Preoperative Carbohydrate Antigen Research Articles

Predicting Recurrence-Free Survival After Upfront Surgery in Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Preoperative Risk Score Based on CA 19-9, CT, and 18F-FDG PET/CT.

To develop and validate a preoperative risk score incorporating carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, CT, and fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT variables to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) after upfront surgery in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Patients with resectable PDAC who underwent upfront surgery between 2014 and 2017 (development set) or between 2018 and 2019 (test set) were retrospectively evaluated. In the development set, a risk-scoring system was developed using the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, including variables associated with RFS. In the test set, the performance of the risk score was evaluated using the Harrell C-index and compared with that of the postoperative pathological tumor stage. A total of 529 patients, including 335 (198 male; mean age ± standard deviation, 64 ± 9 years) and 194 (103 male; mean age, 66 ± 9 years) patients in the development and test sets, respectively, were evaluated. The risk score included five variables predicting RFS: tumor size (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29 per 1 cm increment; P < 0.001), maximal standardized uptake values of tumor ≥ 5.2 (HR, 1.29; P = 0.06), suspicious regional lymph nodes (HR, 1.43; P = 0.02), possible distant metastasis on 18F-FDG PET/CT (HR, 2.32; P = 0.03), and CA 19-9 (HR, 1.02 per 100 U/mL increment; P = 0.002). In the test set, the risk score showed good performance in predicting RFS (C-index, 0.61), similar to that of the pathologic tumor stage (C-index, 0.64; P = 0.17). The proposed risk score based on preoperative CA 19-9, CT, and 18F-FDG PET/CT variables may have clinical utility in selecting high-risk patients with resectable PDAC.

Solid Pseudopapillary Neoplasm of the Pancreas: Unraveling Insights from a Single Institutional Study Emphasizing Preoperative Diagnosis of a Rare Tumor.

Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPN), a slow-growing pancreatic tumor with a vague clinical presentation and non-specific radiological features, is rather uncommon. We share our experience emphasizing on preoperative diagnosis and the correlation with final histopathological examination. This is a retrospective analysis of the 468 patients who underwent pancreas-related surgery at our institution between January 2013 and July 2022. Demographic characteristics, symptoms at presentation, preoperative serum calcium carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9), lesion characteristics on cross-sectional diagnostic imaging, surgical technique, complications in postoperative period, length of stay, histopathological features, and 3-year follow-up findings of the patients with SPN of pancreas were evaluated. The male-to-female ratio was 1:11 and the mean age at presentation was 33.3 ± 9.5 years. Upper abdomen discomfort was the most common presenting complaint (91%). And five patients had findings suggestive of SPN on preoperative CECT abdomen, and the remaining six individuals were diagnosed solely based on final histological examination. The tumor's median diameter was 5.6 cm (range, 4.1-7.9). The distal body and tail of pancreas was the most common location (63%), followed by the head (36%), and was managed with distal pancreatectomy with or without spleen preservation and Whipple's procedure, respectively. One patient developed grade III Clavien-Dindo complication. The average length of in-hospital stay was 8.27±2.72 days. None of the patients had recurrence on follow-up. Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm of the pancreas is often misdiagnosed preoperatively. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided FNA with IHC will be beneficial to diagnose it preoperatively especially in small-sized tumors with atypical features. Complete surgical resection with adequate margins without routine lymphadenectomy is curative in resectable tumors. Jayapal L, Kumar SR, Jebakumar GS, et al. Solid Pseudopapillary Neoplasm of the Pancreas: Unraveling Insights from a Single Institutional Study Emphasizing Preoperative Diagnosis of a Rare Tumor. Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2023;13(2):50-54.

