Recurrence Score Research Articles

Molecular Characterization of HER2-Low Invasive Breast Carcinoma by Quantitative RT-PCR Using Oncotype DX Assay.

HER2 immunohistochemistry (IHC) reproducibility is suboptimal for HER-low cases (IHC 1+ or 2+). The Yale cohort included 214 stages I-II estrogen receptor positive breast cancers with IHC scores 0, 1+, and 2+ and routine Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) results. The Exact Sciences (ES) cohort included 9 57 624 patients who had an Oncotype DX RS assay that assigns HER2-negative, equivocal, or positive status based on HER2 mRNA levels. HER2 mRNA levels varied across IHC categories but with increasing medians of 9.10 (n = 89), 9.20 (n = 71), and 9.45 (n = 54) in IHC 0, 1+, and 2+, respectively. 22.4% of HER2-low (1+/2+) cancer had RS > 25. Over 98% of HER-low cancers were HER2-negative by Oncotype DX assignment. Cancers with higher mRNA levels exist within IHC 0 and low categories, most of the HER2-low patients by IHC have low RS indicating no benefit from current adjuvant chemotherapies.

MCM-2 Levels as a Potential Biomarker for Predicting High-Risk Breast Cancer Patients According to TAILORx Classification.

The minichromosome maintenance protein-2 (MCM-2) is a more sensitive proliferation marker than Ki-67. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between MCM-2 and Oncotype DX recurrence score (ODX-RS) and determine an MCM-2 cutoff value in high-risk patients according to TAILORx risk categorization. Hormone receptor (HR) positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer patients (pT1-2, pN0-N1, M0) who had ODX-RS were included in the study. According to the TAILORx trial, patients were divided into two groups with high (ODX-RS ≥26) and low risk (ODX-RS <26) in terms of ODX-RS. Formalin-fixed-paraffin-embedded tissues of patients were re-evaluated, and 3 µm sections were prepared for MCM-2 immuno-histochemical staining. The relationship between ODX-RS and the percentage of MCM-2 staining was evaluated in two groups. The ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the MCM-2 cut-off value for the TAILORx high-risk group (ODX-RS ≥26). The mean MCM-2 value was significantly higher in the high-risk group [(60.2 ± 11.2 vs 34.4 ± 13.8, p < 0.001)]. In the multivariate analysis, MCM-2 (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.49, p = 0.003) and progesterone receptor (PR) levels ≤10% (OR: 60.9, 95% CI: 4.1-89.7, p = 0.003) were found to be independent factors indicating a high-risk group. A one-unit increase in MCM-2 level increased the likelihood of being in the high-risk group by 1.27 times. In the ROC curve analysis, the optimal MCM-2 cut-off level was 50 (AUC: 0.921, sensitivity: 86.7%, specificity: 96.0%, p < 0.001). Our study is the first study in the literature to investigate the relationship between ODX-RS and MCM-2 levels in HR-positive HER-2 negative early breast-cancer patients. In this study, MCM-2 was an independent risk factor in identifying high-risk patients according to TAILORx risk classification. MCM 2 cut-off value (50) may help the decision on adjuvant chemotherapy in patients where the Oncotype DX test cannot be performed.

Ki-67, 21-Gene Recurrence Score, Endocrine Resistance, and Survival in Patients With Breast Cancer.

Both high 21-gene recurrence score (RS) and high Ki-67 level are poor prognostic factors in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive ERBB2-negative (ER+/ERBB-) breast cancer; however, a discrepancy between the 2 has been noted. Survival differences according to these 2 biomarkers are not well known. To assess the associations between RS and Ki-67 expression and between Ki-67 expression and recurrence-free survival in patients with ER+/ERBB- breast cancer with low RS. This cohort study included women treated for ER+/ERBB2- breast cancer who underwent the 21-gene RS test from March 2010 to December 2020 in 2 hospitals in Korea. Recurrence score and Ki-67 level. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to examine the association of Ki-67 with recurrence-free survival (RFS), while a binary logistic regression model was used to examine the association between Ki-67 and secondary endocrine resistance. High Ki-67 expression was defined as 20% or greater, and low genomic risk as an RS of 25 or less. Secondary endocrine resistance was defined as breast cancer recurrence that occurred after at least 2 years of endocrine therapy and during or within the first year after completing 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. A total of 2295 female patients were included (mean [SD] age, 49.8 [9.3] years), of whom 1948 (84.9%) were in the low genomic risk group and 1425 (62.1%) had low Ki-67 level. The median follow-up period was 40 months (range, 0-140 months). The RS and Ki-67 level had a moderate correlation (R = 0.455; P < .001). Of the patients with low Ki-67 level, 1341 (94.1%) had low RS, whereas 607 of 870 patients with high Ki-67 level (69.8%) had low RS. In patients with low RS, the RFS differed significantly according to Ki-67 level (low Ki-67, 98.5% vs high Ki-67, 96.5%; P = .002). Among the 1807 patients with low genomic risk who did not receive chemotherapy, high Ki-67 level was independently associated with recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.27-4.96; P = .008). Recurrence after 3 years differed significantly according to Ki-67 level (low Ki-67, 98.7% vs high Ki-67, 95.7%; P = .003), whereas recurrence within 3 years did not differ (low Ki-67, 99.3% vs high Ki-67, 99.3%; P = .90). In addition, Ki-67 was associated with secondary endocrine resistance in patients with low RS who did not receive chemotherapy (odds ratio, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.13-5.50; P = .02). In this cohort study of patients with ER+/ERBB2- breast cancer, a moderate correlation was observed between Ki-67 and RS, and high Ki-67 level in patients with low genomic risk was associated with increased risk of secondary endocrine resistance.

