Regions Of Antarctica Research Articles

An Evaluation of Antarctic Ice Core Nitrate Records as a Proxy for Solar Activity

AbstractNitrate (NO3−) deposition in polar ice sheets archives valuable information on past solar activity. However, interpretation of Antarctic ice core NO3− records as a proxy for past solar activity remains challenging due to multiple sources and processes controlling NO3− variability in ice core records. Here, we present a new high‐resolution ice core NO3− record (1905–2005 CE) from coastal Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica, to investigate the solar signal and other forcing factors/processes in controlling ice core NO3− variability. Our record exhibits significant periodicity in the range of 8–12 years frequency band during 1940–2005 CE, apparently identified as the signal of ∼11 year sunspot cycle; however, such signal was not detected in the previous interval during 1905–1940 CE. To address the discontinuous and/or obscured signals in the present ice core record and inconsistency among various Antarctica ice core records, we extended our investigations to 10 ice core NO3− records from various regions of Antarctica. Analysis of seven records for the common interval from 1738 to 1990 CE reveals dominant periodicities of 8–12 years, indicating solar forcing as a primary driver, followed by precipitation modulated by El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Further, our investigation reveals that the solar signal extracted from multiple records becomes undetectable when mean annual hemispheric sunspot numbers larger than 140, suggesting this is a threshold limit for detecting the solar signal. These findings will improve our present understanding of ice core NO3− records as a proxy for past solar activity.

Life on the edge: Microbial diversity, resistome, and virulome in soils from the union glacier cold desert

The high-latitude regions of Antarctica remain among the most remote, extreme, and least explored areas on Earth. Still, microbial life has been reported in these environments, with limited information on their genetic properties and functional capabilities. Although diverse autochthonous multidrug-resistant bacteria were found in Antarctic Peninsula soils, posing whether these soils could act as a source of resistance determinants that could emerge among pathogens, we still lack information regarding the resistome of areas closer to the South Pole. Moreover, no previous studies have evaluated the pathogenic potential of microbes inhabiting Antarctic soils. In this work, we combined metagenomic and culture-dependent approaches to investigate the microbial diversity, resistome, virulome, and mobile genetic elements (MGEs) in soils from Union Glacier, a cold desert in West Antarctica. Despite the extreme conditions, several bacterial phyla were found, predominating Actinomycetota and Pseudomonadota, with limited archaeal and fungal taxa. Contrastive with Ecology Glacier soils from King George Island, the Union Glacier soil bacterial community is significantly less diverse, mainly attributed to scarce moisture. We recovered >80 species-level representative genomes (SRGs) of predominant bacteria and an ammonia-oxidating nitrogen- and carbon-fixing archaeon from a novel species of Nitrosocosmicus. Several resistance and virulence genes were found in Union Glacier soils, similar to those in other Antarctic cold desert areas but significantly distinct from those observed in maritime Antarctica and other non-cryosphere biomes. Furthermore, we characterized bacterial isolates resistant to up to 24 clinical antibiotics, mainly Pseudomonas, Arthrobacter, Plantibacter, and Flavobacterium. Moreover, some isolates produced putative virulence factors, including siderophores, pyocyanins, and exoenzymes with hemolytic, lecithinase, protease, and DNAse activity. This evidence uncovers a largely unexplored resistome and virulome hosted by deep Antarctica's soil microbial communities and the presence of bacteria with pathogenic potential, highlighting the relevance of One Health approaches for environmental surveillance in this continent.

Utilising ARIMA models to predict the mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet and comprehend its fluctuations

Abstract. The mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is forecasted in this study using ARIMA models, with a particular emphasis on the distinct regions of East and West Antarctica. The research endeavours to forecast the trends in ice mass balance over the next 12 years by examining data from 1992 to 2021, thereby elucidating the potential impacts of climate change on these critical regions. The ARIMA model, which is renowned for its capacity to capture and predict time series data, has identified substantial trends that indicate a persistent loss of ice mass, particularly in West Antarctica, which has experienced substantial declines in recent decades. The model's predictions suggest that, despite the potential for a reduction in the rate of loss, the overall trend is consistent with the ongoing reduction of ice mass. These results underscore the pressing necessity for ongoing research and monitoring to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the consequences of these developments. The study also emphasises the necessity of enhancing predictive models by incorporating supplementary environmental variables to provide more comprehensive insights into the future of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and its global impacts, thereby increasing their accuracy.

