Soil Moisture Model Research Articles

Combinando modelos hidrológicos tradicionais e aprendizado de máquina para previsão de vazão

ABSTRACT Traditional hydrological models have been widely used in hydrologic studies, providing credible representations of reality. This paper introduces a hybrid model that combines the traditional hydrological model Soil Moisture Accounting Procedure (SMAP) with the machine learning algorithm XGBoost. Applied to the Sobradinho watershed in Brazil, the hybrid model aims to produce more precise streamflow forecasts within a three-month horizon. This study employs rainfall forecasts from the North America Multi Model Ensemble (NMME) as inputs of the SMAP to produce streamflow forecasts. The study evaluates NMME forecasts, corrects bias using quantile mapping, and calibrates the SMAP model for the study region from 1984 to 2010 using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). Model evaluation covers the period from 2011 to 2022. An XGBoost model predicts SMAP residuals based on the past 12 months, and the hybrid model combines SMAP's streamflow forecast with XGBoost residuals. Notably, the hybrid model outperforms SMAP alone, showing improved correlation and Nash-Sutcliffe index values, especially during periods of lower streamflow. This research highlights the potential of integrating traditional hydrological models with machine learning for more accurate streamflow predictions.

Modeling the weight moisture content of soils in Anabar tundra using ground-based research and remote sensing data of the earth

Presently, the climate is warming, with average annual temperatures rising every year, and the Arctic remaining one of the most vulnerable regions. This has a noticeable effect on the northern forests, which leads to the displacement of the tundra zone. Assessing the consequences of a projected increase in air temperature under climate change conditions requires spatial and instant monitoring of hard-to-reach areas. In the last few years, the use of remote sensing techniques and combinations of satellite imagery to calculate vegetation indices has generated great interest in obtaining high-definition ground data. The article presents the results of modeling soil moisture in Anabar tundra, which is located in the north-west of Yakutia. The study was conducted on the border of tundra and forest tundra in three reference areas (tundra, tundra young forest, tundra indigenous forest). The simulation is presented by comparing the field data and the normalized difference index of humidity NDMI. The NDMI index uses the NIR and SWIR channels, calculates a multi-channel raster object and creates a raster image with index values from -1 to 1, which show the humidity level with a spatial resolution of 10 meters. The data showed that the value of humidity pixels according to NDMI in the tundra zone is 0.04, in the tundra young forest is 0.09 and, in the tundra, native forest is 0.15. It was found that the index data correlated with field humidity data obtained from a depth of 0.2 m. A comparison of remote sensing decryption data with field data made it possible to simulate the spatial distribution of soil moisture over the vast study area by extrapolation.

Multivariate regression trees as an “explainable machine learning” approach to explore relationships between hydroclimatic characteristics and agricultural and hydrological drought severity: case of study Cesar River basin

Abstract. The typical drivers of drought events are lower than normal precipitation and/or higher than normal evaporation. The region's characteristics may enhance or alleviate the severity of these events. Evaluating the combined effect of the multiple factors influencing droughts requires innovative approaches. This study applies hydrological modelling and a machine learning tool to assess the relationship between hydroclimatic characteristics and the severity of agricultural and hydrological droughts. The Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is used for hydrological modelling. Model outputs, soil moisture and streamflow, are used to calculate two drought indices, namely the Soil Moisture Deficit Index and the Standardized Streamflow Index. Then, drought indices are utilised to identify the agricultural and hydrological drought events during the analysis period, and the index categories are employed to describe their severity. Finally, the multivariate regression tree technique is applied to assess the relationship between hydroclimatic characteristics and the severity of agricultural and hydrological droughts. Our research indicates that multiple parameters influence the severity of agricultural and hydrological droughts in the Cesar River basin. The upper part of the river valley is very susceptible to agricultural and hydrological drought. Precipitation shortfalls and high potential evapotranspiration drive severe agricultural drought, whereas limited precipitation influences severe hydrological drought. In the middle part of the river, inadequate rainfall partitioning and an unbalanced water cycle that favours water loss through evapotranspiration and limits percolation cause severe agricultural and hydrological drought conditions. Finally, droughts are moderate in the basin's southern part (Zapatosa marsh and the Serranía del Perijá foothills). Moderate sensitivity to agricultural and hydrological droughts is related to the capacity of the subbasins to retain water, which lowers evapotranspiration losses and promotes percolation. Results show that the presented methodology, combining hydrological modelling and a machine learning tool, provides valuable information about the interplay between the hydroclimatic factors that influence drought severity in the Cesar River basin.