Oncotype Dx Score, HER2 Low Expression, and Clinical Outcomes in Early-Stage Breast Cancer: A National Cancer Database Analysis.

The interaction between HER2-low expression, oncotype recurrence score (RS), and their influence on the prognosis of HR+/HER2- breast cancer (BC) is not very well studied. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with resectable HER2-low and HER2-zero BC from the National Cancer Database. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and the association of RS with the clinical outcomes in HR+/HER2- BC was analyzed as an exploratory endpoint. The distribution of RS was comparable between HER2-low and HER2-zero groups; however, the RSs of HER2-low tumors were more likely to be 16-25. Women with HER2-low tumors had longer 5-year OS than women with HER2-zero tumors in the HR-negative (84.3% vs. 83.9%; p < 0.001, HR: 0.87 (0.84-0.90), p < 0.001) but not in the HR-positive group (94.0% vs. 94.0%; p = 0.38, HR: 0.97 (0.95-0.99), p = 0.01). The survival advantage was observed in patients who received adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy (p-interaction (chemo vs. no chemo) < 0.001). Among those who received adjuvant chemotherapy in the group with higher RSs (26-100), those with HER2-low BC had higher 5-year OS than HER2-zero BC. Resectable HER2-low BC had a better prognosis than HER2-zero BC. Among those who received adjuvant chemotherapy in the higher oncotype RS group, those with HER2-low tumors had better survival.

Survey of clinicians on the use of adjuvant therapy for premenopausal women with breast cancer.

Considering prognostic and anatomic stages in early-stage premenopausal patients with breast cancer, clinicians decide on performing the multigene assay, adjuvant chemotherapy, or ovarian function suppression (OFS). This decision is also based on genetic information related to hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative results. We aimed to determine the tendency to use adjuvant therapy in clinical practice. From April to May 2022, clinicians of the Korean Breast Cancer Society responded to a web-based survey. The survey included 62 multiple-choice questions mainly on decision-making under different pathologic conditions. Among 92 responding clinicians, 91.3% were breast surgeons. For 35-year-old patients (pT2N0 and Ki-67 50% profile), 96.8% of clinicians selected chemotherapy, whereas 50.7% selected chemotherapy for patients with pT1N0, Ki-67 10%, and without Oncotype Dx (ODX). Only 35.6% selected chemotherapy for 47-year-old patients with the same profiles, while 84.3% and 49.1% chose chemotherapy with ODX recurrence score 21 and 16, respectively. More clinicians selected tamoxifen (TMX) plus OFS than aromatase inhibitor (AI) plus OFS for 5 years of endocrine therapy in patients with adjuvant chemotherapy regardless of genomic and clinical risks. However, for the same patients without adjuvant chemotherapy, more clinicians selected AI plus OFS. A longer duration of additional OFS and TMX was selected in patients with high clinical and genomic risks, and the duration of OFS was relatively shorter in older patients. The decision regarding adjuvant therapy should be made considering clinical and genomic risks and age, and clinicians should consult with patients about adverse effects and compliance.

