Risk Factors For 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Distal Pancreatectomy: Extent of Resection Determines Surgical Risk Categories.

Recently, subclassification of pancreatoduodenectomy in 4 differing types has been reported, because additional major vascular and multivisceral resections have been shown to be associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. To classify distal pancreatectomy (DP) based on the extent of resection and technical difficulty and to evaluate postoperative outcomes with regards to this classification system. All consecutive patients who had undergone DP between 2001 and 2020 in a high-volume pancreatic surgery center were included in this study. DPs were subclassified into 4 distinct categories reflecting the extent of resection and technical difficulty, including standard DP (type 1), DP with venous (type 2), multivisceral (type 3), or arterial resection (type 4). Patient characteristics, perioperative data, and postoperative outcomes were analyzed and compared among the 4 groups. A total of 2135 patients underwent DP. Standard DP was the most frequently performed procedure (64.8%). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 1.6%. Morbidity rates were higher in patients with additional vascular or multivisceral resections, and 90-day mortality gradually increased with the extent of resection from standard DP to DP with arterial resection (type 1: 0.7%; type 2: 1.3%; type 3: 3%; type 4: 8.7%; P <0.0001). Multivariable analysis confirmed the type of DP as an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality. Postoperative outcomes after DP depend on the extent of resection and correlate with the type of DP. The implementation of the 4-type classification system allows standardized reporting of surgical outcomes after DP improving comparability of future studies.

Impact of Hypocalcemia on the Prognosis of Patients with Acute Myocarditis.

Acute viral myocarditis is a serious complication of viral infectious diseases, including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). To better understand the pathogenesis of acute viral myocarditis, we retrospectively analyzed the incidence and prognostic significance of hypocalcemia among patients with acute myocarditis, most of whom were considered to have acute viral myocarditis. We retrospectively reviewed the demographic and clinical data of patients with clinically confirmed acute myocarditis treated in our hospital over a 13-year period from 2006 to 2019, including laboratory results, cardiac imaging findings, and clinical outcomes. These data were compared between lower, middle, and higher calcium groups depending on the minimum calcium level measured during hospitalization. Among the 288 patients with acute myocarditis included, the hypocalcemia group (lower calcium group) had poorer clinical and laboratory results, received more medications and device support, and experienced poorer outcomes, including heart failure, arrhythmias, and death. Specifically, the left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly lower, and the length of hospital stay was significantly longer in the hypocalcemia group than in the other two groups. Furthermore, the incidence rates of atrioventricular block, ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation, cardiogenic shock, and mortality were significantly higher in the hypocalcemia group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified hypocalcemia as an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in patients with acute myocarditis. In conclusion, the clinical evidence provided by the present study indicates that hypocalcemia is a risk factor for poorer outcomes in patients with acute myocarditis that should be considered carefully in the diagnosis and treatment of these patients.

Abdominal perfusion pressure in critically ill cirrhotic patients: a prospective observational study

In critical patients, abdominal perfusion pressure (APP) has been shown to correlate with outcome. However, data from cirrhotic patients is scarce. We aimed to characterize APP in critically ill cirrhotic patients, analyze the prevalence and risk factors of abdominal hypoperfusion (AhP) and outcomes. A prospective cohort study in a general ICU specialized in liver disease at a tertiary hospital center recruited consecutive cirrhotic patients between October 2016 and December 2021. The study included 101 patients, with a mean age of 57.2 (± 10.4) years and a female gender proportion of 23.5%. The most frequent etiology of cirrhosis was alcohol (51.0%), and the precipitant event was infection (37.3%). ACLF grade (1–3) distribution was 8.9%, 26.7% and 52.5%, respectively. A total of 1274 measurements presented a mean APP of 63 (± 15) mmHg. Baseline AhP prevalence was 47%, independently associated with paracentesis (aOR 4.81, CI 95% 1.46–15.8, p = 0.01) and ACLF grade (aOR 2.41, CI 95% 1.20–4.85, p = 0.01). Similarly, AhP during the first week (64%) had baseline ACLF grade (aOR 2.09, CI 95% 1.29–3.39, p = 0.003) as a risk factor. Independent risk factors for 28-day mortality were bilirubin (aOR 1.10, CI 95% 1.04–1.16, p < 0.001) and SAPS II score (aOR 1.07, CI 95% 1.03–1.11, p = 0.001). There was a high prevalence of AhP in critical cirrhotic patients. Abdominal hypoperfusion was independently associated with higher ACLF grade and baseline paracentesis. Risk factors for 28-day mortality included clinical severity and total bilirubin. The prevention and treatment of AhP in the high-risk cirrhotic patient is prudential.

