Risk Factors For 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Risk factors for readmission after sepsis and its association with mortality

BackgroundSepsis is associated with an approximately 20 % 30-day readmission rate and with subsequent mortality. ObjectivesTo determine the demographics, comorbidities that had been documented prior to sepsis onset, processes of care, commonly administered laboratory tests measured near discharge, and post-sepsis infections that may be associated with readmission and, secondarily, whether readmission is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality. MethodsUsing a database of patients who met Sepsis-3 criteria divided into Construction and Validation groups, we used logistic regression to estimate the factors independently associated with readmission within 30 days after discharge and proportional hazard regression to estimate the factors independently associated with 90-day mortality. ResultsOf the 30,798 patients ≥ 18 years at our combined referral and community hospital and were discharged alive who met Sepsis-3 criteria between July 10, 2009 and September 7, 2019, 5943 (19 %) were readmitted within 30 days. Thirteen thousand, four hundred forty-four (44 %) of the patients were female, 25,293 (82 %) White, 3523 (11 %) Black, and the mean age was 59 ± 17 years. Among the readmitted patients, 894 (15 %) died within 90 days from the original discharge compared to 11 % (p < 0.001) who had not been readmitted. Seven comorbidities, five processes of care (presepsis platelet transfusion, postsepsis platelet transfusion, operation, ICU length of stay, and hospital length of stay), five culture results, two discharge laboratory values, and discharge location were associated with readmission. The model had good discrimination, 0.770 ± 0.004 (Construction Group) and 0.748 ± 0.006 (Validation Group) and good relevancy (area under the precision recall curve), 0.390 ± 0.004 (Construction group) and 0.476 ± 0.005 (Validation group). Readmission within 30 days was independently associated with a 56 % higher risk of death (HR=1.562, 95 % CI=1.434, 1.703, p < 0.001) within 90 days from discharge. ConclusionsComorbidities, abnormal laboratory values, processes of care, and post-sepsis onset culture results, but not demographic characteristics, were associated with 30-day readmission. Readmission was associated with 90-day mortality.

Risk Factors, Pathogens, and Outcomes of Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia in Non-Cardiac Surgical Patients: A Retrospective Analysis.

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is a critical hospital-acquired infection following non-cardiac surgeries, leading to poor outcomes. This study identifies VAP risk factors in non-cardiac surgical patients and determines the causative pathogens. A retrospective analysis with 1:4 propensity-score matching was conducted on patients in a surgical intensive care unit (ICU) from 2010 to 2020 at a private tertiary medical center. Among 99 VAP patients, the mortality rate was 64.7%. VAP risk factors included prolonged mechanical ventilation (odds ratio [OR] 6.435; p < 0.001), repeat intubation (OR 6.438; p < 0.001), lower oxygenation levels upon ICU admission (OR 0.950; p < 0.001), and undergoing gastrointestinal surgery (OR 2.257; p = 0.021). The 30-day mortality risk factors in the VAP group were late-onset VAP (OR 3.450; p = 0.022), inappropriate antibiotic treatment (OR 4.083; p = 0.041), and undergoing gastrointestinal surgeries (OR 4.776; p = 0.019). Nearly half of the Gram-negative infections were resistant strains, and a third were polymicrobial infections. Non-cardiac surgical patients with VAP face adverse hospital outcomes. Identifying high-risk patients and understanding VAP's resistant and microbial nature are crucial for appropriate treatment and improved health outcomes.

Use of intraaortic balloon pump in cardiogenic shock patients.

The relevance of the use of intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) in cardiogenic shock (CS) has been discussed over the past years. The aim of this study is to describe asingle-centre 10-year experience with IABP and analyse the risk factors for 30-day mortality. The data for this single-centre, observational, retrospective study were drawn from records dated from January 2012 to May 2022 pertaining to patients presenting with CS, treated with IABP and hospitalised at the Department of Acute Cardiology, Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Prague. Among the patients included in the study, 87% patients presented with newly developed heart failure. The leading cause of CS was acute myocardial infarction accounting for 86% of cases. Hospital mortality was recorded at 39% and the 30-day mortality reached 43%. Upon multi-variable analysis, only the vasoactive inotropic score on day 5 emerged as astatistically significant predictor for 30-day mortality (p=0.0055). Cox regression analysis revealed that the presence of mechanical complications was the only variable identified as yielding astatistically significant impact on the 30-day survival (Log-rank p=0.014, HR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.15‒4.15). There was no statistically significant difference in the 30-day mortality across the SCAI classes. The main cause of CS was anewly developed acute heart failure secondary to acute myocardial infarction. Despite the implementation of mechanical circulatory support, both in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates remained high. Increased vasoactive inotropic score and presence of mechanical complications were identified as significant predictors the 30-day survival (Tab. 6, Fig. 1, Ref. 36). Text in PDF www.elis.sk Keywords: cardiogenic shock, IABP, risk factors, mortality, Czech Republic, AMICS.

