Saginaw Bay Research Articles

Dietary and terrestrial exposure to methoxylated polybrominated diphenoxybenzene contaminants in Great Lakes herring gulls

Methoxylated polybrominated diphenoxybenzenes (MeO-PB-DPBs) are little known contaminants except in North American Great Lakes herring gull tissues and egg samples. MeO-PB-DPBs in gulls originate not via aquatic bioaccumulation pathways but instead likely via transformation of the tetradecabromo-1,4-diphenoxybenzene (TDB-DPB) flame retardant (FR). TDB-DPB was formerly produced as SAYTEX-120 in North America and is still produced in Asia. This study investigates the terrestrial exposure pathway of MeO-PB-DPBs and other FRs in herring gulls. Gull regurgitant and faeces, soil, and earthworms were collected from Channel Shelter Island (Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron), and analyzed for 3 MeO-PB-DPBs, 25 polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), and 22 non-PBDE halogenated FRs. MeO-PB-DPBs in soil varied from non-detect to 4 ng/g dw per pentabrominated congener to a remarkably high 53 ng/g dw for the hexabrominated congener and comparable to BDE-209 which accumulates to high levels in Great Lakes sediment. MeO-hexa- to penta-brominated-DPB congener ratios were much greater (> 10x vs. ∼ 2x) than in herring gull tissues or eggs, suggesting possible differences in bioavailability. PB-DPB congeners were detected for the first time in environmental soil samples and confirmed via standard addition of the 2,2′,4,4″- and 2,2′,2″,4-tetrabromodiphenoxybenzene standards. MeO-PB-DPBs were mostly absent from faeces and not detected in earthworm samples. Combined with the finding of detection in regurgitant samples, indicating dietary intake, this suggests that gull exposure is via terrestrial bioaccumulation of MeO-PB-DPBs.

A decade of data and hundreds of analytes: Legacy and emerging chemicals in North American herring gull plasma

Between 2010 and 2021, 199 herring gull serum samples were collected from Lake Michigan, Lake Huron, and Lake Erie, including two Areas of Concern: Saginaw Bay and the River Raisin. They were analyzed for 21 polybrominated diphenyl ether congeners, 10 non-PBDE flame retardants, 85 polychlorinated biphenyls, 17 legacy organochlorine pesticides, and 36 per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances. Σ36PFAS, Σ85PCB, Σ21PBDE, and Σ17Pesticide concentrations comprised 41–74%, 17–50%, 3–4%, and 5–9% of the total concentration, respectively. Median concentrations of the chemical groups ranged from 81.5 to 129 ng/g ww for PFAS, 26.3–158 ng/g ww for PCBs, 4.26–8.89 ng/g ww for PBDEs, and 8.08–23.0 ng/g ww for pesticides. The regional concentrations of all four classes of compounds are significantly decreasing when sites are combined with halving times of 11.3 ± 4.8, 8.2 ± 4.3, 5.9 ± 3.1, and 8.3 ± 4.2 years for the Penta-BDE mixture, ΣDDTs, Σ85PCBs and Σ36PFAS, respectively. These results suggest that, while PFAS has emerged as the dominant group of chemicals in the plasma, legacy pollutants continue to represent a threat to herring gulls and wildlife in the Great Lakes basin. PCBs were the largest contributors to the chemical load in plasma of birds whose colonies are located near the River Raisin, and continue to pose a threat to herring gulls within the two Areas of Concern.

Major ion pore-water chemistry evolution in Lake Michigan benthic sediments: Evidence for direct input from Michigan Basin saline groundwater

