Prognostic Indicator For Overall Survival Research Articles

Metabolism score and machine learning models for the prediction of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma progression.

The incomplete prediction of prognosis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients is attributed to various therapeutic interventions and complex prognostic factors. Consequently, there is a pressing demand for enhanced predictive biomarkers that can facilitate clinical management and treatment decisions. This study recruited 491 ESCC patients who underwent surgical treatment at Huashan Hospital, Fudan University. We incorporated 14 blood metabolic indicators and identified independent prognostic indicators for overall survival through univariate and multivariate analyses. Subsequently, a metabolism score formula was established based on the biochemical markers. We constructed a nomogram and machine learning models utilizing the metabolism score and clinically significant prognostic features, followed by an evaluation of their predictive accuracy and performance. We identified alkaline phosphatase, free fatty acids, homocysteine, lactate dehydrogenase, and triglycerides as independent prognostic indicators for ESCC. Subsequently, based on these five indicators, we established a metabolism score that serves as an independent prognostic factor in ESCC patients. By utilizing this metabolism score in conjunction with clinical features, a nomogram can precisely predict the prognosis of ESCC patients, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89. The random forest (RF) model showed superior predictive ability (AUC = 0.90, accuracy = 86%, Matthews correlation coefficient = 0.55). Finally, we used an RF model with optimal performance to establish an online predictive tool. The metabolism score developed in this study serves as an independent prognostic indicator for ESCC patients.

Identification of a combined hypoxia and lactate metabolism prognostic signature in lung adenocarcinoma

BackgroundIn the tumor microenvironment (TME), a bidirectional relationship exists between hypoxia and lactate metabolism, with each component exerting a reciprocal influence on the other, forming an inextricable link. The aim of the present investigation was to develop a prognostic model by amalgamating genes associated with hypoxia and lactate metabolism. This model is intended to serve as a tool for predicting patient outcomes, including survival rates, the status of the immune microenvironment, and responsiveness to therapy in patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).MethodsTranscriptomic sequencing data and patient clinical information specific to LUAD were obtained from comprehensive repositories of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). A compendium of genes implicated in hypoxia and lactate metabolism was assembled from an array of accessible datasets. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed. Additional investigative procedures, including tumor mutational load (TMB), microsatellite instability (MSI), functional enrichment assessments and the ESTIMATE, CIBERSORT, and TIDE algorithms, were used to evaluate drug sensitivity and predict the efficacy of immune-based therapies.ResultsA novel prognostic signature comprising five lactate and hypoxia-related genes (LHRGs), PKFP, SLC2A1, BCAN, CDKN3, and ANLN, was established. This model demonstrated that LUAD patients with elevated LHRG-related risk scores exhibited significantly reduced survival rates. Both univariate and multivariate Cox analyses confirmed that the risk score was a robust prognostic indicator of overall survival. Immunophenotyping revealed increased infiltration of memory CD4 + T cells, dendritic cells and NK cells in patients classified within the high-risk category compared to their low-risk counterparts. Higher probability of mutations in lung adenocarcinoma driver genes in high-risk groups, and the MSI was associated with the risk-score. Functional enrichment analyses indicated a predominance of cell cycle-related pathways in the high-risk group, whereas metabolic pathways were more prevalent in the low-risk group. Moreover, drug sensitivity analyses revealed increased sensitivity to a variety of drugs in the high-risk group, especially inhibitors of the PI3K-AKT, EGFR, and ELK pathways.ConclusionsThis prognostic model integrates lactate metabolism and hypoxia parameters, offering predictive insights regarding survival, immune cell infiltration and functionality, as well as therapeutic responsiveness in LUAD patients. This model may facilitate personalized treatment strategies, tailoring interventions to the unique molecular profile of each patient’s disease.

