PurposeAccurate and automated early survival prediction is critical for patients with glioblastoma (GBM) as their poor prognosis requires timely treatment decision-making. To address this need, we developed a deep learning (DL)-based end-to-end workflow for GBM overall survival (OS) prediction using pre-resection basic structural multiparametric magnetic resonance images (Bas-mpMRI) with a multi-institutional public dataset and evaluated it with an independent dataset of patients on a prospective institutional clinical trial. Materials and methodsThe proposed end-to-end workflow includes a skull-stripping model, a GBM sub-region segmentation model and an ensemble learning-based OS prediction model. The segmentation model utilizes skull-stripped Bas-mpMRIs to segment three GBM sub-regions. The segmented GBM is fed into the contrastive learning-based OS prediction model to classify the patients into different survival groups. Our datasets include both a multi-institutional public dataset from Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention (MICCAI) Brain Tumor Segmentation (BraTS) challenge 2020 with 235 patients, and an institutional dataset from a 5-fraction SRS clinical trial with 19 GBM patients. Each data entry consists of pre-operative Bas-mpMRIs, survival days and patient ages. Basic clinical characteristics are also available for SRS clinical trial data. The multi-institutional public dataset was used for workflow establishing (90% of data) and initial validation (10% of data). The validated workflow was then evaluated on the institutional clinical trial data. ResultsOur proposed OS prediction workflow achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86 on the public dataset and 0.72 on the institutional clinical trial dataset to classify patients into 2 OS classes as long-survivors (>12 months) and short-survivors (<12 months), despite the large variation in Bas-mpMRI protocols. In addition, as part of the intermediate results, the proposed workflow can also provide detailed GBM sub-regions auto-segmentation with a whole tumor Dice score of 0.91. ConclusionOur study demonstrates the feasibility of employing this DL-based end-to-end workflow to predict the OS of patients with GBM using only the pre-resection Bas-mpMRIs. This DL-based workflow can be potentially applied to assist timely clinical decision-making.
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