The Michigan Basin is composed of geological formations that contain brines and evaporites, and solutes from these geological sources have affected benthic sediment pore-water chemistry in Saginaw Bay (Lake Huron). We hypothesize that there exists similar potential for upward solute transport directly from the Michigan Basin into other Great Lakes areas. To test our hypothesis, we present here previously unpublished pore-water chemistry analyses from sediment cores collected during multiple Lake Michigan sampling events (spanning 1991−1999) and a new evaluation of previously published data. In several box cores, pore-water chloride concentrations increase with depth, and Cl:Br ratios are consistent with a geological formation brine source. In all gravity cores we collected from southern Lake Michigan, pore-water sodium concentrations increase with sediment depth. At one sample station, pore-water sodium concentrations exceed 2000 mg L−1 within 2 m of the sediment-water interface. Given the pore-water chemistry changes reported here, combined with information from previous studies of Lake Michigan bedrock geology, a Devonian formation brine is a plausible solute source. The presence of saline pore water within glaciolacustrine sediments underlying Lake Michigan indicates that this solute flux has been active during the past 10 k.y. However, the origins of this solute flux, including timing (onset) and contributions from advective and/or diffusive transport, are unknown. The specific geological source and solute transport process are important to resolve in order to evaluate potential effects of these Michigan Basin solute sources on the Great Lakes’ sediment biogeochemistry and water quality.

Historical cisco Coregonus artedi population collapses in Green Bay, Lake Michigan, and Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron, during the 1950s

AbstractCoregonus populations across their Holarctic range have often undergone unexplained collapses. Here, we document causes of collapse for two of the largest Coregonus populations in the world, cisco (C. artedi) in Green Bay, Lake Michigan, and Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron, during the 1950s. We used simulation models, rank‐order correlations, and historical literature to evaluate effects of overfishing, interactions with introduced rainbow smelt (Osmerus mordax), and overwinter bottom hypoxia on both cisco populations. Fully selected exploitation rates for cisco were alarmingly high (0.82–0.84), correlations and anecdotal evidence suggested negative interactions with rainbow smelt, and extensive areas of hypoxia coincident with cisco declines suggested incubation of cisco embryos was impaired regionally. Our findings suggested that negative effects of rainbow smelt were mainly responsible for the cisco population collapse in Green Bay and that overfishing and hypoxia had suppressed the Saginaw Bay cisco population before rainbow smelt caused its final collapse.

Revisiting the timing of Saginaw lobe ice retreat and implications for drainage adjustments across southern Michigan, USA

Understanding the behavior of paleo-ice sheets in response to past climate change and land surface processes can provide insights into the interplay between the atmosphere, ocean surface, and the cryosphere, which helps update current climate models and understand landscape evolution. The timing of the advancement and retreat of ice lobes along Quaternary ice sheet margins and their link to ocean surface temperature fluctuation are of particular interest. The Saginaw lobe along the southern margin of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) was bound by the Lake Michigan and Huron-Erie lobes. It flowed out of Saginaw Bay, across Lower Michigan, and into northern Indiana. All three of these lobes retreated across the region asynchronously, with the Saginaw lobe retreating first. The asynchronous behavior of the lobes allowed the Lake Michigan and Huron-Erie lobes to overprint and alter landscapes once occupied by Saginaw lobe ice.Lacustrine sediments within the Sturgis Moraine, deposited during the Saginaw lobe retreat in extreme southwestern Michigan, yielded optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) ages of 30.1 ± 1.8, 28.7 ± 1.5 and 25.2 ± 1.9 ka. An additional radiocarbon date (22.22 ± 0.8 cal ka) was measured from bryophytes sampled near the base of an ice-walled lake plain atop the moraine. These dates indicate that deglaciation of the Saginaw lobe could have been underway in southwestern Michigan between ∼ 30 and 22 ka, while ice margins of the Huron-Erie and Lake Michigan lobes were further south in Indiana and Illinois. The new dates indicate that southwestern Michigan may have witnessed ice-free conditions four thousand years earlier than previously thought. Moreover, the paleo-hydrological analyses of southwestern Michigan using detailed surficial geology mapping, Lidar-based longitudinal and terrace profiles along meltwater channels, and OSL data indicate that meltwater originating from the Saginaw—Huron-Erie interlobate area drained westward across the Saginaw lobe terrain between ∼ 18.0 to 14.6 Ka ago. The findings call for revisiting the current understanding of the timing and behavior of the southern margins of the LIS and the Holocene landscape evolution in Michigan.

