Satellite Aerosol Optical Depth Data Research Articles

Winter and Summer PM2.5 Land Use Regression Models for the City of Novi Sad, Serbia

In this study, we describe the development of seasonal winter and summer (heating and non-heating season) land use regression (LUR) models for PM2.5 mass concentration for the city of Novi Sad, Serbia. The PM2.5 data were obtained through an extensive seasonal measurement campaign conducted at 21 locations in urban, urban/industrial, industrial and background areas in the period from February 2020–July 2021. At each location, PM2.5 samples were collected on quartz fibre filters for 10 days per season using a reference gravimetric pump. The developed heating season model had two predictors, the first can be associated with domestic heating over a larger area and the second with local traffic. These predictors contributed to the adjusted R2 of 0.33 and 0.55, respectively. The developed non-heating season model had one predictor which can be associated with local traffic, which contributed to the adjusted R2 of 0.40. Leave-one-out cross-validation determined RMSE/mean absolute error for the heating and non-heating season model were 4.04/4.80 μg/m3 and 2.80/3.17 μg/m3, respectively. For purposes of completeness, developed LUR models were also compared to a simple linear model which utilizes satellite aerosol optical depth data for PM2.5 estimation, and showed superior performance. The developed LUR models can help with quantification of differences between seasonal levels of air pollution, and, consequently, air pollution exposure and association between seasonal long-term exposure and possible health risk implications.

The atmospheric aerosol spatial distribution and tropical intra-seasonal oscillations over the South Asian region

Intra-seasonal oscillations (ISO) are well known to modulate the weather phenomena which in turn are known to influence the atmospheric aerosol loading. This study investigates how aerosol loading is modulated in ISO spatio-temporal scales over the Indian region using long-term satellite aerosol optical depth data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor, onboard Terra Satellite. It is shown that Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and Equatorial Rossby waves (ER) have the highest effect (15–20% of the mean) followed by Mixed-Rossby-gravity and Tropical depressions (MT), and Kelvin wave (KE) (5–15%). Further, a dipolar pattern in aerosol loading was observed, with poles over the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. These variabilities were found to be mainly driven by anomalous winds associated with the ISOs. Similar to aerosol, dipolar signatures in the atmospheric aerosol radiative forcing (ARF) were also observed with clearer patterns. However, the forcing poles are not centered exactly where aerosol poles were observed, indicating the effect of differential properties of aerosols on the aerosol radiative forcing. Quantitatively, at the surface level, modulation in ARF is up to 3 Wm-2 (15%) for MJO and ER, and up to 2 Wm-2 (5%) for KE and MT; in the atmosphere and at the top of the atmosphere, modulation is up to 2 Wm-2 (15%) for MJO and ER, and up to 1 Wm-2 (5%) for KE and MT.

Estimation of pan-European, daily total, fine-mode and coarse-mode Aerosol Optical Depth at 0.1° resolution to facilitate air quality assessments

Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data derived from satellites is crucial for estimating spatially-resolved PM concentrations, but existing AOD data over land remain affected by several limitations (e.g., data gaps, coarser resolution, higher uncertainty or lack of size fraction data), which weakens the AOD-PM relationship. We developed a 0.1° resolution daily AOD data set over Europe over the period 2003–2020, based on two-stage Quantile Machine Learning (QML) frameworks. Our approach first fills gaps in satellite AOD data and then constructs three components' models to obtain reliable full-coverage AOD along with Fine-mode AOD (fAOD) and Coarse-mode AOD (cAOD). These models are based on AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) observations, Gap-filled satellite AOD, climate and atmospheric composition reanalyses. Our QML AOD products exhibit better quality with an out-of-sample R2 equal to 0.68 for AOD, 0.66 for fAOD and 0.65 for cAOD, which is 23–92 %, 11–13 % and 115–132 % higher than the corresponding satellite or reanalysis products, respectively. Over 91.6 %, 81.6 %, and 88.9 % of QML AOD, fAOD and cAOD predictions fall within ±20 % Expected Error (EE) envelopes, respectively. Previous studies reported that a weak satellite AOD-PM correlation across Europe (Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) around 0.1). Our QML products exhibit higher correlations with ground-level PMs, particularly when broadly matched by size: AOD with PM10, fAOD with PM2.5, cAOD with PM coarse (R = 0.41, 0.45 and 0.26, respectively). Different AOD fractions more effectively distinct PM size fractions, than total AOD. Our QML aerosol dataset and models pioneer full-coverage, daily high-resolution monitoring of fine-mode and coarse-mode aerosols, effectively addressing existing AOD challenges for further PMs exposures' estimations. This dataset opens avenues for more in-depth exploration of the impacts of aerosols on human health, climate, visibility, and biogeochemical processes, offering valuable insights for air quality management and environmental health risk assessment.

