Satellite Rainfall Estimates Research Articles

Comparison of Climatology of Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in Kalimantan Deduced from Rain Gauge and IMERG Data

Abstract The diurnal cycle is repetitive pattern of changes in weather factors on land and oceans due to the Earth rotation. Kalimantan Island as the largest island in the Maritime Islands region has a complex rainfall pattern that is influenced by local factors and global circulation. The research was conducted to find out the climatological comparison of the diurnal cycle of rain in Kalimantan based on rain gauge data and Integrated Multi-SatellitE Retrievals for GPM Version 07 (IMERG V07) data for the period 2016 - 2022. Data validation using rain gauge data to validate and calibrate IMERG satellite data, improving the accuracy and reliability of satellite rainfall estimates. The diurnal cycle is evaluated through a Precipitation Amount (PA), Precipitation Frequency (PF), and Precipitation Intensity (PI) every hour. The results show that the maximum rainfall occurs in the afternoon and evening along the coast, and in the middle of the night and morning on the Kalimantan plains. Kalimantan has high rainfall intensity values at short rainfall durations, i.e. rain lasting less than 3 hours. This is expected to improve the quality of hydrometeorological disaster mitigation in Kalimantan.

Performance assessment of satellite rainfall estimates in rain detection capabilities at different thresholds over Nigeria

ABSTRACT In Nigeria, where rainfall plays a pivotal role in agriculture and disaster management, assessing the accuracy of satellite rainfall estimates at various thresholds is imperative. This study assesses the areal averages of nine satellite precipitation estimates (SPEs) against 48 ground-based raingauge observations in Nigeria. Employing categorical statistical metrics and compromise programming, the research assesses the performance of SPEs at seven rainfall thresholds. Results reveal that 82–94% of rainfall estimates align with ground truth, while 5–14% of rainy days are incorrectly detected by raingauges. Notably, SPEs tend to overestimate low rain between 1 mm and 5 mm d−1 and underestimate low heavy rain rates (10 mm ≤ rain < 20 mm), impacting flood monitoring and disaster preparedness. Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (CPCC), Tropical Applications of Meteorology using SATellite and ground-based observations (TAMSAT) African Rainfall Climatology And Time series (TARCAT), and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) emerge as more reliable SPEs, particularly in highland regions. This research underscores the importance of choosing appropriate satellite precipitation estimates for enhanced disaster preparedness and resource management across different Nigerian regions.

Validating the Skills of Satellite Rainfall Products and Spatiotemporal Rainfall Variability Analysis over Omo River Basin in Ethiopia

Recently created long-term and regionally dispersed satellite-based rainfall estimates have emerged as crucial sources of rainfall data to assess rainfall&amp;apos;s spatial and temporal variability, particularly for data-scarce locations. &amp;lt;i&amp;gt;Objective (the general)&amp;lt;/i&amp;gt;: The purpose of this paper is to assess the skills of nine selected satellite rainfall estimates i.e., (ARC 2.0, TRMM 3B42, CHIRPS v. 2.0, TAMSAT 3.1, CMORPH v. 1.0 adj., PERSIANN CDR and DNRT, and MSWEP v. 2.2) and understand Spatio-temporal variability of rainfall over the Omo River basin using the best performing product. &amp;lt;i&amp;gt;Method&amp;lt;/i&amp;gt;: The validation analysis was done by using a point-to-grid-based comparison test at different temporal accumulations. MSWEP was selected as the best product to analyze the long-term trend and variability of rainfall over the Omo-River basin from 1990-2017. The coefficients of variation (CV) and the standardization rainfall anomalies index (SRAI) were used to examine rainfall variability, while the Mann-Kendall (MK) and Sen slope estimators were used to examine the trend and magnitude of rainfall patterns. &amp;lt;i&amp;gt;Results&amp;lt;/i&amp;gt;: The overall statistical, categorical, and volumetric validation index results show that the MSWEP is the best performing rainfall product followed by CHRIPS, 3B42, and TAMSAT according to their order of appearance than the remaining products (i.e., ARC, RFE, PER CDR, PER DNRT, and CMORPH). The CV result with the relatively highest monthly variability (CV &amp;gt; 30%) was observed in some southern, northern, southeastern, and central parts of the study area. In general, the overall annual CV shows almost no variation in the entire basin except in the lower part because of the region&amp;apos;s prevalent topographic variances, which ranged from 3455 to 352 m.a.s.l. In addition, the highest seasonal positive and negative anomalies are observed in each season in the entire basin. These abnormalities can result in significant floods and droughts that unquestionably influence the basin and its resources. &amp;lt;i&amp;gt;Conclusion&amp;lt;/i&amp;gt;: In general, the basin has an increasing trend in the southern portions and a declining trend in the central to northern tip parts of the basin, as can be observed from the annual average MK trend tests. The basin has experienced a greeter variation but is not significant except in some parts of the basin.