Geothermal heat flux of Ridge B region in Antarctica inferred from basal dry-wet distribution

Geothermal heat flux of Ridge B region in Antarctica inferred from basal dry-wet distribution

Antarctic ice surface properties inferred from Ka and Ku band altimeter waveforms

Altimetry missions designed for ocean monitoring can also evaluate the Antarctic ice sheet’s mass balance by measuring surface height. However, the returned radar echoes (waveforms) have complex shapes influenced by various snow and ice surface properties at multiple scales. Radar altimeters, operating in different modes and frequencies, interact with these surface properties in diverse ways. In this study, we developed a method to assess Antarctic surface properties using data from SARAL/AltiKa and Sentinel-3A & 3B altimeters for June 2021 and January 2023, respectively. We normalized and averaged the observed waveforms in 5 × 5 km2 grid cells. These were then used to create false-color images, with each grid cell’s average power and time gate represented as different ‘bands’. False-color images were analyzed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and ISODATA unsupervised classification to identify regions of Antarctica with similar surface properties. We achieved a percent variance of 73% and 84% for the first three Principal Components (PCs), and 96% and 98% for the first ten PCs with the Sentinel-3 and SARAL/AltiKa datasets, respectively. Finally, we analyzed the Ka and Ku band altimeter waveform shapes for each identified class to better understand snow and ice sensitivity to waveforms.

Holocene paleolimnological changes in rundvågshetta lakes in the Soya Coast region and their paleoenvironmental significance with glacial isostatic adjustment in East Antarctica

This study investigated Holocene paleolimnological changes inferred from a multi-proxy dataset of C, N, and S elements, biomarkers, and microscopic observations of microalgae and cyanobacteria in sediment cores from two Rundvågshetta lakes (Maruwanminami-ike and Maruwan-oike) in the Soya Coast region of Antarctica, along with sedimentary facies and accelerator mass spectrometry 14C dating. We discuss biological production and sources, the transition from marine to brackish and lacustrine environments in the lakes, paleoenvironmental changes, transition ages, and relative sea level (RSL) falls (or subsidence) from glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) in the Soya Coast region. The ages of the Maruwanminami-ike (MwS4C-01, length 147 cm) and Maruwan-oike sediment cores (Mw4C-01, length 226 cm) were 1.4 (5.8 cm core depth)–4.9 and 2.3–5.7 cal ker BP, respectively. The local reservoir effects of the Rundvågshetta lakes were very high, possibly because of the influence of dead carbon in the glacially eroded marine sediments and bed rock. The coastal marine environments of Lakes Maruwanminami-ike (4.9–2.6 cal ker BP) and Maruwan-oike (5.7–3.3 cal ker BP) were characterized by low biological production. A transition period marked by a stratified brackish lake environment in Lakes Maruwanminami-ike (2.6–2.4 cal ker BP) and Maruwan-oike (3.3–2.9 cal ker BP) was characterized by stratified conditions with an anoxic layer at the bottom of the photic zone. The freshwater lake environment of Lake Maruwanminami-ike [(65.6–0 cm, 2.4–1.4 (5.8 cm core depth) cal kyr BP)] was characterized by high biological (cyanobacteria and green algae) production, while that of Lake Maruwan-oike (2.9–2.3 cal ker BP) was characterized by low biological production due to the influence of glacial clay. Around 7.2–3.0 cal ka BP in the Holocene was probably a warm period, and progressive glacial retreat with RSL fall occurred during the warm periods in the Soya Coast region. The RSL falls of all raised beaches and isolated basins in the Soya Coast region ranged from 0.36 ± 0.03–4.4 ± 0.5 mm/yr with an average 2.1 ± 0.2 mm/yr (standard deviation, SD). They were similar to GNSS–based GIA–induced uplift with an average of 2.4 ± 1.5 mm/yr (SD) at Soya Coast region.