The prognostic impact of transforming growth factor beta 2 (TGFB2) mRNA levels, in conjunction with interferon-gamma receptor activation of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) and expression of CD276/B7-H3 in low-grade gliomas.

e14564 Background: Low-grade glioma (LGG) tumors are characterized by a low infiltration of immune cells, requiring therapeutic interventions to boost the immune response. Methods: We analyzed mRNA expression datasets from the UCSC Xena web platform to compare normal brain tissue with LGG tumor samples to screen for upregulated genes. We also used cBioportal to determine the relationship between mRNA expression levels of 513 LGG patients and their overall survival (OS) outcomes. Results: Tumor-associated macrophage (TAM) markers, MSR1/CD204, CD86, and CD68, exhibited a 6-fold (P<0.0001), 8.9-fold (P<0.0001), and 15.6-fold increases in mRNA expression levels, respectively in LGG tumors. Both TGFB1 (4.1-fold increase, P<0.0001) and TGFB2 (2.2-fold increase, P<0.0001) were upregulated in brain tumors, suggesting that TGFB ligands are pivotal in establishing an immunosuppressive TME. In addition, mRNA upregulation of interferon-gamma receptors, IFNGR1 and IFNGR2, and signaling molecules STAT1, IRF1, and IRF5, pointed to an essential role for IFN-γ mediated remodeling of the TME. A tumor-associated antigen, CD276/B7-H3, mRNA expression showed a significant (P<0.0001) 4.03-fold increase in tumor tissue. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models investigating the interaction of TGFB2 and activation of IFNGR2, STAT1, IRF1, or IRF5 showed that the prognostic impact of high mRNA levels (25 percentile cut-off) of TGFB2high was independent of IFNGR2, STAT1, IRF1, or IRF5 mRNA levels (TGFB2high HR (95% CI) = 4.07 (2.35-7.06), 6 (3.62-10.11), 4.38 (2.67-7.17), and 4.48 (2.82-7.12) for models with IFNGR2, STAT1, IRF1, or IRF5 respectively). Patients with high levels of TGFB2 were overrepresented by LGG patients with IDH wild-type mutation status. The prognostic impact of TGFB2high and IDH wild-type observed by the increases in hazard ratios for TGFB2 (HR (95% CI range) = 2.02 (1.05-3.89)) and IDH wild-type (HR (95% CI range) = 4.44 (1.9-10.4)) were independent predictors of survival requiring risk stratification of patients identify LGG patients with IDH wild-type and TGFB2high in the design of clinical trials. The ratio of TGFB1:TGFB2 expression levels was also a prognostic indicator for OS, whereby patients who exhibited a 2.5-fold greater level of TGFB1 compared to TGFB2 mRNA levels experienced improved survival outcomes. A 1.8-fold higher TGFB2 levels, the mRNA expression corresponded to worse OS. Conclusions: The specific abrogation of TGFB2 and not TGFB1 by OT101, a TGFB2-specific synthetic phosphorothioate antisense oligodeoxynucleotide, is a prerequisite to employing a strategy to target TGFB pathways. IRF5 and CD276/B7-H3 as prognostic markers are potential targets for combination therapies with TGFB2 inhibitors.

Abstract PO5-04-10: Clinical and prognostic value of MLN51 (Metastatic lymph node gene 51)/CASC3 (Cancer susceptibility candidate gene 3) in clinical breast cancer, connection with nodal and hormonal receptor status

Abstract Introduction: Metastatic Lymph Node Gene 51 Protein (MLN51) also known as Cancer Susceptibility Candidate Gene 3 Protein (CASC3) or Barentsz (BTZ) is a molecule that was first identified in malignant breast tumours. The CASC3 gene encodes the protein that binds to mRNA and is a key component of the exon junction complex (EJC), playing an important role in the metabolism of mRNA and in cellular recovery after stress responses. It is not clear, however, if MLN51 has a clinical value in assessing the disease progression of breast cancer. Methods: We analysed the transcription expression levels of MLN51 in a cohort of human breast cancer tissues and correlated the expression pattern with clinical outcome, pathological type and hormonal receptor status. Results: High levels of MLN51 was found to be a favourable prognostic indicator for overall survival (p=0.008, Hazard Ratio [HR=0.262]), the prognostic value being independent of other clinical and pathological factors. Likewise, high levels of MLN51 were also a significant and independent predictive factor for disease free survival (DFS) (p=0.003, HR=0.262). It was found that the favourable prediction in both OS and DFS was associated with node positive tumours, with significance with OS (p=0.004), compared in node negative tumours (p=0.143) and to DFS (p=0.001 in node positive compared with p=0.079 in node negative tumours). Levels of MLN51 had a significant correlation with EGFR in both normal and tumour mammary tissues but correlated with Her-2 and Her-3 in tumour tissues only. The prognostic power of MLN51 for DFS was significant in both Her-2 positive and Her-2 negative (p=0.003 and p=0.012) tumours and in ER negative tumours (p=0.003). The prediction for OS by MLN51 was particularly strong for Her-2 positive and ER positive (p=0.007 for both) tumours. Conclusions: MLN51 (CASC3) is a favourable prognostic factor in patients with breast cancer. This is clearly linked to the nodal status and hormone receptor status, particularly ER and HER-2. Citation Format: Binbin Cong, Tracey Martin, Xiaoshan Cao, Robert E Mansel, Eleri Davies, Wen Jiang. Clinical and prognostic value of MLN51 (Metastatic lymph node gene 51)/CASC3 (Cancer susceptibility candidate gene 3) in clinical breast cancer, connection with nodal and hormonal receptor status [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-04-10.

