Reliable Estimation Algorithm Research Articles

Measurement of Turbidity and Total Suspended Matter in the Albufera of Valencia Lagoon (Spain) Using Sentinel-2 Images

In the context of freshwater ecosystems, turbidity and suspended solids play crucial roles, with their levels significantly influenced by anthropogenic activities. This study focuses on assessing and monitoring these parameters in Albufera de Valencia using Sentinel-2 imagery. The primary aim is to establish reliable estimation algorithms that can contribute to effective ecosystem management. This study calibrated and validated algorithms for estimating turbidity and suspended solids. The R783 × R705/R490 model proved to have the best performance for estimating turbidity and total solids in Albufera. However, R783/R490 obtained a higher coefficient of determination for the organic part, while the R705 band was selected for the inorganic part. However, to achieve better estimates of turbidity and inorganic matter, more research is needed in the future. The implications of excessive suspended solids are underscored, including the depletion of dissolved oxygen and reduced primary productivity due to limited light penetration and habitat availability. Collaboration between disciplines such as limnology, optics, and water chemistry is crucial to advance water quality estimation models in lakes and lagoons such as Albufera. By integrating expertise and approaches from these diverse fields, new knowledge can be gained, and the basis for more effective management and conservation strategies can be laid.

Estimating daily ground-level NO2 concentrations over China based on TROPOMI observations and machine learning approach

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is an important target for monitoring atmospheric quality. Deriving ground-level NO2 concentrations with much finer resolution, it requires high-resolution satellite tropospheric NO2 column as input and a reliable estimation algorithm. This paper aims to estimate the daily ground-level NO2 concentrations over China based on machine learning models and the TROPOMI NO2 data with high spatial resolution. In this study, four tree-based algorithm machine learning models, decision trees (DT), gradient boost decision tree (GBDT), random forest (RF) and extra-trees (ET), were used to estimate ground-level NO2 concentrations. In addition to considering many influencing factors of the ground-level NO2 concentrations, we especially introduced simplified temporal and spatial information into the estimation models. The results show that the extra-trees with spatial and temporal information (ST-ET) model has great performance in estimating ground-level NO2 concentrations with a cross-validation R2 of 0.81 and RMSE of 3.45 μg/m3 in test datasets. The estimated results for 2019 based on the ST-ET model achieves a satisfactory accuracy with a cross-validation R2 of 0.86 compared with the other models. Through time-space analysis and comparison, it was found that the estimated high-resolution results were consistent with the ground observed NO2 concentrations. Using data from January 2020 to test the prediction power of the models, the results indicate that the ST-ET model has a good performance in predicting ground-level NO2 concentrations. Taking four ground-level NO2 concentrations hotspots as examples, the estimated ground-level NO2 concentrations and ground-based observation data during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic were lower compared with the same period in 2019. The findings offer a solid solution for accurately and efficiently estimating ground-level NO2 concentrations by using satellite observations, and provide useful information for improving our understanding of the regional atmospheric environment.

A novel aging parameter method for online estimation of Lithium-ion battery states of charge and health

Real time monitoring and health managements of the battery require reliable estimation algorithms that are adaptive to the surrounding environment. However, modeling the performance degradation of batteries can be extremely challenging, as there are numerous factors that influence battery’s both internal and external conditions. This paper proposes a data driven approach to calculate a new aging parameter for Lithium-ion batteries by combining the ideas of incremental capacity analysis and voltage drops in discrete time. With this new parameter, we employ regression analysis and curve fitting methods to build two forecasting algorithms to track the state of charge (SOC) and state of health (SOH) of Lithium-ion battery under constant current discharge conditions. Particularly the proposed SOC and SOH models are decoupled from each other, and assume no prior relationships between open circuit voltage (OCV) and SOC since their input values are terminal measured voltages only. We also suggest how the proposed scheme can be extended to other operating conditions such as constant voltage/power. Overall, this paper introduces a novel aging parameter of Lithium-ion batteries, that provides a new paradigm of the battery state estimations.

Reliable Multi-Fractal Characterization of Weighted Complex Networks: Algorithms and Implications

Through an elegant geometrical interpretation, the multi-fractal analysis quantifies the spatial and temporal irregularities of the structural and dynamical formation of complex networks. Despite its effectiveness in unweighted networks, the multi-fractal geometry of weighted complex networks, the role of interaction intensity, the influence of the embedding metric spaces and the design of reliable estimation algorithms remain open challenges. To address these challenges, we present a set of reliable multi-fractal estimation algorithms for quantifying the structural complexity and heterogeneity of weighted complex networks. Our methodology uncovers that (i) the weights of complex networks and their underlying metric spaces play a key role in dictating the existence of multi-fractal scaling and (ii) the multi-fractal scaling can be localized in both space and scales. In addition, this multi-fractal characterization framework enables the construction of a scaling-based similarity metric and the identification of community structure of human brain connectome. The detected communities are accurately aligned with the biological brain connectivity patterns. This characterization framework has no constraint on the target network and can thus be leveraged as a basis for both structural and dynamic analysis of networks in a wide spectrum of applications.