Urban flash floods modeling in Mzuzu City, Malawi based on Sentinel and MODIS data

Floods are major hazard in Mzuzu City, Malawi. This study applied geospatial and hydrological modeling techniques to map flood incidences and hazard in the city. Multi-sensor [Sentinel 1, Sentinel 2, and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)] Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) datasets were used to determine the spatio-temporal variation of flood inundation. Ground control points collected using a participatory GIS mapping approach were used to validate the identified flood hazard areas. A Binary Logistic Regression (BLR) model was used to determine and predict the spatial variation of flood hazard as a function of selected environmental factors. The Hydrologic Engineering Center's Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) was used to quantify the peak flow and runoff contribution needed for flood in the city. The runoff and peak flow from the HEC-HMS model were subjected to extreme value frequency analysis using the Gumbel Distribution approach before input into the Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (RAS) (HEC-RAS). The HEC-RAS model was then applied to map flood inundated areas producing flood extents maps for 100, 50, 20, and 10-year return periods, with rain-gauge and Climate Prediction Center MORPHed precipitation (CMORPH) satellite-based rainfall inputs. Results revealed that selected MODIS and Sentinel datasets were effective in delineating the spatial distribution of flood events. Distance from the river network and urban drainage are the most significant factors (p &amp;lt; 0.05) influencing flooding. Consequently, a relatively higher flood hazard probability and/susceptibility was noted in the south-eastern and western-most regions of the study area. The HEC-HMS model calibration (validation) showed satisfactory performance metrics of 0.7 (0.6) and similarly, the HEC-RAS model significantly performed satisfactorily as well (p &amp;lt; 0.05). We conclude that bias corrected satellite rainfall estimates and hydrological modeling tools can be used for flood inundation simulation especially in areas with scarce or poorly designed rain gauges such as Mzuzu City as well as those affected by climate change. These findings have important implications in informing and/updating designs of flood early warning systems and impacts mitigation plans and strategies in developing cities such as Mzuzu.

Comparison Accuracy of CHIRPS, GSMaP V7, and GSMaP V8 Satellite Rainfall Estimation in Kalimantan

The application of satellite product rainfall estimates (SPREs) is growing in hydrometeorology due to limited rainfall measurement. This study aims to compare the accuracy of three SPRE, namely Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) Moving Vector with Kalman Filtering (GSMaP-MVK), and near-real-time (GSMaP-NRT) versions 7 and 8, against daily and monthly rainfall measurements from eighteen gauges in Kalimantan from December 2021 to May 2023. Continuous validation includes root mean square error (RMSE), relative bias (RB), and correlation coefficient (CC), and categorical validation consists of a probability of detection (POD), false alarm ratio (FAR), and critical success index (CSI) were used to assess the accuracy of SPREs. The results showed that GSMaP-MVK version 8 has the highest accuracy on a daily scale with an RMSE value of 14.31 mm/day, while the CHIRPS has the highest accuracy on a monthly scale with an RMSE of 81 mm/month. GSMaP version 8 is better than GSMaP version 7, with a difference in RMSE, CC, and RB at 14.2%, 9.7%, and 84%. Categorical validation showed that GSMaP version 8 was 2.13%, higher in POD, 3.95% in CSI, and 10.2% in FAR compared to GSMaP version 7. Keywords: Accuracy, CHIRPS, GSMaP, Kalimantan, Rain-gauge.