Prognostic Indicators of Overall Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Liver Resection.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer and the third contributor to malignancy-related deaths worldwide. The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), transient elastography-liver stiffness measurement (TE-LSM), and the association between TBS (tumor burden score), alpha-fetoprotein levels, and the Child-Pugh classification (TAC score) can serve as valuable prognostic indicators for these patients. Therefore, the main objective of our research was to analyze the prognostic value of the HVPG, TE-LSM, TBS, and TAC scores. An observational and survival study was conducted on 144 subjects. Our findings indicated that HVPG greater than 10 mmHg, AFP surpassing 400 ng/mL, an advanced C-P class, and low TAC score are independent predictors of overall survival. During the multivariate analysis, AFP serum levels and C-P class proved statistically significant. The present study revealed significant differences in overall survival between the two groups divided upon HVPG values and settled by the cutoff of 10 mmHg (p = 0.02). Moreover, by dividing the cohort into three groups based on the TAC score (very low, low, and moderate), statistically significant differences in overall survival were observed across the groups (p = 0.004).

Downregulation of NAT1 Expression is Associated with Poor Prognosis and Immune Infiltration in COAD.

An increasing corpus of evidence has identified the involvement of N-acetyltransferase 1 (NAT1), a member of the NAT family, in the progression of various cancers. However, the specific function of NAT1 in colon cancer (COAD) remains elusive. This study aims to decip her the role of NAT1 in COAD and its associated mechanisms. The Tumor Immunity Evaluation Resource (TIMER), The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases were employed to assess the NAT1 expression level in COAD. The differential expression between COAD and normal colon tissue was further validated using quantitative real-time reverse-transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) and Western blot (WB) analyses. Additionally, survival analysis of NAT1 in COAD was carried out using the PrognoScan database and TCGA dataset. The functions of NAT1 were explored through gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and immuno-infiltration analysis. There was a significant reduction in NAT1 expression in COAD samples compared to normal tissue. Notably, low NAT1 expression in COAD correlated significantly with various clinical parameters such as tumor stage (T stage, N stage, M stage, pathologic stage), primary therapy outcome, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, and lymphatic invasion. The downregulation of NAT1 was also strongly linked with poor outcomes in overall survival (OS), progression-free interval (PFI), and disease-specific survival (DSS). Cox regression analysis highlighted NAT1 as an independent prognostic indicator for overall survival in COAD patients. GSEA results revealed NAT1's involvement in multiple pathways, including the neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction, olfactory transduction, olfactory signaling, extracellular matrix receptor interaction, calcium signaling, and focal adhesion pathways. Furthermore, NAT1 expression was found to significantly correlate with infiltration levels of various immune cells. The findings reveal NAT1's potential as a valuable prognostic biomarker for COAD. Moreover, its associated mechanisms offer insights that might pave the way for therapeutic interventions for COAD patients.

Development and validation of nomogram-based models for personalized survival assessment in pediatric hepatoblastoma patients.