Predator telemetry informs temporal and spatial overlap with stocked salmonids in Lake Huron

Double-Crested Cormorants (Phalacrocorax auratus), Walleyes (Sander vitreus), and Lake Trout (Salvelinus namaycush) are migratory predators that undergo extensive movements in Lake Huron. Stocking of juvenile salmonid fish (Oncorhynchus and Salmo sp.) is an important component of fishery management in Lake Huron and assessing the spatial and temporal extent of predator movements is a useful consideration for determining when and where to stock juvenile fish to reduce predation and maximize survival. Previous investigation indicated that some Walleyes migrate to the main basin of Lake Huron in spring from Saginaw Bay. Similarly, telemetry studies of Lake Trout movement in Lake Huron have indicated an onshore movement in the spring. We used detection histories of Walleyes implanted with acoustic transmitters tagged in Saginaw Bay and Lake Trout implanted in northern Lake Huron to estimate the arrival date of migrating adults at eight ports in Lake Huron, where hatchery reared juvenile salmonids are stocked. Satellite telemetry of Cormorants that return to nesting grounds in northern Lake Huron were used to estimate their arrival dates at the same Lake Huron ports. Arrival of Walleye at Lake Huron ports ranged from April 10th to May 7th. Cormorants arrived earlier than Walleye at most Lake Huron ports (April 11th–April 18th). Lake Trout were more variable with a range of onshore movement from March 28th to May 16th. Our results suggested stocking efforts at these ports should generally occur before April 14th to decrease predatory impact from Cormorants, Walleyes, and Lake Trout.

White and longnose sucker diet composition in Lake Michigan and Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron

Sucker species (Catostomidae) are a common benthic invertivore in North American waterbodies yet are understudied in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Despite large biomass and potential competition with more economically valuable fish species, the diets of Great Lakes suckers are poorly described. We explored the gut contents of adult white suckers (Catostomus commersonii) in Lake Michigan and Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron, and longnose suckers (Catostomus catostomus) in Lake Michigan. Chironomidae was a primary prey for white suckers in both lakes, along with Amphipoda in Saginaw Bay. For longnose suckers in Lake Michigan, gut contents were dominated by Amphipoda and Isopoda. Relative to other benthic invertebrate taxa, white suckers positively selected Chironomidae as preferred prey (indexed via Chesson’s alpha). Moreover, the average length of consumed Chironomidae and Amphipoda increased with white sucker length, suggesting preferential size selection of prey as suckers grow. Although dreissenid mussels are overwhelmingly abundant in the benthos of Lake Michigan and Lake Huron, relatively few dreissenid mussels were consumed by either sucker species. Thus, suckers are unlikely to contribute to the control of these invasive invertebrates.

Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021

The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 ^circ{rm C}/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 ^circ{rm C}/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region.

Distributions of Cisco (Coregonus artedi) in the upper Great Lakes in the mid-twentieth century, when populations were in decline.

The restoration of the once abundant Cisco (Coregonus artedi) is a management interest across the Laurentian Great Lakes. To inform the restoration, we (1) described historical distributions of Cisco and (2) explored whether non-indigenous Rainbow Smelt (Osmerus mordax) and Alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus) played a role in the decline of Cisco populations across the upper Great Lakes (i.e., Lakes Superior, Michigan, and Huron). Our source data were collected from fishery-independent surveys conducted by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's research vessel R/V Cisco in 1952-1962. By analyzing data collected by gill-net surveys, we confirmed the importance of embayment and shallow-water habitats to Cisco. We found that Cisco was abundant in Whitefish Bay and Keweenaw Bay, Lake Superior, and in Green Bay, Lake Michigan, but we also found a sign of Cisco extirpation in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron. Our results also showed that Ciscoes generally stayed in waters <80 m in bottom depth throughout the year. However, a substantial number of Ciscoes stayed in very deep waters (>150 m in bottom depth) in summer and fall in Lake Michigan, although we cannot exclude the possibility that these Ciscoes had hybridized with the other Coregonus species. By comparing complementary data collected from bottom-trawl surveys, we concluded that the spatiotemporal overlap between Rainbow Smelt and Cisco likely occurred across the upper Great Lakes throughout 1952-1962. These data were consistent with the hypothesis that Rainbow Smelt played a role in the decline of Cisco populations across the upper Great Lakes in the period. We also found that the spatiotemporal overlap between Alewife and Cisco likely occurred only in Saginaw Bay in fall 1956 and in Lake Michigan after 1960. Thus, any potential recovery of Cisco after the 1950s could have been inhibited by Alewife in Lakes Michigan and Huron.