Response of a Terrestrial Polar Ecosystem to the March 2022 Antarctic Weather Anomaly

AbstractRecord high temperatures were documented in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica, on 18 March 2022, exceeding average temperatures for that day by nearly 30°C. Satellite imagery and stream gage measurements indicate that surface wetting coincided with this warming more than 2 months after peak summer thaw and likely exceeded thresholds for rehydration and activation of resident organisms that typically survive the cold and dry conditions of the polar fall in a freeze‐dried state. This weather event is notable in both the timing and magnitude of the warming and wetting when temperatures exceeded 0°C at a time when biological communities and streams have typically entered a persistent frozen state. Such events may be a harbinger of future climate conditions characterized by warmer temperatures and greater thaw in this region of Antarctica, which could influence the distribution, activity, and abundance of sentinel taxa. Here we describe the ecosystem responses to this weather anomaly reporting on meteorological and hydrological measurements across the region and on later biological observations from Canada Stream, one of the most diverse and productive ecosystems within the McMurdo Dry Valleys.

Extensive palaeo-surfaces beneath the Evans–Rutford region of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet control modern and past ice flow

Abstract. The subglacial landscape of Antarctica records and influences the behaviour of its overlying ice sheet. However, in many places, the evolution of the landscape and its control on ice sheet behaviour have not been investigated in detail. Using recently released radio-echo sounding data, we investigate the subglacial landscape of the Evans–Rutford region of West Antarctica. Following quantitative analysis of the landscape morphology under ice-loaded and ice-unloaded conditions, we identify 10 flat surfaces distributed across the region. Across these 10 surfaces, we identify two distinct populations based on clustering of elevations, which potentially represent remnants of regionally coherent pre-glacial surfaces underlying the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). The surfaces are bounded by deeply incised glacial troughs, some of which have potential tectonic controls. We assess two hypotheses for the evolution of the regional landscape: (1) passive-margin evolution associated with the break-up of the Gondwana supercontinent or (2) an extensive planation surface that may have been uplifted in association with either the West Antarctic Rift System or cessation of subduction at the base of the Antarctic Peninsula. We suggest that passive-margin evolution is the most likely of these two mechanisms, with the erosion of glacial troughs adjacent to, and incising, the flat surfaces likely having coincided with the growth of the WAIS. These flat surfaces also demonstrate similarities to other identified surfaces, indicating that a similar formational process may have been acting more widely around the Weddell Sea embayment. The subsequent fluctuations of ice flow, basal thermal regime, and erosion patterns of the WAIS are therefore controlled by the regional tectonic structures.

The Troll Observing Network (TONe): plugging observation holes in Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica

Antarctica and the Southern Ocean play vital roles in the Earth system, exerting significant influence on global atmospheric, cryospheric, and oceanic processes. Understanding the ongoing changes in Antarctica and their broader impact on global dynamics is imperative. Achieving this understanding necessitates dedicated and coordinated observations of environmental parameters in the region. The Troll Observing Network (TONe) is Norway's proactive initiative to the call for sustained, coordinated, complementary, geographically spread, and societally relevant long-term observations from Antarctica. Centered around the Troll Research Station in Dronning Maud Land, a region characterized by limited data availability, TONe constitutes a comprehensive state-of-the-art observatory network, specifically designed for environmental observations for studying and monitoring of the atmosphere, terrestrial, and marine environments. TONe aims to facilitate broad and open access to observational data and shared services to the international research communities as a foundation for acquiring knowledge of societal significance. TONe will, however, be a limited contribution the broader international data gathering effort required to underpin a strengthened understanding of Antarctica in the Earth system. TONE is an important initiative focused on a data sparse region of Antarctica, but has only substantial added value when seen in the context of similar ongoing and future efforts around the continent.