Comparison of Conventional versus Modified Preperitoneal Pelvic Packing in Patients with Bleeding Pelvic Fractures: A Single-Center Retrospective Pilot Study.

Background: Bleeding pelvic fractures have high mortality rates, primarily due to severe hemorrhage. Treatment options include mechanical stabilization based on preperitoneal pelvic packing (PPP), resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta, and angioembolization (AE). The bilateral preperitoneal approach, which uses three pads on each side, is the conventional PPP method. We aimed to compare the bilateral preperitoneal approach with a modified approach, involving selectively packing only heavily bleeding areas, in terms of clinical outcomes and mortality risks. Methods: We included patients who underwent PPP and compared the outcomes between conventional (three sponges placed on each side) and modified PPP (selective packing of critical areas). The primary outcome was 30-day mortality; the secondary outcomes included 24 h mortality, pelvic complications, and transfusion requirements. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for 30-day and 24 h mortality. Results: Among the 47 included patients, 19 and 28 underwent conventional and modified PPP, respectively. There were no significant between-group differences in the 24 h (26.3% vs. 42.9%, p = 0.247) and 30-day mortality rates (47.4% vs. 60.7%, p = 0.366). Using univariate and multivariate analyses, initial lactate levels and the decision to perform AE were found to be significant risk factors for mortality. However, the selected PPP method was not a risk factor for 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27-18.26; p = 0.457) or 24 hr mortality (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 0.24-13.19; p = 0.557). Conclusions: The modified PPP method may be considered in patients with bleeding pelvic fractures for effective bleeding control while minimizing potential complications associated with the conventional PPP.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality in pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome patients: a single center retrospective cohort study

BackgroundPathogenic diversity may have contributed to the high mortality of pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (p-ARDS). Metagenomics next-generation sequencing (mNGS) serves as a valuable diagnostic tool for early pathogen identification. However, its clinical utility in p-ARDS remains understudied. There are still limited researches on the etiology, clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients.MethodsA single center retrospective cohort study of 75 p-ARDS patients was conducted. Patients were categorized into survival and deceased groups based on their 28-day outcomes. A comprehensive clinical evaluation was conducted, including baseline characteristics, laboratory indicators, outcomes and pathogen identification by mNGS and traditional microbiological testing. We then evaluated the diagnostic value of mNGS and identified clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS.ResultThe overall ICU mortality was 26.67%, and the 28-day mortality was 57.33%, with 32 cases (42.67%) in the survival group, and 43 cases (57.33%) in the deceased group. Patients in the deceased group were older than those in the survival group (68(59,73) years vs. 59(44,67) years, P=0.04). The average lengths of ICU and hospital stay were 9(5,13) days and 14(7,21) days, respectively. The survival group had longer lengths of ICU and hospital stay (ICU: 11(7,17) days and hospital: 17(9,27) days) compared to the deceased group (ICU: 8(4,11) days and hospital: 12(6,19) days) (P&amp;lt;0.05). Survival patients exhibited lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score on the 3rd and 7th days, higher lymphocyte counts, higher CD3+ and CD8+ T cell counts compared to deceased patients (P&amp;lt;0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age, APACHE II scores on 3rd and 7th days, CD8+ T cell count and length of ICU as independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients. mNGS demonstrated a significantly higher overall pathogen detection rate (70/75, 93.33%) compared to the traditional method (50/75, 66.67%, P=0.022). The average turnaround time (TAT) for mNGS was significantly shorter at 1(1,1) day compared to 4(3,5) days for the traditional method (P&amp;lt;0.001).ConclusionMetagenome next-generation sequencing can be used as a valuable tool for identifying pathogens in p-ARDS, reducing diagnostic time and improving accuracy. Early application of mNGS alongside traditional methods is recommended for p-ARDS. Furthermore, older age, higher APACHE II scores, lower lymphocyte counts and lymphocyte subset counts were associated with increased mortality in p-ARDS patients, highlighting the importance of timely assessment of immune status and disease severity, especially in elderly.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality in pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome patients: a single center retrospective cohort study.