Bloodstream infections due to Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae in hematological patients: assessment of risk factors for mortality and treatment options

PurposeBloodstream infection (BSI) caused by Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) are associated with poor outcomes in hematological patients. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for mortality and evaluate the value of epidemiological feature of carbapenemases in guiding antimicrobial treatment options.MethodsHematological patients with monomicrobial CRE BSI between January 2012 and April 2021 were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality 30 days after BSI onset.ResultsA total of 94 patients were documented in the study period. Escherichia coli was the most common Enterobacteriaceae, followed by Klebsiella pneumoniae. 66 CRE strains were tested for carbapenemase genes, and 81.8% (54/66) were positive, including NDM (36/54), KPC (16/54), IMP (1/54). Besides, one E. coli isolate was found to express both NDM and OXA-48-like genes. Overall, 28 patients received an antimicrobial treatment containing ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZ-AVI), of which 21 cases were combined with aztreonam. The remaining 66 patients were treated with other active antibiotics (OAAs). The 30-day mortality rate was 28.7% (27/94) for all patients, and was only 7.1% ((2/28) for patients treated with CAZ-AVI. In multivariate analysis, the presence of septic shock at BSI onset (OR 10.526, 95% CI 1.376–76.923) and pulmonary infection (OR 6.289, 95% CI 1.351–29.412) were independently risk factors for 30-day mortality. Comparing different antimicrobial regimens, CAZ-AVI showed a significant survive benefit than OAAs (OR 0.068, 95% CI 0.007–0.651).ConclusionCAZ-AVI-containing regimen is superior to OAAs for CRE BSI. As the predominance of blaNDM in our center, we recommend the combination with aztreonam when choose CAZ-AVI.

Prognostic Role of Serum Albumin in Predicting 30-Day Mortality in Patients with Infections in Emergency Department: A Prospective Study.

Infections in emergency departments (EDs) are insidious clinical conditions characterised by high rates of hospitalisation and mortality in the short-to-medium term. The serum albumin, recently demonstrated as a prognostic biomarker in septic patients in intensive care units, could be an early marker of severity upon arrival of infected patients in the ED. To confirm the possible prognostic role of the albumin concentration recorded upon arrival of patients with infection. A prospective single-centre study was performed in the ED of the General Hospital of Merano, Italy, between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2021. All enrolled patients with infection were tested for serum albumin concentration. The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. The predictive role of albumin was assessed by logistic regression and decision tree analysis adjusted for Charlson comorbidity index, national early warning score, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score. 962 patients with confirmed infection were enrolled. The median SOFA score was 1 (0-3) and the mean serum albumin level was 3.7 g/dL (SD 0.6). Moreover, 8.9% (86/962) of patients died within 30 days. Albumin was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.767 (95% CI 2.192-6.437), p < 0.001. Decision tree analysis indicated that at low SOFA scores, albumin had a good predictive ability, indicating a progressive mortality risk reduction in concentrations above 2.75 g/dL (5.2%) and 3.52 g/dL (2%). Serum albumin levels at ED admission are predictive of 30-day mortality in infected patients, showing better predictive abilities in patients with low-to-medium SOFA scores.