Prognostic value of normal levels of preoperative tumor markers in colorectal cancer

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) are widely used tumor markers for colorectal cancer (CRC), but their clinical significance is unknown when the levels of these tumor markers were within the normal range. This retrospective study included 2145 CRC patients. The entire cohort was randomly divided into training and validation datasets. The optimal cut-off values of tumor markers were calculated using X-tile software, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess its association with overall survival (OS). The nomogram model was constructed and validated. The entire cohort was randomly divided into a training dataset (1502 cases, 70%) and a validation dataset (643 cases,30%). Calculated from the training dataset, the optimal cut-off value was 2.9 ng/mL for CEA, 10.1 ng/mL for CA19-9, 13.4 U/mL for CA125, and 1.8 ng/mL for AFP, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, tumor location, T stage, N stage, preoperative CA19-9, and CA125 levels were independent prognostic predictors. Even within the normal range, CRC patients with relatively high levels of CA19-9 or CA125 worse OS compared to those with relatively low levels. Then, based on the independent prognostic predictors from multivariate analysis, two models with/without (model I/II) CA19-9 and CA125 were built, model I showed better prediction and reliability than model II. Within the normal range, relatively high levels of preoperative CA19-9 and CA125 were significantly associated with poor OS in CRC patients. The nomogram based on CA19-9 and CA125 levels showed improved predictive accuracy ability for CRC.

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma compared to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Different survival, similar recurrence: Report of a large study on repurposed databases with propensity score matching

BackgroundCombined hepatocholangiocarcinoma is a rare cancer with a grim prognosis composed of both hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma morphologic patterns in the same tumor. The aim of this multicenter, international cohort study was to compare the oncologic outcomes after surgery of combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. MethodsPatients treated by surgery for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma from 2000 to 2021 from multicenter international databases were analyzed retrospectively. Patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma (cases) were compared with 2 control groups of hepatocellular carcinoma or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, sequentially matched using a propensity score based on 8 preoperative characteristics. Overall and disease-free survival were compared, and predictors of mortality and recurrence were analyzed with Cox regression after propensity score matching. ResultsDuring the study period, 3,196 patients were included. Propensity score adjustment and 2 sequential matching processes produced a new cohort (n = 244) comprising 3 balanced groups was obtained (combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma = 56, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma = 66, and hepatocellular carcinoma = 122). Kaplan–Meier overall survival estimations at 1, 3, and 5 years were 67%, 45%, and 28% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 92%, 75%, and 55% for hepatocellular carcinoma, and 86%, 53%, and 42% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .0014). Estimations of disease-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years were 51%, 25%, and 17% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 63%, 35%, and 26% for the hepatocellular carcinoma group, and 51%, 31%, and 28% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .19). Predictors of mortality were combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma subtype, metabolic syndrome, preoperative tumor markers alpha-fetoprotein and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and satellite nodules, and recurrence was associated with satellite nodules rather than cancer subtype. ConclusionDespite data limitations, overall survival among patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma was worse than both groups and closer intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, whereas disease-free survival was similar among the 3 groups. Future research on immunophenotypic profiling may hold more promise than traditional nonmodifiable clinical characteristics (as found in this study) in predicting recurrence or response to salvage treatments.

Dynamic monitoring of serum CEA and CA19-9 predicts the prognosis of postoperative stage II colon cancer