Pathogenic diversity may have contributed to the high mortality of pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (p-ARDS). Metagenomics next-generation sequencing (mNGS) serves as a valuable diagnostic tool for early pathogen identification. However, its clinical utility in p-ARDS remains understudied. There are still limited researches on the etiology, clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients. A single center retrospective cohort study of 75 p-ARDS patients was conducted. Patients were categorized into survival and deceased groups based on their 28-day outcomes. A comprehensive clinical evaluation was conducted, including baseline characteristics, laboratory indicators, outcomes and pathogen identification by mNGS and traditional microbiological testing. We then evaluated the diagnostic value of mNGS and identified clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS. The overall ICU mortality was 26.67%, and the 28-day mortality was 57.33%, with 32 cases (42.67%) in the survival group, and 43 cases (57.33%) in the deceased group. Patients in the deceased group were older than those in the survival group (68(59,73) years vs. 59(44,67) years, P=0.04). The average lengths of ICU and hospital stay were 9(5,13) days and 14(7,21) days, respectively. The survival group had longer lengths of ICU and hospital stay (ICU: 11(7,17) days and hospital: 17(9,27) days) compared to the deceased group (ICU: 8(4,11) days and hospital: 12(6,19) days) (P<0.05). Survival patients exhibited lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score on the 3rd and 7th days, higher lymphocyte counts, higher CD3+ and CD8+ T cell counts compared to deceased patients (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age, APACHE II scores on 3rd and 7th days, CD8+ T cell count and length of ICU as independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients. mNGS demonstrated a significantly higher overall pathogen detection rate (70/75, 93.33%) compared to the traditional method (50/75, 66.67%, P=0.022). The average turnaround time (TAT) for mNGS was significantly shorter at 1(1,1) day compared to 4(3,5) days for the traditional method (P<0.001). Metagenome next-generation sequencing can be used as a valuable tool for identifying pathogens in p-ARDS, reducing diagnostic time and improving accuracy. Early application of mNGS alongside traditional methods is recommended for p-ARDS. Furthermore, older age, higher APACHE II scores, lower lymphocyte counts and lymphocyte subset counts were associated with increased mortality in p-ARDS patients, highlighting the importance of timely assessment of immune status and disease severity, especially in elderly.

Impact of multidrug resistance on outcomes in hematologic cancer patients with bacterial bloodstream infections

Despite the improved outcomes in patients with hematological malignancies, infections caused by multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) pose a new threat to these patients. We retrospectively reviewed the patients with hematological cancer and bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs) at a tertiary hospital between 2003 and 2022 to assess the impact of MDROs on outcomes. Among 328 BSIs, 81 (24.7%) were caused by MDROs. MDRO rates increased from 10.3% (2003–2007) to 39.7% (2018–2022) (P < 0.001). The 30-day mortality rate was 25.0%, which was significantly higher in MDRO-infected patients than in non-MDRO-infected patients (48.1 vs. 17.4%; P < 0.001). The observed trend was more pronounced in patients with newly diagnosed diseases and relapsed/refractory disease but less prominent in patients in complete remission. Among MDROs, carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria exhibited the highest mortality, followed by vancomycin-resistant enterococci, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae. Multivariate analysis identified independent risk factors for 30-day mortality as age ≥ 65 years, newly diagnosed disease, relapsed/refractory disease, MDROs, polymicrobial infection, CRP ≥ 20 mg/L, and inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy. In conclusion, MDROs contribute to adverse outcomes in patients with hematological cancer and bacterial BSIs, with effects varying based on the underlying disease status and causative pathogens. Appropriate initial antibiotic therapy may improve patient outcomes.

Infective endocarditis and spondylodiscitis -impact of sequence of surgical therapy on survival and recurrence rate.