An innovative method for measuring the hysteresis effects of soil moisture on meteorological variables at various time scales and climate conditions

ABSTRACTUnderstanding the feedback and reactions of soil moisture to meteorological factors in meteorological-hydrological processes is essential due to the growing importance of soil moisture in energy and water cycles in critical zones. Using soil moisture and meteorological data from 1984 to 2018, based on Mann-Kendall and Sen slope trend, two possible patterns of land–atmosphere interaction were discovered in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), low soil moisture model with less precipitation and higher evapotranspiration, and high-temperature mode with less soil moisture and less evapotranspiration. To measure the hysteresis between soil moisture and precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration, a novel method named Three-Step Method was put out. The lag times were measured at ground stations spread across various climatic zones and timescales. The findings demonstrated that the lag times are generally controlled by the regional climate, with shorter lag times in drier regions. Both long-term and short-term responses were seen in soil moisture to meteorological variables. On a monthly scale, soil moisture correlated positively with precipitation but negatively with temperature and evapotranspiration. On an annual scale, precipitation (temperature, evapotranspiration) lagged by roughly 0 to 2 months in the upper and middle regions and by －2 to －6 months in the lower region of the YRB. The contribution rates of meteorological elements on soil moisture were enhanced by taking lag time into account. This study provides a unique perspective for better understanding climate process forecasts and related drought management by considering the hysteresis of soil moisture on the feedback and responses of climate variables.

Automated remote sensing system for crops monitoring and irrigation management, based on leaf color change and piecewise linear regression models for soil moisture content predicting

Plants can serve as biological sensors if their “readings” and the feedback they provide us through changes in the colour of their leaves can be correctly interpreted. The study aims to predict soil moisture and, as such, the need for irrigation, using nonlinear mathematical models, describing the relationship between RGB and HSL colour model components and soil moisture and temperature. Nonlinear mathematical models used in the study are based on piecewise linear regression with breakpoint and soil moisture prediction using colour components and soil temperature with a deviation of +-6%. A system for automated irrigation was created and its control program was made, the basic control law of which is based on non-linear piecewise linear models. The automated irrigation management system includes a remote crop monitoring subsystem and an irrigation management subsystem. The program processes the photo received from the camera and activates the actuators when watering is needed. Compared to manual data collection in the first part of the study, the program calculates the average RGB model values from images in the studied row of tomato plantations with an accuracy of over 99% for the R and G components and over 92% for the B component. The program also predicts soil moisture with 98% accuracy. The practical significance of the water-saving efforts of this study lies in the development of a program-controlled automated irrigation system that utilizes plants as biological sensors, employing nonlinear mathematical models based on leaf colour changes to accurately predict soil moisture

Higher soil moisture increases microclimate temperature buffering in temperate broadleaf forests

Forest canopies can buffer the understory against temperature extremes, often creating cooler microclimates during warm summer days compared to temperatures outside the forest. The buffering of maximum temperatures in the understory results from a combination of canopy shading and air cooling through soil water evaporation and plant transpiration. Therefore, buffering capacity of forests depends on canopy cover and soil moisture content, which are increasingly affected by more frequent and severe canopy disturbances and soil droughts. The extent to which this buffering will be maintained in future conditions is unclear due to the lack of understanding about the relationship between soil moisture and air temperature buffering in interaction with canopy cover and topographic settings. We explored how soil moisture variability affects temperature offsets between outside and inside the forest on a daily basis, using temperature and soil moisture data from 54 sites in temperate broadleaf forests in Central Europe over four climatically different summer seasons. Daily maximum temperatures in forest understories were on average 2 °C cooler than outside temperatures. The buffering of understory temperatures was more effective when soil moisture was higher, and the offsets were more sensitive to soil moisture on sites with drier soils and on sun-exposed slopes with high topographic heat load. Based on these results, the soil–water limitation to forest temperature buffering will become more prevalent under future warmer conditions and will likely lead to changes in understory communities. Thus, our results highlight the urgent need to include soil moisture in models and predictions of forest microclimate, understory biodiversity and tree regeneration, to provide a more precise estimate of the effects of climate change.