BackgroundWe sought to investigate the prognostic significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) dynamics for stage II colon cancer patients undergoing radical resection. MethodsThis study retrospectively analyzed 1517 stage II colon cancer patients admitted to the Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital from January 2011 to December 2016. To observe the relationship between tumor markers dynamic monitoring and survival, we calculated cut-off values for ΔCEA and ΔCA19-9. Group according to the cut-off values and compare the differences in survival between subgroups. ResultsPreoperative CA199 (HR = 3.122), postoperative CEA (HR = 2.941) and histological type (HR = 2.855) were independent prognostic factors in multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. The 5-year overall survival (OS) in the patients with normal preoperative CEA and CA19-9 was significantly better than the patients with elevated preoperative CEA or CA19-9 and the patients with elevated preoperative CEA and CA19-9 (92.6 % vs. 87.6 % vs. 81.0 %, P < 0.05). 469 patients with normal pre- and post-operative CEA had the highest 5-year OS (93.5 %, P < 0.05). Among the 177 patients with elevated pre- and post-operative CEA, the 5-year OS rate was only 81.8 % (P < 0.05). The cut-off values for Δ CEA and Δ CA19-9 in stage II colon cancer patients with elevated preoperative tumor markers were 2.625 ng/ml and 7.835 U/ml, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that Δ CEA≥2.625 ng/ml and Δ CA19-9≥7.835 U/mL were associated with better outcome (87.8 % vs. 79.6 %, P < 0.05; 85.8 % vs. 79.1 %, P > 0.05). At the same time, we found that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved 5-year OS in patients with elevated preoperative CEA or CA19-9 (91.0 % vs. 80.9 % and 89.6 % vs. 80.2 %, P < 0.05). ConclusionsPersistent postoperative elevation of CEA/CA19-9 is associated with a poor prognosis. CEA and CA19–9 may be high-risk factors for postoperative adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer patients. For stage II colon cancer patients with elevated preoperative CEA, patients with Δ CEA<2.625 ng/ml have poor survival and can improve prognosis by receiving adjuvant therapy.

Development of nomograms to predict recurrence after conversion hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma previously treated with transarterial interventional therapy

BackgroundLack of opportunity for radical surgery and postoperative tumor recurrence are challenges for surgeons and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study aimed to develop nomograms to predict recurrence risk and recurrence-free survival (RFS) probability after conversion hepatectomy for patients previously receiving transarterial interventional therapy.MethodsIn total, 261 HCC patients who underwent conversion liver resection and previously received transarterial interventional therapy were retrospectively enrolled. Nomograms to predict recurrence risk and RFS were developed, with discriminative ability and calibration evaluated by C-statistics, calibration plots, and the Area under the Receiver Operator Characteristic (AUROC) curves.ResultsUnivariate/multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were used to identify predictive factors for recurrence risk and RFS, respectively. The following factors were selected as predictive of recurrence: age, tumor number, microvascular invasion (MVI) grade, preoperative alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP), preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score (ECOG PS). Similarly, age, tumor number, postoperative AFP, postoperative protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), and ECOG PS were incorporated for the prediction of RFS. The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomograms revealed good predictive ability. Calibration plots showed good agreement between the nomogram predictions of recurrence and RFS and the actual observations.ConclusionsA pair of reliable nomograms was developed to predict recurrence and RFS in HCC patients after conversion resection who previously received transarterial interventional therapy. These predictive models can be used as guidance for clinicians to help with treatment strategies.

Preoperative serum CA125 level is a good prognostic predictor in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after hepatectomy: A single-center retrospective study.

Serum carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) is associated with the prognosis of various malignancies, including ovarian and pancreatic cancer. The relationship between preoperative serum CA125 level and the survival of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has not been fully studied. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic value of CA125 in ICC after hepatectomy. We retrospectively reviewed the clinicopathological data of 178 ICC patients who underwent hepatic resection. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed to estimate the relationships of serum CA125, α-fetoprotein, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 with the prognosis of ICC. The predictive value of CA125 for the prognosis of ICC patients was demonstrated by univariate analyses and Cox proportional hazards models. CA125 was correlated with tumor size, differentiation, capsulation, tumor node-metastasis stage, recurrence, and CEA. Univariate analysis indicated that CA125, sex, tumor number, tumor size, differentiation, surgical resection margin, tumor node metastasis stage, and CEA were risk factors for both the overall survival and the disease-free survival of ICC patients. Cox proportional hazards models showed that preoperative elevated CA125, a tumor size > 5 cm, and an R1 surgical resection margin were independent prognostic predictors of overall survival and disease-free survival. CA125 also had strong predictive value for the prognosis of different ICC subgroups, including patients without lymph node metastasis and with elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels. Preoperative elevated serum CA125 level is a noninvasive, simple, and reliable indicator of the prognosis of ICC patients after hepatectomy.

Extended Distal Pancreatectomy for Cancer of the Body and Tail of the Pancreas: Analysis of Early and Late Results.

