably, this led to a simultaneous application of Ultimate Relativity to both the cinema problem and solar flare dynamics, revealing that acceleration approaching infinity, a=1, is central to understanding these phenomena.

Properties of flare events based on light curves from the TESS survey

Aims. Stellar flares are sudden bursts of energy and are the result of magnetic activity. We used light curves from the TESS 20-second cadence survey from 2020 to 2023 to detect flare events and determine their properties. Methods. By means of repeated fitting to distinguish stellar background light curves and flare events, we detected 32 978 flare events associated with 5463 flaring stars. Furthermore, we cross-matched our samples with the Gaia and SDSS surveys, obtaining additional stellar parameters that we used to determine the relationships between stellar and flare properties. Results. We find that the durations of 55% of the studied flares were less than 8 minutes. The flare energies of the TESS 20-second cadence data are typically lower than those obtained from TESS 2-minute cadence data. We identify 28 425 flare events associated with 4784 flaring stars. The relationships between the flare energy and duration for both giant and main sequence stars display a consistent V-shaped distribution, with 1034 erg the midway point. Stars with lower effective temperatures and masses generate more frequent flare events. In summary, it is necessary to detect more flare events with a higher time resolution, and our flare samples with 20-second cadences allowed us to discover additional new properties.

Investigating and comparing the IRIS spectral lines Mg II, Si IV, and C II for flare precursor diagnostics

Context. Reliably predicting solar flares can mitigate the risks of technological damage and enhance scientific output by providing reliable pointings for observational campaigns. Flare precursors in the spectral line Mg II have been identified. Aims. We extend previous studies by examining the presence of flare precursors in additional spectral lines, such as Si IV and C II, over longer time windows, and for more observations. Methods. We trained neural networks and XGBoost decision trees to distinguish spectra observed from active regions that lead to a flare and those that did not. To enhance the information within each observation, we tested different masking methods to preprocess the data. Results. We find average classification true skill statistics (TSS) scores of 0.53 for Mg II, 0.44 for Si IV, and 0.42 for C II. We speculate that Mg II h&k performs best because it samples the highest formation height range, and is sensitive to heating and density changes in the mid- to upper chromosphere. The flaring area relative to the field of view has a large effect on the model classification score and needs to be accounted for. Combining spectral lines has proven difficult, due to the difference in areas of high probability for an imminent flare between different lines. Conclusions. Our models extract information from all three lines, independent of observational bias or GOES X-ray flux precursors, implying that the physics encoded in a combination of high resolution spectral data could be useful for flare forecasting.

Observational Overview of the May 2024 G5-Level Geomagnetic Storm: From Solar Eruptions to Terrestrial Consequences

This study reports comprehensive observations for the G5-level geomagnetic storm that occurred from May 10 to 12, 2024, the most intense event since the 2003 Halloween storm. The storm was triggered by a series of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) originating from the merging of two active regions 13664/13668, which formed a large and complex photospheric magnetic configuration and produced X-class flares in early May 2024. Among the events, the most significant CME, driven by an X2.2 flare on May 9, caught up with and merged with a preceding slower CME associated with an X-class flare on May 8. These combined CMEs reached 1 AU simultaneously, resulting in an extreme geomagnetic storm. Geostationary satellite observations revealed changes in Earth’s magnetosphere due to solar wind impacts, increased fluxes of high-energy particles, and periodic magnetic field fluctuations accompanied by particle injections. Extreme geomagnetic storms resulting from the interaction of the solar wind with the Earth’s magnetosphere caused significant energy influx into Earth’s upper atmosphere over the polar regions, leading to thermospheric heating and changes in the global atmospheric composition and ionosphere. As part of this global disturbance, significant disruptions were also observed in the East Asian sector, including the Korean Peninsula. Ground-based observations show strong negative storm effects in the ionosphere, which are associated with thermospheric heating and resulting in decreases in the oxygen-to-nitrogen ratio (O/N2) in high-latitude regions. Global responses of storm-time prompt penetration electric fields were also observed from magnetometers over the East-Asian longitudinal sector. We also briefly report storm-time responses of aurora and cosmic rays using all-sky cameras and neutron monitors operated by the Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI). The extensive observations of the G5-level storm offer crucial insights into Sun-Earth interactions during extreme space weather events and may help establish better preparation for future space weather challenges.