Evaluation and Comparison of Multi-Satellite Aerosol Optical Depth Products over East Asia Ocean.

The atmosphere over the ocean is an important research field that involves multiple aspects such as climate change, atmospheric pollution, weather forecasting, and marine ecosystems. It is of great significance for global sustainable development. Satellites provide a wide range of measurements of marine aerosol optical properties and are very important to the study of aerosol characteristics over the ocean. In this study, aerosol optical depth (AOD) data from seventeen AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) stations were used as benchmark data to comprehensively evaluate the data accuracy of six aerosol optical thickness products from 2013 to 2020, including MODIS (Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectrometer), VIIRS (Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite), MISR (Multi-Angle Imaging Spectrometer), OMAERO (OMI/Aura Multi-wavelength algorithm), OMAERUV (OMI/Aura Near UV algorithm), and CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation) in the East Asian Ocean. In the East Asia Sea, VIIRS AOD products generally have a higher correlation coefficient (R), expected error within ratio (EE within), lower root mean square error (RMSE), and median bias (MB) than MODIS AOD products. The retrieval accuracy of AOD data from VIIRS is the highest in spring. MISR showed a higher EE than other products in the East Asian Ocean but also exhibited systematic underestimation. In most cases, the OMAERUV AOD product data are of better quality than OMAERO, and OMAERO overestimates AOD throughout the year. The CALIPSO AOD product showed an apparent underestimation of the AOD in different seasons (EE Below = 58.98%), but when the AOD range is small (0 < AOD < 0.1), the CALIPSO data accuracy is higher compared with other satellite products under small AOD range. In the South China Sea, VIIRS has higher data accuracy than MISR, while in the Bohai-Yellow Sea, East China Sea, Sea of Japan, and the western Pacific Ocean, MISR has the best data accuracy. MODIS and VIIRS show similar trends in R, EE within, MB, and RMSE under the influence of AOD, Angstrom exponent (AE), and precipitable water. The study on the temporal and spatial distribution of AOD in the East Asian Ocean shows that the annual variation of AOD is different in different sea areas, and the ocean in the coastal area is greatly affected by land-based pollution. In contrast, the AOD values in the offshore areas are lower, and the aerosol type is mainly clean marine type aerosol. These findings can help researchers in the East Asian Ocean choose the most accurate and reliable satellite AOD data product to better study atmospheric aerosols' impact and trends.

Markers of economic activity in satellite aerosol optical depth data

This study investigated the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD), to explore the hypothesis that if changes in economic activity are seen in emissions of NO2, an aerosol precursor, then AOD should change commensurably. We developed a technique to filter AOD data to isolate changes associated with anthropogenic emissions. Overall, in 37 of the 43 cities that were identified as top oxides of nitrogen (NO x ) emitters from their transportation sectors, AODs decreased by 21.2% ± 7.8%, 18.9% ± 11.7%, 27% ± 12.4%, 22.9% ± 7.6% in the United States, India, western Europe, and China, respectively—an average of 22.4% ± 7.4%. In contrast, AODs increased on average by 11.7% ± 8.4% in Taiwan, where economic stimulus was used as a strategy during the pandemic. This analysis implies NO x and volatile organic compounds emissions reductions from the transportation sector can be targeted, and by transitioning 6 million light duty vehicles from gasoline to electricity, the US can achieve 21% improvement in AOD.