Hepatoblastoma (HB) is a prevalent form of liver cancer in pediatric patients, characterized by an embryonal malignant tumor. In the current study, a clinical prediction model was developed; that can effectively assess the likelihood of a patient's survival with HB. Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for cases of HB between 2010 and 2019 were used in this retrospective research. Information on clinicopathologic characteristics, therapeutic interventions, and survival outcomes were included in the data. The HB patients were randomly assigned to the training or validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio. Using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models, the prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were identified. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration plots, and concordance index (C-index) were used to evaluate the accuracy and calibration of these models. The clinical utility of the models was examined using decision curve analysis (DCA). The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed multiple autonomous prognostic determinants for the OS and CSS, including age, surgical interventions, and chemotherapy administration. Significantly, tumor size was found to be a strong predictor of OS. AUC values of 0.915, 0.846, and 0.847 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS, respectively, indicated that the nomogram-based models were highly accurate at predicting outcomes. Similarly, the AUC values for CSS were 0.871, 0.814, and 0.825. The C-index measurements, which quantify the discriminatory performance of the models, produced CSS values of 0.836 and OS values of 0.864. Furthermore, the calibration plots accurately represented the actual survival rates. Concurrently, the DCA had validated the clinical relevance of the nomogram-based models. The present study successfully developed and validated user-friendly nomogram-based models, allowing for accurate assessment of OS and CSS in pediatric HB patients. These tools enable personalized survival predictions, enhance risk stratification, and strengthen clinical decision-making for managing HB.

Preoperative IL-8 levels as prognostic indicators of overall survival: an extended follow-up in a prospective cohort with colorectal liver metastases

IntroductionCRC with liver metastases is a major contributor to cancer-related mortality. Despite advancements in liver resection techniques, patient survival remains a concern due to high recurrence rates. This study seeks to uncover prognostic biomarkers that predict overall survival in patients undergoing curative hepatic resection for CRC liver metastases.MethodsProspectively collected serum samples from a cohort of 49 patients who received curative hepatic resection for CRC liver metastases were studied. The patients are part of a cohort, previously analyzed for perioperative complications (see methods). Various preoperative serum markers, clinical characteristics, and factors were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine associations between these variables and disease-free survival as well as overall survival.ResultsFor disease-free survival, univariate analysis highlighted the correlation between poor outcomes and advanced primary tumor stage, high ASA score, and synchronous liver metastases. Multivariate analysis identified nodal-positive primary tumors and synchronous metastases as independent risk factors for disease-free survival. Regarding overall survival, univariate analysis demonstrated significant links between poor survival and high preoperative IL-8 levels, elevated neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and presence of metastases in other organs. Multivariate analysis confirmed preoperative IL-8 and having three or more liver metastases as independent risk factors for overall survival. The impact of IL-8 on survival was particularly noteworthy, surpassing the influence of established clinical factors.ConclusionThis study establishes preoperative IL-8 levels as a potential prognostic biomarker for overall survival in patients undergoing curative liver resection for CRC liver metastases. This study underscores the importance of incorporating IL-8 and other biomarkers into clinical decision-making, facilitating improved patient stratification and tailored treatment approaches. Further research and validation studies are needed to solidify the clinical utility of IL-8 as a prognostic marker.

ATRX and Its Prognostic Significance in Soft Tissue Sarcoma.

Recently, the association between ATRX and a more aggressive sarcoma phenotype has been shown. We performed a retrospective study of sarcomas from an individual institution to evaluate ATRX as a prognosticator in soft tissue sarcoma. Experimental Design. 128 sarcomas were collected from a single institution and stained for ATRX. The prognostic significance of these markers was evaluated in a smaller cohort of primary soft tissue sarcomas (n = 68). Kaplan-Meier curves were created for univariate analysis, and Cox regression was utilized for multivariate analysis. High expression of ATRX was found to be a positive prognostic indicator for overall survival and metastasis-free survival in our group of soft tissue sarcomas both in univariate analysis and multivariate analysis (HR: 0.38 (0.17-0.85), P=0.02 and HR: 0.49 (0.24-0.99), P=0.05, respectively). High expression of ATRX is a positive prognostic indicator of overall survival and metastasis-free survival in patients with STS. This is consistent with studies in osteosarcoma, which indicate possible mechanisms through which loss of ATRX leads to more aggressive phenotypes. Future prospective clinical studies are required to validate the prognostic significance of these findings.

