Multiple failure sites often co-existed in aeroengine turbine discs, its reliability performance contains complex characteristics of high-nonlinearity and multiple-output, leading to the insufficient reliability evaluating accuracy/efficiency of traditional direct simulation or surrogate separate methods. To address this problem, a multi-XGB model is presented by fusing the linkage sampling technique to extract a multi-input multi-output dataset, the XGBoost series ensemble platform to build the modelling architecture, and the Bayesian optimization algorithm to find the optimal model hyperparameters. Moreover, a multi-XGB driven multi-objective reliability evaluation framework is presented as well. Regarding a typical aeroengine high-pressure turbine disc with multiple failure sites (i.e., disc core, disc rim) as an example, the probabilistic distributions, correlation relationships, and reliability degree for each/all frail sites in turbine disc are acquired by applying the presented multi-XGB model. Through the method comparisons, the presented method is verified to hold high computing accuracy and efficiency in evaluating the multi-objective reliability of turbine discs. The current efforts shed light on the theoretical development for reliability evaluation, design, and optimization of high-end equipment like aeroengine.
Read full abstract