ERS: A simple scoring system to predict early recurrence after surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Surgical resection (SR) is a potentially curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) hampered by high rates of recurrence. New drugs are tested in the adjuvant setting, but standardised risk stratification tools of HCC recurrence are lacking. To develop and validate a simple scoring system to predict 2-year recurrence after SR for HCC. 2359 treatment-naïve patients who underwent SR for HCC in 17 centres in Europe and Asia between 2004 and 2017 were divided into a development (DS; n = 1558) and validation set (VS; n = 801) by random sampling of participating centres. The Early Recurrence Score (ERS) was generated using variables associated with 2-year recurrence in the DS and validated in the VS. Variables associated with 2-year recurrence in the DS were (with associated points) alpha-fetoprotein (<10 ng/mL:0; 10-100: 2; >100: 3), size of largest nodule (≥40 mm: 1), multifocality (yes: 2), satellite nodules (yes: 2), vascular invasion (yes: 1) and surgical margin (positive R1: 2). The sum of points provided a score ranging from 0 to 11, allowing stratification into four levels of 2-year recurrence risk (Wolbers' C-indices 66.8% DS and 68.4% VS), with excellent calibration according to risk categories. Wolber's and Harrell's C-indices apparent values were systematically higher for ERS when compared to Early Recurrence After Surgery for Liver tumour post-operative model to predict time to early recurrence or recurrence-free survival. ERS is a user-friendly staging system identifying four levels of early recurrence risk after SR and a robust tool to design personalised surveillance strategies and adjuvant therapy trials.

Association between 21-gene-assay and detection of disseminated tumor cells in patients with early breast cancer: results from the IRMA trial

PurposeDisseminated tumor cells (DTCs) in the bone marrow (BM) are known to be of prognostic value for patients with early breast cancer (EBC). In addition to histopathological features, multigene expression assays, such as the commercially available 21-gene Breast Recurrence Score® assay, have been validated for evaluating prognosis and making decisions concerning adjuvant treatment in EBC. In a previous retrospective study from our group, the 21-gene assay was shown to be associated with DTC-detection. A secondary endpoint of the prospective IRMA trial was to evaluate the association between Recurrence Score® (RS) result and tumor cell dissemination in patients with EBC.MethodsDTC-status and RS result were assessed in patients with ER-positive/HER2-negative EBC with 0–3 pathologic lymph nodes who underwent primary surgical treatment at the Department for Women’s Health of Tuebingen University, Germany.ResultsPatients with a high RS result (≥ 26) were more frequently DTC-positive (22.6%) than patients with a low RS result (8.6%, p = 0.034). The odds for DTC-positivity increased with rising RS values (p = 0.047).ConclusionWe therefore confirm that a high genomic risk is associated with tumor cell dissemination into the BM. Further trials are needed to investigate whether therapeutic decisions could be further individualized by combining DTC-status and prognostic gene signature testing.

The budget impact of utilizing the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score test from a US healthcare payer perspective

Background and objectivesThe Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score test is used to estimate distant recurrence risk of hormone receptor-positive (HR+) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) early-stage breast cancer and inform decisions on the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. A model-based budget impact analysis compared the Oncotype DX test in combination with clinical–pathological risk against using clinical–pathological risk alone for HR+/HER2– node-negative (N0) and node-positive (N1; 1–3 axillary lymph nodes) early-stage breast cancer patients.Materials and methodsTest and medical costs associated with treatment of breast cancer were assessed through a US healthcare payer perspective. Distributions of patients by Recurrence Score result and distant recurrence probabilities with chemo-endocrine and endocrine therapy were derived from the TAILORx (N0) and RxPONDER (N1) trials. Changes in budget impact were evaluated over a 5-year horizon for a 1,000,000-member hypothetical health plan.ResultsWith the Oncotype DX test, there was an incremental budget impact of $261,067 (per member per month (PMPM): $0.004), in the N0 population, and $56,143 (PMPM: $0.001) in the N1 population over the 5-year period. The largest budget impact reduction in the N0 population was attributed to reduced breast cancer recurrence costs (incremental: −$633,457, PMPM: −$0.011), while chemotherapy sparing reduced costs in the N1 population (incremental: −$94,884, PMPM: −$0.002).ConclusionThe clinical benefit of using the Oncotype DX test to inform adjuvant chemotherapy decisions has been shown in multiple randomized controlled trials. This analysis demonstrated that while using the Oncotype DX test to inform adjuvant chemotherapy decisions may slightly increase US healthcare costs over an initial 5-year time horizon (driven by a cost increase in the first year with cost savings reflected in remaining 4 years), there is significant scope for cost savings when assessing beyond this period due to avoided downstream costs of distant recurrence and long-term chemotherapy adverse events. PMPM costs also remain low across all populations examined, demonstrating a close-to-neutral budget impact.

Prospective validation of the IRSN-23 model for personalized chemotherapy and proposal of new breast cancer subtype classification.