Outcomes of the arterial switch for transposition during infancy using a standardized approach over 30 years.

The aim of this study was to describe the early and late outcomes of the arterial switch for transposition. A single-centre retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the early and late outcomes of arterial switch performed during infancy using a standardized institutional approach between 1988 and 2018, compared by morphological groups. A total of 749 consecutive patients undergoing arterial switch during infancy were included, 464 (61.9%) with intact septum, 163 (21.8%) with isolated ventricular septal defect and 122 (16.3%) with complex transposition with associated lesions, including 67 (8.9%) with Taussig-Bing anomaly. There were 34 early deaths [4.5%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.1-6.1] with only 10 (2.6%) early deaths since 2000. Complex morphology (odds ratio 11.44, 95% CI 4.76-27.43) and intramural coronary artery (odds ratio 5.17, 95% CI 1.61-15.91) were identified as the most important risk factors for 90-day mortality. Overall survival was 92.7% (95% CI 90.8-94.6) at 5 years and 91.9% (95% CI 89.9-94.1) at 20 years; in hospital survivors, there were 15 (2.1%) late deaths during a median follow-up of 13.7 years. Cumulative incidence of surgical or catheter reintervention was 16.0% (95% CI 14.5-17.5) at 5 years and 22.7% (95% CI 21.0-24.0) at 20 years; early and late reinterventions were more common in the complex group, with no difference between the other groups. Using a standardized approach, the arterial switch can be performed with low early mortality, moderate rates of reintervention and excellent long-term survival. Concomitant lesions were the most important risk factor for early death and were associated with increased risk of late reintervention.

Predictive value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio for risk of 28-day mortality in patients with severe pneumonia

Abstract Objectives To explore the predictive value of C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin (ALB) ratio (CAR) for the risk of 28-day mortality in patients with severe pneumonia. Methods A total of 152 patients with severe pneumonia treated from January 2020 to January 2022 were enrolled and assigned into survival group (n=107) and death group (n=45) according to their survival status after treatment for 28 d. Their clinical data were compared, and the influencing factors for 28-day mortality were explored by multiple logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to assess the value of CAR for predicting 28-day mortality risk. A risk prediction model was constructed, and its prediction efficiency was evaluated. Results The death group had significantly older age, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, Murray Lung Injury Score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, red cell volume distribution width, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), fibrinogen, procalcitonin, blood lactic acid (Lac), CRP and CAR and significantly lower oxygenation index and ALB than those of the survival group (p&lt;0.05). APACHE II score, NLR, Lac and CAR were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality (p&lt;0.05). AUC of the established prediction model was 0.826, with sensitivity of 88.45 % and specificity of 87.32 %, indicating high discrimination. The nomogram model had clinical value when the risk threshold probability was 11–93 %. Conclusions CAR is an independent risk factor that shows a high predictive value for the 28-day mortality risk in patients with severe pneumonia.

Association of mortality with fludrocortisone addition to hydrocortisone treatment among septic shock patients: a propensity score matching analysis.

