We aimed to assess the associations between sociodemographic, mental, and physical health factors and incident depressive symptoms (IDS) among ageing men and women in rural South Africa over time. Data from the 7-year South African longitudinal Health and Ageing in Africa INDEPTH Community study (HAALSI: 2015–2022) were used in the analysis (study sample: n = 3 122, aged 40 and older). The proportion of IDS was in 28.2% in 2019 and 30.0% in 2022 among men, and 30.3% in 2019 and 2022 among women. Among men, the adjusted model indicated that older age, food insecurity, poor life satisfaction, physical pain, functional disability, diabetes, kidney disease, anaemia, and obesity were positively associated, and hypertension was negatively associated with IDS. Among women, food insecurity, poor life satisfaction, physical pain, and diabetes were positively associated, and current smokeless tobacco use was negatively associated with IDS. By sex, a high proportion of IDS were found, as was the prevalence of food insecurity, poor life satisfaction, physical pain, and diabetes associated with IDS. Among older men only, older age, functional disability, kidney disease, anaemia, and obesity, but not hypertension were associated with higher odds for IDS. Among older women, only current smokeless tobacco use was negatively associated with IDS. Interventions addressing the risk for depression should consider specific sex differences.
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