Research progress, challenges, and prospects of PM2.5 concentration estimation using satellite data

Satellite data are vital for understanding the large-scale spatial distribution of particulate matter (PM2.5) due to their low cost, wide coverage, and all-weather capability. Estimation of PM2.5 using satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD) products is a popular method. In this paper, we review the PM2.5 estimation process based on satellite AOD data in terms of data sources (i.e., inversion algorithms, data sets, and interpolation methods), estimation models (i.e., statistical regression, chemical transport models, machine learning, and combinatorial analysis), and modeling validation (i.e., four types of cross-validation (CV) methods). We found that the accuracy of time-based CV is lower than others. We found significant differences in modeling accuracy between different seasons ( p &lt; 0.01) and different spatial resolutions ( p &lt; 0.01). We explain these phenomena in this article. Finally, we summarize the research process, present challenges, and future directions in this field. We opine that low-cost mobile devices combined with transfer learning or hybrid modeling offer research opportunities in areas with limited PM2.5 monitoring stations and historical PM2.5 estimation. These methods can be a good choice for air pollution estimation in developing countries. The purpose of this study is to provide a basic framework for future researchers to conduct relevant research, enabling them to understand current research progress and future research directions.

Assessment of the impact of discontinuity in satellite instruments and retrievals on global PM2.5 estimates

Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is the leading environmental risk factor for mortality globally. Satellite-derived estimates of surface PM2.5 developed from a combination of satellites, simulations, and ground monitor data are relied upon for health impact studies. The ability to develop satellite-derived PM2.5 estimates requires the continued availability of aerosol optical depth (AOD) sources. This work examines the impact of the addition or loss of satellite AOD data sources on global PM2.5 estimation and the impact of continuing the long-term record with AOD from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on the Suomi-National Polar orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) satellite after the loss of the MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) and MISR (Multi-angle Imaging Spectroradiometer) instruments on board the Terra and Aqua satellites. We find that the addition of VIIRS S-NPP AOD products to geophysical PM2.5 estimates from satellites and simulations causes regional differences that correspond to differences in the VIIRS and MODIS Deep Blue AOD algorithms and sampling. Changes in long-term trends and timeseries due to the addition or loss of AOD data sources are generally within their uncertainties. Statistical fusion with ground monitor data partially corrects for changes due to sampling differences when introducing the VIIRS AOD products, but uncertainty remains over desert regions where ground monitor coverage is sparse. This work provides promise for the sustained development of global satellite-derived PM2.5 estimates, despite discontinuities in instruments and retrieval methods.

Using deep ensemble forest for high-resolution mapping of PM2.5 from MODIS MAIAC AOD in Tehran, Iran

High-resolution mapping of PM2.5 concentration over Tehran city is challenging because of the complicated behavior of numerous sources of pollution and the insufficient number of ground air quality monitoring stations. Alternatively, high-resolution satellite Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data can be employed for high-resolution mapping of PM2.5. For this purpose, different data-driven methods have been used in the literature. Recently, deep learning methods have demonstrated their ability to estimate PM2.5 from AOD data. However, these methods have several weaknesses in solving the problem of estimating PM2.5 from satellite AOD data. In this paper, the potential of the deep ensemble forest method for estimating the PM2.5 concentration from AOD data was evaluated. The results showed that the deep ensemble forest method with [Formula: see text] gives a higher accuracy of PM2.5 estimation than deep learning methods ([Formula: see text]) as well as classic data-driven methods such as random forest ([Formula: see text]). Additionally, the estimated values of PM2.5 using the deep ensemble forest algorithm were used along with ground data to generate a high-resolution map of PM2.5. Evaluation of produced PM2.5 map revealed the good performance of the deep ensemble forest for modeling the variation of PM2.5 in the city of Tehran.