Cancer of the body-tail of the pancreas often involves adjacent structures. Thus, surgical treatment may be extended to other organs or vessels in order to achieve radical resection. The aim of this study is to evaluate the safety and efficacy of extended distal pancreatectomy for ductal adenocarcinoma of the body and tail of the pancreas. Between January 2000 and December 2016, 101 patients underwent distal pancreatectomy (DP) for pancreatic cancer: 65 patients underwent standard-DP and 36 extended-DP, including the resection of the partial stomach (n = 12), adrenal gland (n = 7), liver (n = 7), colon (n = 8), celiac axis (n = 6), portal vein (n = 5), jejunum (n = 4) and kidney (n = 4). The two groups were compared in terms of their TNM classification, pathological grade, nodal status, state of resection margins, age, sex and levels of preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19.9). The morbidity and mortality were not statistically different in the two groups. The two groups disease-free and overall survival rates were significantly influenced by the tumor's stage, nodal status, pathological features and resection margins. Survival was not influenced by the extent of the surgical resection. However, when patients were stratified according to the type of extended resection, survival was worse in the group of patients undergoing vascular resection. Multivariate analysis showed that the stage and resection margins are independent predictors of disease-free and overall survival. Extended distal pancreatectomy may be performed with acceptable morbidity and mortality rates. Survival is not significantly different after standard or extended resection. However, the rate of tumor recurrence is high, and long-term survival is a rare event, especially in those patients who undergo distal pancreatectomy associated with vascular resection.

Improving prognosis and assessing adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in locally advanced rectal cancer with deep learning for MRI: A retrospective, multi-cohort study

PurposeAdjuvant therapy is recommended to minimize the risk of distant metastasis (DM) and local recurrence (LR) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). However, its role is controversial. We aimed to develop a pretreatment MRI-based deep learning model to predict LR, DM, and overall survival (OS) over 5 years after surgery and to identify patients benefitting from adjuvant chemotherapy (AC). Materials and methodsThe multi-survival tasks network (MuST) model was developed in a primary cohort (n = 308) and validated using two external cohorts (n = 247, 245). An AC decision tree integrating the MuST-DM score, perineural invasion (PNI), and preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19–9 (CA19-9) was constructed to assess chemotherapy benefits and aid personalized treatment of patients. We also quantified the prognostic improvement of the decision tree. ResultsThe MuST network demonstrated high prognostic accuracy in the primary and two external cohorts for the prediction of three different survival tasks. Within the stratified analysis and decision tree, patients with CA19-9 levels > 37 U/mL and high MuST-DM scores exhibited favorable chemotherapy efficacy. Similar results were observed in PNI-positive patients with low MuST-DM scores. PNI-negative patients with low MuST-DM scores exhibited poor chemotherapy efficacy. Based on the decision tree, 14 additional patients benefiting from AC and 391 patients who received over-treatment were identified in this retrospective study. ConclusionThe MuST model accurately and non-invasively predicted OS, DM, and LR. A specific and direct tool linking chemotherapy decisions and benefit quantification has also been provided.

The relationship between serum CA-125 level and recurrence in surgical stage 1 endometrial cancer patients.

The majority of patients diagnosed with early stage endometrial cancer have a favorable prognosis; however, approximately 10-15% experience a recurrence. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate whether post-operative carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA-125) levels could be used to predict recurrence and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with surgical stage I endometrial cancer. We enrolled a total of 518 patients with stage I endometrial cancer who underwent surgical treatment between January 2010 and March 2019. Serum CA-125 levels were measured prior to surgery, as well as 6-12 months after surgery. Subsequently, the correlations between the CA-125 levels, cancer recurrence, and RFS were analyzed. Although the pre-operative CA-125 level was not associated with the risk of cancer recurrence, the post-operative CA-125 level was found to be the only independent predictor of recurrence in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Additionally, we found that a post-operative CA-125 cut-off value of 13.75 U/mL yielded the best sensitivity and specificity for predicting cancer recurrence. Patients with a post-operative CA-125 level ≥ 13.75 U/mL, and those with a level < 13.75 U/mL, had a median time to recurrence and a 5-year RFS rate of 35.5 vs. 50.5 months and 84.7 vs. 94.4%, respectively. Additionally, post-operative CA-125 levels were not found to be correlated with pre-operative levels. In patients with stage I endometrial cancer, a post-operative CA-125 level ≥13.75 U/mL was found to be significantly correlated with a higher recurrence rate, as well as a shorter RFS. Therefore, obtaining a follow-up CA-125 level within 6-12 months after staging surgery may be a promising noninvasive biomarker for predicting recurrence.