Impacts of an invasive filter-feeder on bacterial biodiversity are context dependent.

Bacteria represent most of the biodiversity and play key roles in virtually every ecosystem. In doing so, bacteria act as part of complex communities shaped by interactions across all domains of life. Here, we report on direct interactions between bacteria and dreissenid mussels, a group of invasive filter-feeders threatening global aquatic systems due to high filtration rates. Previous studies showed that dreissenids can impact bacterial community structure by changing trait distributions and abundances of specific taxa. However, studies on bacterial community effects were conducted using water from Lake Michigan (an oligotrophic lake) only, and it is unknown whether similar patterns are observed in systems with differing nutrient regimes. We conducted ten short-term dreissenid grazing experiments in 2019 using water from two eutrophic lake regions-the western basin of Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay in Lake Huron. Predation by dreissenids led to decline in overall bacterial abundance and diversity in both lakes. However, feeding on bacteria was not observed during every experiment. We also found that traits related to feeding resistance are less phylogenetically conserved than previously thought. Our results highlight the role of temporal, spatial, and genomic heterogeneity in bacterial response dynamics to a globally important invasive filter feeder.

Biofouling of a unionid mussel by dreissenid mussels in nearshore zones of the Great Lakes.

In North America, native unionid mussels are imperiled due to factors such as habitat degradation, pollution, and invasive species. One of the most substantial threats is that posed by dreissenid mussels, which are invasive mussels that attach to hard substrates including unionid shells and can restrict movement and feeding of unionids. This dreissenid mussel biofouling of unionids varies spatially in large ecosystems, such as the Great Lakes, with some areas having low enough biofouling to form effective refugia where unionid mussels might persist. Here, we measured biofouling on mussels suspended in cages over the growing season (generally first week in June to last week of August) over 3 years in nearshore areas in Lake Erie (2014-2016), Lake Michigan (Grand Traverse Bay, 2015 and Green Bay, 2016), and Lake Huron (2015). Biofouling varied substantially by years within Lake Erie, with increasingly higher biofouling rates each year. Although dreissenid mussels are present throughout these lakes, we observed very low biofouling in Grand Traverse Bay (Lake Michigan) and Saginaw Bay (Lake Huron), with no dreissenid mussels in 8 of 9 sites across these two bays. Sampling in the rivermouth of the Fox River (Wisconsin) and the Maumee River (Ohio) both showed very high biofouling in areas adjacent to the outlet of these tributaries into Green Bay and Maumee Bay (Lake Erie), respectively. These watersheds are dominated by agriculture, and we would expect high growth of primary producers (i.e., mussel food) and primary consumers (unionids and zebra mussels) in these areas compared to the other sampled bays or the open waters of the Great Lakes.

Cyanobacterial Bloom Phenology in Green Bay Using MERIS Satellite Data and Comparisons with Western Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay

Cyanobacteria blooms have been reported to be increasing worldwide. In addition to potentially causing major economic and ecological damage, these blooms can threaten human health. Furthermore, these blooms can be exacerbated by a warming climate. One approach to monitoring and modeling cyanobacterial biomass is to use processed satellite imagery to obtain long-term data sets. In this paper, an existing algorithm for estimating cyanobacterial biomass previously developed for MERIS is validated for Green Bay using cyanobacteria biovolume estimates obtained from field samples. Once the algorithm was validated, the existing MERIS imagery was used to determine the bloom phenology of the cyanobacterial biomass in Green Bay. Modeled datasets of heat flux (as a proxy for stratification), wind speed, water temperature, and gelbstoff absorption along with in situ river discharge data were used to separate bloom seasons in Green Bay from bloom seasons in nearby cyanobacteria bloom hotspots including western Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay. Of the ten-year MERIS dataset used here, the highest five years were considered “high bloom” years, and the lowest five years from biomass were considered “low bloom” years and these definitions were used to separate Green Bay. Green Bay had a strong relationship with gelbstoff absorption making it unique among the water bodies, while western Lake Erie responded strongly with river discharge as previously reported. Saginaw Bay, which has low interannual bloom variability, did not exhibit a largely influential single parameter.