Evaluation of Satellite-Based Rainfall Estimates against Rain Gauge Observations across Agro-Climatic Zones of Nigeria, West Africa

Satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) play a crucial role in weather monitoring, forecasting and modeling, particularly in regions where ground-based observations may be limited. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of three commonly used SREs—African Rainfall Climatology version 2 (ARC2), Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) and Tropical Application of Meteorology using SATellite data and ground-based observation (TAMSAT)— with respect to their performance in detecting rainfall patterns in Nigeria at daily scales from 2002 to 2022. Observed data obtained from the Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) are used as reference data. Evaluation metrics such as correlation coefficient, root mean square error, mean error, bias, probability of detection (POD), false alarm ratio (FAR), and critical success index (CSI) are employed to assess the performance of the SREs. The results show that all the SREs exhibit low bias during the major rainfall season from May to October, and the products significantly overestimate observed rainfall during the dry period from November to March in the Sahel and Savannah Zones. Similarly, over the Guinea Zone, all the products indicate overestimation in the dry season. The underperformance of SREs in dry seasons could be attributed to the rainfall retrieval algorithms, intensity of rainfall occurrence and spatial-temporal resolution. These factors could potentially lead to the accuracy of the rainfall retrieval being reduced due to intense stratiform clouds. However, all the SREs indicated better detection capabilities and less false alarms during the wet season than in dry periods. CHIRPS and TAMSAT exhibited high POD and CSI values with the least FAR across agro-climatic zones during dry periods. Generally, CHIRPS turned out to be the best SRE and, as such, would provide a useful dataset for research and operational use in Nigeria.

Developing a flood monitoring system by utilizing real-time satellite rainfall estimates and water energy budget-based rainfall-runoff inundation model in West Africa

Abstract. The African regions have been affected by frequent flood-related disasters. To support decision-makers in flood disaster management, a real-time flood monitoring system was established in the Niger and Volta basins under the Water disaster platform to enhance climate resilience in Africa (WADiRE-Africa). To bridge a gap between data unavailability and inaccessibility, the near-real-time satellite rainfall data (GSMaP-NRT) was evaluated and found to have a very low correlation (&lt;0.4) with gauge data at daily scales and a higher correlation (&gt;0.7) at monthly scales. The statistically bias-corrected GSMaP-NRT data was used in the Water and Energy Budget-based Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (WEB-RRI) model to generate hydrological responses of the basins. As the simulated river discharges were overestimated, an additional correction method was employed for the GSMaP-NRT data to match well with observed discharges. The prototype system provides real-time flood information in both basins.

Seasonal variations in rain cells propagation over Central Africa and association with diurnal rainfall regimes

AbstractThree‐hourly data from two satellite rainfall estimates products, PERSIANN and TMPA, are analysed to document the seasonal patterns of diurnal rainfall distribution over the Congo Basin and neighbouring areas. PERSIANN data for 2001–2017, at a one‐hour time‐scale, are further used to identify rain cells (≥4 mm·h−1) in an attempt to explain the diurnal rainfall variations. Over land areas, an afternoon rainfall maximum is clearly shown, but over much of the region only a minor part of the rains (20%–30%) falls in the wettest 3‐h period. Substantial rains (often 50%–60%) occur in the evening and at night, as a progressively delayed peak from east to west, but a seasonal change is found in the meridional propagation of the peak diurnal rainfall, in a south‐westerly direction in January, and a north‐westerly direction in July. Rain cells have prominent genesis areas west of high terrain, but can develop over most regions, with a peak genesis time slightly ahead the diurnal phase of the rains. The size, mean lifetime and mean rainfall intensity of the rain cells are strongly related to each other and display a semi‐annual cycle not fully in phase with the seasonal cycle of the rains. The mean rain cell propagation speed (6.7 m·s−1) is much lower than in previous studies, which focused on mesoscale convective systems. Rain cells which have a longer lifetime move much faster, the mean speed of those lasting less than 6 h being half that of those lasting at least 24 h. Most (86%) of the mobile rain cells propagate westward, but the meridional component of their propagation shows an annual cycle (southward in austral summer, northward in boreal summer) which matches the mid‐tropospheric winds and explains the seasonal changes in the diurnal rainfall peak.

Satellite rainfall bias correction incorporating effects on simulated crop water requirements

ABSTRACT Satellite rainfall estimates (SRE) offer spatial-temporal rainfall representations in regions with limited ground-based gauge rainfall measurements. However, differences exist between SRE and gauge measured rainfall, which needs assessment and reduction. This study presents a method to correct errors in SRE to make their use in agro-hydrological applications and models meaningful. The main scientific objective is the determination of effective window sizes for SRE bias correction. To conclude on effective window sizes, the crop water requirement satisfaction index (WRSI) for gauged rainfall, uncorrected SRE and bias corrected SRE were estimated and propagation effects of SRE errors on respective WRSI estimates were assessed. WRSI indicates how much of the crop water needs are satisfied by rainfall. The Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) SRE was bias corrected using gauged rainfall data from 20 stations in the Lake Victoria basin of Kenya from 2012 to 2018. The results show that the error in WRSI can serve to determine effective window sizes for SRE bias correction rather than using SRE bias error itself. This proposed correction method resulted in improved estimates of WRSI.