Multiproduct Characterization of Surface Soil Moisture Drydowns in the United Kingdom

Abstract The persistence or memory of soil moisture (θ) after rainfall has substantial environmental implications. Much work has been done to study soil moisture drydown for in situ and satellite data separately. In this work, we present a comparison of drydown characteristics across multiple U.K. soil moisture products, including satellite-merged (i.e., TCM), in situ (i.e., COSMOS-UK), hydrological model [i.e., Grid-to-Grid (G2G)], statistical model [i.e., Soil Moisture U.K. (SMUK)], and land surface model (LSM) [i.e., Climate Hydrology and Ecology research Support System (CHESS)] data. The drydown decay time scale (τ) for all gridded products is computed at an unprecedented resolution of 1–2 km, a scale relevant to weather and climate models. While their range of τ differs (except SMUK and CHESS are similar) due to differences such as sensing depths, their spatial patterns are correlated to land cover and soil types. We further analyze the occurrence of drydown events at COSMOS-UK sites. We show that soil moisture drydown regimes exhibit strong seasonal dependencies, whereby the soil dries out quicker in summer than winter. These seasonal dependencies are important to consider during model benchmarking and evaluation. We show that fitted τ based on COSMOS and LSM are well correlated, with a bias of lower τ for COSMOS. Our findings contribute to a growing body of literature to characterize τ, with the aim of developing a method to systematically validate model soil moisture products at a range of scales. Significance Statement While important for many aspects of the environment, the evaluation of modeled soil moisture has remained incredibly challenging. Sensors work at different space and time scales to the models, the definitions of soil moisture vary between applications, and the soil moisture itself is subject to the soil properties while the impact of the soil moisture on evaporation or river flow is more dependent on its variation in time and space than its absolute value. What we need is a method that allows us to compare the important features of soil moisture rather than its value. In this study, we choose to study drydown as a way to capture and compare the behavior of different soil moisture data products.

Interannual land cover and vegetation variability based on remote sensing data in the HTESSEL land surface model: implementation and effects on simulated water dynamics

Abstract. Vegetation largely controls land surface–atmosphere interactions. Although vegetation is highly dynamic across spatial and temporal scales, most land surface models currently used for reanalyses and near-term climate predictions do not adequately represent these dynamics. This causes deficiencies in the variability of modeled water and energy states and fluxes from the land surface. In this study we evaluated the effects of integrating spatially and temporally varying land cover and vegetation characteristics derived from satellite observations on modeled evaporation and soil moisture in the Hydrology Tiled ECMWF Scheme for Surface Exchanges over Land (HTESSEL) land surface model. Specifically, we integrated interannually varying land cover from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative and interannually varying leaf area index (LAI) from the Copernicus Global Land Services (CGLS). Additionally, satellite data on the fraction of green vegetation cover (FCover) from CGLS were used to formulate and integrate a spatially and temporally varying effective vegetation cover parameterization. The effects of these three implementations on model evaporation fluxes and soil moisture were analyzed using historical offline (land-only) model experiments at the global scale, and model performances were quantified with global observational products of evaporation (E) and near-surface soil moisture (SMs). The interannually varying land cover consistently altered the evaporation and soil moisture in regions with major land cover changes. The interannually varying LAI considerably improved the correlation of SMs and E with respect to the reference data, with the largest improvements in semiarid regions with predominantly low vegetation during the dry season. These improvements are related to the activation of soil moisture–evaporation feedbacks during vegetation-water-stressed periods with interannually varying LAI in combination with interannually varying effective vegetation cover, defined as an exponential function of LAI. The further improved effective vegetation cover parameterization consistently reduced the errors of model effective vegetation cover, and it regionally improved SMs and E. Overall, our study demonstrated that the enhanced vegetation variability consistently improved the near-surface soil moisture and evaporation variability, but the availability of reliable global observational data remains a limitation for complete understanding of the model response. To further explain the improvements found, we developed an interpretation framework for how the model development activates feedbacks between soil moisture, vegetation, and evaporation during vegetation water stress periods.