Association of normalization of postoperative carbohydrate antigen 125 levels with treatment failure following uterine artery embolization for adenomyosis.

To investigate the association between carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) level and adenomyosis treatment failure (TF) after uterine artery embolization (UAE). We evaluated 224 patients with symptomatic adenomyosis who underwent UAE between January 2016 and December 2020. Improvements in dysmenorrhea and menorrhagia were assessed on the basis of symptom relief criteria. The factors associated with TF were investigated using a multivariate logistic regression model. Patients were analyzed for preoperative CA125 levels, postoperative CA125 levels, and the normalization of postoperative CA125 levels. Long-term symptom relief and quality of life after UAE were compared between the groups. During the 24-month follow-up, 50 patients (22.3%) experienced TF. Compared to patients in the non-TF group, those in the TF group had significantly higher preoperative and postoperative CA125 levels (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that failure to normalize postoperative CA125 levels was independently associated with an increased risk of TF (34.7% vs. 8.5%, p < 0.001; hazard ratio 3.953, 95% confidence interval 1.567-9.973, p = 0.004). After a 3-month follow-up period, patients who normalized their CA125 levels were more likely to achieve complete necrosis on magnetic resonance imaging than those who did not (82.1% vs. 56.8%, p < 0.001). Normalization of postoperative CA125 levels was significantly associated with fewer symptoms and better quality of life 12 months after UAE (p < 0.05). Following UAE, normalization of postoperative CA125 levels, rather than absolute values, was the strongest predictive marker of TF.

Risk Stratification of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Surgery after Neoadjuvant Therapy.

Clinical prognostic criteria using preoperative factors were not developed for post-neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) surgery of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We aimed to identify preoperative factors associated with overall survival (OS) in PDAC patients who underwent post-NAT curative-intent surgery and develop risk stratification criteria. Consecutive PDAC patients who underwent post-NAT curative-intent surgeries between 2007 and 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic, laboratory, surgical, and histopathologic variables were collected. Baseline, preoperative, and interval changes of computed tomography (CT) findings proposed by the Society of Abdominal Radiology and the American Pancreatic Association were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to select preoperative variables associated with OS. We developed risk stratification criteria composed of the significant preoperative variables, i.e., post-NAT response criteria. We compared the discrimination performance of post-NAT response criteria with that of post-NAT pathological (yp) American Joint Cancer Committee TNM staging system. One hundred forty-five PDAC patients were included. Stable or increased tumor size on CT (hazard ratio [HR], 2.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.58 to 4.21; p < 0.001) and elevated preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level (HR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.11 to 3.55; p=0.021) were independent factors of OS. The OS of the patient groups stratified by post-NAT response criteria which combined changes in tumor size and CA19-9 showed significant difference (p < 0.001). Such stratification was comparable to ypTNM staging in discrimination performance (difference of C-index, 0.068; 95% CI, -0.012 to 0.142). "Any degree of decrease in tumor size on CT" and CA19-9 normalization or staying normal were independent favorable factors of OS. The combination of the two factors discriminated OS comparably to ypTNM staging.

Risk Factors for Distant Metastasis in Extrahepatic Bile Duct Cancer after Curative Resection (KROG 1814).