Analyzing the Sequence of Phases Leading to the Formation of the Active Region 13664, with Potential Carrington-like Characteristics

Abstract Several recurrent X-class flares from Active Region (AR) 13664 triggered a severe G5-class geomagnetic storm between 2024 May 10 and 11. The morphology and compactness of this AR closely resemble the AR responsible for the famous Carrington Event of 1859. Although the induced geomagnetic currents produced a value of the Dst index, probably 1 order of magnitude weaker than that of the Carrington Event, the characteristics of AR 13664 warrant special attention. Understanding the mechanisms of magnetic field emergence and transformation in the solar atmosphere that lead to the formation of such an extensive, compact, and complex AR is crucial. Our analysis of the emerging flux and horizontal motions of the magnetic structures observed in the photosphere reveals the fundamental role of a sequence of emerging bipoles at the same latitude and longitude, followed by converging and shear motions. This temporal order of processes frequently invoked in magnetohydrodynamic models—emergence, converging motions, and shear motions—is critical for the storage of magnetic energy preceding strong solar eruptions that, under the right timing, location, and direction conditions, can trigger severe space weather events on Earth.

MEMPSEP‐I. Forecasting the Probability of Solar Energetic Particle Event Occurrence Using a Multivariate Ensemble of Convolutional Neural Networks

AbstractThe Sun continuously affects the interplanetary environment through a host of interconnected and dynamic physical processes. Solar flares, Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) are among the key drivers of space weather in the near‐Earth environment and beyond. While some CMEs and flares are associated with intense SEPs, some show little to no SEP association. To date, robust long‐term (hours‐days) forecasting of SEP occurrence and associated properties (e.g., onset, peak intensities) does not effectively exist and the search for such development continues. Through an Operations‐2‐Research support, we developed a self‐contained model that utilizes a comprehensive data set and provides a probabilistic forecast for SEP event occurrence and its properties. The model is named Multivariate Ensemble of Models for Probabilistic Forecast of Solar Energetic Particles (MEMPSEP). MEMPSEP workhorse is an ensemble of Convolutional Neural Networks that ingests a comprehensive data set (MEMPSEP‐III by Moreland et al. (2024, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003765)) of full‐disc magnetogram‐sequences and in situ data from different sources to forecast the occurrence (MEMPSEP‐I—this work) and properties (MEMPSEP‐II by Dayeh et al. (2024, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003697)) of a SEP event. This work focuses on estimating true SEP occurrence probabilities achieving a 2.5% improvement in reliability and a Brier score of 0.14. The outcome provides flexibility for the end‐users to determine their own acceptable level of risk, rather than imposing a detection threshold that optimizes an arbitrary binary classification metric. Furthermore, the model‐ensemble, trained to utilize the large class‐imbalance between events and non‐events, provides a clear measure of uncertainty in our forecast.

Unveiling Mass Transfer in Solar Flares: Insights from Elemental Abundance Evolutions Observed by Chang’E-2 Solar X-Ray Monitor

Understanding how elemental abundances evolve during solar flares helps shed light on the mass and energy transfer between different solar atmospheric layers. However, prior studies have mostly concentrated on averaged abundances or specific flare phases, leaving a gap in exploring the comprehensive observations throughout the entire flare process. Consequently, investigations into this area are relatively scarce. Exploiting the Solar X-Ray Monitor data obtained from the Chang’E-2 lunar orbiter, we present two comprehensive soft X-ray spectroscopic observations of flares in active regions, AR 11149 and 11158, demonstrating elemental abundance evolutions under different conditions. Our findings unveil the inverse first ionization potential (IFIP) effect during flares for Fe for the first time, and reaffirm its existence for Si. Additionally, we observed a rare depletion of elemental abundances, marking the second IFIP effect in flare decay phases. Our study offers a CSHKP model-based interpretation to elucidate the formation of both the FIP and IFIP effects in flare dynamics, with the inertia effect being incorporated into the ponderomotive force fractionation model.

Magnetic Eruption from a Three-ribbon Flare

We present observations and analysis of an eruptive M1.5 flare (SOL2014-08-01T18:13) in NOAA active region (AR) 12127, characterized by three flare ribbons, a confined filament between ribbons, and rotating sunspot motions as observed by the Solar Dynamics Observatory. The potential field extrapolation model shows a magnetic topology involving two intersecting quasi-separatrix layers (QSLs) forming a hyperbolic flux tube (HFT), which constitutes the fishbone structure for the three-ribbon flare. Two of the three ribbons show separation from each other, and the third ribbon is rather stationary at the QSL footpoints. The nonlinear force-free field extrapolation model implies the presence of a magnetic flux rope (MFR) structure between the two separating ribbons, which was unclear in the observation. This suggests that the standard reconnection scenario for eruptive flares applies to the two ribbons, and the QSL reconnection for the third ribbon. We find rotational flows around the sunspot, which may have caused the eruption by weakening the downward magnetic tension of the MFR. The confined filament is located in the region of relatively strong strapping field. The HFT topology and the accumulation of reconnected magnetic flux in the HFT may play a role in holding it from eruption. This eruption scenario differs from the one typically known for circular ribbon flares, which is mainly driven by a successful inside-out eruption of filaments. Our results demonstrate the diversity of solar magnetic eruption paths that arises from the complexity of the magnetic configuration.