Dynamics of soil respiration in Horqin semi-fixed dune and meadow wetland as a function of precipitation, temperature, and drought

Carbon emissions from soil respiration (Rs) in arid and semi-arid regions play a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and are strongly regulated by hydrothermal factors. In this study, we examined the seasonal (May to November) and diurnal dynamics of Rs in two typical ecosystems, Artemisia halodendron communities in semi-fixed dunes (SA) and Phragmites communis communities in meadow wetlands (WP). Additionally, we investigated their responses to natural precipitation, high and low temperatures, and drought in the semi-arid Horqin Sandy Land in northern China. The results showed that the seasonal variation of Rs in SA and WP was unimodal, and peaked in humid August and dry July, respectively. Soil temperature, soil moisture and leaf area index (Ts, Ms&LAI) ternary model and Ts&Ms binary model can well simulate the Rs seasonal changes in SA and WP, respectively. It is more appropriate to use a scheme that distinguishes between pre- and post-rain conditions when simulating Rs during the growing season. Diurnal Rs generally increased with increasing temperature. However, Rs inhibition may occur under high or low temperatures and drought. The different responses of Rs in SA and WP to precipitation depend primarily on soil texture and moisture status. Incorporating several factors into carbon cycle models, including ecosystem type, vegetation growth, and precipitation, can improve the simulation and prediction of carbon emissions in arid and semi-arid regions.

Assessing soil moisture levels using visible UAV imagery and machine learning models

The estimation of soil moisture (SM) as an important variable in the hydrological cycle of nature is necessary for the optimal management of water and soil resources. One of the indirect methods to estimate SM is using visible imagery with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). This study aims to evaluate the potential of visible UAV imagery for estimating SM in a bare soil field in Iran. In this study, M5 tree (M5P), random forest (RF), sequential minimal optimization regression (SMOreg), and multilayer perceptron (MLP) methods have been used for SM modeling from RGB (Red, Green and Blue) bands and brightness and intensity indices of aerial imagery. Three evaluation methods were used to assess the accuracy of the models, including the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). Four different indices, including difference index (DI), ratio index (RI), normalized difference index (NDI), and perpendicular index (PI), were used to estimate SM. The green and red bands pair were found to be the optimal bands for SM estimation. The findings showed that the PI index provided the most accurate SM estimates (R2 = 0.51). The RF model predicted SM most accurately among the machine learning models tested (R2 = 0.67). However, all models underestimated SM content in high-moisture areas and overestimated it in low-moisture areas, with the MLP model showing the most significant overestimation. All the indices were saturated beyond 25% SM. In general, this study highlighted the potential of aerial RGB imagery and associated indices for assessing SM levels within bare soil fields. However, it should be noted that the use of individual bands and indices alone is not sufficient to make an accurate estimate of SM.

Soil Moisture Monitoring and Evaluation in Agricultural Fields Based on NDVI Long Time Series and CEEMDAN

The North China Plain is an important area for agricultural economic development in China. But water shortages, severe groundwater over-exploitation and drought problems make it difficult to exercise the topographic resource advantages of the plain. Therefore, the precise monitoring of soil moisture is of great significance for the rational use of water resources. Soil characteristics vary in natural farmland ecosystems, crops are constrained by multiple compound stresses and the precise extraction of soil moisture stress is a difficult and critical problem. The long time series was decomposed via complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) to obtain different intrinsic mode function (IMF) components, and the statistical descriptors of each component were calculated to realize the precise discrimination of soil moisture stress. A quantitative evaluation model of soil moisture was established, and the different noise addition ratios and modeling types were set respectively to investigate the optimal inversion model. The results showed that: (1) The reconstruction error of the CEEMDAN was small and almost 0; it had a high reconstruction accuracy and was more suitable for the decomposition of the long time series. The first two components, IMF1 and IMF2, were soil moisture stress subsequences, and it could effectively reflect the moisture stress situation. (2) The inversion model performed well when ε was 0.05 and the model type was quadratic, with a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.98, which gave a better fit and less error. (3) The overall soil moisture content in the study area was low, basically in the range of 6.9% to 15.7%, with the central part, especially the south-central part, being the most affected by soil moisture stress, and the overall impact of soil moisture stress showed a decreasing trend from February to May. The utilization of CEEMDAN further enhances the accuracy of soil moisture inversion in agricultural fields, realizing the effective application of remote sensing observation technology and time-frequency analysis technology in the field of soil moisture research.