Intrinsically Episodic Antarctic Shelf Intrusions of Circumpolar Deep Water via Canyons

Abstract The structure of the Antarctic Slope Current at the continental shelf is crucial in governing the poleward transport of warm water. Canyons on the continental slope may provide a pathway for warm water to cross the slope current and intrude onto the continental shelf underneath ice shelves, which can increase rates of ice shelf melting, leading to reduced buttressing of ice shelves, accelerating glacial flow and hence increased sea level rise. Observations and modeling studies of the Antarctic Slope Current and cross-shelf warm water intrusions are limited, particularly in the East Antarctica region. To explore this topic, an idealized configuration of the Antarctic Slope Current is developed, using an eddy-resolving isopycnal model that emulates the dynamics and topography of the East Antarctic sector. Warm water intrusions via canyons are found to occur in discrete episodes of large onshore flow induced by eddies, even in the absence of any temporal variability in external forcings, demonstrating the intrinsic nature of these intrusions to the slope current system. Canyon width is found to play a key role in modulating cross-shelf exchanges; warm water transport through narrower canyons is more irregular than transport through wider canyons. The intrinsically episodic cross-shelf transport is found to be driven by feedbacks between wind energy input and eddy generation in the Antarctic Slope Current. Improved understanding of the intrinsic variability of warm water intrusions can help guide future observational and modeling studies in the analysis of eddy impacts on Antarctic shelf circulation.

Effects of increasing soil moisture on Antarctic desert microbial ecosystems.

Overgeneralization and a lack of baseline data for microorganisms in high-latitude environments have restricted the understanding of the microbial response to climate change, which is needed to establish Antarctic conservation frameworks. To bridge this gap, we examined over 17,000 sequence variants of bacteria and microeukarya across the hyperarid Vestfold Hills and Windmill Islands regions of eastern Antarctica. Using an extended gradient forest model, we quantified multispecies response to variations along 79 edaphic gradients to explore the effects of change and wind-driven dispersal on community dynamics under projected warming trends. We also analyzed a second set of soil community data from the Windmill Islands to test our predictions of major environmental tipping points. Soil moisture was the most robust predictor for shaping the regional soil microbiome; the highest rates of compositional turnover occurred at 10-12% soil moisture threshold for photoautotrophs, such as Cyanobacteria, Chlorophyta, and Ochrophyta. Dust profiles revealed a high dispersal propensity for Chlamydomonas, a microalga, and higher biomass was detected at trafficked research stations. This could signal the potential for algal blooms and increased nonendemic species dispersal as human activities increase in the region. Predicted increases in moisture availability on the Windmill Islands were accompanied by high photoautotroph abundances. Abundances of rare oligotrophic taxa, such as Eremiobacterota and Candidatus Dormibacterota, which play a crucial role in atmospheric chemosynthesis, declined over time. That photosynthetic taxa increased as soil moisture increased under a warming scenario suggests the potential for competition between primary production strategies and thus a more biotically driven ecosystem should the climate become milder. Better understanding of environmental triggers will aid conservation efforts, and it is crucial that long-term monitoring of our study sites be established for the protection of Antarctic desert ecosystems. Furthermore, the successful implementation of an improved gradient forest model presents an exciting opportunity to broaden its use on microbial systems globally.

Evolution of sub-ice-shelf channels reveals changes in ocean-driven melt in West Antarctica

Abstract Basal channels, which are troughs carved into the undersides of ice shelves by buoyant plumes of water, are modulators of ice-shelf basal melt and structural stability. In this study, we track the evolution of 12 large basal channels beneath ice shelves of the Amundsen and Bellingshausen seas region in West Antarctica using the Landsat record since its start in the 1970s through 2020. We observe examples of channel growth, interactions with ice-shelf features, and systematic changes in sinuosity that give insight into the life cycles of basal channels. We use the last two decades of the record, combined with contemporary ice-flow velocity datasets, to separate channel-path evolution into components related to advection by ice flow and those controlled by other forcings, such as ocean melt or surface accumulation. Our results show that ice-flow-independent lateral channel migration is overwhelmingly to the left when viewed down-flow, suggesting that it is dominated by Coriolis-influenced ocean melt. By applying a model of channel-path evolution dominantly controlled by ice flow and ocean melt, we show that the majority of channels surveyed exhibit non-steady behavior that serves as a novel proxy for increased ocean forcing in West Antarctica starting at least in the early 1970s.