To date, there are no standardized treatment algorithms or recommendations for patients with infective endocarditis (IE) and concomitant spondylodiscitis (SD). Therefore, our aim was to analyze whether the sequence of surgical treatment of IE and SD has an impact on postoperative outcome and to identify risk factors for survival and postoperative recurrence. Patients with IE underwent surgery in 4 German university hospitals between 1994 and 2022. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify possible predictors of 30-day/1-year mortality and recurrence of IE and/or SD. From the total IE cohort (n = 3991), 150 patients (4.4%) had concomitant SD. Primary surgery for IE was performed in 76.6%, and primary surgery for SD in 23.3%. The median age was 70.0 [64.0-75.6] years and patients were mostly male (79.5%). The most common pathogens detected were enterococci and Staphylococcus aureus followed by streptococci, and Coagulase Negative Staphylococci (CoNS). If SD was operated on first, 30-day mortality was significantly higher than if IE was operated on first (25.7% vs 11.4%; p = 0.037) and we observed a tendency for a higher 1-year mortality. If IE was treated first, we observed a higher recurrence rate within one year (12.2% vs 0%; p = 0.023). Multivariable analysis showed that primary surgery for SD was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality. Primary surgical treatment for SD was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. When IE was treated surgically first, recurrence rate of IE and/or SD was higher.

The impact of onset-to-cut time in surgery for stable acute type A aortic dissection-a single-centre retrospective cohort study.

The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of onset-to-cut time on mortality in patients undergoing surgery for stable acute type A aortic dissection. Patients who underwent surgery for acute type A aortic dissection between January 2006 and December 2021 and available onset-to-cut times were included. Patients with unstable aortic dissection (preoperative shock, intubation, resuscitation, coma, pericardial tamponade and local/systemic malperfusion syndromes) were excluded. After descriptive analysis, a multivariable binary logistic regression for 30-day mortality was performed. A receiver operating characteristic curve for onset-to-cut time and 30-day mortality was calculated. Restricted cubic splines were designed to investigate the association between onset-to-cut time and survival. The final cohort comprised 362 patients. The median onset-to-cut time was 543 (376-1155) min. The 30-day mortality was 9%. Only previous myocardial infarction (P = 0.018) and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (P < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. The corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curve showed a value of 0.49. Restricted cubic splines did not indicate an association between onset-to-cut time and survival (P = 0.316). Onset-to-cut time in the setting of stable acute type A aortic dissection does not seem to be a valid predictor of 30-day mortality in patients undergoing surgery and stayed stable during the preoperative course.

Adult acute leukemia patients with gram-negative bacteria bloodstream infection: Risk factors and outcomes of antibiotic-resistant bacteria.

This study aims to analyze the risk factors for the development of multidrug-resistant (MDR) and carbapenem-resistant (CR) bacteria bloodstream infection (BSI) in a patient with acute leukemia (AL) and the mortality in gram-negative bacteria (GNB) BSI. This is a retrospective study conducted at West China Hospital of Sichuan University, which included patients diagnosed with AL and concomitant GNB BSI from 2016 to 2021. A total of 206 patients with GNB BSI in AL were included. The 30-day mortality rate for all patients was 26.2%, with rates of 25.8% for those with MDR GNB BSI and 59.1% for those with CR GNB BSI. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that exposure to quinolones (Odds ratio (OR) = 3.111, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.623-5.964, p = 0.001) within the preceding 30 days was an independent risk factor for MDR GNB BSI, while placement of urinary catheter (OR = 6.311, 95%CI: 2.478-16.073, p< 0.001) and exposure to cephalosporins (OR = 2.340, 95%CI: 1.090-5.025, p = 0.029) and carbapenems (OR = 2.558, 95%CI: 1.190-5.497, p = 0.016) within the preceding 30 days were independently associated with CR GNB BSI. Additionally, CR GNB BSI (OR = 2.960, 95% CI: 1.016-8.624, p = 0.047), relapsed/refractory AL (OR = 3.035, 95% CI: 1.265-7.354, p = 0.013), septic shock (OR = 5.108, 95% CI: 1.794-14.547, p = 0.002), platelets < 30 × 109/L before BSI (OR = 7.785, 95% CI: 2.055-29.492, p = 0.003), and inappropriate empiric antibiotic therapy (OR = 3.140, 95% CI: 1.171-8.417, p = 0.023) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in AL patients with GNB BSI. Prior antibiotic exposure was a significant factor in the occurrence of MDR GNB BSI and CR GNB BSI. CR GNB BSI increased the risk of mortality in AL patients with GNB BSI.

Risk Factors for 30-Day Mortality of Community-Acquired Bloodstream Infection Patients in Changsha City, Hunan Province, China.

