I would like to take this occasion to talk about one of the greatest concerns of this administration-energy. The energy issues are tremendously complex. It seems, I guess, that the more complex a society becomes, the more complex its problems and their solutions become. Llewellyn Thompson, former ambassador to Russia, brought back to us a good proverb to illustrate that theme. It seems a Russian peasant was walking down the road when he saw a canary flying down the same road. The canary wasn't watching where it was flying; it flew smack into a tree and fell to the ground, stunned. The peasant picked up the canary and looked at it, wondering what to do. Then he spied some fresh cow dung nearby and, hoping it was warm and rejuvenative, he placed the canary in the cow dung. It worked. Soon the warmth revived the canary and it sat up and started to chirp-at which point a large tom cat came out of the bushes, knocked that canary out of the cow dung and killed it. Now as in most Russian proverbs, there are three morals; the first: It isn't always your enemies who put you into it; the second: It isn't always your friends who take you out of it; the third: When you're up to your neck in it, don't chirp. The story could well illustrate some of the verities of the energy crises. First, it wasn't our enemies who put us into it. The Arabs may have moved up the time schedule, but the energy crisis was forming long before the embargo. It isn't always our friends in the oil companies who can take us out of this crisis. We need them, of course, but we will need more. We are now up to our necks in it and we must get about solving this crisis. We thus live in the midst of a large intellectual schizophrenia. Many very good and intelligent people look at our current economic problems as temporary hiccups in the system that will soon give way to Daniel Bell's salubrious vision of the Postindustrial state. This vision of America forecasts shorter work weeks, abundance for all, and a constantly rising per capita income. The economic pie will continue to grow, indeterminately, according to this scenario. The other vision of America is we are heading into an age of scarcity. There are limits to economic growth, goes the argument, which require us to make new institutional arrangements. Kenneth Boulding has written a marvelous article saying that the creative management of decline is one of the chief challenges of the future.