Fungal community dynamics associated with harmful cyanobacterial blooms in two Great Lakes

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) impose major costs on aquatic ecosystems worldwide, including the Laurentian Great Lakes. Microbial consumers, including fungi, can have important interactions with bloom-forming algae and cyanobacteria, although relatively few studies have investigated the relationship between fungi and HABs. We examined changes in the aquatic fungal community coincident with the occurrence of large cyanobacterial blooms in two areas of the Great Lakes (western Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron). We collected water samples over the course of bloom development, peak, and decline from 3 sites in western Lake Erie on 11 dates and 2 sites in Saginaw Bay on 4 dates. Single molecule sequencing (PacBio RS II) with two molecular markers (the internal transcribed spacer (ITS) of the rRNA locus using fungal-specific primers and the 18S rRNA with primers targeting early-diverging lineages of fungi) was used to estimate fungal community composition. Results indicate a diverse fungal community within the lakes, including several major fungal phyla. The Chytridiomycota were particularly well-represented (54.8% and 45.4% of ITS and 18S sequences, respectively), and we also found representation from both Cryptomycota and Aphelidiomycota, which are putatively obligate intracellular parasites. Further, we found associations between the fungal community (alpha diversity; community composition) and measures of bloom magnitude (chlorophyll a, phycocyanin, and microcystin concentrations) in western Lake Erie. Our results suggest potentially important spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the fungal community that motivates further research on functional importance of fungi in the Great Lakes and consequences for HABs and freshwater ecosystems more broadly.

Factors driving the spatial distribution of microplastics in nearshore and offshore sediment of Lake Huron, North America

Offshore and nearshore sediment samples from Lake Huron, North America, were analysed for microplastics. Normalized abundances ranged from 59 to 335,714 particles per kg of dry weight sediment (p kg−1 dw). Of the four main basins of Lake Huron, the North Channel contained the greatest microplastic abundances, averaging 47,398 p kg−1 dw, followed by Georgian Bay (21,390 p kg−1 dw), the main basin (15,910 p kg−1 dw) and Saginaw Bay (1592 p kg−1 dw). Results indicate that greater lake depths (p = 0.004), associated with finer grained sediment (p = 0.048), are significant zones of deposition. Regression analysis reveals that source-driven factors generally do not account for microplastic abundances and distribution. Instead, process-driven hydrodynamic forces such as waves and surface currents could be driving distribution and deposition into the offshore environment. The findings suggest that these often overlooked processes should be considered when investigating microplastics quantity in bottom sediment of large lakes.

An evaluation of fish spawning on degraded and remnant reefs in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron

Saginaw Bay is a shallow, nutrient-rich embayment in Lake Huron that historically had a complex network of natural rocky reefs. These reef habitats were used as spawning and nursery areas for a variety of fish species, but decades of land-use related sedimentation caused many of these reefs to be degraded. Our study objectives were to analyze abiotic and biotic conditions on degraded and remnant reefs and describe spawning patterns of walleye (Sander vitreus) and lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) at these sites to determine the potential for increased utilization following reef restoration. During fall and spring 2014–2016, we evaluated water quality and egg predation at four sites with varying levels of reef degradation. Further, we documented reproductive utilization through capture of spawning adults and quantification of egg deposition. Walleye and lake whitefish utilized multiple sites for reproduction; however, densities of spawners and deposited eggs were low, suggesting that they were not utilizing study sites as major spawning locations. Walleye and lake whitefish eggs were eaten by multiple fish species, including larger fish such as channel catfish (Ictalurus punctatus). Dissolved oxygen levels were adequate (i.e., >7 mg 02 L−1) during spring walleye egg incubation; however, bottom dissolved oxygen levels became very low at some sites during winter ice cover, coinciding with lake whitefish egg incubation. As restoration of rocky reefs proceeds in the Bay, evidence of remnant reef spawning fish bodes well for long-term success, though potential limiting factors such as low dissolved oxygen, sedimentation, and egg predation require continued monitoring.