Exploring the Complex Ionization Environment of the Turbulent DM Tau Disk

Ionization drives important chemical and dynamical processes within protoplanetary disks, including the formation of organics and water in the cold midplane and the transportation of material via accretion and magnetohydrodynamic flows. Understanding these ionization-driven processes is crucial for understanding disk evolution and planet formation. We use new and archival Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array observations of HCO+, H13CO+, and N2H+ to produce the first forward-modeled 2D ionization constraints for the DM Tau protoplanetary disk. We include ionization from multiple sources and explore the disk chemistry under a range of ionizing conditions. Abundances from our 2D chemical models are postprocessed using non-LTE radiative transfer, visibility sampling, and imaging, and are compared directly to the observed radial emission profiles. The observations are best fit by a modestly reduced cosmic-ray ionization rate (ζ CR ∼10−18 s−1) and a hard X-ray spectrum (hardness ratio = 0.3), which we associate with stellar flaring conditions. Our best-fit model underproduces emission in the inner disk, suggesting that there may be an additional mechanism enhancing ionization in DM Tau’s inner disk. Overall, our findings highlight the complexity of ionization in protoplanetary disks and the need for high-resolution multiline studies.

How Rare Are TESS Free-floating Planets?

Recently, Kunimoto et al. claimed that a short-lived signal in the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) Sector 61 database was possibly caused by a microlensing event with a terrestrial-mass free-floating planet (FFP) lens. In this study, we investigate TESS’s ability to detect microlensing FFPs by considering the detailed source information (e.g., distance and radius), the TESS photometric accuracy, and finite-source effects. Using the FFP mass function from microlensing surveys toward the Galactic bulge, we find that only 0.0018 microlensing events are expected to be detected in TESS Sector 61 for the entire planetary mass range. The reported signal is unlikely to be a real microlensing event, which is consistent with the evidence from the long-term Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment data that the signal was likely due to a stellar flare. By extrapolating our result to fainter stars until T = 16 mag and adopting a possible optimized search algorithm, we find that only ∼1 FFP event can be detected in the entire TESS mission within the first 7 yr. Significant improvements in our understanding of FFPs still require future satellite missions, such as Roman and Earth 2.0, which can detect thousands of FFPs.

Analysis of the Stellar Occultations during the Unprecedented Long-duration Flare

In strong stellar and solar flares, flare loops typically appear during the decay phase, providing an additional contribution to the flare emission and, possibly, obscuring the flare emission. Superflares, common in active, cool stars, persist mostly from minutes to several hours and alter the star's luminosity across the electromagnetic spectrum. Recent observations of a young main-sequence star reveal a distinctive cool loop arcade forming above the flaring region during a 27 hr superflare event, obscuring the region multiple times. Analysis of these occultations enables the estimation of the arcade's geometry and physical properties. The arcade’s size expanded from 0.213 to 0.391 R * at a speed of approximately 3.5 km s−1. The covering structure exhibited a thickness below 12,200 km, with electron densities ranging from 1013 to 1014 cm−3 and temperatures below 7600 K, 6400 K, and 5077 K for successive occultations. Additionally, the flare’s maximum emission temperature has to exceed 12,000 K for the occultations to appear. Comparing these parameters with known values from other stars and the Sun suggests the structure’s nature as an arcade of cool flare loops. For the first time, we present the physical parameters and the reconstructed geometry of the cool flare loops that obscure the flaring region during the gradual phase of a long-duration flare on a star other than the Sun.

Unraveling the Origins of an Extreme Solar Eruptive Event with Hard X-Ray Imaging Spectroscopy

Hard X-ray (HXR) observations are crucial for understanding the initiation and evolution of solar eruptive events, as they provide a key signature of flare-accelerated electrons and heated plasma. The potential of high-cadence HXR imaging for deciphering the erupting structure, however, has not received adequate attention in an era of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) imaging abundance. An extreme solar eruptive event on 2022 September 5 observed on the solar far side by both Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter provides the opportunity to showcase the power of HXR imaging in the absence of high-cadence EUV imaging. We investigate the evolution of flare energy release through HXR timing, imaging, and spectral analyses using data from the Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) on board Solar Orbiter. STIX provides the highest cadence imaging of the energy release sites for this far-side event and offers crucial insight into the nature of energy release, timing of flare particle acceleration, and evolution of the acceleration efficiency. We find that this is a two-phase eruptive event, rather than two distinct eruptions, as has been previously suggested. The eruption begins with an initial peak in flare emission on one side of the active region (AR), marking the rise/destabilization of a loop system followed by notable episodes of energy release across the AR and an eruptive phase associated with a very fast coronal mass ejection, type III radio bursts, and solar energetic particles. We demonstrate that high-cadence HXR imaging spectroscopy is indispensable for understanding the formation of powerful, space-weather relevant eruptions.