Near-Surface Air Temperature Records over the Past 30 Years in the Interior of Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica

Abstract The interior of Dronning Maud Land (DML) in East Antarctica is one of the most data-sparse regions of Antarctica for studying climate change. A monthly mean near-surface temperature dataset for the last 30 years has been compiled from the historical records from automatic weather stations (AWSs) at three sites in the region (Mizuho, Relay Station, and Dome Fuji). Multiple AWSs have been installed along the route to Dome Fuji since the 1990s, and observations have continued to the present day. The use of passive-ventilated radiation shields for the temperature sensors at the AWSs may have caused a warm bias in the temperature measurements, however, due to insufficient ventilation in the summer, when solar radiation is high and winds are low. In this study, these warm biases are quantified by comparison with temperature measurements with an aspirated shield and subsequently removed using a regression model. Systematic error resulting from changes in the sensor height due to accumulating snow was insignificant in our study area. Several other systematic errors occurring in the early days of the AWS systems were identified and corrected. After the corrections, multiple AWS records were integrated to create a time series for each station. The percentage of missing data over the three decades was 21% for Relay Station and 28% for Dome Fuji. The missing rate at Mizuho was 49%, more than double that at Relay Station. These new records allow for the study of temperature variability and change in DML, where climate change has so far been largely unexplored. Significance Statement Antarctic climate change has been studied using temperature data at staffed stations. The staffed stations, however, are mainly located on the Antarctic Peninsula and in the coastal regions. Climate change is largely unknown in the Antarctic plateau, particularly in the western sector of the East Antarctic Plateau in areas such as the interior of Dronning Maud Land (DML). To fill the data gap, this study presents a new dataset of monthly mean near-surface climate data using historical observations from three automatic weather stations (AWSs). This dataset allows us to study temperature variability and change over a data-sparse region where climate change has been largely unexplored.

Implementation of simple and effective fine droplet formation-based spray-assisted liquid phase microextraction for the simultaneous determination of twenty-nine endocrine disruptor compounds and pesticides in rock, soil, water, moss, and feces samples from antarctica using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry

This study established the simultaneous determination of the selected endocrine-disrupting compounds (EDCs) and pesticides in rock, soil, water, moss, and feces samples collected from the Antarctic region. The spray-assisted droplet formation-based liquid phase microextraction (SADF-LPME) coupled to GC–MS system was developed and validated for the screening and monitoring of 29 selected EDCs and pesticides. Binary solvent system, 1:1 (v/v) dichlormethane: 1,2-dichloroethane mixture was employed as an extraction solvent and sprayed onto sample or standard solutions using a straightforward and practical spray apparatus. The factors affecting the extraction process such as extraction solvent type and ratio, extraction solvent volume (spray repetition), vortexing period, and sample pH were properly optimized. Analytical figures of the merit of the method were recorded under the optimal extraction/chromatographic conditions. The LOD, LOQ, and enhancement factor were in the range of 1.0 to 6.6 ng/g, 3.2 to 22.1 ng/g, and 3.7 to 158.9, respectively. The method demonstrated a good linear working range for all the selected analytes with proper coefficients of determination. The usability and reliability of the microextraction strategy was confirmed using seawater, moss, and soil samples, and the %recoveries were within an acceptable range (> 70%) for all examined samples. The environmental samples collected from the Horseshoe and Faure Islands of the Antarctica region were analyzed to assess the potential pollution of EDCs and pesticides. This method has the potential to be employed for the analysis of EDCs in routine analytical laboratories and for controlling and screening the organic pollutant content of different environmental samples.

INFLUENCE OF GEODYNAMIC PROCESSES ON THE ANTARCTICA OZONE ANOMALY IN THE LOWER STRATOSPHERE ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DATA

A methodology has been developed for processing and analyzing satellite ozone data and constructing digital maps of the TO field in the Southern Hemisphere over the geodynamic regions of Antarctica. An analysis of the original ozone data from August to October for the period 2000–2023 was carried out, and missing TOC values were restored. Based on the results of the analysis, tables were generated containing information on TO minima with geographic coordinates, ozone mass deficit and the area of the Antarctic Ozone Hole (AHO) for specified dates. The locations of TOC minima for 1978–2023 are presented on digital maps of Antarctica. A detailed analysis of anomalous ozone variations over Antarctica in 2002, 2018 and 2019 was performed. The AHO area during this period varied from 3.64 million km2 (October 31, 2019) to 9.41 million km2 (October 15, 2019).