Studying Brown Ocean Re‐Intensification of Hurricane Florence Using CYGNSS and SMAP Soil Moisture Data and a Numerical Weather Model

AbstractHurricane Florence made landfall over the Carolinas 14 September 2018, bringing over 30 inches of rainfall. What remains understudied is the possible storm re‐intensification by wet and warm antecedent soil moisture (ASM), known as the Brown Ocean Effect (BOE). This study investigates this effect with two approaches: (a) two satellite‐based soil moisture (SM) data and (b) model simulation. The averaged Cyclone Global Navigation System and Soil Moisture Active Passive SM enables examination of land‐atmosphere interaction at a sub‐daily scale. Both observations and simulation results manifest positive feedback between ASM and rainfall intensity, with 3 days prior to landfall being the typical antecedent time scale. Wet (dry) ASM lead to intense (light) and concentrated (widespread) rains. We also found that soil temperature can modulate the BOE. This study aims to advance our understanding of land‐atmosphere feedback and calls to acquire accurate antecedent land states to enhance forecast skills.

A Deep Learning Data Fusion Model Using Sentinel-1/2, SoilGrids, SMAP, and GLDAS for Soil Moisture Retrieval

Abstract We develop a deep learning–based convolutional-regression model that estimates the volumetric soil moisture content in the top ∼5 cm of soil. Input predictors include Sentinel-1 (active radar) and Sentinel-2 (multispectral imagery), as well as geophysical variables from SoilGrids and modeled soil moisture fields from SMAP and GLDAS. The model was trained and evaluated on data from ∼1000 in situ sensors globally over the period 2015–21 and obtained an average per-sensor correlation of 0.707 and ubRMSE of 0.055 m3 m−3, and it can be used to produce a soil moisture map at a nominal 320-m resolution. These results are benchmarked against 14 other soil moisture evaluation research works at different locations, and an ablation study was used to identify important predictors. Significance Statement Soil moisture is a key variable in various agriculture and water management systems. Accurate and high-resolution estimates of soil moisture have multiple downstream benefits such as reduced water wastage by better understanding and managing the consumption of water, utilizing smarter irrigation methods and effective canal water management. We develop a deep learning–based model that estimates the volumetric soil moisture content in the top ∼5 cm of soil at a nominal 320-m resolution. Our results demonstrate that machine learning is a useful tool for fusing different modalities with ease, while producing high-resolution models that are not location specific. Future work could explore the possibility of using temporal input sources to further improve model performance.

Spatial and Temporal Variations in Soil Moisture for a Tamarisk Stand under Groundwater Control in a Hyper-Arid Region

In hyper-arid regions, soil moisture’s role in ecohydrological processes can differ significantly from that in arid or semi-arid ecosystems. We investigated the spatial–temporal dynamics of soil moisture and its relationship with groundwater depths in a 200 m × 300 m phreatophytic tamarisk stand in the lower basin of the Tarim River, a hyper-arid zone in China. Soil moisture profiles, from the surface to the water table, were derived using drilling and oven-drying techniques. Over a three-year period, the soil moisture at multiple depths was continuously monitored in a specific plot using nine frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) sensors. Our results indicate a correlation between horizontal variations in soil moisture and groundwater depths (GWDs). Nevertheless, anomalies in this correlation were observed. Variations in horizontal soil moisture were strongly influenced by the clay content in the soil, with finer soils retaining more moisture. Despite varying GWDs, soil moisture profiles remained consistent, with no distinct correlation between them. Soil moisture exhibited stability across layers, with noticeable changes only adjacent to the water table. These results imply that in hyper-arid environments, soil texture primarily governs soil moisture distribution. However, the limited spatial and temporal scopes in our dataset, constrained by the region’s inhospitable conditions, necessitate further investigation. Future work should prioritize amalgamating diverse data sources to devise a region-specific soil moisture model for in-depth analysis of hyper-arid regions.

Postseismic gravity changes after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake observed by superconducting gravimeters at Mizusawa, Japan

