Possible relationships between sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical east Atlantic and surface pressure anomalies in the Atlantic-European sector are investigated. From principal component analysis of the sea surface temperature time series in conjunction with the mean surface pressure anomaly distribution, it is deduced that there is a long-term change in tropical sea surface temperatures associated with variations in westerly component in higher latitudes. Variations of sea surface temperature are shown to be related, through spatial surface pressure eigenvectors, to the surface pressure distribution in most months of the year. Indications are that the atmosphere initially drives the ocean and that the two media subsequently vary in phase. A method of making quantitative forecasts of the sea surface temperature effect on surface pressure is suggested with special reference to the winter season.
Read full abstract