Radar internal reflection horizons from multisystem data reflect ice dynamic and surface accumulation history along the Princess Ragnhild Coast, Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica

Abstract Ice shelves, which regulate ice flow from the Antarctic ice sheet towards the ocean, are shaped by spatiotemporal patterns of surface accumulation, surface/basal melt and ice dynamics. Therefore, an ice dynamic and accumulation history are imprinted in the internal ice stratigraphy, which can be imaged by radar in the form of internal reflection horizons (IRHs). Here, IRHs were derived from radar data combined across radar platforms (airborne and ground-based) in coastal eastern Dronning Maud Land (East Antarctica), comprising three ice rises and adjacent two ice shelves. To facilitate interpretation of dominant spatiotemporal patterns of processes shaping the local IRH geometry, traced IRHs are classified into three different types (laterally continuous, discontinuous or absent/IRH-free). Near-surface laterally continuous IRHs reveal local accumulation patterns, reflecting the mean easterly wind direction, and correlate with surface slopes. Areas of current and past increased ice flow and internal deformation are marked by discontinuous or IRH-free zones, and can inform about paleo ice-stream dynamics. The established IRH datasets extend continent-wide mapping efforts of IRHs to an important and climatically sensitive ice marginal region of Antarctica and are ready for integration into ice-flow models to improve predictions of Antarctic ice drainage.

Assessing the trophic ecology and migration on the exposure of cape petrels and Wilson's storm petrels from Antarctica to perfluoroalkylated substances, trace and major elements

Chemical pollution is a global concern as contaminants are transported and reach even the remote regions of Antarctica. Seabirds serve as important sentinels of pollution due to their high trophic position and wide distribution. This study examines the influence of migration and trophic ecology on the exposure of two Antarctic seabirds, Wilson's storm petrel (Oceanites oceanicus - Ooc), and Cape petrel (Daption capense - Dca), to chemical elements and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). Our methodology involved assessing the concentration of these pollutants in feather samples obtained from carcasses, offering a practical means for monitoring contamination. Trace and major element concentrations were comparable in both species, suggesting that migratory patterns have a minimal impact on exposure levels. However, Ooc had higher concentration of PFAS compared to Dca (mean, ng g−1dry weight, PFOA: Ooc:0.710, Dca:0.170; PFTrDA: Ooc:0.550, Dca:0.360, and PFTeDA: Ooc:1.01, Dca:0.190), indicating that migration to the more polluted Northern Hemisphere significantly affects PFAS exposure. Furthermore, while no strong associations were found between either trace elements or PFAS and the three stable isotopes (δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S), a negative association was observed between PFUnDA and δ15N, hinting at potential biodilution. The research concludes that the migratory patterns of these seabird species affect their PFAS exposure, underscoring the critical need for further exploration and understanding of these relationships to better inform conservation strategies.

Investigating the spatial representativeness of East Antarctic ice cores: a comparison of ice core and radar-derived surface mass balance over coastal ice rises and Dome Fuji