Risk factors predicting distant metastasis (DM) in extrahepatic bile duct cancer (EHBDC) patients treated with curative resection were investigated. Medical records of 1,418 EHBDC patients undergoing curative resection between Jan 2000 and Dec 2015 from 14 institutions were reviewed. After resection, 924 patients (67.6%) were surveilled without adjuvant therapy, 297 (21.7%) were treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and 148 (10.8%) with CCRT followed by chemotherapy. To exclude the treatment effect from innate confounders, patients not treated with adjuvant therapy were evaluated. After a median follow-up of 36.7 months (range, 2.7 to 213.2 months), the 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rate was 57.7%. On multivariate analysis, perihilar or diffuse tumor (hazard ratio [HR], 1.391; p=0.004), poorly differentiated histology (HR, 2.014; p < 0.001), presence of perineural invasion (HR, 1.768; p < 0.001), positive nodal metastasis (HR, 2.670; p < 0.001) and preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 ≥ 37 U/mL (HR, 1.353; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with inferior DMFS. The DMFS rates significantly differed according to the number of these risk factors. For validation, patients who underwent adjuvant therapy were evaluated. In patients with ≥ 3 factors, additional chemotherapy after CCRT resulted in a superior DMFS compared with CCRT alone (5-year rate, 47.6% vs. 27.7%; p=0.001), but the benefit of additional chemotherapy was not observed in patients with 0-2 risk factors. Tumor location, histologic differentiation, perineural invasion, lymph node metastasis, and preoperative CA 19-9 level predicted DM risk in resected EHBDC. These risk factors might help identifying a subset of patients who could benefit from additional chemotherapy after resection.

Insights from managing clinical issues in distal pancreatectomy with en bloc coeliac axis resection: experiences from 626 patients.

Distal pancreatectomy with en bloc coeliac axis resection (DP-CAR) for pancreatic body cancer has been reported increasingly. However, its large-scale outcomes remain undocumented. This study aimed to evaluate DP-CAR volume and mortality, preoperative arterial embolization for ischaemic gastropathy, the oncological benefit for resectable tumours close to the bifurcation of the splenic artery and coeliac artery using propensity score matching, and prognostic factors in DP-CAR. In a multi-institutional analysis, 626 DP-CARs were analysed retrospectively and compared with 1325 distal pancreatectomies undertaken in the same interval. Ninety-day mortality was observed in 7 of 21 high-volume centres (1 or more DP-CARs per year) and 1 of 41 low-volume centres (OR 20.00, 95 per cent c.i. 2.26 to 177.26). The incidence of ischaemic gastropathy was 19.2 per cent in the embolization group and 7.9 per cent in the no-embolization group (OR 2.77, 1.48 to 5.19). Propensity score matching analysis showed that median overall survival was 33.5 (95 per cent c.i. 27.4 to 42.0) months in the DP-CAR and 37.9 (32.8 to 53.3) months in the DP group. Multivariable analysis identified age at least 67 years (HR 1.40, 95 per cent c.i. 1.12 to 1.75), preoperative tumour size 30 mm or more (HR 1.42, 1.12 to 1.80), and preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level over 37 units/ml (HR 1.43, 1.11 to 1.83) as adverse prognostic factors. DP-CAR can be performed safely in centres for general pancreatic surgery regardless of DP-CAR volume, and preoperative embolization may not be required. This procedure has no oncological advantage for resectable tumour close to the bifurcation of the splenic artery, and should be performed after appropriate patient selection.

Impact of conversion surgery after chemotherapy in patients with initially unresectable and recurrent biliary tract cancer.