10 Background: The IRSN-23 model uses DNA microarray analysis of tumor tissue to stratify patients into highly sensitive (Gp-R) or less sensitive (Gp-NR) chemotherapy groups based on immune-related gene expression. In a previous report (n=901), Gp-R showed a 39% pCR rate, while Gp-NR had 11% (P=4.98E-23; Sota, Y., et al., Annals of Oncology 25.1 (2014): 100-106). This study aimed to evaluate the reproducibility of the IRSN-23 model in prospective independent validation cohorts and investigate its clinical significance and impact on breast cancer subtype classification. Methods: Tumor tissues were obtained from 143 breast cancer patients undergoing preoperative chemotherapy at Osaka University Hospital (OUH). Patients were classified into Gp-R or Gp-NR using the IRSN-23 model, and its ability to predict pathological complete response (pCR) was assessed. Results were validated with independent public datasets (n=965; breast cancer (n=919) and rectal cancer (n=46)). Results: In the OUH prospective cohort, the pCR rate was significantly higher in the Gp-R group (29.3% (11/41)) than in the Gp-NR group (1.4% (1/71)) without trastuzumab (P=1.70E-5). In all prospective validation cohorts without anti-HER2 therapy, the pCR rate in the Gp-R group was significantly higher than in the Gp-NR group. Pooled analysis of the prospective validation set revealed higher pCR rates in the Gp-R group than in the Gp-NR group, both without (Gp-R 41.9% (104/248) vs. Gp-NR 13.6% (50/367), P=4.0E-15) and with (Gp-R 48.3% (57/118) vs. Gp-NR 35.5% (66/186), P=0.03) anti-HER2 therapy (Table). Collaborative analyses of IRSN-23 Immune Score (IS) and OncotypeDx Recurrence Score (RS) suggested the identification of a highly sensitive chemotherapy group (pCR%; IS&gt;-25+RS&gt;25: 21.6% vs. IS ≤ 25 + RS &gt; 25: 2.9%, P=1.13E-04). PAM50 as an attack factor and IRSN-23 as a defense factor capture the tumor microenvironment, suggesting a new subtype classification of breast cancer. Conclusions: This study offers prospective validation of the IRSN-23 model in predicting chemotherapy efficacy, exhibiting high reproducibility. The findings indicate the IRSN-23 model is clinically valuable and propose new breast cancer subtype classification. These results hold significant implications for personalized treatment strategies.[Table: see text]

Comparisons between HER2-low and HER2-zero tumors with 21-gene multigene assay in 2,295 ER+ HER2- breast cancer.

13 Background: HER2-positivity is an essential marker for therapeutic decisions, while HER2 expression is heterogenous. In recent years, there has been increasing recognition of a subgroup of breast cancer patients who have low levels of HER2 expression, also known as HER2-low because trastuzumab deruxtecan offers clinical benefit for patients with HER2-low metastatic breast cancer. Despite the growing interest in HER2-low breast cancer, there is limited research on how multigene assays can help differentiate between HER2-low and HER2-negative breast cancer. Among ER+HER2- breast cancer, we compared genomic characteristics between HER2-low and HER2-zero using the 21-gene assay. Methods: A retrospective review of clinical records was performed in 2,295 patients who underwent Oncotype DX test in two hospitals between 2013 and 2020. Patients were classified into two groups as the HER2-zero and HER2-low based on HER2 IHC and SISH test. In cases with HER2 2+, no amplification of HER2 gene was confirmed by silver in situ hybridization. High genomic risk was defined as cases with 21-gene recurrence score (RS)&gt;25. Multivariable binary logistic-regression analysis was performed. Results: Of these, 944 (41.1%) were assigned in the HER2-zero, and 1351 (58.9%) were in the HER2-low. The averages of RS were 17.082 in the HER2-zero breast cancer and 18.503 in the HER2-low, respectively (P-value&lt;0.005). HER2 score identified by qRT-PCR was 8.912 in the HER2 zero group and was 9.337 in the HER2 low group (P&lt;0.005). When we compared a proportion of high RS between two groups, the high RS rate was 12.4% (117 of 944) in the HER2-zero, while it was 17.0% (230 of 1351) in the HER2-low (p=0.002). In multivariable analysis, HER2-low was demonstrated as an independent factor for high RS with an odds ratio 1.517 (1.172-1.964) independent of ER, PR, and Ki67. Within the subgroup with invasive ductal carcinoma, the high RS rates of HER2-low and HER2-zero were 19% and 14%, respectively. In the all patients, recurrence-free survival and overall survival did not differ between HER2-low and HER2-zero groups. Conclusions: Within ER+HER2- breast cancer, HER2-low tumors are associated with high RS, especially for histologically invasive ductal carcinoma. A prognostic influence of HER2-low expression among ER+HER2- breast cancer remains as an area that requires further study.