Validation and Projections of Climate Characteristics in the Saginaw Bay Watershed, MI, for Hydrologic Modeling Applications

Fundamental differences in the nature of climate and hydrologic models make coupling of future climate projections to models of watershed hydrology challenging. This study uses the NCAR Weather Research and Forecast model (WRF) to dynamically downscale climate simulations over the Saginaw Bay Watershed, MI and prepare the results for input into semi-distributed hydrologic models. One realization of the bias-corrected NCAR CESM1 model's RCP 8.5 climate scenario is dynamically downscaled at a spatial resolution of 3 km by 3 km for the end of the twenty-first century and validated based on a downscaled run for the end of the twentieth century in comparison to ASOS and NWS COOP stations. Bias-correction is conducted using Quantile Mapping to correct daily maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity for use in future hydrologic model experiments. In the Saginaw Bay Watershed the end of the twenty-first century is projected to see maximum and minimum average daily temperatures warming by 5.7 and 6.3°C respectively. Precipitation characteristics over the watershed show an increase in mean annual precipitation (average of +14.3 mm over the watershed), mainly due to increases in precipitation intensity (average of +0.3 mm per precipitation day) despite a decrease in frequency of −10.7 days per year. The projected changes have substantial implications for watershed processes including flood prediction, erosion, mobilization of non-point source and legacy contaminants, and evapotranspirative demand, among others. We present these results in the context of usefulness of the downscaled and bias corrected data for semi-distributed hydrologic modeling.

How Many Ciscoes Are Needed for Stocking in the Laurentian Great Lakes?

Abstract Historically, Cisco Coregonus artedi and deepwater ciscoes Coregonus spp. were the most abundant and ecologically important fish species in the Laurentian Great Lakes, but anthropogenic influences caused nearly all populations to collapse by the 1970s. Fishery managers have begun exploring the feasibility of restoring populations throughout the basin, but questions regarding hatchery propagation and stocking remain. We used historical and contemporary stock-recruit parameters previously estimated for Ciscoes in Wisconsin waters of Lake Superior, with estimates of age-1 Cisco rearing habitat (broadly defined as total hectares ≤ 80 m depth) and natural mortality, to estimate how many fry (5.5 mo posthatch), fall fingerling (7.5 mo posthatch), and age-1 (at least 12 mo posthatch) hatchery-reared Ciscoes are needed for stocking in the Great Lakes to mimic recruitment rates in Lake Superior, a lake that has undergone some recovery. Estimated stocking densities suggested that basin-wide stocking would require at least 6.41 × 108 fry, 4.69 × 108 fall fingerlings, or 3.43 × 108 age-1 fish for a simultaneous restoration effort targeting historically important Cisco spawning and rearing areas in Lakes Huron, Michigan, Erie, Ontario, and Saint Clair. Numbers required for basin-wide stocking were considerably greater than current or planned coregonine production capacity, thus simultaneous stocking in the Great Lakes is likely not feasible. Provided current habitat conditions do not preclude Cisco restoration, managers could maximize the effectiveness of available production capacity by concentrating stocking efforts in historically important spawning and rearing areas, similar to the current stocking effort in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron. Other historically important Cisco spawning and rearing areas within each lake (listed in no particular order) include 1) Thunder Bay in Lake Huron, 2) Green Bay in Lake Michigan, 3) the islands near Sandusky, Ohio, in western Lake Erie, and 4) the area near Hamilton, Ontario, and Bay of Quinte in Lake Ontario. Our study focused entirely on Ciscoes but may provide a framework for describing future stocking needs for deepwater ciscoes.