Several clinical trials of corticosteroids have been carried out in the treatment of septic shock, however, the therapeutic effect of the most widely used hydrocortisone is still controversial, and no studies have directly compared hydrocortisone versus hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone for patients with septic shock. Baseline characteristics and treatment regimens of patients with septic shock treated with hydrocortisone from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database were collected. Patients were divided into hydrocortisone treatment groups and hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone treatment groups. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality, and secondary outcomes included 28-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, and length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay. Binomial Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for mortality. Survival analysis was performed and Kaplan-Meier curves were drawn for patients in different treatment groups. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to reduce bias. Six hundred and fifty three patients were enrolled, of which 583 were treated with hydrocortisone alone, and 70 with hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone. After PSM, 70 patients were included in each group. The proportion of patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) and the proportion of renal replacement therapy (RRT) treatment in the hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone group were higher than those in the hydrocortisone alone group, and there was no significant difference in other baseline characteristics. Compared with hydrocortisone alone, hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone did not reduce the 90-day mortality (after PSM, relative risk/RR = 1.07, 95%CI 0.75-1.51), 28-day mortality (after PSM, RR = 0.82, 95%CI 0.59-1.14) and in-hospital mortality (after PSM, RR = 0.79, 95%CI 0.57-1.11) of the enrolled patients, nor did it affect the length of hospital stay (after PSM, 13.9 days vs. 10.9 days, p = 0.34) and ICU stay (after PSM, 6.0 days vs. 3.7 days, p = 0.14), and the survival analysis showed no statistically significant difference in the corresponding survival time. After PSM, binomial Logistic regression analysis showed that SAPS II score was an independent risk factor for 28-day morality (OR = 1.04, 95%CI 1.02-1.06, p < 0.01) and in-hospital morality (OR = 1.04, 95%CI 1.01-1.06, p < 0.01), while hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone was not an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality (OR = 0.88, 95%CI 0.43-1.79, p = 0.72), 28-day morality (OR = 1.50, 95%CI 0.77-2.91, p = 0.24), or in-hospital morality (OR = 1.58, 95%CI 0.81-3.09, p = 0.18). In the treatment of patients with septic shock, hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone did not reduce 90-day mortality, 28-day mortality, and in-hospital mortality compared with hydrocortisone alone, and had no effect on the length of hospital stay and ICU stay.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for 30-day mortality in esophageal cancer patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a multicenter study.

Esophageal cancer is a highly malignant neoplasm with poor prognosis. Of its patients, upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is one of the most challenging and threatening conditions in the emergency department (ED). However, no previous studies have analyzed the etiologies and clinical outcomes in this specific population. This study aimed to identify the clinical characteristics and risk factors for 30-day mortality in esophageal cancer patients with UGIB. This retrospective cohort study enrolled 249 adult patients with esophageal cancer presenting with UGIB in the ED. Patients was divided into the survivor and non-survivor groups, and their demographic information, medical history, comorbidities, laboratory parameters, and clinical findings were recorded. The factors associated with 30-day mortality were identified using Cox's proportional hazard model. Among the 249 patients in this study, 30-day mortality occurred in 47 patients (18.9%). The most common causes of UGIB were tumor ulcer (53.8%), followed by gastric/duodenal ulcer (14.5%), and arterial-esophageal fistula (AEF) (12.0%). Multivariate analyses indicated that underweight (HR = 2.02, p = 0.044), history of chronic kidney disease (HR = 6.39, p < 0.001), active bleeding (HR = 2.24, p = 0.039), AEF (HR = 2.23, p = 0.046), and metastatic lymph nodes (HR = 2.99, p = 0.021) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. The most common cause of UGIB in esophageal cancer patients was tumor ulcer. AEF, accounting for 12% of UGIB in our study, is not an uncommon cause. Underweight, underlying chronic kidney disease, active bleeding, AEF, and tumor N stage > 0 were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality.

Sarcopenia provides extra value outside the PULP score for predicting mortality in older patients with perforated peptic ulcers