Evaluation of satellite rainfall estimates using PERSIANN-CDR and TRMM over three critical cells in Jordan

Abstract Effective management of water resources is heavily dependent on accurate knowledge of rainfall patterns. Satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) have become increasingly popular due to their ability to provide spatial rainfall data. However, the accuracy of SREs is limited by a variety of factors including a lack of observations, inadequate evaluation techniques, and the use of short evaluation durations. To improve our understanding of SREs, this study evaluated the long-term performance of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and PERSIANN-CDR by analyzing their spatiotemporal patterns. Daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation estimates were evaluated using statistical measures and data from 71 rain gauges across three critical cells in Jordan from 2000 to 2013. The results showed that while both SREs had low accuracy on a daily scale, TRMM 3B43 performed better than PERSIANN-CDR at the monthly level. Additionally, TRMM 3B43 exhibited superior performance during the heavy rainy season, whereas PERSIANN-CDR showed better results during other seasons. In annual studies, TRMM 3B43 was found to be more accurate than PERSIANN-CDR for the north and south cells, while PERSIANN-CDR had a higher correlation coefficient for the middle cell. These findings can contribute to the development of more reliable and accurate SREs, thereby improving water resource management studies.

Assessment of the impact of rainfall uncertainties on the groundwater recharge estimations of the Tikur-Wuha watershed, rift valley lakes basin, Ethiopia

Spatial recharge estimation uncertainty is directly proportional to uncertainty in input precipitation data Thus, the main objective of this study was to investigate the recharge uncertainty by using improved spatial rainfall observations. The physically based fully distributed hydrological model WetSpa was used to simulate 20,000 possible combinations of parameters for two model setup. The M1 model setup was developed based on the rainfall measurements obtained from rain gauge stations scattered in and around the Tikur-Wuha watershed in Ethiopia, while M2 model setup was developed using bias-corrected satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) based on Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation (CHIRP) merged with relevant ground station records. The required parameter combinations were generated using Monte Carlo simulation stratified by applying Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS). One hundred best performing parameter combinations were selected for each model to generate spatial recharge statistics and assess the resulting uncertainty in the recharge estimates. The results revealed that enhanced spatial recharge estimates can be produced through improved CHIRP-based SREs. The long-term mean annual recharge (218.29 mm) in the Tikur-Wuha watershed was estimated. Model parameter calibration performed using discharge measurements obtained from the Wosha rain gauge station located in the subcatchment area of the Tikur-Wuha watershed had a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.56. Seventy percent of the watershed showed a coefficient of variation (Cv) < 0.15 for M2, while 90 % of the area exhibited a Cv < 0.15 for M1. Furthermore, the study findings highlighted the importance of improving evapotranspiration data accuracy to reduce the uncertainty of recharge estimates. However, the uncontrolled irrigation water uses and the total recharge coming from the irrigation fields scattered across the Tikur-Wuha watershed were not considered in the study, which is a limitation of the study. Future studies should consider the contribution made by irrigation water to the total recharge of the watershed.

Error modeling and hierarchical Bayesian fusion for spaceborne and ground radar rainfall data

The optimal fusion of multisource rainfall data can improve the accuracy and resolution of a posteriori estimates, which is beneficial for hydrological and meteorological applications. In this study, the errors of ground-based dual-polarization radar (GR) and dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) on global precipitation measurement (GPM) satellite rainfall estimation were modeled, and a hierarchical Bayesian (HB) framework was developed for GR and DPR rainfall data fusion. According to the matched optimal estimated GR rainfall and rain gauge data, the GR rainfall error was analyzed, and the error variance varying with rain type and intensity was described and modeled. The rain types were classified based on disdrometer and dual-polarization radar data. By comparing the DPR rainfall product with GR rainfall, the DPR rainfall error was divided into systematic and random errors. The systematic error was linearly fitted, and the probability distributions for the random error and the variable error parameters were analyzed and modeled. Because the parameters for GR and DPR rainfall errors varied with rain type and intensity, we developed a HB fusion approach considering the varying parameters in rainfall error modeling. The performance of the fusion algorithm was evaluated using matched GR and DPR cases, which showed that the HB fusion can effectively improve the consistency between the original DPR rainfall product and rain gauge data, reducing the relative bias by an average of 30% and improving the correlation by an average of 20%. Compared with the conventional Bayesian (CB) fusion algorithm, which is based on overall error modeling, the HB fusion results can improve the root mean square error by an average of 24% and relative bias by 14%.