Impact of satellite AOD data on top-down estimation of biomass burning particulate matter emission

Particulate matter emitted from open biomass burning affects climate, air quality and public health. In the development of remote sensing techniques, top-down methods using satellite observations have become an effective way to estimate particulate matter emissions, but different spatial resolution and coverage of satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD) products introduce great uncertainties. In this work, we assess the differences in total particulate matter (TPM) emission when calculated using different satellite AOD data. To do this, we derive top-down biomass burning TPM emission coefficients (Ce) of Australia based on 1 km and 10 km MODIS AOD products, and compare the results of emission estimation. Using high spatial resolution AOD data, a 90 % decrease of Ce mean value is found in Australia, and the quality of Ce improves by 290 %. When we use 1 km AOD data in place of 10 km AOD data, the estimation of biomass burning TPM emissions in Australia during 2012–2020 drops from 1.08Tg to 0.11Tg; the temporal trends of the two products remain the same. The TPM emission estimates for biome based on higher spatial resolution AOD data in this study are lower than Fire Energetics and Emissions Research (FEERv1) inventories by factors of 0.08–0.2. Our work shows that using satellite AOD products of higher spatial resolution avoids overestimation of biomass burning TPM emissions, and improves the quality of final estimates, providing a possible way to understand biomass burning emission more accurately.

Particulate matter of air pollution may increase risk of kidney failure in IgA nephropathy

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is characterized by deposition of galactose-deficient IgA1 (Gd-IgA1) in glomerular mesangium associated with mucosal immune disorders. Since environmental pollution has been associated with the progression of chronic kidney disease in the general population, we specifically investigated the influence of exposure to fine particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) on IgAN progression. Patients with biopsy-proven primary IgAN were recruited from seven Chinese kidney centers. PM2.5 exposure from 1998 to 2016 was derived from satellite aerosol optical depth data and a total of 1,979 patients with IgAN, including 994 males were enrolled. The PM2.5 exposure levels for patients from different provinces varied but, in general, the PM2.5 exposure levels among patients from the north were higher than those among patients from the south. The severity of PM2.5 exposure in different regions was correlated with regional kidney failure burden. In addition, each 10 μg/m3 increase in annual average concentration of PM2.5 exposure before study entry (Hazard Ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.22) or time-varying PM2.5 exposure after study entry (1.10; 1.01-1.18) were associated with increased kidney failure risk after adjustment for age, gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate, urine protein, uric acid, hemoglobin, mean arterial pressure, Oxford classification, glucocorticoid and renin-angiotensin system blocker therapy. The associations were robust when the time period, risk factors of cardiovascular diseases or city size were further adjusted on the basis of the above model. Thus, our results suggest that PM2.5 is an independent risk factor for kidney failure in patients with IgAN, but these findings will require validation in more diverse populations and other geographic regions.

Variation of Aerosol Optical Depth Measured by Sun Photometer at a Rural Site near Beijing during the 2017–2019 Period

In recent years, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region has become one of the worst areas for haze pollution in China. Sun photometers are widely used for aerosol optical property monitoring due to the advantages of fully automatic acquisition, simple maintenance, standardization of data processing, and low uncertainty. Research sites are mostly concentrated in cities, while the long-term analysis of aerosol optical depth (AOD) for the pollution transmission channel in rural Beijing is still lacking. Here, we obtained an AOD monitoring dataset from August 2017 to March 2019 using the ground-based CE-318 sun photometer at the Gucheng meteorological observation site in southwest Beijing. These sun photometer AOD data were used for the ground-based validation of MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) and AHI (Advanced Himawari Imager) AOD data. It was found that MODIS and AHI can reflect AOD variation trends by sun photometer on daily, monthly, and seasonal scales. The original AOD measurements of the sun photometer show good correlations with satellite observations by MODIS (R = 0.97), and AHI (R = 0.89), respectively, corresponding to their different optimal spatial and temporal windows for matching with collocated satellite ground pixels. However, MODIS is less stable for aerosols of different concentrations and particle sizes. Most of the linear regression intercepts between the satellite and the photometer are less than 0.1, indicating that the errors due to surface reflectance in the inversion are small, and the slope is least biased (AHI: slope = 0.91, MODIS: slope = 0.18) in the noon period (11 a.m.–2 p.m.) and most biased in summer (AHI: slope = 0.77, MODIS: slope = 1.31), probably due to errors in the aerosol model. The daily and seasonal variation trends between CE-318 AOD measurements in the Gucheng site and fine particulate observations from the national air quality site nearby were also compared and investigated. In addition, a typical haze–dust complex pollution event in North China was analyzed and the changes in AOD during the pollution event were quantified. In processing, we use sun photometer and satellite AOD data in combination with meteorological and PM data. Overall, this paper has implications for the study of AOD evolution patterns at different time scales, the association between PM2.5 concentrations and AOD changes, and pollution monitoring.