BackgroundPerforated peptic ulcer (PPU) remains challenging surgically due to its high mortality, especially in older individuals. Computed tomography (CT)-measured skeletal muscle mass is a effective predictor of the surgical outcomes in older patients with abdominal emergencies. The purpose of this study is to assess whether a low CT-measured skeletal muscle mass can provide extra value in predicting PPU mortality.MethodsThis retrospective study enrolled older (aged ≥ 65 years) patients who underwent PPU surgery. Cross-sectional skeletal muscle areas and densities were measured by CT at L3 and patient-height adjusted to obtain the L3 skeletal muscle gauge (SMG). Thirty-day mortality was determined with univariate, multivariate and Kaplan–Meier analysis.ResultsFrom 2011 to 2016, 141 older patients were included; 54.8% had sarcopenia. They were further categorized into the PULP score ≤ 7 (n=64) or PULP score > 7 group (n=82). In the former, there was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between sarcopenic (2.9%) and nonsarcopenic patients (0%; p=1.000). However, in the PULP score > 7 group, sarcopenic patients had a significantly higher 30-day mortality (25.5% vs. 3.2%, p=0.009) and serious complication rate (37.3% vs. 12.9%, p=0.017) than nonsarcopenic patients. Multivariate analysis showed that sarcopenia was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in patients in the PULP score > 7 group (OR: 11.05, CI: 1.03-118.7).ConclusionCT scans can diagnose PPU and provide physiological measurements. Sarcopenia, defined as a low CT-measured SMG, provides extra value in predicting mortality in older PPU patients.

Ceftazidime/Avibactam, Polymyxin or Tigecycline as a Rescue Strategy for the Treatment of Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae in Bloodstream Infection: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

To analyze the clinical characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors of patients treated with ceftazidime/avibactam, polymyxin, or tigecycline (CPT) compared with those receiving a conventional therapy (CT) (ie, imipenem, levofloxacin, or gentamicin). A single-center retrospective cohort study included patients with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infection (CRKP-BSI) treated at one Chinese tertiary hospital between March 2012 and November 2022 was performed. Clinical characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors of patients treated with CPT or CT were compared. Predictors of 30-day mortality of patients with CRKP-BSI were also analysed in our study. Among 184 recruited patients with CRKP-BSI, 39.7% (73/184) were treated with CPT, while 60.3% (111/184) were treated with CT. Compared to patients treated with CT, patients treated with CPT had worse conditions, as evidenced by a higher rate of underlying diseases and invasive procedures; however, they also had a better prognosis and lower rates of 14-day treatment failure (p = 0.024). In addition, univariate analysis and multivariate analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.310, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.157-1.483; p < 0.001] and cold weather (OR = 3.658, 95% CI 1.474-9.081; p = 0.005) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. Compared to CRKP-BSI patients treated with CT, patients treated with CPT had worse conditions but better prognoses. CRKP-BSI occurred more frequently in hot weather; however, higher 30-day mortality was associated with cold weather. A randomized trial is needed to confirm these observational results.

Mortality-Related Risk Factors in Geriatric Patients with Hip Fracture.

Mortality rates after hip fractures increase by up to 30% with age. This study investigated the contribution of various parameters to prognosis and mortality. Our study prospectively examined patients with hip fracture aged 65 years and over who applied to the Atatürk University Medical Faculty Hospital Orthopedics Service in 2020-2021. The 120 patients included in the study had a mean age of 79.71±7.27 years, and 51.7% were female. Twenty patients (16.7%) died within the first 30 days after a hip fracture. They had a significantly lower median Lawton-Brody instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) scale score (p=0.045) and a higher rate of malnutrition according to the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) score (p=0.016). Additionally, these patients with 30-day mortality had a significantly lower rate of surgical treatment (p=0.027) and a longer time from injury to surgery (p=0.014). The time to surgery was a significant independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with each 1-hour delay increasing the odds of mortality by 1.066 (odds ratio [OR]=1.066; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.001-1.013; p=0.013). In addition, the presence of malnutrition was another independent risk factor that increased the odds of mortality by 4.166 times (OR=4.166; 95% CI, 1.285-13.427; p=0.017). We recommend placing more importance on supportive treatment in patients presenting with hip fractures, especially in those with malnutrition; performing surgical intervention as early as possible; and more closely following up with patients with the aforementioned risk factors.

Clinical Characteristics and Associated Factors for Mortality in Patients with Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae Bloodstream Infection.