Measuring the Impact of the COVID-19 Shutdown on Great Lakes Water Quality Using Remote Sensing

The states of Michigan and Ohio issued shutdown orders in mid-March 2020 in an attempt to slow the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19), resulting in widespread disruption to economic and human activity. This study, which was commissioned by NASA headquarters, utilized satellite remote sensing data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite sensor onboard the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership satellite to investigate whether these changes in activity led to any short-term changes in water quality in the Great Lakes region by comparing 2020 data to a historic baseline. The water quality parameters examined included chlorophyll-a (CHL) and total suspended solids (TSS) concentrations, water clarity, and harmful algal bloom (HAB) extent. These parameters were investigated in two Great Lakes basins which experience significant anthropogenic pressure: the western basin of Lake Erie (WBLE) and Saginaw Bay in Lake Huron (SBLH). TSS concentrations in April 2020 were below the historic baseline in both basins, and largely remained low until September. SBLH also experienced elevated CHL concentrations in April which persisted through the summer. Additionally, the WBLE HAB extent was down in 2020 after an early end to the growing season. However, this investigation found that the COVID-19 shutdowns were likely not a direct driver of these short-term anomalies. Instead, recent trends in the indicators and co-occurring anomalies in hydrological and meteorological conditions (e.g., lake temperature, river discharge, and wind speed) appeared to be more responsible for the detected water quality changes. Future work will investigate whether the shutdowns have a long-term or delayed impact on Great Lakes water quality.

Mapping Invasive Phragmites australis Using Unoccupied Aircraft System Imagery, Canopy Height Models, and Synthetic Aperture Radar

Invasive plant species are an increasing worldwide threat both ecologically and financially. Knowing the location of these invasive plant infestations is the first step in their control. Surveying for invasive Phragmites australis is particularly challenging due to limited accessibility in wetland environments. Unoccupied aircraft systems (UAS) are a popular choice for invasive species management due to their ability to survey challenging environments and their high spatial and temporal resolution. This study tested the utility of three-band (i.e., red, green, and blue; RGB) UAS imagery for mapping Phragmites in the St. Louis River Estuary in Minnesota, U.S.A. and Saginaw Bay in Michigan, U.S.A. Iterative object-based image analysis techniques were used to identify two classes, Phragmites and Not Phragmites. Additionally, the effectiveness of canopy height models (CHMs) created from two data types, UAS imagery and commercial satellite stereo retrievals, and the RADARSAT-2 horizontal-horizontal (HH) polarization were tested for Phragmites identification. The highest overall classification accuracy of 90% was achieved when pairing the UAS imagery with a UAS-derived CHM. Producer’s accuracy for the Phragmites class ranged from 3 to 76%, and the user’s accuracies were above 90%. The Not Phragmites class had user’s and producer’s accuracies above 88%. Inclusion of the RADARSAT-2 HH polarization caused a slight reduction in classification accuracy. Commercial satellite stereo retrievals increased commission errors due to decreased spatial resolution and vertical accuracy. The lowest classification accuracy was seen when using only the RGB UAS imagery. UAS are promising for Phragmites identification, but the imagery should be used in conjunction with a CHM.

Comparative analysis of Microcystis buoyancy in western Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay of Lake Huron

Microcystis is the predominant genus of harmful cyanobacterium in both Lake Erie and Saginaw Bay of Lake Huron and has the capacity to regulate the buoyancy of its colonies, sinking under certain conditions while floating towards the surface in others. Understanding the factors that control buoyancy is critical for interpretation of remote sensing data, modeling and forecasting harmful algal blooms within these two systems. To determine if Microcystis colony buoyancy in the two lakes responds similarly to diurnal light cycles, colony buoyant velocity (floating/sinking terminal velocity in a quiescent water column) and size were measured after manipulating the intensity of sunlight. Overall, there were more positively buoyant (floating) colonies in Lake Erie while most of the colonies in Saginaw Bay were negatively buoyant (sinking). In Lake Erie the colonies became less buoyant at increased light intensities and were less buoyant in the afternoon than in the morning. In both lakes, apparent colony density was more variable among small colonies (< 200 µm), whereas larger colonies showed a diminished response of density to light intensity and duration. These findings suggest that colony density becomes less plastic as colonies increase in size, leading to a weak relationship between size and velocity. These relationships may ultimately affect how the bloom is transported throughout each system and will help explain observed differences in vertical distribution and movement of Microcystis in the two lakes.