Prognostic Assessment of Colorectal Cancer Patients after Laparoscopic Surgery: A Comprehensive Evaluation of the Glasgow Prognostic Score and Fibrinogen-to-Prealbumin Ratio.

BACKGROUND Previous studies have shown that systemic inflammation and suboptimal nutritional status are associated with poor cancer prognosis. This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of preoperative Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) and fibrinogen-to-prealbumin ratio (FPR) in patients with CRC (colorectal cancer) after laparoscopic surgery. MATERIAL AND METHODS In this study, the clinical data of 112 patients with CRC who underwent laparoscopic surgery were retrospectively analyzed, and the 3-year and 5-year survival rates of these patients were evaluated. In addition, the prognostic role of preoperative FPR and GPS in CRC patients was assessed using X-tile software, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to assess the predictive value of FPR, GPS, and FPR-GPS for the survival of these patients. RESULTS The results revealed a significant negative correlation between high FPR, elevated GPS, and overall survival (OS) in patients with CRC. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified GPS (HR=3.207, 95% CI: 1.746~6.126), FPR (HR=2.669, 95% CI: 1.052~6.772), and lymph node metastasis (HR=2.222, 95% CI: 1.199~4.115) as independent prognostic indicators for overall survival. The ROC analysis demonstrated that the prediction based on FPR and GPS outperformed a single indicator in accurately predicting the prognosis of CRC patients. CONCLUSIONS Combining the preoperative FPR with the GPS contributes to accurate prognosis assessment for CRC patients after laparoscopic surgery. Patients exhibiting high FPR and GPS values are associated with a worse prognosis.

Radiomics Model for Predicting FOXP3 Expression Level and Survival in Clear Cell Renal Carcinoma

We aimed to evaluate the predictive significance of forkhead box protein 3 (FOXP3) expression levels among individuals with clear cell renal carcinoma (ccRCC) and establish a radiomics model for predicting FOXP3 expression. 430 patients with ccRCC were included in the gene-based prognostic analyses; 100 samples were used for radiomics feature generation, model development, and evaluation. A gradient boosting machine was employed to model the selected radiomics features. The developed model generated radiomics scores (RS) that predicted FOXP3 expression. The FOXP3 prognostic model combining imaging features was applied for survival and clinical indicator correlation analyses. FOXP3 was highly expressed in patients with ccRCC and served as an independent predictive marker (hazard ratio [HR]=2.357, 95% CI [confidence interval]: 1.582-3.511, p<0.001). The radiomics model formed by three radiomics characteristics was identified as a strong prognostic indicator of overall survival (OS). The predictive power of the model was commendable (areas under the curve: 0.835 and 0.809 for training and validation sets, respectively). Significant between-group variations in RS distribution were identified, as indicated by gene expression levels (p<0.05). Disparities were observed in pathological stage, pharmaceutical therapy, and neoplasm status between low and high RS cohorts (p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves revealed a significant correlation between increased RS and decreased OS (p=0.001), which was also observed in the multivariate analyses (HR=3.411, 95% CI: 1.039-11.196, p=0.043). Prognostic outcome of ccRCC is closely linked to FOXP3 expression level. Computed tomography-based radiomics shows promise for prognostic prediction in ccRCC.

Total Number of Lymph Nodes in Neck Dissection and Its Relation to Cancer-Positive Lymph Nodes as a Prognostic Indicator in Aerodigestive Tract Cancers: A Multi-Center Study.