Bloodstream infection (BSI) caused by carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) significantly influences patient morbidity and mortality. We aimed to identify the characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors of mortality in adult patients with CRE bacteremia and elucidate the differences between carbapenemase-producing (CP)-CRE BSI and non-CP-CRE BSI. This retrospective study included 147 patients who developed CRE BSI between January 2016 and January 2019 at a large tertiary care hospital in South Korea. The patient demographic characteristics and clinical and microbiological data including the Enterobacteriaceae species and carbapenemase type were obtained and analyzed. Klebsiella pneumoniae was the most commonly detected pathogen (80.3%), followed by Escherichia coli (15.0%). In total, 128 (87.1%) isolates were found to express carbapenemase, and most CP-CRE isolates harbored blaKPC. The 14-day and 30-day mortality rates for CRE BSI were 34.0% and 42.2%, respectively. Higher body mass index (odds ratio (OR), 1.123; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.012-1.246; p = 0.029), higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (OR, 1.206; 95% CI, 1.073-1.356; p = 0.002), and previous antibiotic use (OR, 0.163; 95% CI, 0.028-0.933; p = 0.042) were independent risk factors for the 14-day mortality. A high SOFA score (OR, 1.208; 95% CI; 1.081-0.349; p = 0.001) was the only independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Carbapenemase production and appropriate antibiotic treatment were not associated with high 14- or 30-day mortality rates. Mortality from CRE BSI was related to the severity of the infection rather than to carbapenemase production or antibiotic treatment, showing that efforts to prevent CRE acquisition rather than treatment following CRE BSI detection would be more effective at reducing mortality.

Age-related changes in plasma biomarkers and their association with mortality in COVID-19.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-induced mortality occurs predominantly in older patients. Several immunomodulating therapies seem less beneficial in these patients. The biological substrate behind these observations is unknown. The aim of this study was to obtain insight into the association between ageing, the host response and mortality in patients with COVID-19. We determined 43 biomarkers reflective of alterations in four pathophysiological domains: endothelial cell and coagulation activation, inflammation and organ damage, and cytokine and chemokine release. We used mediation analysis to associate ageing-driven alterations in the host response with 30-day mortality. Biomarkers associated with both ageing and mortality were validated in an intensive care unit and external cohort. 464 general ward patients with COVID-19 were stratified according to age decades. Increasing age was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Ageing was associated with alterations in each of the host response domains, characterised by greater activation of the endothelium and coagulation system and stronger elevation of inflammation and organ damage markers, which was independent of an increase in age-related comorbidities. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 and soluble thrombomodulin showed the strongest correlation with ageing and explained part of the ageing-driven increase in 30-day mortality (proportion mediated: 13.0%, 12.9% and 12.6%, respectively). Ageing is associated with a strong and broad modification of the host response to COVID-19, and specific immune changes likely contribute to increased mortality in older patients. These results may provide insight into potential age-specific immunomodulatory targets in COVID-19.

Initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

This study aimed to investigate the initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with those without HCC. A total of 245 patients with liver cirrhosis diagnosed with SBP between January 2004 and December 2020 were included. Of these, 107 (43.7%) were diagnosed with HCC. Overall, the rates of initial treatment failure, 7-day and 30-day mortality were 91 (37.1%), 42 (17.1%), and 89 (36.3%), respectively. While the baseline CTP score, MELD score, culture-positive rate, and rates of antibiotic resistance did not differ between both groups, patients with HCC had a higher rate of initial treatment failure than those without HCC patients (52.3% vs. 25.4%, P < 0.001). Similarly, 30-day mortality was also significantly higher in patients with HCC (53.3% vs. 23.2%, P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, HCC, renal impairment, CTP grade C, and antibiotic resistance were independent factors for initial treatment failure. Furthermore, HCC, hepatic encephalopathy, MELD score, and initial treatment failure were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality, with statistically significant poor survival outcomes in patients with HCC (P < 0.001). In conclusion, HCC is an independent risk factor for initial treatment failure and high short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis with SBP. It has been suggested that more attentive therapeutic strategies are required to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC and SBP.