Sources of predictability of synoptic‐scale rainfall during the West African summer monsoon

AbstractNumerical‐model‐based forecasts of precipitation exhibit poor skill over northern tropical Africa when compared with climatology‐based forecasts and with other tropical regions. However, as recently demonstrated, purely data‐driven forecasts based on spatio‐temporal dependences inferred from gridded satellite rainfall estimates show promise for the prediction of the 24‐hr precipitation occurrence rate in this region. The present work explores this potential further by advancing the statistical model and providing meteorological interpretations of the performance results. Advances include (a) the use of a recently developed correlation metric, the Coefficient of Predictive Ability (CPA), to identify predictors, (b) forecast evaluation with robust reliability diagrams and score decompositions, (c) a study domain over tropical Africa nested in a considerably enlarged spatio‐temporal domain to identify coherent propagating features, and (d) the introduction of a novel coherent‐linear‐propagation factor to quantify the coherence of propagating signals. The statistical forecast is compared with a climatology‐based benchmark, the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational ensemble forecast, and a statistically postprocessed ensemble forecast. All methods show poor skill within the main rainbelt over northern tropical Africa, where differences in Brier scores between the different approaches are hardly statistically significant. However, the data‐driven forecast outperforms the other methods along the fringes of the rainbelt, where meridional rainfall gradients are large. The coherent‐linear‐propagation factor, in concert with metrics of convective available potential energy and convective instability, reveals that high stochasticity in the rainbelt limits predictability. At the fringes of the rainbelt, the data‐driven approach leverages coherent precipitation features associated with propagating tropical weather systems such as African Easterly Waves.

Evaluation of CHIRPS in dry and wet spell assessment utilizing copula-based severity–duration–frequency curves

ABSTRACT In situ rainfall data play a significant role in drought assessment studies. However, they are not available with reliable spatiotemporal coverage. With the advancements in satellite rainfall estimates (SREs), monitoring hydrological events in ungauged basins is possible. Additionally, the evaluation of newly released SREs such as CHIRPS, with a long-term record and comparably high resolution (0.05°), in the assessment of extreme hydrological events (dry/wet spells) has scarcely been carried out, which is the most novel motivation of this study. Moreover, evaluation of CHIRPS in developing copula-based multivariate severity–duration–frequency curves based on the severity and duration of the occurred events in 1988–2019 over the Zayandehroud basin (a critical central basin of Iran), is innovatively appraised. An evaluation of CHIRPS in drought assessment shows its acceptable performance, with slight underestimation, in assessing the severity and duration of dry spells. In contrast, an overestimation is identified for wet spells.

Accuracy of satellite and reanalysis rainfall estimates over Africa: A multi-scale assessment of eight products for continental applications

Study RegionContinental Africa Study FocusThis study evaluates the accuracy of eight gauge-corrected rainfall products across Africa through direct comparisons with in situ observations for the period 2001–2020. The effect of validation datasets on the performance of the rainfall products was also quantified in ten African countries. Four categorical and five continuous metrics were estimated at multiple spatial and temporal scales as part of the evaluation. New hydrological insights for the RegionResults indicate that the performance of the rainfall products varied in space and time. Evaluation at temporal scales revealed that, on average, most rainfall products showed poor results (KGE < 0.35) at the daily timescale. In contrast, RFE v2.0, ARC v2.0, and MSWEP v2.8 were reliable (KGE > 0.75) at the monthly and annual timescales. Among the rainfall products, the performance of TAMSATv3.1, PERSIANN-CDR, and ERA 5 was relatively poor in capturing in situ observations. Evaluation at various spatial scales revealed mixed results. The ARC v2.0 and CHIRPS v2.0 rainfall products were reliable in detecting no rains (< 1 mm/day) for all 19 spatial scales, indicating a high level of confidence for drought studies. IMERG-F v6B and RFE v2.0 were reliable in detecting heavy and high-intensity rainfall events for all spatial scales. Using the KGE performance metrics at the regional level, MSWEP v2.8 in the Northern Africa region, RFE v2.0 in the Western and Southern Africa regions, ARC v2.0 in Central Africa, and CHIRPS v2.0 in the Eastern Africa region showed better performances at monthly timescale. Moreover, the performance of the gauge-corrected rainfall datasets was reduced when compared with independent validation data (gauge data not used by rainfall products) than dependent validation data. This study provides several new insights into choosing a rainfall product for continental to regional applications and identifies the need for bias correction.