Clinical application of the 21-gene oncotype recurrence score in an older cohort: A single center experience

BackgroundIn early luminal breast cancer, the Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score (RS) prognostic and predictive value with regards to chemotherapy (CHT) application benefit has been broadly validated. In older patients its value has not been deeply addressed. This study aimed to evaluate the benefits of RS testing and to look at differences in treatment allocation for these patients when compared with younger ones. MethodsWe included data from consecutive patients with early luminal HER2-negative breast cancer, treated between 2010 and 2022 at the University Hospital Basel and Cantonal Hospital Baselland, Switzerland. The older cohort included 63 (19%) patients aged ≥70, and the younger cohort 263 (81%) patients aged <70. ResultsOlder breast cancer patients had more co-morbidities (N = 36, 57% vs. N = 92, 35%, p = 0.002) and a higher clinical risk status (N = 49, 78% vs. N = 155, 59%; p = 0.01) when compared to younger patients. Histopathologic characteristics were significantly different between the two cohorts. Although older patients had a higher clinical risk status (78% vs. 59%) (p = 0.01), most of them (74%) received no CHT. Specifically, adjuvant CHT was administered less frequently in older than in younger patients (13% vs. 22%; p = 0.01). Moreover, older patients were less likely to complete CHT (>4 cycles: 78% vs. 97%). ConclusionBreast cancer patients aged ≥70 have higher clinical risk status, more co-morbidities, higher clinical stage (driven by larger tumor size), and more often RS ≥26. However, they receive fewer adjuvant RT and CHT than those aged <70. RS maintains its independent prognostic value in older patients. However, assessing the predictive value of additional CHT benefit remains challenging due to significant differences in CHT administration. Although therapy decision-making in older patients with breast cancer still follows RS-based guidelines, clinical practice indicates an individualized treatment approach.

Clinical Behavior, Management, and Treatment Response of Estrogen Receptor Low (1-10%) Breast Cancer.

Estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) guide management and impact outcomes of breast cancer (BC). This study compares ER-low (1-10%) with ER-negative (< 1%) and ER-positive (>10%) BCand investigates the significance of PR expression within ER-low disease. All patients with HER2-negative invasive BC were identified from the National Cancer Database 2018-2019. Treatment and outcomes were compared using chi-squared tests and multivariable logistic regression. Of 232,762 patients, ER expression was: negative (13.8%), low (2.0%), and > 10% (84.2%). Chemotherapy was given in 83.9% of ER- disease, 82.4% of ER-low/PR- disease, 58.9% of ER-low/PR+ disease, and only in 22.9% of ER+ disease. Within the ER-low subgroup, adjuvant endocrine therapy, recurrence score, and Ki67 varied by PR status (all < 0.01). Patients with ER-low disease selected for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) were younger and had higher T and N category, tumor grade, and Ki67. With NAC, pathological complete response (pCR) rates were similar between ER-low/PR- and ER-low/PR+ (39.5% and 38.1%, respectively, p = 0.67), and were closer to the ER- group (39.7%) than the ER+ group (8.4%). On multivariable analysis, the adjusted effect of ER status (1-10% versus > 10%) on chemotherapy administration was odds ratio (OR) 8.2 (95% CI 7.3-9.2, p < 0.001) for PR-negative, and OR 3.3 (95% CI 7.3-9.2, p < 0.001) for PR-positive. This study suggests that the tumor features and clinical management of ER-low tumors vary significantly by PR expression. Within ER-low tumors, PR- tumors more closely resemble ER- BC, while PR+ tumors exhibit less aggressive characteristics. In ER-low disease selected for treatment with NAC, response is similar to ER- regardless of PR status.

Differential distribution of actual and surrogate oncotype DX recurrence scores in breast cancer patients by age, menopausal status, race, and body mass index.

The Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) is a widely used prognostic tool for estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients. Multiple surrogate models can predict RS with good accuracy. In this study we aimed to determine whether the RS and two surrogate indices were differentially distributed by age, menopausal status, race, and body mass index (BMI). 516 breast cancer cases treated at a single institution were analyzed. Epidemiologic data, RS, tumor size, grade, and biomarker data were abstracted. Breast Cancer Prognostic Score (BCPS) and modified Magee equation2 were used to calculate surrogate RS. Patients were stratified into different groups based on age, menopausal status, race, BMI, or a combination of strata. Mean and standard deviation were calculated for each group/subgroup. Age below median (< 63) was associated with higher RS, especially in obese and Black patients. RS was also higher in obese and Black patients in the premenopausal subgroup. Black patients had a higher RS compared to White women in the premenopausal and non-obese subgroups. BMI < 30 was associated with higher RS, especially in older, postmenopausal, and Black patients. Some of these observations were replicated by the two surrogate models. The surrogate recurrence scores were higher in the younger age group, in non-obese older/postmenopausal women, and in younger/premenopausal obese individuals. Higher RS was observed in younger and premenopausal breast cancer patients, especially among the Black and obese subgroups, and in non-obese patients, especially among Black and older/postmenopausal women, suggesting more aggressive disease in these subgroups. Some statistical differences could be replicated by both surrogate models, suggesting that they may have utility in breast cancer epidemiology studies that do not have access to Oncotype DX RS or patient outcome data.

Survival Benefit of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Node-Positive Breast Cancer With a 21-Gene Recurrence Score of 14 to 25: A Real-World Study Based on the Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting Method

IntroductionThe role of recurrence score in predicting the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy for lymph-node-positive breast cancer remains uncertain. We studied chemotherapy usage in patients with 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes and a recurrence score (RS) of 25 or lower to assess changes in clinical practice based on the RxPONDER trial. MethodsA retrospective study using the SEER database identified female patients diagnosed with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes, and an RS of 25 or lower between 2010 and 2015. Patients were divided into nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups, with propensity score weighting to balance clinicopathologic factors. ResultsAmong 7965 patients, 5774 (72.5%) were in the nonchemotherapy group, while 2191 (27.5%) were in the chemotherapy group. Median follow-up was 39 months. Breast cancer accounted for 67 deaths, while 128 deaths were due to other causes. The weighted 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 95.7% for the nonchemotherapy group and 97.2% for the chemotherapy group. For high-risk patients, the weighted 5-year OS rates were 95.2% and 97.0% for the nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups, respectively, with a significant absolute difference of 1.8% (P = .014). Multivariate analysis showed a significant difference in weighted hazard ratios for OS between the nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups in high-risk patients (hazard ratio: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48-0.86). However, there were no significant differences in weighted hazard ratios for lower-risk patients, and similar results were observed for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). ConclusionPatients with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer and 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes, assessed by a 21-gene RS of 0 to 25, exhibited heterogeneous prognosis. Adjuvant chemotherapy provided a significant survival benefit, especially for patients with RS of 14 to 25, particularly those with invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) and 2 to 3 positive lymph nodes.

Molecular features of androgen-receptor low, estrogen receptor-negative breast cancers in the Carolina breast cancer study

PurposeAndrogen receptor (AR) expression is absent in 40–90% of estrogen receptor (ER)-negative breast cancers. The prognostic value of AR in ER-negative patients and therapeutic targets for patients absent in AR remains poorly explored.MethodsWe used an RNA-based multigene classifier to identify AR-low and AR-high ER-negative participants in the Carolina Breast Cancer Study (CBCS; N = 669) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA; N = 237). We compared AR-defined subgroups by demographics, tumor characteristics, and established molecular signatures [PAM50 risk of recurrence (ROR), homologous recombination deficiency (HRD), and immune response].ResultsAR-low tumors were more prevalent among younger (RFD = + 10%, 95% CI = 4% to 16%) participants in CBCS and were associated with HER2 negativity (RFD = − 35%, 95% CI = − 44% to − 26%), higher grade (RFD = + 17%, 95% CI = 8% to 26%), and higher risk of recurrence scores (RFD = + 22%, 95% CI = 16.1% to 28%), with similar results in TCGA. The AR-low subgroup was strongly associated with HRD in CBCS (RFD = + 33.3%, 95% CI = 23.8% to 43.2%) and TCGA (RFD = + 41.5%, 95% CI = 34.0% to 48.6%). In CBCS, AR-low tumors had high adaptive immune marker expression.ConclusionMultigene, RNA-based low AR expression is associated with aggressive disease characteristics as well as DNA repair defects and immune phenotypes, suggesting plausible precision therapies for AR-low, ER-negative patients.

Gene Expression and Benefit of Chemotherapy in Women With Node-Negative, Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer.