Epidemiology and risk factors for mortality among methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremic patients in Southern Brazil.

This study aimed to evaluate the epidemiology and 30-day mortality of adult patients with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) bacteremia. We retrospectively reviewed the demographic and clinical data of adult patients with S. aureus bloodstream infections (BSI), admitted to a tertiary public teaching medical center in Porto Alegre, Southern Brazil, from January 2014 to December 2019. A total of 928 patients with S. aureus BSI were identified in the study period (68.5 per 100,000 patient-years), and the proportion of MRSA isolates was 22% (19-27%). Thus, 199 patients were included in the analyses. The median age was 62 (IQR: 51-74) years, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) median was 5 (IQR: 3-6), the Pitt bacteremia score (PBS) median was 1 (IQR: 1-4), and the most common site of infection was skin and soft tissue (26%). Most infections were hospital-acquired (54%), empirical anti-MRSA treatment was initiated in 34% of the cases, and in 44% vancomycin minimum inhibitory concentration was 1.5mg/L or above. Sixty-two (31.2%) patients died up to 30 days after the bacteremia episode. Patients with more comorbid conditions (higher CCI; aOR 1.222, p = 0.006) and a more severe presentation (higher PBS; aOR 1.726, p<0.001) were independently associated with mortality. Empiric antimicrobial therapy with an anti-MRSA regimen was associated with reduced mortality (aOR 0.319, p = 0.016). Our study identified significant risk factors for 30-day mortality in patients with MRSA BSI in a population with a high incidence of S. aureus bacteremia. Empiric treatment with an anti-MRSA drug was a protective factor. No significant variation in the incidence of S. aureus BSI was recorded throughout the period.

Potential Role of Extracellular CIRP in Total Aortic Arch Replacement under Hypothermic Circulatory Arrest

Objectives. To investigate the potential role of extracellular cold-inducible RNA-binding protein (CIRP) in total aortic arch replacement under hypothermic circulatory arrest. Methods. The serum extracellular CIRP levels at five time points in 96 patients with Stanford A aortic dissection were detected. Overall change trend of CIRP levels at five time points was described, and the risk factors for 30-day mortality after surgery were analyzed. Results. The serum extracellular CIRP levels increased gradually after surgery, starting to rise significantly at approximately 12 h postoperatively, reaching or approaching a peak at approximately 24 h postoperatively, and ceasing to rise significantly after approximately 48 h postoperatively. Age, troponin-I, urodilatin, cooling time, cardiopulmonary bypass time, cross-clamp time, duration of surgery, and CIRP level at the end of surgery in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group. Multivariable analysis indicated that CIRP level at the end of surgery, age, urodilatin, and cross-clamp time were independent risk factors for postoperative 30-day mortality. Conclusion. Extracellular CIRP is closely related to the perioperative condition and prognosis of hypothermic circulatory arrest.

Mortality of Surgically Treated Neurotrauma in Elderly Patients and the Development of a Prediction Score: Geriatric Neurotrauma Mortality Score

As the population worldwide is aging, the need for surgery in elderly patients with neurotrauma is increasing. The aim of this study was to compare the outcome of elderly patients undergoing surgery for neurotrauma with younger patients and to identify the risk factors for mortality. We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients undergoing craniotomy or craniectomy for neurotrauma at our institution from 2012 to 2019. Patients were divided into two groups (≥70 years or <70 years) and compared. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality rate. Potential risk factors for 30-day mortality were assessed in a uni- and multivariate regression model for both age groups, forming the basis of a 30-day mortality prediction score. We included 163 consecutive patients (average age 57.98 ± 19.87 years); 54 patients were ≥70 years. Patients ≥70 years showed a significantly better median preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score compared with young patients (P < 0.001), and fewer pupil asymmetry (P= 0.001), despite having a higher Marshall score (P= 0.07) at admission. Multivariate regression analysis identified low pre- and postoperative GCS scores and the lack of prompt postoperative prophylactic low-molecular-weight heparin treatment as risk factors for 30-day mortality. Our score showed moderate accuracy in predicting 30-day mortality with an area under the curve of 0.76. Elderly patients after neurotrauma present with a better GCS at admission despite having more severe radiographic injuries. Mortality and favorable outcome rates are comparable between the age groups.