Objectives Few studies have been conducted on the total number of lymph nodes (LNs) in neck dissection and the lymph node ratio (LNR; number of positive lymph nodes divided by number of excised lymph nodes), or their potential use as a prognostic indicator for cancers of the upper aerodigestive tract (UADT) and its treatment. We aimed to measure the number of lymph nodesdissected and the LNR to assess their prognostic value for cancers of the UADT, as well as their effect on overall survival and disease-free survival. Methods We performed a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with cancer of the UADT who underwent neck dissection as the primary or secondary modality of their treatment plan at King Abdulaziz University Hospital and the National Guard Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Data were collected through medical records and analyzed to assess prognosis and calculate survival rates in relation to the number of lymph nodes and LNR. Results A total of 121 patients were included: 14 women (11.57%) and 107 men (88.43%). The median age was 60 years and the mean follow-up period was 2.7 years. Of the malignancies, 44.63% were of the oral tongue and 35.54% were laryngeal. A median of 38 lymph nodes were dissected during neck dissections. The distribution of the individual LNRs was characterized by mean values. A mean LNR of 0.04 was considered the cutoff value, an LNR of > 0.04 a high LNR, and an LNR of < 0.04 a low LNR. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for the cohort showed a three-year overall survival rate of 88% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 77% to 94%) for patients with a low LNR, but 71% (95% CI: 47% to 85%) for patients with a high LNR, which was statistically significant. A similar significant decreasing trend persisted at the four-year follow-up, where the disease-free survival rate was 73% (95% CI: 61% to 82%) for patients with a low LNR compared with 56% (95% CI: 35% to 72%) for patients with a high LNR. Conclusion The number of excised lymph nodes in neck dissections and the LNR might be a good prognostic indicator for overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with cancers of the UADT and may serve as a valuable tool in deciding on different treatment plans.

Clinical features and outcomes analysis of Gallbladder neuroendocrine carcinoma.

Gallbladder neuroendocrine carcinoma (GB-NEC) is an uncommon and highly malignant tumor. This research aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of GB-NEC. Our survey of case reports from January 2000 to May 2022 screened a total of 84 patients with complete data who received surgical resection for gallbladder NEC. Log-rank generated survival curves using the Kaplan-Meier method for univariate survival analysis. To identify GB-NEC independent prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS), univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were conducted. These patients consisted of 25 men and 59 women, with an average age of 60 (range 29-85). Patients under 60 years old made up 44% of the population, while patients over 60 made up 56%. Fifty-three tumors were advanced pathologic TNM stage III and IV. After surgery, 44 patients underwent chemotherapy or radiotherapy. The median OS of 84 patients with GB-NEC was 16.8 months. In univariate and multivariate analysis, tumor size (diameter ≥5 cm), TNM tumor stage, and the receipt of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy are independent factors influencing the prognosis of patients with GB-NEC. Tumor size (diameter ≥5 cm) and TNM tumor stage were independently related to a shorter OS. An enhanced OS was independently linked to receiving postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

SEER-based risk stratification system for patients with primary non-cirrhotic liver cancer

BackgroundLittle research has been done on the factors affecting the survival of patients with non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC-NCL). Our aim was to develop and validate a nomogram and a new risk stratification system that can evaluate overall survival (OS) in HCC-NCL patients.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2019 to study HCC-NCL patients. The patients were randomly split into training and validation groups at a 7:3 ratio and subjected to single-factor and multi-factor COX regression analysis. We then developed a nomogram and evaluated its accuracy and clinical validity using time-dependent ROC, DCA, and calibration curves. We compared the nomogram with the AJCC staging system by calculating C-index, NRI, and IDI. Finally, we used Kaplan–Meier curves to compare the nomogram and AJCC staging. These analyses were performed without altering the original intended meaning.ResultsAFP levels, surgical intervention, T-stage, tumor size, and M-stage were independent prognostic indicators for overall survival among the HCC-NCL population studied. We developed a nomogram based on these factors, and time-dependent ROC, calibration curves, DCA analyses, and C-index proved its accuracy. Compared to the AJCC staging system, the nomogram showed better prognostic accuracy through time-dependent ROC, DCA analyses, C-index, NRI, IDI, and Kaplan–Meier curves.ConclusionWe have developed and validated a survival nomogram applicable to HCC-NCL patients, with risk stratification. Our nomogram offers personalized treatment and management options superior to those provided by the AJCC staging system.

Impact of liver volumetric regeneration on survival outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after major hepatectomy.