Abstract. Surface mass balance (SMB) of the Antarctic Ice Sheet must be better understood to document the current Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise. In situ point data using snow stakes and ice cores are often used to evaluate the state of the ice sheet's mass balance, as well as to assess SMB derived from regional climate models, which are then used to produce future climate projections. However, spatial representativeness of individual point data remains largely unknown, particularly in the coastal regions of Antarctica with highly variable terrain. Here, we compare ice core data collected at the summit of eight ice rises along the coast of Dronning Maud Land, as well as at the Dome Fuji site, and shallow ice-penetrating radar data over these regions. Shallow radar data have the advantage of being spatially extensive, with a temporal resolution that varies between a yearly and multi-year resolution, from which we can derive a SMB record over the entire radar survey. This comparison therefore allows us to evaluate the spatial variability of SMB and the spatial representativeness of ice-core-derived SMB. We found that ice core mean SMB is very local, and the difference with radar-derived SMB increases in a logarithmic fashion as the surface covered by the radar data increases, with a plateau ∼ 1–2 km away from the ice crest for most ice rises, where there are strong wind–topography interactions, and ∼ 10 km where the ice shelves begin. The relative uncertainty in measuring SMB also increases rapidly as we move away from the ice core sites. Five of our ice rise sites show a strong spatial representativeness in terms of temporal variability, while the other three sites show that it is limited to a surface area between 20–120 km2. The Dome Fuji site, on the other hand, shows a small difference between pointwise and area mean SMB, as well as a strong spatial representativeness in terms of temporal variability. We found no simple parameterization that could represent the spatial variability observed at all the sites. However, these data clearly indicate that local spatial SMB variability must be considered when assessing mass balance, as well as comparing modeled SMB values to point field data, and therefore must be included in the estimate of the uncertainty of the observations.

Interannual variability of soil thermal conductivity and moisture on the Abernethy Flats (James Ross Island) during thawing seasons 2015–2023

The knowledge of soil thermal properties is important for determining how a soil will behave under changing climate conditions, especially in the sensitive environment of permafrost affected soils. This paper represents the first complex study of the interplay between the different parameters affecting soil thermal conductivity of soils in Antarctica. Antarctic Peninsula is currently the most rapidly warming region of the whole Antarctica, with predictions of this warming to continue in the upcoming decades. This study focuses on James Ross Island, where the Abernethy Flats automatic weather station is located in a lowland area with semi-arid climate. Air and ground temperature, soil heat flux and soil moisture during the thawing season were monitored on this site from 2015 to 2023. Moreover, two approaches to determining soil thermal conductivity were compared – laboratory measurements and calculation from field data. During this period, mean annual temperatures have increased dramatically for both air (from −6.9 °C in 2015/2016 to −3.8 °C in 2022/2023) and ground (from −6.5 °C to −3.2 °C), same as active layer thickness (from 68 cm to 95 cm). Average soil thermal conductivity for the thawing period reached values between 0.49 and 0.74 W/m.K−1 based on field data. Statistically significant relationships were found between the seasonal means of volumetric water content and several other parameters – soil thermal conductivity (r = 0.91), thawing degree days (r = −0.87) and active layer thickness (r = −0.88). Although wetter soils generally have a higher conductivity, the increase in temperature exhibits a much stronger control over the active layer thickening, also contributing to the overall drying of the upper part of the soil profile.

Assessing the potential for ice flow piracy between the Totten and Vanderford glaciers, East Antarctica

Abstract. The largest regional drivers of current surface elevation increases in the Antarctic Ice Sheet are associated with ice flow reconfiguration in previously active ice streams, highlighting the important role of ice dynamics in mass balance calculations. Here, we investigate controls on the evolution of the flow configuration of the Vanderford and Totten glaciers – key outlet glaciers of the Aurora Subglacial Basin (ASB) – the most rapidly thinning region of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS). We synthesise factors that influence the ice flow in this region and use an ice sheet model to investigate the sensitivity of the catchment divide location to changes in surface elevation due to thinning at the Vanderford Glacier (VG) associated with ongoing retreat and thickening at the Totten Glacier (TG) associated with an intensification of the east–west snowfall gradient. The present-day catchment divide between the Totten and Vanderford glaciers is not constrained by the geology or topography but is determined by the large-scale ice sheet geometry and its long-term evolution in response to climate forcing. Furthermore, the catchment divide migrates under relatively small changes in surface elevation, leading to ice flow and basal water piracy from the Totten to the Vanderford Glacier. Our findings show that ice flow reconfigurations occur not only in regions of West Antarctica like the Siple Coast but also in the east, motivating further investigations of past, and the potential for future, ice flow reconfigurations around the whole Antarctic coastline. Modelling of ice flow and basal water piracy may require coupled ice sheet thermomechanical and subglacial hydrology models constrained by field observations of subglacial conditions. Our results have implications for ice sheet mass budget studies that integrate over catchments and the validity of the zero flow assumption when selecting sites for ice core records of past climate.