Applying rainfall threshold estimates and frequency ratio model for landslide hazard assessment in the coastal mountain setting of South Asia

Landslides pose a serious risk to life and property in the mountainous regions around the globe. Understanding the interplay of landslide conditioning and triggering factors is essential for lessening the impacts caused by the hazard. Cox's Bazar — a coastal mountainous district in Bangladesh is recurrently affected by rainfall-triggered landslides. Based on analysis of 14 experiential landslides and combination of gauged and satellite rainfall estimates for the period from 2003 to 2019, the present study determines three landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds for the Cox's Bazar District (CBD): 1. Intensity-Duration (ID) threshold derived in this study revealed that any rainfall event with an intensity of ≥4.04 ​mm/h if prolonging for ≥12h can cause slope failures; 2. Event-Duration (ED) threshold suggested that a normalized cumulative event rainfall (EMAP) of 0.15 for one day is expected to trigger landslides; and 3. threshold calculated using randomly chosen antecedent rainfall expressed best distinction on 30-day rainfall and the equation of the threshold came out as Rth ​= ​64–0.02 Ra30. The recurrence probability of the derived antecedent rainfall threshold and likely landslides was determined through the Poisson distribution. Moreover, we assess the landslide susceptibility of the district with a coupled use of Frequency Ratio (FR) statistical measure and Geographic Information System (GIS). Considering the combined role of selected conditioning factors, the landslide susceptibility status of the CBD was quantified and classified into probability intervals. The accuracy of the susceptibility maps was assessed through the Relative Landslide Density Index (R-Index) that used a field landslide inventory, comprising well distributed 891 events. Moreover, gridded population data was superimposed on the derived susceptibility maps to understand the risk levels of people. The derivation of landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds and spatial susceptibility assessment has been useful to propose a low-cost Landslide Early Warning System (LEWS) which can contribute in alleviating the adverse effects of landslide hazard in the CBD.

Validation of high-resolution satellite precipitation products over West Africa for rainfall monitoring and early warning

Satellite rainfall estimation products (SRPs) can help overcome the absence of rain gauge data to monitor rainfall-related risks and provide early warning. However, SRPs can be subject to several sources of errors and need to be validated before specific uses. In this study, a comprehensive validation of nine high spatial resolution SRPs (less than 10 km) was performed on monthly and dekadal time scales for the period 2001–2015 in West Africa. Both SRPs and reference data were remapped to a spatial resolution of 0.1 ° and the validation process was carried out on a grid scale, with 1,202 grids having at least one rain gauge throughout West Africa. Unconditional statistical metrics, such as mean absolute error, Pearson correlation, Kling-Gupta efficiency and relative bias, as well as the reproducibility of rainfall seasonality, were used to describe the agreement between SRPs and reference data. The PROMETHEE II multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method was employed to rank SRPs by considering criteria encompassing both their intrinsic characteristics and performance metrics. Overall, IMERGv6-Final, MSWEPv2.2, RFE2, ARC2, and TAMSATv3.1, performed reasonably well, regardless of West African climate zones and rainy season period. Given the performances displayed by each of these SRPs, RFE2, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2 would be suitable for drought monitoring. TAMSATv3.1, IMERGv6-Final, RFE2, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2 are recommended for comprehensive basin water resources assessments. TAMSATv3.1 and MSWEPv2.2 would be of interest for the characterization of variability and long-term changes in precipitation. Finally, TAMSATv3.1, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2, could be good alternatives to observed data as predictants in West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (RCOF) process.