Development and Evaluation of Spatio-Temporal Air Pollution Exposure Models and Their Combinations in the Greater London Area, UK.

Land use regression (LUR) and dispersion/chemical transport models (D/CTMs) are frequently applied to predict exposure to air pollution concentrations at a fine scale for use in epidemiological studies. Moreover, the use of satellite aerosol optical depth data has been a key predictor especially for particulate matter pollution and when studying large populations. Within the STEAM project we present a hybrid spatio-temporal modeling framework by (a) incorporating predictions from dispersion modeling of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3) and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter equal or less than 10 μm (PM10) and less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) into a spatio-temporal LUR model; and (b) combining the predictions LUR and dispersion modeling and additionally, only for PM2.5, from an ensemble machine learning approach using a generalized additive model (GAM). We used air pollution measurements from 2009 to 2013 from 62 fixed monitoring sites for O3, 115 for particles and up to 130 for NO2, obtained from the dense network in the Greater London Area, UK. We assessed all models following a 10-fold cross validation (10-fold CV) procedure. The hybrid models performed better compared to separate LUR models. Incorporation of the dispersion estimates in the LUR models as a predictor, improved the LUR model fit: CV-R2 increased to 0.76 from 0.71 for NO2, to 0.79 from 0.57 for PM10, to 0.81 to 0.66 for PM2.5 and to 0.75 from 0.62 for O3. The CV-R2 obtained from the hybrid GAM framework was also increased compared to separate LUR models (CV-R2 = 0.80 for NO2, 0.76 for PM10, 0.79 for PM2.5 and 0.75 for O3). Our study supports the combined use of different air pollution exposure assessment methods in a single modeling framework to improve the accuracy of spatio-temporal predictions for subsequent use in epidemiological studies.

The spatiotemporal relationship between PM&amp;lt;sub&amp;gt;2.5&amp;lt;/sub&amp;gt; and aerosol optical depth in China: influencing factors and implications for satellite PM&amp;lt;sub&amp;gt;2.5&amp;lt;/sub&amp;gt; estimations using MAIAC aerosol optical depth

