Abstract Background: Clinical germline genetic testing of cancer predisposition gene panels is used to identify women at increased risk for breast cancer. The identification of pathogenic mutations in established high and moderate predisposition genes may result in improved risk management of breast cancer for tested patients and their family members through tailored screening, prophylactic surgeries, or chemoprevention. However, the risks of breast cancer associated with mutations in these genes have likely been overestimated for many women in the general population because previous studies have focused on individuals with a family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer, early onset disease, or triple negative breast cancer. The goal of the “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) study is to estimate breast cancer risks associated with mutations in hereditary cancer panel genes in the general population. Methods: Germline DNA samples from blood or saliva were obtained from 39,439 breast cancer patients and matched unaffected controls from six US-based cohorts (BWHS, CPSII, CTS, MEC, NHS1, NHS2, WHI). DNA was subjected to dual bar-coded QIAseq multiplex PCR-based amplification of 1733 target regions covering all coding regions of 37 cancer predisposition genes and sequenced. Mutation calling was conducted with Haplotype Caller and Vardict. Results: High quality sequence data was obtained for 38,990 of 39,439 samples (98.9%) and for 99.3% of target regions. Pathogenic mutations in 12 known breast cancer predisposition genes were identified 4.5% of all breast cancer cases and 2.1% of controls; and in 6.7% of African American breast cancer cases and 1.8% of controls. Differences in mutation frequencies were observed by age with mutations in 7.8% of cases diagnosed £50 years of age and 4.0% of cases diagnosed over age 50. Mutations in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were enriched 2 to 3-fold in cases diagnosed under age 50 relative to older cases. No change in frequency of CHEK2 mutations by age was observed. In case-control analyses mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2 and PALB2 were significantly associated with a high risk of breast cancer (odds ratio (OR)>4.0). Of these, BRCA1 and BRCA2 displayed ORs of 13.5 and 16.6 in the £50 age group, but only 5.7 and 3.2 in the >50 age group. Only minor age-specific effects were observed for PALB2. Mutations in ATM and CHEK2 were associated with moderate risks of breast cancer (OR=2.0 to 4.0) in the younger age group, but not in the older age group. Conclusions: Results from the CARRIERS cohort-based study establish that mutations in known breast cancer predisposition genes are associated with only moderate risks of breast cancer in the general population. However, risks are substantially increased for BRCA1 and BRCA2 but not ATM, CHEK2 or PALB2 mutations in those £50 years of age. The age-related estimates of breast cancer risk for each of the hereditary cancer panel genes in this study may inform selection of individuals in the general population who may benefit from genetic testing and associated risk management strategies. Citation Format: Couch FJ, Hu C, Hart SN, Gnanaolivu RD, Lilyquist J, Lee KY, Gao C, Eckloff B, Samara R, Klebba J, Auer P, Bernstein L, Gaudet M, Haiman C, Palmer JR, Yao S, Domchek SM, Weitzel JN, Goldgar DE, Nathanson KL, Kraft P, Polley EC. Age-related breast cancer risk estimates for the general population based on sequencing of cancer predisposition genes in 19,228 breast cancer patients and 20,211 matched unaffected controls from US based cohorts in the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS2-01.
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