Objectives: We investigated the usefulness of combining ankle-brachial blood pressure index (ABI) with pulse wave velocity (baPWV) in the prediction of mortality in elderly Chinese. Methods: The subjects of our prospective observational study were older persons (≥60 years) living in a suburb town of Shanghai. In addition to the measurement of ABI and baPWV using an Omron device, we also measured conventional cardiovascular risk factors at baseline, and collected vital information during follow-up. Results: At baseline, the study participants (n = 3161, 1391 men [44.0%]) had a mean age of 69 years (±7 [SD]), and included 1897 (60.0%) hypertensive and 291 (9.2%) diabetic patients. During a mean follow-up of 4 years, the number of all-cause and cardiovascular deaths was 205 and 95, respectively. Subjects with an ABI of ≤0.9 (n = 84 [2.7%]), compared to those with an ABI greater than 0.9, had a significantly (P < 0.0001) higher incidence rate (per 1000 person-years) of total (73.4 vs. 15.0) and cardiovascular mortality (43.3 vs. 5.9). After exclusion of 84 subjects with an ABI of ≤0.9, we performed analysis on baPWV, and found that subjects in the top quartile of baPWV (>20 m/s), compared to rest 3 quartiles, had a significantly (P < 0.01) higher incidence rate of total (28.2 vs. 10.9) and cardiovascular mortality (15.5 vs. 3.9). However, after adjustment for sex, age and conventional cardiovascular risk factors, only the association between ABI and total mortality remained significant (P = 0.009). Conclusions: In conclusion, in elderly Chinese, ABI but not baPWV is independently predictive of total mortality.
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