Abstract. Satellite aerosol retrievals have been a popular alternative to monitoring the surface-based PM2.5 concentration due to their extensive spatial and temporal coverage. Satellite-derived PM2.5 estimations strongly rely on an accurate representation of the relationship between ground-level PM2.5 and satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD). Due to the limitations of satellite AOD data, most studies have examined the relationship at a coarse resolution (i.e., ≥ 10 km); thus, more effort is still needed to better understand the relationship between “in situ” PM2.5 and AOD at finer spatial scales. While PM2.5 and AOD could have obvious temporal variations, few studies have examined the diurnal variation in their relationship. Therefore, considerable uncertainty still exists in satellite-derived PM2.5 estimations due to these research gaps. Taking advantage of the newly released fine-spatial-resolution satellite AOD data derived from the Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC) algorithm and real-time ground aerosol and PM2.5 measurements, this study explicitly explored the relationship between PM2.5 and AOD as well as its plausible impact factors, including meteorological parameters and topography, in mainland China during 2019, at various spatial and temporal scales. The coefficient of variation, the Pearson correlation coefficient and the slope of the linear regression model were used. Spatially, stronger correlations mainly occurred in northern and eastern China, and the linear slope was larger on average in northern inland regions than in other areas. Temporally, the PM2.5–AOD correlation peaked at noon and in the afternoon, and reached a maximum in winter. Simultaneously, considering relative humidity (RH) and the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) in the relationship can improve the correlation, but the effect of RH and the PBLH on the correlation varied spatially and temporally with respect to both strength and direction. In addition, the largest correlation occurred at 400–600 m primarily in basin terrain such as the Sichuan Basin, the Shanxi–Shaanxi basins and the Junggar Basin. MAIAC 1 km AOD can better represent the ground-level fine particulate matter in most domains with exceptions, such as in very high terrain (i.e., Tibetan Plateau) and northern central China (i.e., Qinghai and Gansu). The findings of this study have useful implications for satellite-based PM2.5 monitoring and will further inform the understanding of the aerosol variation and PM2.5 pollution status of mainland China.

Exploring the relationship between high-resolution aerosol optical depth values and ground-level particulate matter concentrations in the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo

The spatiotemporal pattern of particulate matter (PM) concentrations is an important factor in predicting health issues in inhabitants of urban areas. The integration of satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) data with ground-level PM concentration data, obtained from monitoring networks, has contributed to better characterization of the spatiotemporal variability of aerosols worldwide. However, before using satellite AOD data as a proxy for PM in epidemiological and air quality studies in specific regions, the applicability of that strategy must be evaluated. In this study, we evaluate the use of the high-resolution AOD, derived from Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC) algorithm, as a predictor of surface PM concentrations in the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo (MASP). We found relatively weak or negative correlations between PM concentrations and MAIAC AOD, even after vertical correction by planetary boundary layer height and the hygroscopic growth factor. The weak correlations reported in this study are mainly due to the mismatch between the current MAIAC aerosol model and the properties of local aerosols in the MASP. Our results suggest that sources of aerosol particles in the MASP are quite diverse and that there is therefore no single optical model suitable for use with satellite-derived AOD.

Deriving a Global and Hourly Data Set of Aerosol Optical Depth Over Land Using Data From Four Geostationary Satellites: GOES-16, MSG-1, MSG-4, and Himawari-8

Due to the limitations in the number of satellites and the swath width of satellites (determined by the field of view and height of satellites), it is impossible to monitor global aerosol distribution using polar orbiting satellites at a high frequency. This limits the applicability of aerosol optical depth (AOD) data sets in many fields, such as atmospheric pollutant monitoring and climate change research, where a high-temporal data resolution may be required. Although geostationary satellites have a high–temporal resolution and an extensive observation range, three or more satellites are required to achieve global monitoring of aerosols. In this article, we obtain an hourly and global AOD data set by integrating AOD data sets from four geostationary weather satellites [Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-16), Meteosat Second Generation (MSG-1), MSG-4, and Himawari-8]. The integrated data set will expand the application range beyond the four individual AOD data sets. The integrated geostationary satellite AOD data sets from April to August 2018 were validated using Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) data. The data set results were validated against: the mean absolute error, mean bias error, relative mean bias, and root-mean-square error, and values obtained were 0.07, 0.01, 1.08, and 0.11, respectively. The ratio of the error of satellite retrieval within ±( $0.05+ 0.2\times $ AODAERONET) is 0.69. The spatial coverage and accuracy of the MODIS/C61/AOD product released by NASA were also analyzed as a representative of polar orbit satellites. The analysis results show that the integrated AOD data set has similar accuracy to that of the MODIS/AOD data set and has higher temporal resolution and spatial coverage than the MODIS/AOD data set.