Gemcitabine, cisplatin, and S-1 chemotherapy was superior to gemcitabine and cisplatin chemotherapy for progression-free survival and overall survival for unresectable and recurrent biliary tract cancer in a randomized phase III trial (KHBO1401). This study aimed to evaluate the outcome of conversion surgery after chemotherapy in biliary tract cancer patients (ancillary study, KHBO1401-3C). A total of 246 patients were enrolled in KHBO1401. We compared progression-free and overall survivals between the conversion surgery and non-conversion surgery groups. Eight patients (3.3%) underwent conversion surgery with chemotherapy, seven of whom were diagnosed with unresectable disease and one with recurrence. Six and two patients received gemcitabine, cisplatin, and S-1 chemotherapy as well as gemcitabine and cisplatin chemotherapy, respectively. Three patients in the conversion surgery group who received gemcitabine, cisplatin, and S-1 chemotherapy showed no disease progression and survived without postoperative chemotherapy. Preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level was a prognostic factor for conversion surgery. After correcting for immortal time bias, 1-year progression-free survival rates in the conversion surgery and non-conversion surgery groups were 50.0% and 19.0%, respectively (hazard ratio 0.343, 95% confidence interval 0.286-0.843, p = 0.0092). One-year overall survival rates in the conversion surgery and non-conversion surgery groups were 87.5% and 56.0%, respectively (hazard ratio 0.222, 95% confidence interval 0.226-0.877, p = 0.0197). Conversion surgery might be an option for the treatment of unresectable and recurrent biliary tract cancer in patients with normal preoperative CA19-9 level.

A new scoring system with simple preoperative parameters as predictors of early recurrence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) often recurs early after radical resection, and such early recurrence (ER) is associated with a poor prognosis. Predicting ER is useful for determining the optimal treatment. One hundred fifty-three patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDAC were divided into an ER group (n = 54) and non-ER group (n = 99). Clinicopathological factors were compared between the groups, and the predictors of ER and prognosis after PDAC resection were examined. The ER group had a higher platelet count, higher platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), higher preoperative CA19-9 concentration, higher SPan-1 concentration, larger tumor diameter, and more lymph node metastasis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified cut-off values for PLR, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), SPan-1, and tumor diameter. In the multivariate analysis, a high PLR, high CA19-9, and tumor diameter of >3.1 cm were independent predictors of ER after resection (all p < 0.05). When the parameter exceeded the cut-off level, 1 point was given, and the total score of the three factors was defined as the ER prediction score. Next, our new ER prediction model using PLR, CA19-9 and tumor diameter (Logit(p) = 1.6 + 1.2 × high PLR + 0.7 × high CA19-9 + 0.5 × tumor diameter > 3.1cm) distinguished ER with an area under the curve of 0.763, a sensitivity of 85.2%, and a specificity of 55.6%. ER after resection of PDAC can be predicted by calculation of a score using the preoperative serum CA19-9 concentration, PLR, and tumor diameter.

Risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II colorectal cancer

BackgroundRecurrences are the main reasons for unfavorable outcomes for patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). To obtain a clear understanding of the high-risk factors, further investigation is warranted. The present study aimed to analyze the risk factors associated with postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC.MethodsEligible patients with pathologically confirmed stage II CRC were enrolled in the study retrospectively based on a prospectively maintained database from April 2008 to March 2019. The Kaplan–Meier method were used to calculate the overall survival (OS) rate and the cumulative recurrence rate. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for recurrence.ResultsThere were 2515 patients included, of whom 233 (9.3%) developed local or distant recurrence. Recurrence was associated with a significantly worse 5-year OS (45.4% vs. 95.5%, p < 0.0001). The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was 13.0% in patients with stage II CRC. On multivariable Cox analysis, tumor size (Hazard Ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.79[1.38, 2.33]), preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 125 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.78[1.17, 2.70]), preoperative CA 199 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.56[1.09, 2.22]), and ulcerating tumor (HR [95% CI] = 1.61[1.19, 2.17]) were found to be associated with postoperative recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a lower cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these risk factors (p = 0.00096).ConclusionThe tumor diameter, preoperative CA125 level, preoperative CA199 level, and an ulcerative tumor can predict postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC, and postoperative chemotherapy could reduce the cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these high-risk factors.