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay quantifies the likelihood of distant recurrence in women with estrogen receptor-positive, lymph node-negative breast cancer treated with adjuvant tamoxifen. The relationship between the RS and chemotherapy benefit is not known. The RS was measured in tumors from the tamoxifen-treated and tamoxifen plus chemotherapy-treated patients in the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) B20 trial. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to test for interaction between chemotherapy treatment and the RS. A total of 651 patients were assessable (227 randomly assigned to tamoxifen and 424 randomly assigned to tamoxifen plus chemotherapy). The test for interaction between chemotherapy treatment and RS was statistically significant (P = .038). Patients with high-RS (≥ 31) tumors (ie, high risk of recurrence) had a large benefit from chemotherapy (relative risk, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.53; absolute decrease in 10-year distant recurrence rate: mean, 27.6%; SE, 8.0%). Patients with low-RS (< 18) tumors derived minimal, if any, benefit from chemotherapy treatment (relative risk, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.46 to 3.78; absolute decrease in distant recurrence rate at 10 years: mean, -1.1%; SE, 2.2%). Patients with intermediate-RS tumors did not appear to have a large benefit, but the uncertainty in the estimate can not exclude a clinically important benefit. The RS assay not only quantifies the likelihood of breast cancer recurrence in women with node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer, but also predicts the magnitude of chemotherapy benefit.

Radiotherapy Use and Incidence of Locoregional Recurrence in Patients With Favorable-Risk, Node-Positive Breast Cancer Enrolled in the SWOG S1007 Trial

Little is known about regional nodal irradiation (RNI) practice patterns or rates of locoregional recurrence (LRR) with and without RNI in patients with limited nodal disease and favorable biology treated with modern surgical and systemic therapy, including approaches that de-escalate those latter treatments. To investigate how often patients with low-recurrence score breast cancer with 1 to 3 nodes involved receive RNI, incidence and predictors of LRR, and associations between locoregional therapy and disease-free survival. In this secondary analysis of the SWOG S1007 trial, patients with hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer, and a Oncotype DX 21-gene Breast Recurrence Score assay result of no more than 25, were randomized to endocrine therapy alone vs chemotherapy then endocrine therapy. Prospectively collected radiotherapy information was collected from 4871 patients treated in diverse settings. Data were analyzed June 2022 to April 2023. Receipt of RNI (targeting at least the supraclavicular region). Cumulative incidence of LRR was calculated by locoregional treatment received. Analyses were assessed for associations between invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and locoregional therapy, adjusted for menopausal status, treatment group, recurrence score, tumor size, nodes involved, and axillary surgery. Radiotherapy information was recorded in the first year after randomization, so survival analyses were landmarked as starting at 1 year among those still at risk. Of 4871 female patients (median [range] age, 57 [18-87] years) with radiotherapy forms, 3947 (81.0%) reported radiotherapy receipt. Of 3852 patients who received radiotherapy and had complete information on targets, 2274 (59.0%) received RNI. With a median follow-up of 6.1 years, the cumulative incidence of LRR by 5 years was 0.85% among patients who received breast-conserving surgery and radiotherapy with RNI; 0.55% after breast-conserving surgery with radiotherapy without RNI; 0.11% after mastectomy with postmastectomy radiotherapy; and 1.7% after mastectomy without radiotherapy. Similarly low LRR was observed within the group assigned to endocrine therapy without chemotherapy. The rate of IDFS did not differ by RNI receipt (premenopausal: hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% CI, 0.74-1.43; P = .87; postmenopausal: HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.68-1.07; P = .16). In this secondary analysis of a clinical trial, RNI use was divided in the setting of biologically favorable N1 disease, and rates of LRR were low even in patients who did not receive RNI. Disease-free survival was not associated with RNI receipt; omission of chemotherapy among patients similar to those enrolled in the S1007 trial is not an independent indication for use of RNI.

The Added Prognostic Value of Oncotype Recurrence Score to AJCC Prognostic Staging System in Stage III ER+/HER2- Breast Cancer.

Prognostic prediction based on prognostic stage (PS) with the Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) has not been validated in stage III ER+/HER2- breast cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the added prognostic significance of RS incorporated with the PS system and to compare the prognostic prediction improvement with anatomic TNM stage (AS) using nomogram construction. The SEER database was indexed to identify ER+/HER2- invasive ductal or lobular breast cancer in AS IIIA-IIIC with RS results diagnosed from 2004 to 2013. Patients with RS < 18, 18-30 and > 30 were categorized into low-, intermediate- and high-risk RS groups. Comparisons of the distribution of clinical-pathologic characteristics among RS risk groups were performed using Pearson's chi-square test. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared across RS or PS by log-rank test. Cox regression was used to evaluate the factors independently related to BCSS. A nomogram comprised of PS and RS was constructed with discrimination, calibration and clinical benefit evaluated. Altogether 629 patients who received RS were enrolled. There were 326 cases (51.8%) with low-risk RS, 237 (37.7%) with intermediate-risk RS and 66 (10.5%) with high-risk RS; 344 patients (54.7%) had PS IB, 84 (13.4%) had IIB, 150 (23.8%) had IIIA, 46 (7.3%) had IIIB, and only 5 had (0.8%) IIIC. Both PS and RS were independent prognostic factors for BCSS. There were significant or trends of differences in survival among RS within subtypes stratified by PS. There were significant differences in survival among PS only within intermediate-risk RS. A nomogram prediction 5-year BCSS was constructed with a c-index of 0.811. Lower histologic grade, positive PR and fewer positive lymph nodes were independently correlated with low-risk RS. PS incorporated with RS had improved prognostic significance for stage III ER+/HER 2- breast cancer.