To analyze the factors affecting patients' prognoses based on the community acquired-bloodstream infection patient data from 2017 to 2021. The data of 940 patients were retrieved, having at least one positive bilateral blood culture within 48 hours of hospitalization, and grouped into survivor and non-survivor groups. The clinical characteristics, laboratory results, causative pathogen and other indicators were collected and compared, and risk factors were identified by applying Cox proportional hazard regression model to the data. Community acquired-bloodstream infection is most commonly caused by Escherichia coli, Klebsiella species and Staphylococcus hominis. Among the total of 940 selected patients, 52 (5.5%) died during hospitalization. The demographic parameters like age and gender, clinical protocols like maintenance hemodialysis, glucocorticoid use during hospitalization, catheter placement, procaicitonin, total protein, albumin, creatinine, uric acid contents and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores were significantly different between the survivor and non-survivor groups. The survival analysis results revealed that age (HR=1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, P=0.002), glucocorticoid use during hospitalization (HR=3.69, 95% CI: 1.62-8.37, P=0.021) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (HR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.03-1.18, P=0.004) might be the risk factors affecting 30-day mortality in patients with community acquired-bloodstream infection. The identified risk factors may help guide clinical treatment protocol for patients with community acquired-bloodstream infection, providing more effective treatment strategy selection with improved clinical outcomes.

Associations of serum lactate and lactate clearance with delirium in the early stage of ICU: a retrospective cohort study of the MIMIC-IV database.

This study aimed to investigate the associations of serum lactate level [within and after 24 h of the intensive care unit (ICU) admission] and lactate clearance rate with delirium and assess associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with 30-day mortality in delirium patients. Data in this retrospective cohort study were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database in 2012-2019. The associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with delirium were explored through univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, whereas the associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with 30-day mortality in delirium patients were investigated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Subgroup analysis was performed for age, gender, sepsis, hypertension, sedative drug, ventilation, antibiotic drug, vasopressors, and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. The evaluation indexes were odds ratios (ORs), hazard ratios (HRs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Among 7,812 (14.58%) eligible participants, 4,338 (8.19%) had delirium and 1,903 (24.36%) died within 30 days. After adjusting for covariates, patients with lactic acidosis (lactate level > 5 mmol/L and PH < 7.35) at T0 (within 24 h of the ICU admission) had higher odds of delirium (OR = 1.235, 95%CI: 1.105-1.382). Hyperlactatemia (lactate level 2-5 mmol/L and PH > 7.35) at T1 (after 24 h of the ICU admission) was also associated with higher odds of delirium (OR = 1.277, 95%CI: 1.126-1.447). Lactate clearance rate > 50% was linked to lower odds of delirium (OR = 0.705, 95%CI: 0.613-0.811), and this relationship was also observed in ≥65 years old, female, male, non-sepsis, sepsis, non-hypertension, non-sedative drug use, sedative drug use, ventilation, antibiotic drug use, use of vasopressors, and different SOFA score subgroups (all p < 0.05). Additionally, hyperlactatemia and lactic acidosis (whether at T0 or T1) may be potential risk factors for 30-day mortality in delirium patients, whereas lactate clearance rate ≥ 0 had a potential protective effect on 30-day mortality (all p < 0.05). Higher serum lactate levels in the early stage of the ICU were associated with a higher risk of delirium and subsequent mortality. Measures taken to increase the lactate clearance rate are necessary to reduce potential delirium or mortality risk in clinical settings. However, more evidence from prospective studies is needed to verify these findings.

Risk Factors for 30-Day Mortality in Nosocomial Enterococcal Bloodstream Infections.

Enterococci commonly cause nosocomial bloodstream infections (BSIs), and the global incidence of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) BSIs is rising. This study aimed to assess the risk factors for enterococcal BSIs and 30-day mortality, stratified by Enterococcus species, vancomycin resistance, and treatment appropriateness. We conducted a retrospective cohort study (2014-2021) including all hospitalized adult patients with at least one blood culture positive for Enterococcus faecalis or Enterococcus faecium. We included 584 patients with enterococcal BSI: 93 were attributed to vancomycin-resistant E. faecium. The overall 30-day mortality was 27.5%; higher in cases of BSI due to vancomycin-resistant E. faecium (36.6%) and vancomycin-sensitive E. faecium (31.8%) compared to E. faecalis BSIs (23.2%) (p = 0.016). This result was confirmed by multivariable Cox analysis. Independent predictors of increased mortality included the PITT score, complicated bacteremia, and age (HR = 1.269, p < 0.001; HR = 1.818, p < 0.001; HR = 1.022, p = 0.005, respectively). Conversely, male gender, consultation with infectious disease (ID) specialists, and appropriate treatment were associated with reduced mortality (HR = 0.666, p = 0.014; HR = 0.504, p < 0.001; HR = 0.682, p = 0.026, respectively). In conclusion, vancomycin-resistant E. faecium bacteremia is independently associated with a higher risk of 30-day mortality.