Relationship Between the Expression of PD-1 and CTLA-4 on T Lymphocytes and the Severity and Prognosis of Sepsis.

The study aimed to investigate the relationship between the expression of PD-1 and CTLA-4 on the surface of peripheral blood T lymphocyte subsets in patients with sepsis and the severity and prognosis of the disease. The study included patients with sepsis who were admitted to the intensive care unit. The expression of PD-1 and CTLA-4 on T lymphocyte subsets was detected by flow cytometry, and the severity of sepsis was assessed using the SOFA score. The expression of PD-1 on CD4+T cells, PD-1 on Tregs, and CTLA-4 on Tregs increased with the severity of the disease (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PD-1 expression on CD4+T cells, CTLA-4 expression on Tregs, and the SOFA score were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis (P<0.05). The area under the curve of the SOFA score combined with the expression of PD-1 on CD4+T cells and CTLA-4 on Treg cells was significantly higher than any single indicator (P<0.05). Patients with high expression of PD-1 on CD4+T cells (>31.25%) and CTLA-4 on Tregs (>12.64%) had a lower 28-day survival rate (P<0.05). The increased expression of PD-1 and CTLA-4 on CD4+T cells and Tregs is significantly associated with the severity and prognosis of sepsis patients. The combination of the SOFA score and the expression of PD-1 on CD4+T cells and CTLA-4 on Tregs can further improve the prognostic predictive value. These findings may be promising biomarkers for prognostic assessment, risk stratification, and identification of immunosuppression in patients with sepsis.

Acute abdominal pain at referral emergency departments: an analysis of performance of three time-dependent quality indicators.

Abdominal pain is one of the most frequent causes for emergency department (ED) visits. The quality of care and outcomes are determined by time-dependent interventions with barriers to implementation at crowded EDs. The study aimed to analyze three prominent quality indicators (QI) including pain assessment (QI1), analgesia in patients reporting severe pain (QI2), and ED length of stay (LOS) (QI3) in adult patients requiring immediate or urgent care due to acute abdominal pain. We aimed to characterize current practice regarding pain management, and we hypothesized that extended ED LOS (≥ 360min) is associated with poor outcomes in this cohort of ED referrals. This is a retrospective cohort study enrolling all patients with acute abdominal pain as the main cause of ED presentation, triage category red, orange, or yellow, and age ≥ 30years during two months period. Univariate and multivariable analyses were deployed to determine independent risk factors for QIs performance. For QI1 and QI2, compliance with the QIs were analyzed, while 30-day mortality was set as primary outcome for QI3. Overall, 965 patients were analyzed including 501 (52%) males with a mean age of 61.8years. Seventeen percent (167/965) of the patients had immediate or very urgent triage category. Age ≥ 65years, and red and orange triage categories were risk factors for non-compliance with pain assessment. Seventy four per cent of patients with severe pain (numeric rating scale ≥ 7) received analgesia during the ED visit, in median within 64min (IQR 35-105min). Age ≥ 65years and need for surgical consultation were risk factors for prolonged ED stay. After adjustment to age, gender and triage category, ED LOS ≥ 360min proved to be independent risk factor for 30-day mortality (HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.71-3.40, p = 0.034). Our investigation identified that non-compliance with pain assessment, analgesia and ED length of stay among patients presenting with abdominal pain to ED results in poor quality of care and detrimental outcomes. Our data support enhanced quality-assessment initiatives for this subset of ED patients.