Prognostic value of liver volumetric regeneration (LVR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who undergo major hepatectomy remains unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of LVR on long-term outcomes in these patients. Data of 399 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent major hepatectomy between 2000 to 2018 were retrieved from a prospectively maintained institutional database. The LVR-index was defined as the relative increase in liver volume from 7days to 3months (RLV3m/RLV7d, where RLV3m and RLV7d is the remnant liver volume around 3months and postoperative 7days after surgery). The optimal cut-off value was determined using the median value of LVR-index. A total of 131 patients were eligible in this study. The optimal cut off value of LVR-index was 1.194. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) rate of patients in the high LVR-index group were significantly better compared to those in the low LVR-index group (95.5%, 84.8%, 75.4% and 49.1% vs. 95.4%, 70.2%, 56.4%, and 19.9%, p = 0.002). Meanwhile, there was no significant difference with regards to time to recurrence between the two groups (p = 0.607). Significance of LVR-index for OS was retained after adjusting for known prognostic factors (p = 0.002). In patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy, LVR-index may serve as a prognostic indicator for OS.

Identification of GPD1L as a Potential Prognosis Biomarker and Associated with Immune Infiltrates in Lung Adenocarcinoma.

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is one of the most prevalent pathological kinds of lung cancer, which is a common form of cancer that has a high death rate. Over the past several years, growing studies have indicated that GPD1L was involved in the advancement of a number of different cancers. However, its clinical significance in LUAD has not been investigated. In this study, following an examination of the TGCA datasets, we found that GPD1L displayed a dysregulated state in a wide variety of cancers; this led us to believe that GPD1L is an essential regulator in the progression of malignancies. In addition, we found that the expression of GPD1L was much lower in LUAD tissues when compared with nontumor specimens. According to the findings of ROC tests, GPD1L was able to effectively identify LUAD specimens from nontumor samples with an AUC value of 0.828 (95% confidence interval: 0.793 to 0.863). On the basis of the clinical study, a low expression of GPD1L was clearly related with both the N stage and the clinical stage. Moreover, based on the findings of a Kaplan-Meier survival study, elevated GPD1L expression was a strong indicator of considerably improved overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). GPD1L expression and clinical stages were found to be independent prognostic indicators for overall survival and disease-free survival in LUAD patients, according to multivariate analyses. Based on multivariate analysis, the C-indexes and calibration plots of the nomogram demonstrated an effective prediction performance for LUAD patients. Besides, the expression of GPD1L was positively related to mast cells, eosinophils, Tcm, TFH, iDC, DC, and macrophages, while negatively associated with Th2 cells, NK CD56dim cells, Tgd, Treg, and neutrophils. Finally, qRT-PCR was able to demonstrate that GPD1L had a significant amount of expression in LUAD. Additionally, according to the results of functional tests, overexpression of GPD1L had a significant inhibiting effect on the proliferation of LUAD cells. In general, the results of our study suggested that GPD1L had the potential to serve as a diagnostic and prognostic marker for LUAD.

The Prognostic Significance of FOXD1 Expression in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

It has been reported that forkhead box D1 (FOXD1) plays an established role in human early embryonic development and is broadly involved in various malignancies. However, there is limited information regarding FOXD1 expression in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This present study aimed to explore the clinical significance of FOXD1 in patients with HNSCC. Tissue microarrays of 334 primary HNSCC patients who underwent surgery between 2008 and 2010 at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were investigated by immunohistochemistry regarding FOXD1 expression. χ2 test was used to estimate the relationship of FOXD1 expression with clinicopathologic characteristics. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify FOXD1 expression as an independent prognostic indicator of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). FOXD1 expression is closely associated with postoperative recurrence. HNSCC patients with high FOXD1 expression have poorer prognoses than the low-expression group (p < 0.05). According to multivariate analysis, FOXD1 was an independent prognostic factor for OS and DFS. The results revealed that FOXD1 could be a prognostic factor for HNSCC and might serve as a potential target for novel therapies.

Effect of HBsAg expression in liver tissue on prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after minimally invasive interventional therapy.