Assessing the impact of Chinese FY-3/MERSI AOD data assimilation on air quality forecasts: Sand dust events in northeast China

Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is an important parameter characterizing the optical properties of atmospheric aerosols and can be used to indicate aerosol loading and evaluate air quality. In this study, a FY-3/medium-resolution spectral imager (MERSI) AOD data assimilation (DA) system was developed using a three-dimensional variational DA method to assess the impact of Chinese FY-3/MERSI AOD data assimilation on air quality forecasts. Two typical sand-dust weather events occurred during the spring season of years 2010 and 2011 were selected as case study. The DA system and Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with a chemical model (WRF-Chem) were used to evaluate the impacts of FY-3/MERSI AOD DA on air quality forecasts. This was based on comparisons between modeled AOD data and AOD data acquired by the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellites. Results from both case studies revealed that FY-3/MERSI AOD DA apparently improved the air quality forecasts. Key findings of the FY-3/MERSI AOD DA experiments included: (1) FY-3/MERSI AOD DA adjusted the simulated aerosol particle content of the WRF-Chem model and efficiently improved the extinction coefficient fields below 500 hPa. Moreover, AOD DA had the strongest effect on adjusting the extinction coefficients at 750 hPa (approximately 2 km). Compared with the AOD background field, the AOD analysis field was similar to the satellite observation field. (2) Compared with the control experiments without DA, the AOD DA experiment produced more accurate 24-h AOD forecasts, more consistent with the AERONET and satellite observations. (3) Due to the spatial distribution and intensity difference of satellite AOD data, satellite AOD data assimilation has obvious individual characteristics for the improvement of particle concentration prediction. Our study findings suggest that the developed DA system can facilitate the effective use of AOD data acquired by Chinese satellites in air quality forecasting models and can improve dust forecasting results.

The value of satellite observations in the analysis and short-range prediction of Asian dust

Abstract. Asian dust is a seasonal meteorological phenomenon which affects east Asia, and has severe consequences on the air quality of China, North and South Korea and Japan. Despite the continental extent, the prediction of severe episodes and the anticipation of their consequences is challenging. Three 1-year experiments were run to assess the skill of the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in monitoring Asian dust and understand its relative contribution to the aerosol load over China. Data used were the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Dark Target and the Deep Blue aerosol optical depth (AOD). In particular the experiments aimed at understanding the added value of data assimilation runs over a model run without any aerosol data. The year 2013 was chosen as representative of the availability of independent AOD data from two established ground-based networks (AERONET, Aerosol Robotic Network, and CARSNET, China Aerosol Remote Sensing Network), which could be used to evaluate experiments. Particulate matter (PM) data from the China Environmental Protection Agency were also used in the evaluation. Results show that the assimilation of satellite AOD data is beneficial to predict the extent and magnitude of desert dust events and to improve the short-range forecast of such events. The availability of observations from the MODIS Deep Blue algorithm over bright surfaces is an asset, allowing for a better localization of the sources and definition of the dust events. In general both experiments constrained by data assimilation perform better than the unconstrained experiment, generally showing smaller normalized mean bias and fractional gross error with respect to the independent verification datasets. The impact of the assimilated satellite observations is larger at analysis time, but lasts into the forecast up to 48 h. The performance of the global model in terms of particulate matter does not show the same degree of skill as the performance in terms of optical depth. Despite this, the global model is able to capture some regional pollution patterns. This indicates that the global model analyses may be used as boundary conditions for regional air quality models at higher resolution, enhancing their performance in situations in which part of the pollution may have originated from large-scale mechanisms. While assimilation is not a substitute for model development and characterization of the emission sources, results indicate that it can play a role in delivering improved monitoring of Asian dust optical depth.