High mortality associated with inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy in hematological malignancies with Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infections

Bloodstream infections caused by multidrug-resistant organisms such as Klebsiella pneumoniae are a significant challenge in managing hematological malignancies. This study aims to characterize the epidemiology of Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infections specifically in patients with hematological malignancies, delineate the patterns of initial antibiotic therapy, assess the prevalence of resistant strains, identify risk factors for these resistant strains, and evaluate factors influencing patient outcomes. A retrospective analysis was conducted at a single center from January 2017 to December 2020, focusing on 182 patients with hematological malignancies who developed Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infections. We compared the 30-day mortality rates between patients receiving appropriate and inappropriate antibiotic treatments, including the effectiveness of both single-drug and combination therapies. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and multivariate logistic and Cox regression were used to identify factors influencing mortality risk. The 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 30.2% for all patients. The 30-day all-cause mortality rates were 77.2% and 8.8% in patients who received inappropriate initial treatment and appropriate initial treatment (p < 0.001). Inappropriate initial treatment significantly influenced mortality and was a key predictor of 30-day mortality, along with septic shock and previous intensive care unit (ICU) stays. Patients with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) bloodstream infections exhibited more severe clinical symptoms compared to the CSKP group. The study demonstrates a significant association between empirical carbapenem administration and the escalating prevalence of CRKP and multidrug-resistant K. pneumoniae (MDR-KP) infections. Furthermore, the study identified inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy, septic shock, and ICU admission as independent risk factors for 30-day mortality.

Dependent functional status is an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality and morbidities following colectomy for volvulus: An ACS-NSQIP study from the United States

ObjectivesColonic volvulus is a common cause of bowel obstructions and surgery is the definitive treatment. Functional status is often associated with adverse postoperative outcomes but its effect on colectomy for volvulus remained under-explored. This study sought to analyze the effect of functional status on the 30-day outcomes of colectomy for volvulus. Materials and methodNational Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) targeted colectomy database from 2012 to 2022 was utilized. Only patients with volvulus as the primary indication for colectomy were included. Thirty-day postoperative outcomes were compared between patients with dependent functional status (DFS) and independent functional status (IFS), adjusted for demographics, baseline characteristics, preoperative preparation, indication for surgery, and operative approaches by multivariable logistic regression. ResultsThere were 1,476 patients with DFS (945 partially DFS and 531 fully DFS) and 8,824 (85.67 %) IFS patients who underwent colectomy for volvulus. After multivariable analysis, DFS patients had higher risks of mortality (aOR=1.671, 95 CI=1.37–2.038, p < 0.01), pulmonary complications (aOR=2.166, 95 CI=1.85–2.536, p < 0.01), sepsis (aOR=1.31, 95 CI=1.107–1.551, p < 0.01), prolonged postoperative nothing by mouth (NPO) or nasogastric tube (NGT) use (aOR=1.436, 95 CI=1.269–1.626, p < 0.01), discharge not to home (aOR=3.774, 95 CI=3.23–4.411, p < 0.01), and 30-day readmission (aOR=1.196, 95 CI=1.007–1.42, p = 0.04). Moreover, DFS patients had a longer length of stay (p = 0.01). ConclusionDFS was identified as an independent risk factor for increased mortality and complications after colectomy for volvulus. Given the substantial overlap between DFS patients and those who have colonic volvulus, these insights can contribute to preoperative risk assessments and postoperative care in these patients.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of acute gastrointestinal injury in patients with sepsis-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome

To observe the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in sepsis combined with acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) of different grades, and to further explore the risk factors associated with the poor prognosis of patients. The clinical data of patients with septic ARDS admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Tianjin First Central Hospital from March to October 2023 were collected. According to the 2012 European Association of Critical Care Medicine AGI definition and grading criteria, the patients were categorized into AGI grade 0- IV groups. The clinical characteristics and 28-day clinical outcomes of the patients were observed; the risk factors related to the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression; and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor on the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. A total of 92 patients with septic ARDS were enrolled, including 7 patients in the AGI 0 group, 20 patients in the AGI I group, 38 patients in the AGI II group, 23 patients in the AGI III group, and 4 patients in the AGI IV group. The incidence of AGI was 92.39%. With the increase of AGI grade, the ARDS grade increased, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), intra-abdominal pressure (IAP), white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), lymphocyte count (LYM), lymphocyte percentage (LYM%), and 28-day mortality all showed a significant increasing trend, while the oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2) showed a significant decreasing trend (all P < 0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that APACHE II score, SOFA score, and ARDS classification were positively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was 0.386, 0.473, and 0.372, respectively, all P < 0.001), and PaO2/FiO2 was negatively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was -0.425, P < 0.001). Among the patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, there were 68 survivors and 17 deaths at 28 days. The differences in APACHE II score, SOFA score, ARDS grade, AGI grade, PaO2/FiO2, IAP, AGI 7-day worst value, length of ICU stay, and total length of hospital stay between the survival and death groups were statistically significant. Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.350, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.071-1.702, P = 0.011], PaO2/FiO2 (OR = 0.964, 95%CI was 0.933-0.996, P = 0.027) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 2.103, 95%CI was 1.194-3.702, P = 0.010) were the risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score (OR = 1.384, 95%CI was 1.153-1.661, P < 0.001), PaO2/FiO2 (OR = 0.983, 95%CI was 0.968-0.999, P = 0.035) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 1.992, 95%CI was 1.141-3.478, P = 0.015) were the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score, PaO2/FiO2 and AGI 7-day worst value had predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.824 (95%CI was 0.697-0.950), 0.760 (95%CI was 0.642-0.877) and 0.721 (95%CI was 0.586-0.857), respectively, all P < 0.01; when the best cut-off values of the above metrics were 5.50 points, 163.45 mmHg (1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa), and 2.50 grade, the sensitivities were 94.1%, 94.1%, 31.9%, respectively, and the specificities were 80.9%, 67.6%, 88.2%, respectively. The incidence of AGI in patients with septic ARDS is about 90%, and the higher the AGI grade, the worse the prognosis of the patients. SOFA score, PaO2/FiO2 and AGI 7-day worst value have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, among which, the larger the SOFA score and AGI 7-day worst value, and the smaller the PaO2/FiO2, the higher the patients' mortality.

Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of patients with septic shock in department of emergency medicine

To construct a nomogram model for predicting the 28-day mortality of patients with septic shock in the emergency medicine department and to validate the predictive efficacy. Based on the database of the emergency medicine department of Chu Hsien-I Memorial Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital and the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, the data of 913 patients with septic shock admitted to the emergency medicine department from January 2017 to October 2020 were collected, including baseline demographic information and clinical characteristics, laboratory indices, and the main endpoints (28-day mortality). The patients were divided into a training set and a validation set based on simple random sampling. All significant variables from the one-way binary Logistic regression analysis of the training set were included in the multivariate Logistic regression analysis to analyze the risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock and to construct a column-line graphical model. The predictive efficacy of the nomogram model was assessed using calibration curves and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). A total of 860 patients with septic shock meeting the criteria were finally enrolled, including 472 in the training set and 388 in the validation set. The 28-day mortalities were 52.5% (248/472) and 54.1% (210/388) for the training and validation sets, respectively. In the training set, age, respiratory rate (RR), the levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte/lymphocyte ratio (MLR), mean platelet volume (MPV), and platelet count (PLT) in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group, and the levels of base remaining (BE), lymphocyte count (LYM), hemoglobin (Hb) and the proportion of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD) were significantly lower than those in the survival group (all P < 0.05). Multifactorial Logistic regression analysis showed that NLR [odds ratio (OR) = 0.023 0, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was -0.204 4 to 0.113 0], MPV (OR = 0.179 8, 95%CI was -0.877 6 to 0.172 7), Hb (OR = 0.007 8, 95%CI was 0.010 3 to 0.040 8), procalcitonin (PCT; OR = 1.957 0, 95%CI was 1.243 0 to 3.081 0), and D-dimer (OR = 0.000 1, 95%CI was -0.000 4 to 0.000 1) were independent predictors of 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock in the emergency department (all P < 0.05). A column-line graph model was established based on the above variables, and the ROC curves showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the nomogram model in the training set and validation set for predicting the 28-day mortality of patients with septic shock was 0.907 (95%CI was 0.864 to 0.940) and 0.822 (95%CI was 0.781 to 0.863), respectively. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the predicted and observed results for both the training and validation sets. The nomogram model constructed based on NLR, MPV, Hb, PCT and D-dimer has significant clinical value in predicting the 28-day mortality of patients with septic shock in the emergency medicine department.