Global Land Surface Fractional Vegetation Cover Estimation Using General Regression Neural Networks From MODIS Surface Reflectance

Fractional vegetation cover (FVC) plays an important role in earth surface process simulations, climate modeling, and global change studies. Several global FVC products have been generated using medium spatial resolution satellite data. However, the validation results indicate inconsistencies, as well as spatial and temporal discontinuities of the current FVC products. The objective of this paper is to develop a reliable estimation algorithm to operationally produce a high-quality global FVC product from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) surface reflectance. The high-spatial-resolution FVC data were first generated using Landsat TM/ETM+ data at the global sampling locations, and then, the general regression neural networks (GRNNs) were trained using the high-spatial-resolution FVC data and the reprocessed MODIS surface reflectance data. The direct validation using ground reference data from validation of land European Remote Sensing instruments sites indicated that the performance of the proposed method ( $\mathbf{R}^{2}=0.809$ , $\mathbf{RMSE} =0.157$ ) was comparable with that of the GEOV1 FVC product ( $\mathbf{R}^{2}=0.775$ , $\mathbf{RMSE} =0.166$ ) , which is currently considered to be the best global FVC product from SPOT VEGETATION data. Further comparison indicated that the spatial and temporal continuity of the estimates from the proposed method was superior to that of the GEOV1 FVC product.

An integrated support vector regression–imperialist competitive algorithm for reliability estimation of a shearing machine

In this study, a support vector regression (SVR) model is developed for reliability estimation. An imperialist competitive algorithm is applied for selecting the SVR parameters such as ∁, . The proposed model is validated by applying it to a benchmark data set. Satisfactory performance of the proposed model with respect to the data set is demonstrated through a comparative study. A shearing machine operating at an electric tableau manufacturing company is considered a case study. A set of data representing the time-to-failure (TTF) of the shearing machine is used to calculate the cumulative TTF for reliability modelling. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model achieves high estimation accuracy.

Ensemble Support Vector Machine Algorithm for Reliability Estimation of a Mining Machine

In this study, a support vector machine (SVM)‐based ensemble model was developed for reliability forecasting. The hyperparameters of the SVM were selected by applying a genetic algorithm. Input variables of the SVM model were selected by maximizing the mean entropy value. The diverse members of the ensemble model were obtained by a k‐means clustering algorithm, and one ensemble member was selected from each cluster by choosing the closest from the cluster center. The optimum cluster number was selected using the Davies–Bouldin index. The developed model was validated by a benchmark turbocharger data set. A comparative study reveals that the proposed method performs better than existing methods on benchmark data sets. A case study was conducted investigating a dumper operated at a coal mine in India. Time‐to‐failure historical data for the dumper were collected, and cumulative time to failure was calculated for reliability forecasting. Study results demonstrate that the developed model performs well with high accuracy (R2 = 0.97) in the prediction of dumper failure, and a comparison with other methods demonstrates the superiority of the proposed ensemble SVM model. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

USING AN IMPROVED BEE MEMORY DIFFERENTIAL EVOLUTION ALGORITHM FOR PARAMETER ESTIMATION TO SIMULATE BIOCHEMICAL PATHWAYS

When analyzing a metabolic pathway in a mathematical model, it is important that the essential parameters are estimated correctly. However, this process often faces few problems like when the number of unknown parameters increase, trapping of data in the local minima, repeated exposure to bad results during the search process and occurrence of noisy data. Thus, this paper intends to present an improved bee memory differential evolution (IBMDE) algorithm to solve the mentioned problems. This is a hybrid algorithm that combines the differential evolution (DE) algorithm, the Kalman filter, artificial bee colony (ABC) algorithm, and a memory feature. The aspartate and threonine biosynthesis pathway, and cell cycle pathway are the metabolic pathways used in this paper. For three production simulation pathways, the IBMDE managed to robustly produce the estimated optimal kinetic parameter values with significantly reduced errors. Besides, it also demonstrated faster convergence time compared to the Nelder–Mead (NM), simulated annealing (SA), the genetic algorithm (GA) and DE, respectively. Most importantly, the kinetic parameters that were generated by the IBMDE have improved the production rates of desired metabolites better than other estimation algorithms. Meanwhile, the results proved that the IBMDE is a reliable estimation algorithm.