The value of serum HE4 and CA125 levels for monitoring the recurrence and risk stratification of endometrial endometrioid carcinoma

To evaluate the role of serum human epididymis secretory protein 4 (HE4) and carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) levels for predicting and monitoring the recurrence of endometrial endometrioid carcinoma (EEC) and assessing preoperative risk stratification in EEC patients. A total of 434 EEC patients were selected for this retrospective study between May 2011 and August 2018. Serum HE4 and CA125 levels were analyzed before the initial treatment, at the first postoperative follow-up, and at recurrence or the last follow-up. Patients were risk stratified according to the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO), European Society for Radiotherapy & Oncology (ESTRO) and European Society of Gynaecological Oncology (ESGO) guideline. We compared the ability of these biomarkers for prediction and monitoring by performing receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and identified optimal cut-off values by determining the Youden index. Kaplan-Meier analyses were also performed to determine prognostic value. Preoperative serum HE4 was identified as a significant predictor for the recurrence of EEC (p = 0.014). Preoperative serum HE4 and CA125 levels were related to depth of myometrial invasion, lymph node status and FIGO stage. Serum HE4 and CA125 levels were both statistically significant markers for monitoring the recurrence of EEC (P = 0.000 for each biomarker). When combined, the two markers showed higher levels of sensitivity and specificity. The two biomarkers were also significant biomarkers for evaluating the risk stratification of patients undergoing lymphadenectomy (P = 0.000 for each biomarker). For premenopausal stage I patients, preoperative serum HE4 and CA125 levels were significant predictors of the need for ovarian preservation (P = 0.000 and P = 0.002, respectively). For premenopausal patients with stage I intramucosal differentiation, preoperative serum levels of HE4 were significant predictors for fertility preservation (P = 0.024). Preoperative serum HE4 level can be used to predict the recurrence of EEC. Postoperative serum HE4 and CA125 levels can be used to monitor the recurrence of EEC and are more sensitive when combined. Preoperative serum levels of CA125 and HE4 levels are of significant value for risk stratification in EEC patients.

Prognostic impact of pre- and postoperative tumor markers in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

The present study assessed the impact of pre- and postoperative tumor markers on the survival of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Medical records of 73 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma were reviewed retrospectively. The pre- and postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels were assessed. Patient characteristics, clinicopathological factors, and prognostic factors were analyzed. The median recurrence-free survival and overall survival were 30.0 and 90.9months, respectively. A multivariate survival analysis revealed that elevated postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (p = 0.023) was the only independent poor prognostic factor. The median overall survival of patients with normal and elevated postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels was 101.4 and 15.7months (p < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate logistic regression identified elevated preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 as an independent preoperative risk factor for elevated postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9. The optimal cutoff value of preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 for predicting elevated postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 was 40 U/mL, with a sensitivity and specificity of 92% and 87%, respectively (area under curve = 0.915). Elevated postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 was an independent poor prognostic factor. Preoperative predictors, such as elevated preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9, may indicate the need for neoadjuvant therapies to improve the survival.

The relationship between preoperative CEA and CA19-9 status and patient characteristics and lymph node involvement in early-stage colon cancer.

Colon cancer is a primary human cancer that accounts for approximately one-tenth of all cancers and is one of the three most common cancers in incidence and mortality. This study investigated the relationship between serum preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), patient characteristics and lymph node (LND) involvement in early-stage colon cancer. A total of 154 patients who had undergone surgery for early-stage colon cancer were included in this study. Patient demographics regarding age and gender, laboratory parameters, tumor size, and tumor laterality were recorded. CEA and CA19-9 positivity was defined as patients whose tumor markers were above the cut-off values, and patients were grouped according to CEA and CA19-9 positivity. Patients were compared according to the CEA and CA19-9 status and pathological LND involvement. We found that patients in the CEA (+) and CA19-9 (+) groups were significantly older than the others. Our study detected LND involvement in histopathological examination in 25% of patients. LND pathological participation was significantly higher in the CEA (+) CA19-9 (+) group, and being age 65 years or older was found to be a risk factor for pathological LND involvement. Clinicians should pay more attention to LND involvement when both CEA and CA19-9 are elevated preoperatively in early-stage colon cancer patients. Preoperative CEA and CA19-9 status of patients is important in predicting LND involvement and, as a result, the prognosis of these patients.