As has been outlined in detail in the other papers presented in this session, the current official poverty measure grew out of a series of studies undertaken by Mollie Orshansky, whose work we commemorate today, for the Social Security Administration in the early and mid 1960s. Orshansky's effort was important for several reasons. First, although some work had been done to develop empirical measures of poverty in Great Britain before the 1960s,1 there had been few attempts at empirically based measures in the United States. Therefore, rough though it was, Orshansky's measure constituted a major improvement over earlier efforts to define a poverty threshold in the United States, which largely involved plucking a likely number out of the air.2 In contrast, Orshansky based her estimates of basic needs on some form of evidence. She had very little data available to her, but she made the most of what she had, combining a rough idea of food needs by family size with some information on the share of food expenditures in the typical family's budget. The resulting poverty cutoffs were necessarily very approximate, but they were a considerable advance over earlier work in that they at least recognized that needs varied by family size. But Orshansky's work was also important for an even more compelling reason. Poverty was a topic of major policy interest in the United States in the 1960s, but there was little consensus about exactly what the term meant. Once Orshansky's scale had been published, it gave a veneer of technical authority to a set of measures that were badly needed for political reasons. As James Tobin
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