Insights on Satellite-Based IMERG Precipitation Estimates at Multiple Space and Time Scales for a Developing Urban Region in India

Abstract Satellite-based rainfall estimates are a great resource for data-scarce regions, including urban regions, because of its finer resolution. Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) is a widely used product and is evaluated at a city scale for the Hyderabad region using two different ground truths, i.e., India Meteorological Department (IMD) gridded rainfall and Telangana State Development Planning Society (TSDPS) automatic weather station (AWS) measured rainfall. The IMERG rainfall estimates are evaluated on multiple spatial and temporal scales as well as on a rainfall event scale. Both continuous and categorical verification metrics suggest good performance of IMERG on the daily scale; however, relatively decreased performance was observed on the hourly scale. Underestimated and overestimated IMERG estimates with respect to IMD gridded rainfall and AWS measured rainfall, respectively, suggest the performance depends on type of ground truth. Unlike categorical metrics, RMSE and PBIAS have a pattern implying a systematic error with respect to rainfall amount. Further, sample size, diurnal variations, and season are found to have a role in IMERG estimates’ performance. Temporal aggregation of hourly to daily time scales showed the improved IMERG performance; however, no spatial-scale dependence was observed among zonewise and Hyderabad region–wise rainfall estimates. Comparison of raw and bias-corrected IMERG rainfall-based intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves with corresponding hourly rain gauge IDF curves showcases the value addition via simple bias correction techniques. Overall, the study suggests the IMERG estimates can be used as an alternative data source, and it can be further improved by modifying the retrieval algorithm. Significance Statement Many urban regions are typically data sparse, which limits scientific understanding and reliable engineering designs of various urban hydrometeorology-relevant tasks, including climatological and extreme rainfall characterization, flood hazard assessment, and stormwater management systems. Satellite rainfall estimates come as a great resource and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) acts as a best alternative. The Hyderabad region, the sixth-largest metropolitan area in India, is selected to analyze the widely used satellite estimates, i.e., retrievals for GPM. The study observed inaccuracies in the IMERG estimates that varied with rainfall magnitudes and space and time scales; nonetheless, the estimates can be used as an alternative data source for decision-making such as whether rain exceeds a certain threshold or not.

Evaluation of a multi-staged bias correction approach on CHIRP and CHIRPS rainfall product: a case study of the Lake Hawassa watershed

Abstract A promising future development area to improve the accuracy of satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) is accessing merits from different sources of data through combining algorithms. The main objective of this study is to assess the accuracy and importance of the fused multistage approach of bias correction. Accordingly, two versions of resampled and spatially bias-corrected Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation (CHIRP) estimates were merged with ground measurements using a conditional merging procedure. Results of applied performance measures (i.e. seven) on corrected and merged CHIRP SREs show that the Percent of Detection (POD) and Percent Volume Error (PVE) have improved. Depending on the combination of coupled stations for validation, up to 70 and 50% PVE improvement was achieved at some stations for wet and dry periods, respectively. Moreover, the bias-corrected and conditionally merged CHIRP SREs have outperformed the estimates by resampling CHIRP with station dataset (CHIRPS) over the sparsely populated western part of the watershed. However, the devised method was limited in considering dry-day events during bias correction, which in turn has affected the performance of the bias correction of the CHIRPS product. Finally, future research should concentrate on such methods of fusing to understand the benefits of various approaches and produce more precise rainfall records.

Climatology of the global summer monsoon rainy seasons: Revisited from a high-resolution satellite climate data record

Reliable information on the monsoon rainfall at finer spatiotemporal scales has always been crucial for applications in hydrometeorology, water resource management, disaster prevention, and assessment of numerical model outputs. Here, the spatial-temporal characteristics of the summer monsoon rainy seasons worldwide are revisited using a global, high-resolution, bias-corrected satellite rainfall climate data record. The Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks–Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) provides 0.25° rainfall estimates for the latitude band 60°S–60°N from 1983 to the near present. The global monsoon regimes are defined based on the annual rainfall range and the summer rainfall ratio. The onset, peak, and withdrawal of the rainy season are then determined using a concise yet pertinent rainfall parameter with universal objective criteria.Overall, six major summer monsoon regimes of the globe, the Asian Monsoon, Indonesian–Australian monsoon, North African monsoon, South African monsoon, North American and South American monsoon, are all reasonably represented by PERSIANN-CDR. The progression patterns of climatological onset, peak, and withdrawal phases of these monsoons are consistent with those reported by previous global and regional monsoon studies. Furthermore, compared with other coarser resolution satellite rainfall estimates such as the Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP), the present result is clearly in better agreement with that obtained from ground-based observations since it allows the determination of more detailed information associated with local-scale factors such as the sharp land-sea contrast, local surface heating, and topography effects. However, some “spots”, particularly over complex topography lacking ground truth validations, are revealed to have rainy season characteristics that differ substantially from those over the surrounding areas and have not been fully described by published literature. These distinct features need to be confirmed by further regional monsoon studies.