Postoperative morbidity following Hartmann's procedure in comparison to anterior resection and abdominoperineal resection for rectal cancer-a population-based study.

There is ongoing controversy regarding the extent to which Hartmann's procedure (HP) should be used in rectal cancer treatment. This study was designed to investigate 30-day postoperative morbidity and mortality following HP, anterior resection (AR) and abdominoperineal resection (APR) for rectal cancer using a national registry. All patients operated for rectal cancer, tumour height 5-15 cm, between the years 2010 and 2017, were identified through the Swedish colorectal cancer registry. A total of 8476 patients were included: 1210 (14%) undergoing HP, 5406 (64%) AR and 1860 (22%) APR. HP was associated with an increased risk of intra-abdominal infection (OR 1.7, CI 1.26-2.28, P = 0.0004) compared to AR and APR, while APR was related to an increased risk of overall complications (OR 1.18, CI 1.01-1.40, P = 0.040). No significant difference was observed in the rate of reoperations and readmissions between HP, AR and APR, and type of surgical procedure was not a risk factor for 30-day mortality. Findings from a subgroup analysis of patients with a tumour 5-7 cm from the anal verge revealed that HP was not associated with increased risk for complications or 30-day mortality. For patients where AR is not appropriate HP is a valid alternative with a favourable outcome. APR was associated with the highest overall 30-day complication rate.

Short‑ and long‑term outcomes after laparoscopic and open pancreatoduodenectomy for elderly patients: a propensity score‑matched study

BackgroundThe feasibility and safety of laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy (LPD) in elderly patients is still controversial. This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of LPD and open pancreatoduodenectomy (OPD) in elderly patients.MethodsClinical and follow-up data of elderly patients (≥ 65 years) who underwent LPD or OPD between 2015 and 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. A 1:1 propensity score-matching (PSM) analysis was performed to minimize differences between groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to select independent prognostic factors for 90-day mortality.ResultsOf the 410 elderly patients, 236 underwent LPD and 174 OPD. After PSM, the LPD group had a less estimated blood loss (EBL) (100 vs. 200 mL, P < 0.001), lower rates of intraoperative transfusion (10.4% vs. 19.0%, P = 0.029), more lymph node harvest (11.0 vs. 10.0, P = 0.014) and shorter postoperative length of stay (LOS) (13.0 vs. 16.0 days, P = 0.013). There were no significant differences in serious complications, reoperation, 90-day readmission and mortality rates (all P > 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) was an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality. Elderly patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) who underwent LPD or OPD had similar overall survival (OS) (22.5 vs.20.4 months, P = 0.672) after PSM.ConclusionsIt is safe and feasible for elderly patients to undergo LPD with less EBL and a shorter postoperative LOS. There was no statistically significant difference in long-term survival outcomes between elderly PDAC patients who underwent LPD or OPD.

#1970 Mortality prediction of plasma presepsin in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury patients requiring continuous kidney replacement therapy

Abstract Background and Aims Presepsin has recently introduced as a more specific biomarker for sepsis. Presepsin is greatly affected by kidney function, so its reliability may be reduced in acute kidney injury (AKI) patient, especially requiring continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT). For this reason, there has been no study to date analyzing presepsin in AKI patients requiring CKRT. This study analyzed the usefulness of plasma presepsin for predicting mortality in AKI patients requiring CKRT, especially in sepsis-associated AKI (SA-AKI). Method This single-center, retrospective study included the patients who underwent CKRT with plasma presepsin measurement from April 2022 to March 2023. A total of 57 patients were enrolled, of which 35 were SA-AKI. 28-day mortality predictive values of plasma presepsin, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II (APACHE-II), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were analyzed using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identifying risk factors for 28-day mortality in the SA-AKI subgroup. Results In the overall cohort, plasma presepsin showed the lower area under the ROC (AuROC) value of 0.636 than those of APACHE-II (0.663) and SOFA (0.731) scores. However, in SA-AKI subgroup, AuROC value of plasma presepsin was much increased to 0.799, which was the higher than those of APACHE-II (0.651) and SOFA (0.697) scores. Moreover, in multivariate Cox regression analysis, high presepsin was observed as an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in the SA-AKI subgroup (HR 6.868, P=0.005). Conclusion Presepsin can be used as a good prognostic marker in SA-AKI patients requiring CKRT. The usefulness of plasma presepsin in the patients undergoing CKRT needs to be further studied in the future.