Multimodal recurrence scoring system for prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma outcome: a discovery and validation study

Improved markers for predicting recurrence are needed to stratify patients with localised (stage I-III) renal cell carcinoma after surgery for selection of adjuvant therapy. We developed a novel assay integrating three modalities-clinical, genomic, and histopathological-to improve the predictive accuracy for localised renal cell carcinoma recurrence. In this retrospective analysis and validation study, we developed a histopathological whole-slide image (WSI)-based score using deep learning allied to digital scanning of conventional haematoxylin and eosin-stained tumour tissue sections, to predict tumour recurrence in a development dataset of 651 patients with distinctly good or poor disease outcome. The six single nucleotide polymorphism-based score, which was detected in paraffin-embedded tumour tissue samples, and the Leibovich score, which was established using clinicopathological risk factors, were combined with the WSI-based score to construct a multimodal recurrence score in the training dataset of 1125 patients. The multimodal recurrence score was validated in 1625 patients from the independent validation dataset and 418 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas set. The primary outcome measured was the recurrence-free interval (RFI). The multimodal recurrence score had significantly higher predictive accuracy than the three single-modal scores and clinicopathological risk factors, and it precisely predicted the RFI of patients in the training and two validation datasets (areas under the curve at 5 years: 0·825-0·876 vs 0·608-0·793; p<0·05). The RFI of patients with low stage or grade is usually better than that of patients with high stage or grade; however, the RFI in the multimodal recurrence score-defined high-risk stage I and II group was shorter than in the low-risk stage III group (hazard ratio [HR] 4·57, 95% CI 2·49-8·40; p<0·0001), and the RFI of the high-risk grade 1 and 2 group was shorter than in the low-risk grade 3 and 4 group (HR 4·58, 3·19-6·59; p<0·0001). Our multimodal recurrence score is a practical and reliable predictor that can add value to the current staging system for predicting localised renal cell carcinoma recurrence after surgery, and this combined approach more precisely informs treatment decisions about adjuvant therapy. National Natural Science Foundation of China, and National Key Research and Development Program of China.

Survival results according to Oncotype Dx recurrence score in patients with hormone receptor positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer: first multicenter Oncotype Dx recurrence score survival data of Turkey.

The Oncotype Dx recurrence score (ODx-RS) guides the adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making process for patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive, HER-2 receptor-negative breast cancer. This study aimed to evaluate survival and its correlation with ODx-RS in pT1-2, N0-N1mic patients treated with adjuvant therapy based on tumor board decisions. Estrogen-positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer patients (pT1-2 N0, N1mic) with known ODx-RS, operated on between 2010 and 2014, were included in this study. The primary aim was to evaluate 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates according to ODX-RS. A total of 203 eligible patients were included in the study, with a median age of 48 (range 26-75) and median follow-up of 84 (range 23-138) months. ROC curve analysis for all patients revealed a recurrence cut-off age of 45 years, prompting evaluation by grouping patients as ≤45 years vs. >45 years. No significant difference in five-year DFS rates was observed between the endocrine-only (ET) and chemo-endocrine (CE) groups. However, among the ET group, DFS was higher in patients over 45 years compared to those aged ≤45 years. When stratifying by ODx-RS as 0-17 and ≥18, DFS was significantly higher in the former group within the ET group. However, such differences were not seen in the CE group. In the ET group, an ODx-RS ≥18 and menopausal status were identified as independent factors affecting survival, with only an ODx-RS ≥18 impacting DFS in patients aged ≤45 years. The ROC curve analysis for this subgroup found the ODx-RS cut-off to be 18. This first multicenter Oncotype Dx survival analysis in Turkey demonstrates the importance of Oncotype Dx recurrence score and age in determining treatment strategies for early-stage breast cancer patients. As a different aproach to the literature, our findings suggest that the addition of chemotherapy to endocrine therapy in young patients (≤45 years) with Oncotype Dx recurrence scores of ≥18 improves DFS.