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between pathologic markers and prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who received transcatheter chemoembolization combined with locoregional ablation therapy. This retrospective study included 111 hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). All patients underwent transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with locoregional ablation therapy, and received core needle biopsy before therapy in Beijing You 'an Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2016. Demographic, pathological indicators and clinical laboratory data were collected. The cumulative recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated and compared by Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test, and Cox proportional risk model was used to screen for independent predictors of recurrence and long-term prognosis in HCC patients. There was a correlation between HBsAg expression in liver tissue and prognosis of HCC patients. Patients with negative HBsAg expression had longer 1-,3- and 5-year RFS rates than positive HBsAg expression (78.3%, 43.5%, 30.4% and 58.5%, 24.5%, 17.0%, P=0.018). Meanwhile,the postoperative 1-,3-and 5-year OS rates of HCC patients in the negative HBsAg expression group were significantly higher than those of HCC patients in the positive HBsAg expression group (100%, 89.1%, 80.4% and 100%, 75.5%, 58.5%, P=0.008). The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with negative HBsAg expression was better than that with positive HBsAg expression. Accordingly, the expression of the liver HBsAg before combined therapy was a prognostic indicator for OS and RFS. For patients with liver HBsAg positive, follow-up should be strengthened and corresponding intervention measures should be taken to improve prognosis.

Combined transarterial chemoembolization and external beam radiotherapy for identifying surgical candidates for hepatocellular carcinoma with macroscopic vascular invasion: A propensity score-weighted analysis.

562 Background: To evaluate the role of hepatic resection in patients with objective responses after combined transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and radiotherapy (RT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with macroscopic vascular invasion (MVI). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the patients treated with combined TACE and RT as a first-line treatment for HCC with MVI between 2010 and 2015. Some patients with objective responses underwent hepatic resection or liver transplantation. Surgical resectability was determined by the hepatobiliary and transplant surgeons of the multidisciplinary team for liver cancer. To investigate the role of surgery, patients with objective responses who did not undergo surgery were selected as a control group. The survival outcomes between the patients who received surgery and those who did not were compared using a propensity score-based stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting method to minimize selection bias. Time-dependent survival analysis by surgery was performed. Results: Of the 170 patients with objective responses after combined TACE and RT, surgery was performed for 41 patients, including 8 liver transplantations. The unweighted surgery group was younger and had a higher proportion of solitary tumor and unilateral vascular involvement. After adjustment, the overall survival rates at 3 years were 61.0% and 28.6% in surgery and non-surgery groups, respectively. The most important prognostic factor for overall survival was surgery (adjusted Cox hazard ratio [HR], 0.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.17–0.46; p-value &lt; 0.001). Complete response after TACE and RT was also a significant prognostic indicator for overall survival (adjusted HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.27–0.61; p-value &lt; 0.001). There was no surgical mortality. Four patients (9.8%) required additional surgery for postoperative bleeding or graft failure. Conclusions: Hepatic resection was significantly associated with improved overall survival in patients with objective responses after combined TACE and RT for HCC with MVI.

CD8+ T Cells and PD-L1 Expression as Prognostic Indicators in a Low Prevalence of HPV-Associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Explore the expression p16, CD8+ TIL, and PD-L1 and its value as prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS) in patients with OPSCC. Data from patients with OPSCC diagnosed from 2012 to 2018 were recovered from medical records and national registry. All available glass slides and slides of immunohistochemistry (IHC) of p16, CD8, and PD-L1 were reviewed. The TME was classified into four types according to the expression pattern of PD-L1 and CD8+TIL. Overall survival (OS) was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model analysis. In 160 OPSCC patients, p16 was positive in 27 (16.88%). The density of CD8+ TIL was higher in the p16+ and PD-L1+ groups (p = 0.005, 0.039); however, there was no association between p16 and the status of PD-L1. P16 and CD8+ TIL were significant prognostic factors for better OS (p = 0.007, 0.001), but not PD-L1 status (p = 0.317). Among the four types of TME, carcinoma showed mainly type IV TME (PD-L1-/TIL+), while OPSCCs with type I TME (PD-L1+/TIL+) had the best survival outcome. The positivity of p16 and the density of CD8+ TIL were associated with better OS in OPSCC, while the status of PD-L1 was not significantly related to OS. OPSCC with type I TME (PD-L1+/TIL+) showed the best prognosis of all types of TME.