Aerosol Data Assimilation Using Data from Fengyun-3A and MODIS: Application to a Dust Storm over East Asia in 2011

Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is the most basic parameter that describes the optical properties of atmospheric aerosols, and it can be used to indicate aerosol content. In this study, we assimilated AOD data from the Fengyun-3A (FY-3A) and MODIS meteorological satellite using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation three-dimensional variational data assimilation system. Experiments were conducted for a dust storm over East Asia in April 2011. Each 0600 UTC analysis initialized a 24-hWeather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry model forecast. The results generally showed that the assimilation of satellite AOD observational data can significantly improve model aerosol mass prediction skills. The AOD distribution of the analysis field was closer to the observations of the satellite after assimilation of satellite AOD data. In addition, the analysis resulting from the experiment assimilating both FY-3A/MERSI (Medium-resolution Spectral Imager) AOD data and MODIS AOD data had closer agreement with the ground-based values than the individual assimilation of the two datasets for the dust storm over East Asia. These results suggest that the Chinese FY-3A satellite aerosol products can be effectively applied to numerical models and dust weather analysis.

Developing Advanced PM2.5 Exposure Models in Lima, Peru

Background: There is convincing evidence of adverse health effects induced by exposure to PM2.5 in the growing body of literature. Lima&amp;#8217;s topography and aging vehicular fleet results in severe air pollution with limited amounts of monitors to effectively quantify measurements for epidemiologic studies.Objectives: We propose to develop a high-performance satellite-driving exposure model to estimate daily PM2.5 concentrations at a 1 km spatial resolution in Lima, Peru from 2010 to 2016 using a combination of ground measurements, aerosol optical depth (AOD), meteorological fields, parameters from atmospheric chemical transport models, and land use variables.Methods: Parameters from the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-CHEM) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) were evaluated against ground monitoring stations from Weather Underground. A random forest model was used to gap-fill non-random missing satellite AOD data due to cloud cover to enhance spatial coverage and quality. Both a linear mixed effects model and a random forest model was used to fit AOD, WRF-CHEM, ECMWF, meteorological fields, and land use parameters against ground measurements from 16 monitoring stations with available data between 2014 to 2016. Both models were then used to estimate daily PM2.5 concentrations from 2010 to 2016.Results: The overall cross-validation (CV) R2 value and (RMSE) for the linear mixed effects model and random forest model was 0.58 (7.08 &amp;#956;g/m3) and 0.73 (5.66 &amp;#956;g/m3), respectively. The random forest model&amp;#8217;s robust ability to include more parameters outperformed the linear mixed effects model due to limited number of ground observations.Conclusions: Our models allow for construction of long-term historical daily PM2.5 levels to support fundamental and imperative epidemiological studies that will likely impact governmental policies on air quality in Lima, Peru.

Collocation mismatch uncertainties in satellite aerosol retrieval validation

Abstract. Satellite-based aerosol products are routinely validated against ground-based reference data, usually obtained from sun photometer networks such as AERONET (AEROsol RObotic NETwork). In a typical validation exercise a spatial sample of the instantaneous satellite data is compared against a temporal sample of the point-like ground-based data. The observations do not correspond to exactly the same column of the atmosphere at the same time, and the representativeness of the reference data depends on the spatiotemporal variability of the aerosol properties in the samples. The associated uncertainty is known as the collocation mismatch uncertainty (CMU). The validation results depend on the sampling parameters. While small samples involve less variability, they are more sensitive to the inevitable noise in the measurement data. In this paper we study systematically the effect of the sampling parameters in the validation of AATSR (Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer) aerosol optical depth (AOD) product against AERONET data and the associated collocation mismatch uncertainty. To this end, we study the spatial AOD variability in the satellite data, compare it against the corresponding values obtained from densely located AERONET sites, and assess the possible reasons for observed differences. We find that the spatial AOD variability in the satellite data is approximately 2 times larger than in the ground-based data, and the spatial variability correlates only weakly with that of AERONET for short distances. We interpreted that only half of the variability in the satellite data is due to the natural variability in the AOD, and the rest is noise due to retrieval errors. However, for larger distances (∼ 0.5∘) the correlation is improved as the noise is averaged out, and the day-to-day changes in regional AOD variability are well captured. Furthermore, we assess the usefulness of the spatial variability of the satellite AOD data as an estimate of CMU by comparing the retrieval errors to the total uncertainty estimates including the CMU in the validation. We find that accounting for CMU increases the fraction of consistent observations.