Postseismic gravity changes after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0) were investigated using the data from superconducting gravimeters (SGs) at Mizusawa, Japan. The data in the period from 2014 to 2021 were used in the analysis. The SG data were first corrected for instrumental drift using the results of absolute gravity measurements. Then, correction for the hydrological effect was applied based on physical modeling of soil moisture. Finally, the effect of vertical displacement of the station (free-air effect) was corrected using GNSS data. After these corrections, residual gravity indicated a long-term increase, with its rate gradually decreasing with time. This fact suggests that viscoelastic relaxation after the earthquake played an important role in producing the long-term gravity changes. Fitting a decaying exponential function of time to the residual series yielded 89.4 ± 4.4 µGal (1 µGal = 10–8 ms–2) as the total gravity change and 635 ± 17 days as the characteristic time scale. In addition to the ground-based observations, the data from satellite gravity missions GRACE/GRACE-FO were analyzed to retrieve gravity changes at Mizusawa. Similar analysis of the satellite-based data yielded 15.2 ± 1.6 µGal as the total gravity change and 3444 ± 599 days as the characteristic time scale. The difference in the estimates of the total gravity change, of a factor of about 6, from the ground-based and the satellite-based observations may be attributed to the limited spatial resolution in the latter method. The difference in the estimates of the time scale, of a factor of about 1/5, may originate from the difference in the depth where the two kinds of gravimetry are mainly sensitive. Referring to recent theoretical studies on postseismic deformations after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, our results can be interpreted consistently by assuming the existence of a layer of viscoelastic materials with viscosity 2times {10}^{18} text{Pa s} underneath the Tohoku area of Japan.Graphical

Enhancing Spatial Resolution of GNSS-R Soil Moisture Retrieval through XGBoost Algorithm-Based Downscaling Approach: A Case Study in the Southern United States

The retrieval of soil moisture (SM) using the Global Navigation Satellite System-Reflectometry (GNSS-R) technique has become a prominent topic in recent years. Although prior research has reached a spatial resolution of up to 9 km through the Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS), it is insufficient to meet the requirements of higher spatial resolutions for hydrological or agricultural applications. In this paper, we present an SM downscaling method that fuses CYGNSS and SMAP SM. This method aims to construct a dataset of CYGNSS observables, auxiliary variables, and SMAP SM (36 km) products. It then establishes their nonlinear relationship at the same scale and finally builds a downscale retrieval model of SM using the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. Focusing on the southern United States, the results indicate that the SM downscaling method exhibits robust performance during both the training and testing processes, enabling the generation of a CYGNSS SM product with a 1 day/3 km resolution. Compared to existing methods, the spatial resolution is increased threefold. Furthermore, in situ sites are utilized to validate the downscaled SM, and spatial correlation analysis is conducted using MODIS EVI and MODIS ET products. The CYGNSS SM obtained by the downscaling model exhibits favorable correlations. The high temporal and spatial resolution characteristics of GNSS-R are fully leveraged through the downscaled method proposed. Furthermore, this work provides a new perspective for enhancing the spatial resolution of SM retrieval using the GNSS-R technique.

Soil moisture controls the partitioning of carbon stocks across a managed boreal forest landscape

Boreal forests sequester and store vast carbon (C) pools that may be subject to significant feedback effects induced by climatic warming. The boreal landscape consists of a mosaic of forests and peatlands with wide variation in total C stocks, making it important to understand the factors controlling C pool sizes in different ecosystems. We therefore quantified the total C stocks in the organic layer, mineral soil, and tree biomass in 430 plots across a 68 km2 boreal catchment. The organic layer held the largest C pool, accounting for 39% of the total C storage; tree and mineral C pools accounted for 38% and 23%, respectively. The size of the soil C pool was positively related to modelled soil moisture conditions, especially in the organic soil layer (R2 = 0.50). Conversely, the tree C pool exhibited a unimodal relationship: storage was highest under intermediate wetness conditions. The magnitude and variation in the total soil C stocks observed in this work were comparable to those found at the national level in Sweden, suggesting that C accumulation in boreal landscapes is more sensitive to local variation resulting primarily from differences in soil moisture conditions than to regional differences in climate, nitrogen deposition, and parent material.

Modeling of soil moisture and water fluxes in a maize field for the optimization of irrigation