A Pilot Search for Gravitational Self-Lensing Binaries with the Zwicky Transient Facility

Binary systems containing a compact object may exhibit periodic brightening episodes due to gravitational lensing as the compact object transits the companion star. Such “self-lensing” signatures have been detected before for white dwarf binaries. We attempt to use these signatures to identify detached stellar-mass neutron star and black hole binaries using data from the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF). We present a systematic search for self-lensing signals in Galactic binaries from a subset of high-cadence ZTF data taken in 2018. We identify 12 plausible candidates from the search, although because each candidate is observed to only brighten once, other origins such as stellar flares are more likely. We discuss prospects for more comprehensive future searches of the ZTF data.

Solar flare observations with the Radio Neutrino Observatory Greenland (RNO-G)

The Radio Neutrino Observatory – Greenland (RNO-G) seeks discovery of ultra-high energy neutrinos from the cosmos through their interactions in ice. The science program extends beyond particle astrophysics to include radioglaciology and, as we show herein, solar observations, as well. Currently seven of 35 planned radio-receiver stations (24 antennas/station) are operational. These stations are sensitive to impulsive radio signals with frequencies between 80 and 700 MHz and feature a neutrino trigger threshold for recording data close to the thermal floor. RNO-G can also trigger on elevated signals from the Sun, resulting in nanosecond resolution time-domain flare data; such temporal resolution is significantly shorter than from most dedicated solar observatories. In addition to possible RNO-G solar flare polarization measurements, the Sun also represents an extremely useful above-surface calibration source.Using RNO-G data recorded during the summers of 2022 and 2023, we find signal excesses during solar flares reported by the solar-observing Callisto network and also in coincidence with ∼2/3 of the brightest excesses recorded by the SWAVES satellite. These observed flares are characterized by significant time-domain impulsivity. Using the known position of the Sun, the flare sample is used to calibrate the RNO-G absolute pointing on the radio signal arrival direction to sub-degree resolution. We thus establish the Sun as a regularly observed astronomical calibration source to provide the accurate absolute pointing required for neutrino astronomy.

The Large Imaging Spectrometer for Solar Accelerated Nuclei (LISSAN): A next-generation solar gamma-ray spectroscopic imaging instrument concept

We present the Large Imaging Spectrometer for Solar Accelerated Nuclei (LISSAN), a new solar dedicated satellite instrument concept. LISSAN relies on an indirect Fourier imaging technique valid over an energy range from 40 keV up to 100 MeV. Spatial information is encoded into 15 moiré patterns by 15 pairs of slightly offset grids (bigrids) separated by a fixed distance enabling a predicted spatial resolution of 10”. The time, location, and energy of each incoming photon is recorded via a pixelated gadolinium aluminium gallium garnet (GAGG) crystal scintillator detector placed in alignment with each bigrid, therefore providing simultaneous imaging and spectroscopy from the same imaging system. X-ray and gamma-ray emission are key diagnostics of electron and ion acceleration, respectively. However, despite being a fundamental process that occurs throughout the Universe, particularly in the solar atmosphere, only one resolved gamma-ray image of ion acceleration in a solar flare has ever been achieved. LISSAN will shed new light on this process by providing spectral resolution better than 1.5% FWHM at 6.1 MeV, an imaging effective area at 2.2 MeV of 100 cm2 (more than 25 times greater than past missions such as RHESSI) and a 10 s cadence. Thanks to these significant advances over the previous satellite-based solar detectors, LISSAN will provide reliable imaging and the spectral characterization of both electron and ion acceleration in solar eruptive events simultaneously for the first time, enabling to it to answer several important open questions regarding solar particle acceleration and the initiation of space weather events.

Searching for Rapid Pulsations in Solar Flare X-Ray Data

Most studies of quasiperiodic pulsations (QPPs) in solar flares have identified characteristic periods in the 5–300 s range. Due to observational limitations, there have been few attempts to probe the <5 s period regime and understand the prevalence of such short-period QPPs. However, the Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (GBM) has observed approximately 1500 solar flares to date in high-cadence 16 Hz burst mode, providing us with an opportunity to study short-period QPPs at X-ray energies. We systematically analyze every solar flare observed by Fermi/GBM in burst mode, estimating the prevalence of QPPs in multiple X-ray energy bands. To better understand these results, we complement this with an analysis of synthetic solar flare lightcurves, both with and without oscillatory signals present. Using these synthetic lightcurves, we can understand the likely false-alarm and true-positive rates in the real solar GBM data. We do not find strong evidence for widespread short-period QPPs, indicating either a low base occurrence rate of such signatures or that their typical signal-to-noise ratios must be low—less than 1—in Fermi/GBM data. Finally, we present a selection of the most interesting potential QPP events that were identified in the GBM solar X-ray data.