Precision irrigation is becoming more and more important in agricultural crop production due to the limited water resources resulting from the negative effects of climate change. Modeling of irrigation can support decision makers in the maintenance of the quantitative and qualitative parameters of the cultivated crops, while improving the efficiency of water consumption. In the present paper, a 3D hydrodynamic model was created in the HYDRUS environment to support the modeling of the temporal changes and spatial variations in the water balance (WB) of a maize cultivated Hungarian study site, thereby providing inputs for irrigation scheduling and variable rate irrigation for stakeholders. Beside soil physical parameters, crop evapotranspiration (ETc) values were also considered as model inputs for the phenological crop development stages of the maize from the sowing to the harvesting. This period was between the 3rd of May and the 10th of September in 2020 and the 20th of May and 14th of September for the year 2021. The performance of the model for soil moisture conditions were validated by on-field soil moisture measurements. The overall performance (full vegetation period) of the model was good (r2 = 0.88 for 2020 and r2 = 0.91 for 2021), but slightly varied among different phenological stages. Based on the model, the water balance of the investigated area was determined without any irrigation, alongside the cumulative water fluxes (CWF) through the boundaries including the root water uptake (RWU) of the maize as well. The results revealed that the incoming precipitation was not sufficient to supplement the water content in the soil to the optimal soil moisture range, except when the precipitation level is high enough to balance it. It was concluded that the water balance was negative for the investigated time periods without any irrigation. The specific water deficit (WD) values were calculated considering the area of the study site, which is 1439 m3/ha for 2020 and 2068 m3/ha for 2021. From the obtained results, optimal irrigation schedules were presented to keep the soil moisture content in the optimal range (20.92–14.41 V/V%) in the modeled area for two different vegetation periods. It was found that due to the irrigation the crop water productivity (CWP) increased by 6% and 4% in 2020 and 2021. Overall, the model is able to cope with changing circumstances that could help to mitigate the negative effects of climate change with the reasonable use of limited water resources in the future.

Toward Improved Regional Hydrological Model Performance Using State‐Of‐The‐Science Data‐Informed Soil Parameters

AbstractAccurate soil moisture and streamflow data are an aspirational need of many hydrologically relevant fields. Model simulated soil moisture and streamflow hold promise but models require validation prior to application. Calibration methods are commonly used to improve model fidelity but misrepresentation of the true dynamics remains a challenge. In this study, we leverage soil parameter estimates from the Soil Survey Geographic (SSURGO) database and the probability mapping of SSURGO (POLARIS) to improve the representation of hydrologic processes in the Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological modeling system (WRF‐Hydro) over a central California domain. Our results show WRF‐Hydro soil moisture exhibits increased correlation coefficients (r), reduced biases, and increased Kling‐Gupta Efficiencies (KGEs) across seven in situ soil moisture observing stations after updating the model's soil parameters according to POLARIS. Compared to four well‐established soil moisture data sets including Soil Moisture Active Passive data and three Phase 2 North American Land Data Assimilation System land surface models, our POLARIS‐adjusted WRF‐Hydro simulations produce the highest mean KGE (0.69) across the seven stations. More importantly, WRF‐Hydro streamflow fidelity also increases, especially in the case where the model domain is set up with SSURGO‐informed total soil thickness. The magnitude and timing of peak flow events are better captured, r increases across nine United States Geological Survey stream gages, and the mean KGE across seven of the nine gages increases from 0.12 to 0.66. Our pre‐calibration parameter estimate approach, which is transferable to other spatially distributed hydrological models, can substantially improve a model's performance, helping reduce calibration efforts and computational costs.

Study on spatio-temporal simulation and prediction of regional deep soil moisture using machine learning

Deep soil moisture (SM) plays a crucial role in vegetation restoration, particularly in semi-arid areas. However, current SM products have limited access and do not meet the spatio-temporal scale and soil depth requirements in eco-hydrological research. Thus, this study constructs a random forest prediction model for SM at different depths by identifying driving factors and quantifying the correlation effect of vertical SM based on the international SM network dataset. Subsequently, the SMAP product is integrated into the model to expand SM from point scale to regional scale, yielding an SM data product with a suitable scale and continuous time and space. The results indicate that the correlation between precipitation and SM changes into the interaction between adjacent SM layers as the depth increases. The lag time of SM in the shallow surface layer (0-3 cm) to precipitation was 1 day, and there was no delay on the daily scale in the 3-20 cm layers of the three underlying surface types. The response time of 50 cm SM to 20 cm SM was 1–2 days in cropland and grassland and 2 days in forest. Slope, land use type, clay proportion, leaf area index, potential evapotranspiration, and land surface temperature were the key driving factors of SM in the Shandian River region. The random forest model established in this study demonstrated good prediction performance for SM at both site and regional scales. The obtained daily products had higher spatial fineness than CLDAS products and could describe the SM characteristics of different underlying surfaces. This study offers new ideas and technical support for acquiring deep SM data in arid and semi-arid areas of northern China.